Senate should stay GOP in November, but watch out come 2020!

The disproportionate Democratic Senate exposure in 2018 is almost the mirror opposite of what awaits in both 2020 and 2022 (though of course whichever party wins the presidential race in 2020 will have to deal with the midterm-election curse in 2022). In 2020, there are 21 Republican Senate seats up to just 11 for Democrats, not counting the Mississippi and Minnesota seats held by Hyde-Smith and Democratic Sen. Tina Smith, respectively (both seats, created by vacancies, are up this year and again in 2020). The numbers in 2022 are very similar: Twenty-two Republican seats are up to just 11 for Democrats.

https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/will-senate-gop-feel-heat-2020

more good stuff in there discussing age...

Scotus:

Beginning at age 65, a judge may retire at his or her current salary, or take senior status, after performing 15 years of active service as an Article III judge (65 + 15 = 80). A sliding scale of increasing age and decreasing service (66 + 14, 67 + 13, 68 + 12, 69 + 11) results in eligibility for retirement compensation at age 70 with a minimum of 10 years of service (70 + 10 = 80).

Ruth Bader Ginsburg
85 with 25 yrs (Clinton)

Stephen Breyer
80 with 24 yrs (Clinton)

Clarence Thomas
70 and 26 yrs (Bush Sr)

Samuel Alito
68 With 12 yrs (Bush)

Sonia Sotomayor
64 with 9 yrs (Obama)

John Roberts
63 with 13 yrs (Bush)

Elena Kagan
58 and 8 (Obama)

Niel Gorsuch
51 and 1 (Trump)

Dems need to keep Ginsburg's corpse propped up for two years.

I could see both of Clinton's justices retiring after the Dems take over the presidency and the Senate in 2020 or 2022.

Republicans have a long line of younger justices.

Anarchistbear said:

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Dems need to keep Ginsburg's corpse propped up for two years.

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Great film on her on CNN app on my Roku.
I saw her once in Fairfax after she got voted on. She was shopping for shoes at Niemann Marcus during a cirque du solil performance my wife helped on. Yet, I never knew all that about her. Extremely impressive. Looks like she takes good care of herself. I think she'll make it.
She works out!

I'd like to overturn or somehow amend the campaign funding rules of Citizens United.
Too much power in the hands of few rich interests and it's not well known or understood by the populace, who is led astray by propaganda and sideshows.
Most folks are either too busy, too ignorant, or too gullible for democracy to work.

In stocks, we indexers argue Efficient Market Theory, assuming there is perfect information spread among all players. In politics, definitely NOT the case! Citizens United keeps it that way.

Predicting 2018 SENATE midterms

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/

78% likely GOP controlled.

Predicting 2018 HOUSE midterms

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/

74.2% likely to be Dem controlled.

concordtom said:

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Predicting 2018 HOUSE midterms

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/

74.2% likely to be Dem controlled.

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I can't wait for the house investigations into Trump's financial dealings.
Can they obtain his tax returns?

3. There are no official qualifications for becoming a Supreme Court justice.

The Constitution spells out age, citizenship and residency requirements for becoming president of the United States or a member of Congress but mentions no rules for joining the nation's highest court. To date, six justices have been foreign born; the most recent, Felix Frankfurter, who served on the court from 1939 to 1962, was a native of Vienna, Austria. The youngest associate justice ever appointed was Joseph Story, who was 32 years old when he joined the bench in 1811. Associate Justice Oliver Wendell Holmes Jr., who served from 1902 to 1932, retired at age 90, making him the oldest person ever to sit on the court. One thing every justice who's served shares in common is that all were lawyers prior to joining the court. During the 18th and 19th centuries, before attending law school was standard practice, many future justices got their legal training by studying under a mentor. James Byrnes, who served on the court from 1941 to 1942, was the last justice who didn't attend law school (Byrnes, who also didn't graduate from high school, worked as a law clerk and later passed the bar exam.) Harvard has produced more members of the court than any other law school; to date, 20 justices have attended or graduated from the venerable institution, which was established in 1817 and is America's oldest continually operating law school.

The GOP's next stunt will be to challenge the lower age limit more and more. That way they can keep their folks on the court longer and longer.
Don't appoint the most qualified. Appoint the youngest guy who fits your vision and can get the vote.

And, maybe Ruth Bader Ginsberg will go for the record! Just 5 more years!

4. Justices are appointed for life but can be impeached.

Associate Justice William O. Douglas put in 36 years and 7 months on the bench, from April 1939 to November 1975, the longest tenure of any justice in the court's history. Douglas' successor, John Paul Stevens, was part of the court from December 1975 to June 2010, making him the third-longest serving justice. (Steven Johnson Field, who served from 1863 to 1897, comes in second.) Although they are appointed for life, more than 50 have chosen to retire or resign; that number has included the likes of John Jay, Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr., Charles Evan Hughes, Earl Warren, Thurgood Marshall, and, more recently, William Rehnquist and Sandra Day O'Connor. Only one justice ever has been impeached: Samuel Chase, in 1804. The U.S. House of Representatives voted to impeach Chase, an outspoken figure accused of acting in a partisan way during various court proceedings; however, the U.S. Senate acquitted him in 1805 and he remained on the bench, where he had served since 1796, until his death in 1811.

6. George Washington appointed the most justices to the court.

The president of the United States has the sole power to nominate Supreme Court justices whenever there are openings on the court, and each nomination must be confirmed by the U.S. Senate. George Washington made 11 appointments to the court, while Franklin Roosevelt made the second highest number of appointments, nine. Only three presidents besides Andrew Johnson did not make appointments: William Henry Harrison (who died in 1841, a month after his inauguration), Zachary Taylor (who passed away in 1850, 16 months after taking office) and Jimmy Carter. To date, presidents have submitted 160 nominations, including nominations for chief justice. Of that total, 124 were confirmed, with seven of them opting not to take the job. America's 10th president, John Tyler, who assumed office after the death of William Henry Harrison, made nine nominations while in office from 1841 to 1845, but the politically unpopular Tyler managed to get just one of those nominations confirmed by the Senate.

The GOP's next stunt will be to challenge the lower age limit more and more. That way they can keep their folks on the court longer and longer.
Don't appoint the most qualified. Appoint the youngest guy who fits your vision and can get the vote.

And, maybe Ruth Bader Ginsberg will go for the record! Just 5 more years!


What is the basis for the above babble? You yourself posted above that the Justices appointed by Trump, Obama, and Bush are all about early 50's, which about Kav's age. Is there something you know that most don't or are you just speculating??

Anarchistbear said:

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Dems need to keep Ginsburg's corpse propped up for two years.

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bearister said:

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Anarchistbear said:

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Dems need to keep Ginsburg's corpse propped up for two years.

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Hasn't her corpse already been propped up for five years? You guys are ghouls!

2020 Trump wins again and there won't be more than 2-3 vulnerable senate seats for the Republicans.They will net 4 seats in the next congress. Hello ACB.