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Cal a 9.5 point favorite over Oregon State
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Last: 4 yr ago by Northside91
10-0, Cal covers, no thanks to Faux Baldwin
More like 20-10. We get ahead and sit on it...
I don't know what happens on Saturday.
But since Cal vs UC Davis (where the Bears covered a 13 point spread, winning by 14), the underdog, who was always the road team, has covered and sometimes won outright in every one of Cal's last 5 games.
- Cal was a 13.5 point underdog at Washington and won outright by 1.
- North Texas was a 14 point underdog at Cal and covered, only losing by 6.
- Cal was a 2.5 point underdog at Ole Miss and won outright by 8.
- ASU was a 4 point underdog at Cal and won outright by 7.
- Cal was a 17-21 point underdog at Oregon and covered, losing only by 10.
But since Cal vs UC Davis (where the Bears covered a 13 point spread, winning by 14), the underdog, who was always the road team, has covered and sometimes won outright in every one of Cal's last 5 games.
- Cal was a 13.5 point underdog at Washington and won outright by 1.
- North Texas was a 14 point underdog at Cal and covered, only losing by 6.
- Cal was a 2.5 point underdog at Ole Miss and won outright by 8.
- ASU was a 4 point underdog at Cal and won outright by 7.
- Cal was a 17-21 point underdog at Oregon and covered, losing only by 10.
#13 Utah walloped OSU 52-7. Cal lost to #13 Oregon by 10. Does that infer a decisive Cal win? What does it say about UCLA after having lost to OSU 48-31?
LOT of points being given up by that Beaver defense. Beau???LMK5 said:
#13 Utah walloped OSU 52-7. Cal lost to #13 Oregon by 10. Does that infer a decisive Cal win? What does it say about UCLA after having lost to OSU 48-31?
Sagarin has us 10.5 points better, so an estimated 13.5 favorite at home. Downward adjustment is essentially due to our poor QB situation.
baldwin will sit on any lead . he does not like risk. the beavers have little defense but with a 2nd string qb and an offensive line void of first stringers betting our bears could be a no no.
The Beavs get about two sacks a game, about average, much less pressure than the Ducks though. The Beavs D allows opposing QBs to complete passes over 66% of the time, 11th worst in the conference. This should be a good game for Modster and the passing game to grow...
Last year, we were reeling coming out of that huge ugly loss to UCLA, and the Beavs were just what we ---especially the offense --- needed, taking a 49-7 win at Reser, and following up the next week with that great win over then #13 Washington (the beginning of our streak against rated Washington!).Cal89 said:
The Beavs get about two sacks a game, about average, much less pressure than the Ducks though. The Beavs D allows opposing QBs to complete passes over 66% of the time, 11th worst in the conference. This should be a good game for Modster and the passing game to grow...
I remember that one. Just what the doctor ordered, and hopefully again this season, this Saturday...YamhillBear said:Last year, we were reeling coming out of that huge ugly loss to UCLA, and the Beavs were just what we ---especially the offense --- needed, taking a 49-7 win at Reser, and following up the next week with that great win over then #13 Washington (the beginning of our streak against rated Washington!).Cal89 said:
The Beavs get about two sacks a game, about average, much less pressure than the Ducks though. The Beavs D allows opposing QBs to complete passes over 66% of the time, 11th worst in the conference. This should be a good game for Modster and the passing game to grow...
I imagine we'll come at them heavy with the ground game. They are worst in the conference, and give-up over 200 a game on the ground. If indeed we get that going, Modster should be able to connect on passes, build confidence.
Here come Brown and Dancy. We may see a bit of Collins as well.
Not much better than a strong running game to help a QB get established in an offense...Bear8 said:
Here come Brown and Dancy. We may see a bit of Collins as well.
Even Cal's pitiful offense should look good against Oregon State. And I have a hard time imagining Cal's defense giving the Beavers anything. Should be a similar blowout to last season, and about as meaningless. But there is still sleeping in and not going to work as things to look forward to on Saturday, not all is lost.
I really like the Bears' chances against UCLA and WSU looks promising, too, given the trajectory of those programs. Don't see the Bears beating Utah, SC or Furd (bye bye Axe for another year). So basically Wilcox brings the seven-win magic of his old mentor Steve Sarkesian to Berkeley.
And lucky seven will probably be enough for Wilcox to justify keeping Baldwin & Co around, since it's obvious JW doesn't give a rat's backside about offense (or actually being relevant in the conference), so long as the program is just this much above .500
I really like the Bears' chances against UCLA and WSU looks promising, too, given the trajectory of those programs. Don't see the Bears beating Utah, SC or Furd (bye bye Axe for another year). So basically Wilcox brings the seven-win magic of his old mentor Steve Sarkesian to Berkeley.
And lucky seven will probably be enough for Wilcox to justify keeping Baldwin & Co around, since it's obvious JW doesn't give a rat's backside about offense (or actually being relevant in the conference), so long as the program is just this much above .500
Bears 27 Beavers 16
Oregon State. 14. Cal 10
Go Bears!
I worry about the health of our OL. If we're playing a few offensive linemen out of position and/or too many young, inexperienced guys, it could get ugly. If supported by a running game, Modster should show us more than he has, thus far.
Curious, why don't you see a win against furd or $c? What are those teams doing that impress you?Uthaithani said:
Even Cal's pitiful offense should look good against Oregon State. And I have a hard time imagining Cal's defense giving the Beavers anything. Should be a similar blowout to last season, and about as meaningless. But there is still sleeping in and not going to work as things to look forward to on Saturday, not all is lost.
I really like the Bears' chances against UCLA and WSU looks promising, too, given the trajectory of those programs. Don't see the Bears beating Utah, SC or Furd (bye bye Axe for another year). So basically Wilcox brings the seven-win magic of his old mentor Steve Sarkesian to Berkeley.
And lucky seven will probably be enough for Wilcox to justify keeping Baldwin & Co around, since it's obvious JW doesn't give a rat's backside about offense (or actually being relevant in the conference), so long as the program is just this much above .500
Uthaithani said:
Even Cal's pitiful offense should look good against Oregon State. And I have a hard time imagining Cal's defense giving the Beavers anything. Should be a similar blowout to last season, and about as meaningless. But there is still sleeping in and not going to work as things to look forward to on Saturday, not all is lost.
I really like the Bears' chances against UCLA and WSU looks promising, too, given the trajectory of those programs. Don't see the Bears beating Utah, SC or Furd (bye bye Axe for another year). So basically Wilcox brings the seven-win magic of his old mentor Steve Sarkesian to Berkeley.
And lucky seven will probably be enough for Wilcox to justify keeping Baldwin & Co around, since it's obvious JW doesn't give a rat's backside about offense (or actually being relevant in the conference), so long as the program is just this much above .500
7 wins is in the Cal sweet spot. The non-athletic administration doesn't need to worry about national relevance, which draws attention to a knuckle-dragging sport, or coaching searches, which draws attention to a knuckle-dragging sport.
Tedford had a noisy program, but Wilcox and Fox will keep things nice and quiet. 6, 7 wins on the field and 15-18 on the court. Alums with low expectations keep writing checks, so field hockey gets funded, and no one notices. Eventually they'll be replaced by alums who don't know the difference between a football and a basketball, and they can turn out the lights. Nice. And. Quiet.
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