Isn't Fox suppposed to be a defensive coach?

3,428 Views | 33 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by Big C
Jeff82
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That's my problem with him this year, at least. This team has struggled to stop the other team, which means: 1) Fox is not getting his concepts across; 2) the players are not listening, or: 3) they just don't have the ability to execute what he's trying to teach them.

It's probably three, in that so far, Kuany, Klonaras, Thiemann and Thorpe are all substantial recruiting misses. They tend to make up for not having much size by also not having very good defensive footwork, from what I can see, which among other things is why we have so much difficulty defending the pick-and-roll.

If we don't see some development from at least one of these guys by next year, when they'll be juniors, or another big man that can give us some defensive presence inside, I'll be ready to pass judgment on Fox. If you're going to recruit projects, then you have to be able to explain to them what they need to work on to get better, and convince them to put in the effort to do so. That was one of Monty's big strengths, which is why his teams generally punched above their weight.
helltopay1
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Mostly #3.
SFCityBear
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Exactly right.
SFCityBear
calumnus
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He is considered a defensive coach because he generally plays a lineup based on defensive matchups, rather than forcing the other team to make defensive adjustments to his offense. He generally favors tough on ball man-to-man shot denying defense. Teams typically score fewer points than their average because his teams are generally in the 300s in pace of play. His teams are generally not very good in defensive efficiency but are worse in offensive efficiency. Hence he is considered a "defensive coach."
sluggo
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calumnus said:

He is considered a defensive coach because he generally plays a lineup based on defensive matchups, rather than forcing the other team to make defensive adjustments to his offense. He generally favors tough on ball man-to-man shot denying defense. Teams typically score fewer points than their average because his teams are generally in the 300s in pace of play. His teams are generally not very good in defensive efficiency but are worse in offensive efficiency. Hence he is considered a "defensive coach."
Ouch. Has it been true of all Cal coaches known as defensive coaches that they just slowed the pace? Or were any good by efficiency standards?

I suspect that one thing that happened is that teams figured out what Fox likes to do defensively and switched up their attacks. But that is difficult to see for someone like me who only watches Cal games.
oskidunker
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Jeff82 said:

That's my problem with him this year, at least. This team has struggled to stop the other team, which means: 1) Fox is not getting his concepts across; 2) the players are not listening, or: 3) they just don't have the ability to execute what he's trying to teach them.

It's probably three, in that so far, Kuany, Klonaras, Thiemann and Thorpe are all substantial recruiting misses. They tend to make up for not having much size by also not having very good defensive footwork, from what I can see, which among other things is why we have so much difficulty defending the pick-and-roll.

If we don't see some development from at least one of these guys by next year, when they'll be juniors, or another big man that can give us some defensive presence inside, I'll be ready to pass judgment on Fox. If you're going to recruit projects, then you have to be able to explain to them what they need to work on to get better, and convince them to put in the effort to do so. That was one of Monty's big strengths, which is why his teams generally punched above their weight.
Agree. Very disappointing and next year not looking much better with only a 6'7" newcomer . Fox says good big men are hard to find yet every other pac 12 team seems to have one. .

Roxy said its hard to play zone against Stanford. Why is this?
Go Bears!
calumnus
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oskidunker said:

Jeff82 said:

That's my problem with him this year, at least. This team has struggled to stop the other team, which means: 1) Fox is not getting his concepts across; 2) the players are not listening, or: 3) they just don't have the ability to execute what he's trying to teach them.

It's probably three, in that so far, Kuany, Klonaras, Thiemann and Thorpe are all substantial recruiting misses. They tend to make up for not having much size by also not having very good defensive footwork, from what I can see, which among other things is why we have so much difficulty defending the pick-and-roll.

If we don't see some development from at least one of these guys by next year, when they'll be juniors, or another big man that can give us some defensive presence inside, I'll be ready to pass judgment on Fox. If you're going to recruit projects, then you have to be able to explain to them what they need to work on to get better, and convince them to put in the effort to do so. That was one of Monty's big strengths, which is why his teams generally punched above their weight.
Agree. Very disappointing and next year not looking much better with only a 6'7" newcomer . Fox says good big men are hard to find yet every other pac 12 team seems to have one. .

Roxy said its hard to play zone against Stanford. Why is this?

That is crazy. They rank 334 in 3 point shots made, 282 in 3p %. They have a bunch of forwards with length and score in the paint. The guards are their weakness.
Zone has stymied them in the past. ASU beat them with the press.
stu
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Over 12 conference games our opponents have shot 312 for 642 from the field. That's 48.6%, not what I would call representing good defense. And we're not getting better - our last 4 opponents have all shot 50% or better.
HoopDreams
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the biggest puzzle of this year for me is how we can have the same players return with a year in fox's defensive scheme, and a year of getting strong, yet poorer defense

you could say we did lose 2 players (Paris and South), but neither we top defenders and both undersized.

Paris did improve defensively his senior year, but is that much better a defender than Hyder and Foreman? Maybe, but it just doesn't explain the big drop in defense given the other factors above
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calumnus
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HoopDreams said:

the biggest puzzle of this year for me is how we can have the same players return with a year in fox's defensive scheme, and a year of getting strong, yet poorer defense

you could say we did lose 2 players (Paris and South), but neither we top defenders and both undersized.

Paris did improve defensively his senior year, but is that much better a defender than Hyder and Foreman? Maybe, but it just doesn't explain the big drop in defense given the other factors above


According to KenPom we are #162 in defensive efficiency and #322 in tempo.

Last year according to KenPom we were #130 in defensive efficiency and #315 in tempo.

College sports reference says we were #289 in defensive rating last year and are #277 this year.

Our conference defensive win shares for players ranked by minutes played last year:
1. Bradley 0.4
2. Anticevich 0.4
3. Austin 0.3
4. South 0.2
5. Kelly 0.5
6. Brown 0.1
7. Thiemann 0.2

This year, ranked by conference minutes played:
1. Betley 0.0
2. Brown 0.2
3. Kelly 0.2
4. Anticevich 0.1
5. Foreman 0.0
6. Bradley 0.1
7. Thiemann 0.1

So it is a combination of defensive liabilities like the grad transfers Betley and Foreman getting a lot of minutes (especially relative to the guys they replaced) and a drop off of Bradley, Kelly and Anticevitch from playing good defense last year. Maybe due to injuries, fatigue, and/or lack of motivation?


Chapman_is_Gone
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I find that Fox is very defensive. Especially when you point out to him his won/loss record.
joe amos yaks
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sluggo said:

calumnus said:

He is considered a defensive coach because he generally plays a lineup based on defensive matchups, rather than forcing the other team to make defensive adjustments to his offense. He generally favors tough on ball man-to-man shot denying defense. Teams typically score fewer points than their average because his teams are generally in the 300s in pace of play. His teams are generally not very good in defensive efficiency but are worse in offensive efficiency. Hence he is considered a "defensive coach."
Ouch. Has it been true of all Cal coaches known as defensive coaches that they just slowed the pace? Or were any good by efficiency standards?

I suspect that one thing that happened is that teams figured out what Fox likes to do defensively and switched up their attacks. But that is difficult to see for someone like me who only watches Cal games.
Coach Padgett ran with great talent.
Alkiadt
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joe amos yaks said:

sluggo said:

calumnus said:

He is considered a defensive coach because he generally plays a lineup based on defensive matchups, rather than forcing the other team to make defensive adjustments to his offense. He generally favors tough on ball man-to-man shot denying defense. Teams typically score fewer points than their average because his teams are generally in the 300s in pace of play. His teams are generally not very good in defensive efficiency but are worse in offensive efficiency. Hence he is considered a "defensive coach."
Ouch. Has it been true of all Cal coaches known as defensive coaches that they just slowed the pace? Or were any good by efficiency standards?

I suspect that one thing that happened is that teams figured out what Fox likes to do defensively and switched up their attacks. But that is difficult to see for someone like me who only watches Cal games.
Coach Padgett ran with great talent.
And didn't win with that talent.
joe amos yaks
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". . .Agree. Very disappointing and next year not looking much better with only a 6'7" newcomer . Fox says good big men are hard to find yet every other pac 12 team seems to have one. . ."

Have you seen what the PAC12 is putting on the court?
  • WSu: 6'10"; 6'10"; 7'1"; 6'10".
  • uDub: 6'11"; 7'4".
  • OSu: 6'10"; 7'1"; 6'10"; 6'10".
  • uO: 6'11"; 6'11".
  • Farm: 7'-"; 6'10".
  • uSC: 6'10"; 7'-"; 6'10"; 6'11".
  • Ucla: 6'10".
  • ASu: 6'10".
  • uA**: 6'11"; 6'11"; 6'11"; 7'1". **(Shakes head) Eligibility is a "modern miracle".
  • uU: 6'10"; 7'-".
  • Cu: 7'-"; 6'10".
  • Cal: 7'-".

Just considering "height", is the PAC the "short" player conference?
Looking around:

  • uMT: 6'10".
  • uTx: 6'11"; 6'10".
  • MichStu: 6'11".
  • tOSu: 6'10".
  • uK: 6-10; 7'-".
  • Ku: 6'10"; 6'10".

Going tall?
  • Zags: 7'-"; 7'-"; 6'10"; 6'10"
  • uVa: 7'1"; 7'-"; 6'11".
  • uMeatchicken: 7'1"; 6'10"; 6'10".
joe amos yaks
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Alkiadt said:

joe amos yaks said:

sluggo said:


Ouch. Has it been true of all Cal coaches known as defensive coaches that they just slowed the pace? Or were any good by efficiency standards?
Coach Padgett ran with great talent.
And didn't win with that talent.
"...all" Cal coaches known as defensive coaches?" ----- No.

Coach Padgett: Didn't win with great "under performing" talent and little defense.

Cal got a reputation following the Joe Hagler episode vs uSF in 1956.
joe amos yaks
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I think Coach Monte consistently achieved the best balance of offense / defense.

He was fortunate to find good players to play in his program.
socaltownie
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joe amos yaks said:

I think Coach Monte consistently achieved the best balance of offense / defense.

He was fortunate to find good players to play in his program.
Hmmm.....

I think the jury has to be that Monty (and the staffs he assembled) where great TEACHERS. Jorge is a top example of that (but arguably the other POYs Monty had at Cal). A ton of will in those kids so it is not like he didn't have willing pupils but he clearly was able to "coach em up" better than really anyone in 40 years at Cal.

Monty's problem was that he just couldn't sign/ink what Cal needed at his time - a manChild capable of banging with the future NBA'ers at Oregon, UCLA and Zona.
Jeff82
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Given that Cal has some recruiting limitations, a key skill for a Cal coach is the ability to get the players to improve. Monty excelled at that. So far under Fox, Brown seems to have improved, as has Anticevich, but the big men have largely tread water. How much of that is limitations caused by COVID-19, I don't know. Like I said at the start, if they don't improve by next year, that's a big problem for me as far as retaining Fox.
sluggo
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Jeff82 said:

Given that Cal has some recruiting limitations, a key skill for a Cal coach is the ability to get the players to improve. Monty excelled at that. So far under Fox, Brown seems to have improved, as has Anticevich, but the big men have largely tread water. How much of that is limitations caused by COVID-19, I don't know. Like I said at the start, if they don't improve by next year, that's a big problem for me as far as retaining Fox.
The situation with Kuany is difficult to understand. He is tall and a great athlete. I have been disappointed Fox has not found a place for him. Even though he is on the thin side, I think it best if he focused on defense and rebounding. The more he touches the ball on the perimeter the worse it is for him and us.
Big C
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Jeff82 said:

Given that Cal has some recruiting limitations, a key skill for a Cal coach is the ability to get the players to improve. Monty excelled at that. So far under Fox, Brown seems to have improved, as has Anticevich, but the big men have largely tread water. How much of that is limitations caused by COVID-19, I don't know. Like I said at the start, if they don't improve by next year, that's a big problem for me as far as retaining Fox.

Agree generally, but I'd say that Andre Kelly has improved most of all, since Fox' arrival.
NathanAllen
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I think Mark Fox is known as a defensive coach because of his last four years at UGA when his defenses ranked in the top-50 in Kenpom's Adjusted Defensive Efficiency metrics. I remember watching his UGA teams and it was almost always a slugfest against them. As others have said, super slow pace, and just really physical hoops.

His defenses have generally been a "pack the paint" sort of defense, forcing teams into tough shots inside the three-point arc.

That's been most disappointing to me. Yeah, Cal's three-point defense has been bad the past two seasons, but last year, Cal gave up just 47% on two-point shots, which was 81st in the country. Wyking Jones' last season, Cal was giving up 56.7% on two-point shots, which ranked No. 344. I don't think I need to add any color on just how bad that was or just how impressive of a turn-around it was in Fox's first season.

But this year, that's dropped back down to 51.2% (No. 210) while the three-point defense has dropped to allowing 39.4% (No. 333).

Traditionally, Fox's best defensive teams don't turn teams over much. And they've been average at keeping teams off the offensive glass. But they've been stellar at forcing teams into bad FG%, altering shots, and getting blocks.

The other disappointing thing so far this season has been prior to this season, Fox's worst defense ranked No. 137 in Kenpom's adjusted efficiency metrics. That was his first season at UGA. The second season? No. 47. And Fox never had a team rank lower than No. 89 in the adjusted defensive efficiency metrics the rest of his time at UGA.

Last year at Cal, the defense was No. 130 in Kenpom, which was up from No. 286 in Jones' last season. But this year, as others have noted above, it currently sits at No. 163.

Maybe less prep due to COVID is playing a role. Maybe the injuries are playing a role. As others have mentioned, maybe Austin/South was a better defensive duo than Betley/Foreman. Either way, Cal's defense, so far, has been worse this year and no one is probably more upset about it than Fox.
HoopDreams
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NathanAllen said:

I think Mark Fox is known as a defensive coach because of his last four years at UGA when his defenses ranked in the top-50 in Kenpom's Adjusted Defensive Efficiency metrics. I remember watching his UGA teams and it was almost always a slugfest against them. As others have said, super slow pace, and just really physical hoops.

His defenses have generally been a "pack the paint" sort of defense, forcing teams into tough shots inside the three-point arc.

That's been most disappointing to me. Yeah, Cal's three-point defense has been bad the past two seasons, but last year, Cal gave up just 47% on two-point shots, which was 81st in the country. Wyking Jones' last season, Cal was giving up 56.7% on two-point shots, which ranked No. 344. I don't think I need to add any color on just how bad that was or just how impressive of a turn-around it was in Fox's first season.

But this year, that's dropped back down to 51.2% (No. 210) while the three-point defense has dropped to allowing 39.4% (No. 333).

Traditionally, Fox's best defensive teams don't turn teams over much. And they've been average at keeping teams off the offensive glass. But they've been stellar at forcing teams into bad FG%, altering shots, and getting blocks.

The other disappointing thing so far this season has been prior to this season, Fox's worst defense ranked No. 137 in Kenpom's adjusted efficiency metrics. That was his first season at UGA. The second season? No. 47. And Fox never had a team rank lower than No. 89 in the adjusted defensive efficiency metrics the rest of his time at UGA.

Last year at Cal, the defense was No. 130 in Kenpom, which was up from No. 286 in Jones' last season. But this year, as others have noted above, it currently sits at No. 163.

Maybe less prep due to COVID is playing a role. Maybe the injuries are playing a role. As others have mentioned, maybe Austin/South was a better defensive duo than Betley/Foreman. Either way, Cal's defense, so far, has been worse this year and no one is probably more upset about it than Fox.
good stuff. thanks nathan
annarborbear
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Not having a shot-blocker really hurts. Fox's recruiting has come up short on that, without even a potential project player brought in.
calumnus
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annarborbear said:

Not having a shot-blocker really hurts. Fox's recruiting has come up short on that, without even a potential project player brought in.


I think that at 7' 248 lbs Lars was supposed to be that project player when Vanover left. Kuany at 6'9" and Thorpe at 6'8" might also fit that description.
stu
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Blocks per 30 minutes, conference games:
1.95 Thorpe
1.23 Thiemann
0.66 Kuany
0.40 Kelly
0.17 Anticevich

4.48 Heide (WBB freshie)
2.05 Onyiah (WBB freshie)
0.92 Daniels (WBB freshie)
0.64 Lutje Schipholt (WBB soph)
0.51 Samb (WBB freshie)
NathanAllen
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calumnus said:

annarborbear said:

Not having a shot-blocker really hurts. Fox's recruiting has come up short on that, without even a potential project player brought in.


I think that at 7' 248 lbs Lars was supposed to be that project player when Vanover left. Kuany at 6'9" and Thorpe at 6'8" might also fit that description.
What hurts about this is Vanover is currently 16th in the nation at Block% with 11.3%. His block rate at Cal was 8.9%, so he's improved quite a bit. Cal could really use that shot-altering/blocking presence. Oh well.
NathanAllen
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NathanAllen said:

calumnus said:

annarborbear said:

Not having a shot-blocker really hurts. Fox's recruiting has come up short on that, without even a potential project player brought in.


I think that at 7' 248 lbs Lars was supposed to be that project player when Vanover left. Kuany at 6'9" and Thorpe at 6'8" might also fit that description.
What hurts about this is Vanover is currently 16th in the nation at Block% with 11.3%. His block rate at Cal was 8.9%, so he's improved quite a bit. Cal could really use that shot-altering/blocking presence. Oh well.
To follow up on this (and sorry to rub more salt in the wound), Cal's highest Block% this season is Thorpe at 5.7%. Kuany is 4.0% and Thiemann is 3.3%.
annarborbear
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When you have a shot blocker, you not only get the shots that they block (obviously), but you also keep some people from going inside knowing that a potential block may be waiting for them. No one is afraid at all of attacking the basket against us this year.
NathanAllen
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annarborbear said:

When you have a shot blocker, you not only get the shots that they block (obviously), but you also keep some people from going inside knowing that a potential block may be waiting for them. No one is afraid at all of attacking the basket against us this year.
Exactly. I wish there was a stat that tracked diverted or altered shots. Because there are many times good blockers don't necessarily get the block, but they influence shots.
CalLifer
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NathanAllen said:

annarborbear said:

When you have a shot blocker, you not only get the shots that they block (obviously), but you also keep some people from going inside knowing that a potential block may be waiting for them. No one is afraid at all of attacking the basket against us this year.
Exactly. I wish there was a stat that tracked diverted or altered shots. Because there are many times good blockers don't necessarily get the block, but they influence shots.
I know in the NBA one of the stats that's tracked is FG% at the rim (both more generally and when a specific defender is within a certain # of feet). The best "rim protectors" have a pretty stingy FG% against in those cases... I'm not sure if that's tracked in college or not, tho.
NathanAllen
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CalLifer said:

NathanAllen said:

annarborbear said:

When you have a shot blocker, you not only get the shots that they block (obviously), but you also keep some people from going inside knowing that a potential block may be waiting for them. No one is afraid at all of attacking the basket against us this year.
Exactly. I wish there was a stat that tracked diverted or altered shots. Because there are many times good blockers don't necessarily get the block, but they influence shots.
I know in the NBA one of the stats that's tracked is FG% at the rim (both more generally and when a specific defender is within a certain # of feet). The best "rim protectors" have a pretty stingy FG% against in those cases... I'm not sure if that's tracked in college or not, tho.
Bart Torvik tracks it on a game-to-game basis. If I get bored and/or ambitious, I might put together a season analysis of it. (Unless someone knows where to find all season data for shots at the rim somewhere else.)

But I think the last game at Stanford provides a microcosm of the issue many are referencing/alluding to in this thread.

Shots at the rim on Sunday:
Stanford: 19-of-22
Cal: 10-of-22

Dunks:
Stanford: 3-of-3
Cal: 0-of-2

Mid-range two-point shots:
Stanford: 7-of-17
Cal: 5-of-15

Yikes.

Here's the same data from the game in Berkeley on Thursday.

At the rim:
Stanford: 16-of-24
Cal: 9-of-13

Dunks:
Stanford: 3-of-3
Cal: 1-of-1

Mid-range:
Stanford: 6-of-12
Cal: 3-of-15
CalLifer
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That certainly highlights our issues on both sides (both offense and defense) at the rim. I think the interesting thing from a player perspective is to see how that tracks when different players are on the floor (say with and without Lars, or DJ) to see if there are trends or there are players that provide more rim-protection, and whether there are players who are able to finish better on offense.

Sonofoski
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sluggo said:

calumnus said:

He is considered a defensive coach because he generally plays a lineup based on defensive matchups, rather than forcing the other team to make defensive adjustments to his offense. He generally favors tough on ball man-to-man shot denying defense. Teams typically score fewer points than their average because his teams are generally in the 300s in pace of play. His teams are generally not very good in defensive efficiency but are worse in offensive efficiency. Hence he is considered a "defensive coach."
Ouch. Has it been true of all Cal coaches known as defensive coaches that they just slowed the pace? Or were any good by efficiency standards?

I suspect that one thing that happened is that teams figured out what Fox likes to do defensively and switched up their attacks. But that is difficult to see for someone like me who only watches Cal games.

Sugglo,

Good defense is not slowing down the pace. Good defense is forcing turnovers, not allowing the opponetts best players to shoot from their sweet spot and having good floor balance to not allow fast break points after your own missed shots.
Big C
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Horrible defense this afternoon. If Campanelli were still coach, he would be tipping over the socially-distanced post-game spread right now.
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