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The Official Hurricane Season Thread

1,827 Views | 26 Replies | Last: 1 day ago by DiabloWags
DiabloWags
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We are just one month into the Hurricane Season and no big storm has appeared thus far.
Most of the recent weather-related coverage has been on the developing El Nino.

When I lived in NYC for 10 years and CT for another 4, all eyes were glued on the Weather Channel during the summer months to see what the weekend was looking like for hitting the beach.

Besides the brutal humidity, this is yet another reason why I would never live in Florida, the Carolinas, or the Gulf Coast.

Here are some interesting stats:










Atlantic hurricane season - Wikipedia

DiabloWags
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It's also important to note that Trump completely re-organized FEMA and slashed its budget.

On June 10, 2025, the president formally announced plans to dismantle the agency following the 2025 hurricane season, with disaster response and recovery responsibilities transferred to individual states.

Two months earlier, Executive Order 14239, signed March 18, 2025, had already laid policy groundwork by mandating a shift from the longstanding "all-hazards" approach to national infrastructure resilience to a "risk-informed" model, directing a series of reviews intended to reformulate federal preparedness responsibilities and push operational authority toward state and local governments.

As it was, FEMA cancelled $11 Billion in disaster payments it had planned to give to 45 states in the last 2 months of 2025. FEMA said that it shifted the funds to fiscal year 2026, although it said nothing about when the funds would be paid out.

From the article below dated October 2025:

"If Congress approves Trump's budget request of $26.5 billion for FEMA aid, the agency would have only $15.5 billion available for new disaster spending through Sept. 30, 2026, if it reimburses the states what they're owed in pandemic costs.

FEMA has paid an average of about $50 billion a year in disaster relief from fiscal 2020 through 2024, according to the Congressional Research Service."


FEMA canceled $11B in disaster payments to states - E&E News by POLITICO

Trump FEMA nominee Cameron Hamilton seeks balanced disaster aid approach

Cal88
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It's something we have to track more closely now that we're in the ACC. Thankfully this year the earliest game in the mid/south Atlantic is at NCSt on Halloween, well past the peak season.

Also, in terms of hurricane frequency, as in terms of anything climate-related, you have to have a long historic frame of reference to better understand and interpret trends, here is the big picture for US hurricane activity:

DiabloWags
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Potential for a Super El Nino to be forming.

NOAA says there's a 63% chance that ocean temps +3.6 degrees above their historical averages are possible between Nov 2026 - January 2027.



El Niño is 'strengthening rapidly,' forecasters warn. Here's what it could mean for your weather.
DiabloWags
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Atlantic hurricane season falls behind schedule as strengthening El Niño suppresses tropical activity
Eastern Oregon Bear
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Elsewhere, Category 5 Typhoon Bavi is currently moving through the Northern Marianas Islands with 180 mph sustained winds.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=PQ1&product=TCP&site=gum

Yikes!
DiabloWags
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Pretty quiet in the Atlantic for the next 7 days.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7
bearister
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“Cancel my subscription to the Resurrection
Send my credentials to the House of Detention
I got some friends inside”
—Jim Morrison

“I love Cal deeply, by the way, what are the directions to The Portal from Sproul Plaza?”
DiabloWags
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Charleston, SC feels like 107 again today.
61% humidity.
DiabloWags
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DiabloWags
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Still pretty quiet.
DiabloWags
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A Category 1 about to hit the Big Island.
12" of rain forecast.

Tropical Storm "La La"
bearister
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I'm in Golden, CO.


“Cancel my subscription to the Resurrection
Send my credentials to the House of Detention
I got some friends inside”
—Jim Morrison

“I love Cal deeply, by the way, what are the directions to The Portal from Sproul Plaza?”
DiabloWags
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You drinking Coors?
DiabloWags
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CAT 1

75 mph winds.
sonofabear51
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Sounds not great there. I remember visiting the extreme South Point. There is even a ladder there to get you in/out of the water. Hope the island does well during this extreme storm. Following.
sonofabear51
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Looks like no land fall. GOOD FOR THEM.

https://apnews.com/article/hawaii-tropical-storm-lala-hurricane-0c3d63c8a87943cdf8d57c530a7ed9d0
Big C
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Somebody just tell me: What's a strong El Nino supposed to mean for the Bay area? Big rain, right?
dajo9
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Big C said:


Somebody just tell me: What's a strong El Nino supposed to mean for the Bay area? Big rain, right?


Don't know about the Bay but I remember El Nino in SoCal in ~1998. Lots of rain.
Censorship has always been a tool of the fascist
Eastern Oregon Bear
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Big C said:


Somebody just tell me: What's a strong El Nino supposed to mean for the Bay area? Big rain, right?

Yeah, more rain than normal for California, but it's no guarantee. Up here in the Pacific Northwest, it's supposed to be less rain than normal, but if you look at what happened in each individual past strong El Nino, it's about 60/40 (less rain/more rain). That said, we're in a historic drought, so I expect it'll be less rain than normal up here.
DiabloWags
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30 - 39" of RAIN.

A 200 mile wide storm system.

DiabloWags
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Hurricane Marie impacts SoCal.





https://zoom.earth/storms/marie-2026/

Cat 4 Hurricanes Marie and Hurricane Lowell:

https://abc7.com/post/2-hurricanes-making-pacific-ocean-what-know-potential-impacts-hawaii-west-coast/19798997/




Seal Beach!

DiabloWags
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Havent seen 3 Hurricanes in the Pacific Ocean since 2015
Wild!

smh
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DiabloWags said:

Havent seen 3 Hurricanes in the Pacific Ocean since 2015
Wild!

glow ball, ever worse warming, clap clap, clap-clap-clap
# pity for kids
DiabloWags
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Hurricane Nolo about 250 miles south of Hilo in the Pacific. Could bring as much a 36" of rain.

Hurricane Polo hitting Baja now.
155 mph winds.
Cat 4.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/weather/2026/09/24/hurricane-polo-mexico-strongest-history/91916937007/
It's a CULT.

bearister
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"Yes, a sufficiently powerful hurricane could theoretically destroy Mar-a-Lago, but the estate is constructed like a fortress, making total destruction highly unlikely."


Don Jr dispatched to get case of Diet Coke during a Category 5.
“Cancel my subscription to the Resurrection
Send my credentials to the House of Detention
I got some friends inside”
—Jim Morrison

“I love Cal deeply, by the way, what are the directions to The Portal from Sproul Plaza?”
DiabloWags
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Looks like El Nino has really put a dent on the Hurricane Season in the Atlantic this year.

2-months of the season left.
Ends Nov. 30th

Tropical Storm "Fay" is a zombie storm currently in the Atlantic.
Thats essentially it, aside from TS Hanna.





It's a CULT.

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