Marty said:
With all due respect, a highly unlikely scenario. AT&T has spent over $100B acquiring DirecTV and Time Warner, in order to build a content rich, network flexible entertainment juggernaut. DirecTV brought content, and subscriber scale, which directly reduces acquisition cost per subscriber, a key factor in third party content acquisition and retention.
And since AT&T doesn't have the fiber-to-the-home footprint of Verizon's FIOS, it's key that they control DirecTV's satellite network, in order to move their video service delivery OFF their copper, fiber-to-the-node terrestrial network in order to free up the bandwidth to offer higher speed broadband. Hence the announcement that U-Verse is being discontinued and video service is being moved to the DirecTV network.
In short, not gonna happen.
It's probably unlikely to happen, but you're ignoring the fact that DirecTV is bleeding subscribers like crazy (almost 800k last quarter alone, guidance is over 1m loss this quarter). Additionally, their OTT "skinny bundle" offering AT&T Now (f/k/a DirecTV Now) is also losing subscribers, and may have been fraudulently reporting their subscriber numbers to sweeten acquisition offers.
You're also ignoring the fact that there is now an activist shareholder (Elliott Management) with a $3.2bn stake in the company agitating for AT&T to refocus on it's core telecom business.
So, unlikely to happen under this management regime -- but that could change. That's assuming they can find a buyer for it, which I'm not so sure they can. They bought DirecTV at the absolute PEAK of the linear tv market.