Is there any indication either way whether Wilcox will renew Musgrave?

13,512 Views | 79 Replies | Last: 4 yr ago by GivemTheAxe
KoreAmBear
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My understanding is that Musgrave is under contract until 1/31/22.

Is there a normal cycle for assistant coach renewal decisions?

I remember Beau announced his head coaching job with Cal Poly a little before the Red Box Bowl. I suppose he needed to do that before decisions were made on their contracts.

calumnus
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KoreAmBear said:

My understanding is that Musgrave is under contract until 1/31/22.

Is there a normal cycle for assistant coach renewal decisions?

I remember Beau announced his head coaching job with Cal Poly a little before the Red Box Bowl. I suppose he needed to do that before decisions were made on their contracts.




I think Wilcox mentioned "Bill" in talking about next season.
Rushinbear
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calumnus said:

KoreAmBear said:

My understanding is that Musgrave is under contract until 1/31/22.

Is there a normal cycle for assistant coach renewal decisions?

I remember Beau announced his head coaching job with Cal Poly a little before the Red Box Bowl. I suppose he needed to do that before decisions were made on their contracts.




I think Wilcox mentioned "Bill" in talking about next season.
They seem to have a qb who is more in line with Musgrave's approach (maybe more than one). Only fair to give him time to see what he can do. Even at that, the O was moving the ball better as the season wore on.
calumnus
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Rushinbear said:

calumnus said:

KoreAmBear said:

My understanding is that Musgrave is under contract until 1/31/22.

Is there a normal cycle for assistant coach renewal decisions?

I remember Beau announced his head coaching job with Cal Poly a little before the Red Box Bowl. I suppose he needed to do that before decisions were made on their contracts.




I think Wilcox mentioned "Bill" in talking about next season.
They seem to have a qb who is more in line with Musgrave's approach (maybe more than one). Only fair to give him time to see what he can do. Even at that, the O was moving the ball better as the season wore on.


Big Game was great. Best offense we have seen under Wilcox.
CALiforniALUM
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I support Musgrave. May he Rest In Peace.
ducky23
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Play calling was fine. Offense can function efficiently as long as the Oline play is anywhere from average to good
KoreAmBear
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Rushinbear said:

calumnus said:

KoreAmBear said:

My understanding is that Musgrave is under contract until 1/31/22.

Is there a normal cycle for assistant coach renewal decisions?

I remember Beau announced his head coaching job with Cal Poly a little before the Red Box Bowl. I suppose he needed to do that before decisions were made on their contracts.




I think Wilcox mentioned "Bill" in talking about next season.
They seem to have a qb who is more in line with Musgrave's approach (maybe more than one). Only fair to give him time to see what he can do. Even at that, the O was moving the ball better as the season wore on.
Best game for the O against a decent team was Oregon State (and their D isn't that great). Furd was really a horrible team with a pathetic D. We didn't move the ball at all v. UCLA and not all that much against a USC team that gave up 60+ to UCLA.

If Wilcox doesn't move on this one, it would show me he's not adapting and I predict 5-7 to 7-5 seasons the remainder of this tenure. It would also show how stubborn he is. But let's see if he makes a change.
Rushinbear
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KoreAmBear said:

Rushinbear said:

calumnus said:

KoreAmBear said:

My understanding is that Musgrave is under contract until 1/31/22.

Is there a normal cycle for assistant coach renewal decisions?

I remember Beau announced his head coaching job with Cal Poly a little before the Red Box Bowl. I suppose he needed to do that before decisions were made on their contracts.




I think Wilcox mentioned "Bill" in talking about next season.
They seem to have a qb who is more in line with Musgrave's approach (maybe more than one). Only fair to give him time to see what he can do. Even at that, the O was moving the ball better as the season wore on.
Best game for the O against a decent team was Oregon State (and their D isn't that great). Furd was really a horrible team with a pathetic D. We didn't move the ball at all v. UCLA and not all that much against a USC team that gave up 60+ to UCLA.

If Wilcox doesn't move on this one, it would show me he's not adapting and I predict 5-7 to 7-5 seasons the remainder of this tenure. It would also show how stubborn he is. But let's see if he makes a change.
Look at the PU v MN 2020 game and then, immediately after, the Cal v OSU game and tell me how you think we'll do in 22.
BearForce2
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The play calling at the end of the Oregon and Washington games weren't so hot, throw in Nevada and TCU games as well. There were numerous times when pass plays were called when the run game was getting positive yardage. The Arizona game was a complete disaster, even with the backup QB. Screen plays were missing during the UCLA game when they blitzed on every play, there were no adjustments made. Option play calls seemed like Musgrave was running out of ideas. Trick plays only reserved for the Big Game? The offense still struggles to run a hurry up offense, especially at the end of halves. This is just a small list, I'd give Musgrave a grade of C-, we deserve better.
Cal Strong!
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Musgrave seems to be about as good at being at being a college OC as Wilcox is at being a HC. So they seem like a good match in terms of abilities.

But I would hope that our coach would want to hire a subordinate who is even better at his job than Wilcox is at his.
calumnus
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BearForce2 said:

The play calling at the end of the Oregon and Washington games weren't so hot, throw in Nevada and TCU games as well. There were numerous times when pass plays were called when the run game was getting positive yardage. The Arizona game was a complete disaster, even with the backup QB. Screen plays were missing during the UCLA game when they blitzed on every play, there were no adjustments made. Option play calls seemed like Musgrave was running out of ideas. Trick plays only reserved for the Big Game? The offense still struggles to run a hurry up offense, especially at the end of halves. This is just a small list, I'd give Musgrave a grade of C-, we deserve better.


Agreed. C- only looks good next to Baldwin's D. We need A or B scheming and playcalling if we want B results from B and C level recruiting.
Shoreline
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I'm with you. I wouldn't mind seeing a new OC and wonder if a little favoritism is in play here, since he's an Oregon alum too. He had a couple good games (OSU and Stanford). But scoring 3pts against the worst team in the Pac-12, even with players out due to Covid, is inexcusable.
calumnus
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Cal Strong! said:

Musgrave seems to be about as good at being at being a college OC as Wilcox is at being a HC. So they seem like a good match in terms of abilities.

But I would hope that our coach would want to hire a subordinate who is even better at his job than Wilcox is at his.


As the boss you should always hire trustworthy people who share your vision and are smarter/better than you, then listen to their advice and delegate.
kirklandblue
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ducky23 said:

Play calling was fine. Offense can function efficiently as long as the Oline play is anywhere from average to good

I can't be convinced that the O line is not the most important group on the field. Speed is great, skill positions, QB, pass rush, yes of course. But if you have speed, skill, size, and smarts, and depth on the O line you've got a lot of the other areas covered because you can control the game. Not to let Musgrave off the hook but should we not be directing some of this concern toward McLure, or those responsible for recruiting O line prospects? I recognize top recruits at this position are at a premium and the staff knows this and pursues it as best they can, but shouldn't we measure our concern with Musgrave with this in mind?
heartofthebear
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KoreAmBear said:

Rushinbear said:

calumnus said:

KoreAmBear said:

My understanding is that Musgrave is under contract until 1/31/22.

Is there a normal cycle for assistant coach renewal decisions?

I remember Beau announced his head coaching job with Cal Poly a little before the Red Box Bowl. I suppose he needed to do that before decisions were made on their contracts.




I think Wilcox mentioned "Bill" in talking about next season.
They seem to have a qb who is more in line with Musgrave's approach (maybe more than one). Only fair to give him time to see what he can do. Even at that, the O was moving the ball better as the season wore on.
Best game for the O against a decent team was Oregon State (and their D isn't that great). Furd was really a horrible team with a pathetic D. We didn't move the ball at all v. UCLA and not all that much against a USC team that gave up 60+ to UCLA.

If Wilcox doesn't move on this one, it would show me he's not adapting and I predict 5-7 to 7-5 seasons the remainder of this tenure. It would also show how stubborn he is. But let's see if he makes a change.
I get it, you really don't like Musgrave.
I don't get why.
I know you are not the only one though.
Points have been a little weak but yards have improved greatly.
Points are coming. Give him some time.
Wilcox has had 5.
Musgrave has had 2, maybe 1 without covid but not really.
Give him a chance.

I don't think Wilcox sees things the way you do.
He knows what Musgrave is dealing with.
I don't think you do.
calumnus
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heartofthebear said:

KoreAmBear said:

Rushinbear said:

calumnus said:

KoreAmBear said:

My understanding is that Musgrave is under contract until 1/31/22.

Is there a normal cycle for assistant coach renewal decisions?

I remember Beau announced his head coaching job with Cal Poly a little before the Red Box Bowl. I suppose he needed to do that before decisions were made on their contracts.




I think Wilcox mentioned "Bill" in talking about next season.
They seem to have a qb who is more in line with Musgrave's approach (maybe more than one). Only fair to give him time to see what he can do. Even at that, the O was moving the ball better as the season wore on.
Best game for the O against a decent team was Oregon State (and their D isn't that great). Furd was really a horrible team with a pathetic D. We didn't move the ball at all v. UCLA and not all that much against a USC team that gave up 60+ to UCLA.

If Wilcox doesn't move on this one, it would show me he's not adapting and I predict 5-7 to 7-5 seasons the remainder of this tenure. It would also show how stubborn he is. But let's see if he makes a change.
I get it, you really don't like Musgrave.
I don't get why.
I know you are not the only one though.
Points have been a little weak but yards have improved greatly.
Points are coming. Give him some time.
Wilcox has had 5.
Musgrave has had 2, maybe 1 without covid but not really.
Give him a chance.

I don't think Wilcox sees things the way you do.
He knows what Musgrave is dealing with.
I don't think you do.


I think anyone who has watched Garbers at all, even on tape, can see that he is not a pocket passer and can see that running for positive yardage when protection breaks down is one of his strengths. COVID shortened practices last year are not a good excuse to not know this basic fact about him. Moreover he should have known that this year, yet he didn't really give him the green light until we had list several games. Furthermore, Wilcox could have mentioned it, he's been here Garbers entire career and theoretically he is in charge of the offense too.
Sebastabear
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Musgrave will be back. We've recruited for his offense for a few years now. Think Wilcox is willing to give him a shot with a new QB.

Personally I thought sometimes Musgrave's play calling was great and resulted in some impressive gains and sometimes it was great and the players didn't execute. But sometimes it was terrible. I'll never get over how we refused to let Chase run in that Nevada game or how we seemed wholly unprepared at UCLA to scheme around a blitz happy defense (which honestly everyone who watched five seconds of UCLA tape or had even a passing familiarity with Azzinaro knew was coming). I also don't understand why we saw some of the most creative play calling at the end of the Stanford game when we were way ahead and some of the most boring and predictable play calling in games where we were desperate for any kind of offensive spark. See WSU. Should have been the opposite.

So a mixed bag with Musgrave, but Cal has devoted a lot in terms of recruiting and teaching players his schemes and we've seen flashes of how it could work and those have been impressive. And the players really like him. But even setting all that aside, Wilcox is clearly a super loyal guy and is loathe to "throw anyone under the bus" for things outside their (or any coach's) control, which he obviously feels happened to him at USC. The good part of this is JW's coaches return that loyalty, want to work for him and have on numerous occasions rejected offers with significant pay raises from other schools. I've lost track of how many times our competitors have come after Browning and Toler - and they are still here. But sometimes JW has stuck with coaches who are clearly in the wrong spot too long. See Beau Baldwin.

But that's Wilcox and that what we've signed up for. And no one will be more impacted by these results than Wilcox himself. He's willing to bet his fate on Musgrave and we're willing to bet on Wilcox. Hopefully all our bets pay off.
Rushinbear
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calumnus said:

heartofthebear said:

KoreAmBear said:

Rushinbear said:

calumnus said:

KoreAmBear said:

My understanding is that Musgrave is under contract until 1/31/22.

Is there a normal cycle for assistant coach renewal decisions?

I remember Beau announced his head coaching job with Cal Poly a little before the Red Box Bowl. I suppose he needed to do that before decisions were made on their contracts.




I think Wilcox mentioned "Bill" in talking about next season.
They seem to have a qb who is more in line with Musgrave's approach (maybe more than one). Only fair to give him time to see what he can do. Even at that, the O was moving the ball better as the season wore on.
Best game for the O against a decent team was Oregon State (and their D isn't that great). Furd was really a horrible team with a pathetic D. We didn't move the ball at all v. UCLA and not all that much against a USC team that gave up 60+ to UCLA.

If Wilcox doesn't move on this one, it would show me he's not adapting and I predict 5-7 to 7-5 seasons the remainder of this tenure. It would also show how stubborn he is. But let's see if he makes a change.
I get it, you really don't like Musgrave.
I don't get why.
I know you are not the only one though.
Points have been a little weak but yards have improved greatly.
Points are coming. Give him some time.
Wilcox has had 5.
Musgrave has had 2, maybe 1 without covid but not really.
Give him a chance.

I don't think Wilcox sees things the way you do.
He knows what Musgrave is dealing with.
I don't think you do.


I think anyone who has watched Garbers at all, even on tape, can see that he is not a pocket passer and can see that running for positive yardage when protection breaks down is one of his strengths. COVID shortened practices last year are not a good excuse to not know this basic fact about him. Moreover he should have known that this year, yet he didn't really give him the green light until we had list several games. Furthermore, Wilcox could have mentioned it, he's been here Garbers entire career and theoretically he is in charge of the offense too.
Garbers was like a gym rat in basketball. Runs all over the place, tireless, throwing up floaters from the lane, finding open guys when the d overlooks them, not a pure stroke or dead eye. Garberss threw off his front foot half the time, lobbed it, ran around and took off, made long receivers wait for the pass, but kept fighting the best he could and put everything into it. A typical Beau Baldwin protege.

We have to admire him. He was what he was and gave every bit of it.
heartofthebear
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Sebastabear said:

Musgrave will be back. We've recruited for his offense for a few years now. Think Wilcox is willing to give him a shot with a new QB.

Personally I thought sometimes Musgrave's play calling was great and resulted in some impressive gains and sometimes it was great and the players didn't execute. But sometimes it was terrible. I'll never get over how we refused to let Chase run in that Nevada game or how we seemed wholly unprepared at UCLA to scheme around a blitz happy defense (which honestly everyone who watched five seconds of UCLA tape or had even a passing familiarity with Azzinaro knew was coming). I also don't understand why we saw some of the most creative play calling at the end of the Stanford game when we were way ahead and some of the most boring and predictable play calling in games where we were desperate for any kind of offensive spark. See WSU. Should have been the opposite.

So a mixed bag with Musgrave, but Cal has devoted a lot in terms of recruiting and teaching players his schemes and we've seen flashes of how it could work and those have been impressive. And the players really like him. But even setting all that aside, Wilcox is clearly a super loyal guy and is loathe to "throw anyone under the bus" for things outside their (or any coach's) control, which he obviously feels happened to him at USC. The good part of this is JW's coaches return that loyalty, want to work for him and have on numerous occasions rejected offers with significant pay raises from other schools. I've lost track of how many times our competitors have come after Browning and Toler - and they are still here. But sometimes JW has stuck with coaches who are clearly in the wrong spot too long. See Beau Baldwin.

But that's Wilcox and that what we've signed up for. And no one will be more impacted by these results than Wilcox himself. He's willing to bet his fate on Musgrave and we're willing to bet on Wilcox. Hopefully all our bets pay off.
I have been defending Musgrave to a fault largely because of the extremely negative position some are taking. Your comments are more balanced and also more accurately reflect my views.
My clock is ticking on Musgrave but I feel like he did enough right to buy more time.
I think some of the criticisms you have were addressed and he improved over the course of the season. I disagree with you that the UCLA was about coaching because I don't think it's as easy to scheme around superior talent as you say it is. There were plenty of good play calls that could not be executed because Garbers was thrown off his game early and often.

You are very intelligent and I agree with your take on things a large majority of the time but forgive me if I assume that Musgrave knows more what he has to deal with against UCLA and simply didn't have the tools to do it.

Musgrave has a long tenure in coaching, to think that he simply wasn't prepared for UCLA despite the evidence is a kind of analysis I'm not willing to make.

I do agree that he should not have forced Garbers into a pocket passer, but it may have been part of what he needed to do to install his offense fully. After that happened, he did give Garbers more latitude.

However, Musgrave has to continue to improve. His offense needs to more often look like a combination of Nevada first half (ball control) and the Big Game (razzle dazzle) and less like the WSU and UCLA games. And the red zone problems need to go away.

Additionally Angus McClure needs to make more of his OL, but remember he is relatively new too. I think once these 2 have each had 5 years together along with Wilcox, I will have lost patience for many of the things folks complain about now.

The big difference for me is timing. Wilcox just made an unprecedented commitment to Cal. Folks here think a savant from a lower division could do more. Maybe so, but will they commit to Cal? NO. They will move on once they are successful. Troy Taylor would be the exception and I am all for hiring him at any time. But minus that, this is the wrong time for a coaching change and Cal may finally have the pieces in place long term to gain some momentum.

Having said that, do I expect Wilcox's record to improve next season, not really. So I'm sure that, for those whose only significant metric is winning %, the pitchforks will be raised and the torches burning once again next year. But by year's end, Cal will have surprised some teams. That is my expection.

New QB Plummer has 2 years. I don't know if he is the guy, but that is significant because I think 2023-2025 are the most promising years. Cal has to get another QB as well though, someone out of HS or maybe Millner becomes the guy, who knows. Millner has the highest composite rating of any Cal QB out of HS since Goff.
Sebastabear
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heartofthebear said:

Sebastabear said:

Musgrave will be back. We've recruited for his offense for a few years now. Think Wilcox is willing to give him a shot with a new QB.

Personally I thought sometimes Musgrave's play calling was great and resulted in some impressive gains and sometimes it was great and the players didn't execute. But sometimes it was terrible. I'll never get over how we refused to let Chase run in that Nevada game or how we seemed wholly unprepared at UCLA to scheme around a blitz happy defense (which honestly everyone who watched five seconds of UCLA tape or had even a passing familiarity with Azzinaro knew was coming). I also don't understand why we saw some of the most creative play calling at the end of the Stanford game when we were way ahead and some of the most boring and predictable play calling in games where we were desperate for any kind of offensive spark. See WSU. Should have been the opposite.

So a mixed bag with Musgrave, but Cal has devoted a lot in terms of recruiting and teaching players his schemes and we've seen flashes of how it could work and those have been impressive. And the players really like him. But even setting all that aside, Wilcox is clearly a super loyal guy and is loathe to "throw anyone under the bus" for things outside their (or any coach's) control, which he obviously feels happened to him at USC. The good part of this is JW's coaches return that loyalty, want to work for him and have on numerous occasions rejected offers with significant pay raises from other schools. I've lost track of how many times our competitors have come after Browning and Toler - and they are still here. But sometimes JW has stuck with coaches who are clearly in the wrong spot too long. See Beau Baldwin.

But that's Wilcox and that what we've signed up for. And no one will be more impacted by these results than Wilcox himself. He's willing to bet his fate on Musgrave and we're willing to bet on Wilcox. Hopefully all our bets pay off.
I have been defending Musgrave to a fault largely because of the extremely negative position some are taking. Your comments are more balanced and also more accurately reflect my views.
My clock is ticking on Musgrave but I feel like he did enough right to buy more time.
I think some of the criticisms you have were addressed and he improved over the course of the season. I disagree with you that the UCLA was about coaching because I don't think it's as easy to scheme around superior talent as you say it is. There were plenty of good play calls that could not be executed because Garbers was thrown off his game early and often.

You are very intelligent and I agree with your take on things a large majority of the time but forgive me if I assume that Musgrave knows more what he has to deal with against UCLA and simply didn't have the tools to do it.

Musgrave has a long tenure in coaching, to think that he simply wasn't prepared for UCLA despite the evidence is a kind of analysis I'm not willing to make.

I do agree that he should not have forced Garbers into a pocket passer, but it may have been part of what he needed to do to install his offense fully. After that happened, he did give Garbers more latitude.

However, Musgrave has to continue to improve. His offense needs to more often look like a combination of Nevada first half (ball control) and the Big Game (razzle dazzle) and less like the WSU and UCLA games. And the red zone problems need to go away.

Additionally Angus McClure needs to make more of his OL, but remember he is relatively new too. I think once these 2 have each had 5 years together along with Wilcox, I will have lost patience for many of the things folks complain about now.

The big difference for me is timing. Wilcox just made an unprecedented commitment to Cal. Folks here think a savant from a lower division could do more. Maybe so, but will they commit to Cal? NO. They will move on once they are successful. Troy Taylor would be the exception and I am all for hiring him at any time. But minus that, this is the wrong time for a coaching change and Cal may finally have the pieces in place long term to gain some momentum.

Having said that, do I expect Wilcox's record to improve next season, not really. So I'm sure that, for those whose only significant metric is winning %, the pitchforks will be raised and the torches burning once again next year. But by year's end, Cal will have surprised some teams. That is my expection.

New QB Plummer has 2 years. I don't know if he is the guy, but that is significant because I think 2023-2025 are the most promising years. Cal has to get another QB as well though, someone out of HS or maybe Millner becomes the guy, who knows. Millner has the highest composite rating of any Cal QB out of HS since Goff.
Agree with all that. Particularly with the part that Musgrave has probably forgotten more about running an offense than I'll ever know. And if someone could articulate a plausible rationale for why we largely avoided slants and screens for most of the UCLA game (the standard response to a blitzing defense) I'd be all ears. But it seemed like we didn't even try those until the last few series. But he clearly had some idea and I'm just not grasping it. I also do think there's an issue with how our o-line prepares for opponents and whether they do enough game prep vs drills but that's a different topic and largely revolves around Angus.

But yeah, Musgrave is coming back and I'm anxious to see what he can do here, but next year is clearly make or break.

As one amusing postscript, if you read the Stanford board during and after the Big Game there was an extensive discussion about Musgrave with a number of Stanford fans advocating firing Shaw and hiring Musgrave as their new head coach. They clearly were impressed with what they saw, but it also presents a good lesson on recency bias. Based exclusively on the Big Game or OSU I want Musgrave here forever. Based on WSU and Nevada and UCLA not as much. And yes of course I'm picking out games we won vs those we lost but I'm also thinking about play calling, I generally though Musgrave called good games against TCU (there were a few exceptions but I'm not expecting perfection) and even Oregon and not as good vs Sac State.

I just want to see some creativity, and most importantly adaptability when things are going poorly. Too often we stick with game plans that are clearly floundering. Would just like to see us take some shots at different schemes when we are losing as well as when we are winning. Fingers crossed.
WalterSobchak
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The crazy thing is this was probably a 7-5 or 8-4 team if all we did was fix ST before the season rather than during the first Bye. That cuts both ways for me on Wilcox: On one hand, how could he not see from 2020 that ST was a huge problem and properly address it in camp? I have no idea what they actually did to correct ST, but the dramatic in-season turnaround shows he/they obviously knew how to fix it. So why didn't they do it sooner? In the end this brings me to my biggest problem with Wilcox: IMO he lacks killer instinct and doesn't appreciate the value of every single game. He showed it right off the bat in 2017 with the ridiculous decision to go for 2 in OT against Arizona, and he showed it again this year with his "we're just here to compete" pregame quote, again against Arizona. I want a coach who says "we're here to WIN" and fights tooth and nail to the bitter end for every W and makes the other team claw it out of his cold dead hands, not one who is satisfied to just show up and compete. Too often he's willing to take a L and focus on the bigger picture. Problem is this leads the big picture to be a bad record at the end of the season. I'm hoping that with time Wilcox will become more aggressive in his game management approach. IMHO that will be what ultimately determines his fate.

I was extremely impressed with Wilcox and the entire organization with how they stuck together and prevented a total implosion after the terrible start. It was very apparent that they used the first Bye to erase the defensive depth chart and reopen competition at all positions. This led to much more solid play and got a bunch of really young guys tons of game experience. Some guys got demoted and some guys took the criticism and stepped up. Hicks was a very notable member of the latter group, which is a huge testament to his character, resiliency, and talent. He looked like a different guy back there after the shakeup and the D was far better because of it. This shakeup also left us with a very solid 4 man ILB rotation going into next year, which was a huge question mark (and weakness) early in the season and which I don't think we'd have now otherwise. So these are strong positives that I don't take lightly. In the end, it's probably what makes me lean towards continuing down the Wilcox path.

Garbers was a mixed bag. I was hoping he would return just for the experience in the Musgrave system and continuity he would provide. But I'm intrigued to see other QBs in that system and to see how quickly (a) solid veteran(s) can pick it up. If Musgrave's system takes several years of understudy for anyone to grasp/master then I don't see how he can ever be a viable solution because CFB is just way too fluid for that now, particularly at a place like Cal where the most experienced starters are entering the portal because they have no viable academic options remaining here. That said, Garbers has some tendencies that are significant liabilities and IMO cost Cal. In particular was the UW game which IMO we should have won easily. Way too often Garbers drops his eyes when things aren't perfect in the pocket and looks to either run or dump the ball short. The TV cameras are set so high at Husky Stadium that it's almost an All-22 on the broadcast, and you could see that we had receivers open regularly in mid and long range routes that Garbers just didn't see. We left tons of yards on the field because of this. I recommend people go back and rewatch this game with a focus on this aspect. He also doesn't excel in presnap reads and adjustments, including knowing which route(s) in his progression are likely to be "hot" based on where pressure is coming from and skipping to them if needed. This was most glaringly obvious against Ucla, and to a lesser extent WSU. Without being in the meetings and huddle it's hard to know how much was scheme and how much was Garbers in those, so I'll give him a bit of a pass and say both are to blame. This is not to even mention the improvements he needs to make in throwing guys open / hitting tight windows and throwing catchable long balls, which I consider to be more physical than mental.

I expect Cal to be better in 2022 than 2021. If they're not, we've got big problems. I'm realistic so I don't expect them to be much better, but even year schedule plus improved ST should lead to at least a couple/few more wins. If we don't at minimum improve from 1-2 OOC and beat Arizona at home we're in big trouble. No more excuses. Do what it takes to beat the teams you should beat. This year, as crazy as it is, just going 4-0 in those games would've put us at 8-4. Then you can get greedy and start thinking about games you could/should win with a more consistent offense.
Sebastabear
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To answer your ST question in terms of why we saw such a dramatic improvement, Charlie Ragle had a health incident mid way through the season (which I won't get more into) and Wilcox started "taking a more active role" in coaching special teams, which I think is a polite way of saying he became the special teams coach.

Now you could speculate things just "started clicking" for the players, but honestly the turnaround was too dramatic and too sudden to be a coincidence, at least in my opinion. You could also question the wisdom of having your head coach also coach special teams, but again that's a different topic.

As discussed, JW is a very loyal guy and I think everyone liked Ragle quite a bit. He did a fantastic job recruiting Arizona for us. But I think it was also obvious to everyone (probably including Charlie) that special teams wasn't his gift. Expect he'll do much better at Idaho State. Wish him the best,
calumnus
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Sebastabear said:

heartofthebear said:

Sebastabear said:

Musgrave will be back. We've recruited for his offense for a few years now. Think Wilcox is willing to give him a shot with a new QB.

Personally I thought sometimes Musgrave's play calling was great and resulted in some impressive gains and sometimes it was great and the players didn't execute. But sometimes it was terrible. I'll never get over how we refused to let Chase run in that Nevada game or how we seemed wholly unprepared at UCLA to scheme around a blitz happy defense (which honestly everyone who watched five seconds of UCLA tape or had even a passing familiarity with Azzinaro knew was coming). I also don't understand why we saw some of the most creative play calling at the end of the Stanford game when we were way ahead and some of the most boring and predictable play calling in games where we were desperate for any kind of offensive spark. See WSU. Should have been the opposite.

So a mixed bag with Musgrave, but Cal has devoted a lot in terms of recruiting and teaching players his schemes and we've seen flashes of how it could work and those have been impressive. And the players really like him. But even setting all that aside, Wilcox is clearly a super loyal guy and is loathe to "throw anyone under the bus" for things outside their (or any coach's) control, which he obviously feels happened to him at USC. The good part of this is JW's coaches return that loyalty, want to work for him and have on numerous occasions rejected offers with significant pay raises from other schools. I've lost track of how many times our competitors have come after Browning and Toler - and they are still here. But sometimes JW has stuck with coaches who are clearly in the wrong spot too long. See Beau Baldwin.

But that's Wilcox and that what we've signed up for. And no one will be more impacted by these results than Wilcox himself. He's willing to bet his fate on Musgrave and we're willing to bet on Wilcox. Hopefully all our bets pay off.
I have been defending Musgrave to a fault largely because of the extremely negative position some are taking. Your comments are more balanced and also more accurately reflect my views.
My clock is ticking on Musgrave but I feel like he did enough right to buy more time.
I think some of the criticisms you have were addressed and he improved over the course of the season. I disagree with you that the UCLA was about coaching because I don't think it's as easy to scheme around superior talent as you say it is. There were plenty of good play calls that could not be executed because Garbers was thrown off his game early and often.

You are very intelligent and I agree with your take on things a large majority of the time but forgive me if I assume that Musgrave knows more what he has to deal with against UCLA and simply didn't have the tools to do it.

Musgrave has a long tenure in coaching, to think that he simply wasn't prepared for UCLA despite the evidence is a kind of analysis I'm not willing to make.

I do agree that he should not have forced Garbers into a pocket passer, but it may have been part of what he needed to do to install his offense fully. After that happened, he did give Garbers more latitude.

However, Musgrave has to continue to improve. His offense needs to more often look like a combination of Nevada first half (ball control) and the Big Game (razzle dazzle) and less like the WSU and UCLA games. And the red zone problems need to go away.

Additionally Angus McClure needs to make more of his OL, but remember he is relatively new too. I think once these 2 have each had 5 years together along with Wilcox, I will have lost patience for many of the things folks complain about now.

The big difference for me is timing. Wilcox just made an unprecedented commitment to Cal. Folks here think a savant from a lower division could do more. Maybe so, but will they commit to Cal? NO. They will move on once they are successful. Troy Taylor would be the exception and I am all for hiring him at any time. But minus that, this is the wrong time for a coaching change and Cal may finally have the pieces in place long term to gain some momentum.

Having said that, do I expect Wilcox's record to improve next season, not really. So I'm sure that, for those whose only significant metric is winning %, the pitchforks will be raised and the torches burning once again next year. But by year's end, Cal will have surprised some teams. That is my expection.

New QB Plummer has 2 years. I don't know if he is the guy, but that is significant because I think 2023-2025 are the most promising years. Cal has to get another QB as well though, someone out of HS or maybe Millner becomes the guy, who knows. Millner has the highest composite rating of any Cal QB out of HS since Goff.
Agree with all that. Particularly with the part that Musgrave has probably forgotten more about running an offense than I'll ever know. And if someone could articulate a plausible rationale for why we largely avoided slants and screens for most of the UCLA game (the standard response to a blitzing defense) I'd be all ears. But it seemed like we didn't even try those until the last few series. But he clearly had some idea and I'm just not grasping it. I also do think there's an issue with how our o-line prepares for opponents and whether they do enough game prep vs drills but that's a different topic and largely revolves around Angus.

But yeah, Musgrave is coming back and I'm anxious to see what he can do here, but next year is clearly make or break.

As one amusing postscript, if you read the Stanford board during and after the Big Game there was an extensive discussion about Musgrave with a number of Stanford fans advocating firing Shaw and hiring Musgrave as their new head coach. They clearly were impressed with what they saw, but it also presents a good lesson on recency bias. Based exclusively on the Big Game or OSU I want Musgrave here forever. Based on WSU and Nevada and UCLA not as much. And yes of course I'm picking out games we won vs those we lost but I'm also thinking about play calling, I generally though Musgrave called good games against TCU (there were a few exceptions but I'm not expecting perfection) and even Oregon and not as good vs Sac State.

I just want to see some creativity, and most importantly adaptability when things are going poorly. Too often we stick with game plans that are clearly floundering. Would just like to see us take some shots at different schemes when we are losing as well as when we are winning. Fingers crossed.


I don't think "Musgrave has forgotten more than we will ever know" and "Musgrave is learning" are consistent. Musgrave is a technician, he has a lot of knowledge, yes, but he is very poor at applying that knowledge and adapting it to the players he has and the conditions he is facing. He is not creative either. If it took a year and a half to "install" the offense with Garbers, then transfer QBs like Plummer and any star freshman will only be using the vanilla playcalls part of the playbook? Adaptability is one of the most important qualities in a college coordinator. Adjustments need to be made in real time.

Baldwin ran spread with 4 or 5 WRs despite having little talent/depth at WR. I'm sure he killed FCS completion with guys like Cooper Kupp. Musgrave's scheme better fits the talent level and the recruiting on offense has definitely improved.

As you said, we have Wilcox and Musgrave for the foreseeable future so we can just hope for the best.
Big C
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Sebastabear said:

To answer your ST question in terms of why we saw such a dramatic improvement, Charlie Ragle had a health incident mid way through the season (which I won't get more into) and Wilcox started "taking a more active role" in coaching special teams, which I think is a polite way of saying he became the special teams coach.

Now you could speculate things just "started clicking" for the players, but honestly the turnaround was too dramatic and too sudden to be a coincidence, at least in my opinion. You could also question the wisdom of having your head coach also coach special teams, but again that's a different topic.

As discussed, JW is a very loyal guy and I think everyone liked Ragle quite a bit. He did a fantastic job recruiting Arizona for us. But I think it was also obvious to everyone (probably including Charlie) that special teams wasn't his gift. Expect he'll do much better at Idaho State. Wish him the best,

Quite a year for Justin Wilcox: The "lower body injury"... becoming the de facto ST coach... the COVID situation... the Oregon stuff. Wow. Like he didn't already have enough on his plate in a "normal" year.


As far as Ragle, let's hope he hires a good Special Teams coach, so he doesn't have to "take a more active role" himself at any point. Seriously, we wish him the best.
WalterSobchak
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Thanks for the insights. I hope Wilcox will learn from this experience how critically important ST is to overall success. He should not be coaching ST himself and he should not need to. I don't watch too much interview content but IIRC one thing I did hear him say is that he's still undecided on whether to hire a dedicated ST coach or another hybrid, I believe on the defensive side. While I think a dedicated ST coach is clearly the way to go, I don't know the candidates or their resumes so I can't really formulate an informed opinion. I will say that choosing a hybrid coupled with a regression in performance will be a huge red flag for me that Wilcox is not learning from past mistakes and progressing as a HC the way he needs to. The goal for ST IMO should be for it continue to improve and go from solid to strength. I also appreciate what Ragle did for us and wish him the best.
UrsineMaximus
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Sebastabear said:

To answer your ST question in terms of why we saw such a dramatic improvement, Charlie Ragle had a health incident mid way through the season (which I won't get more into) and Wilcox started "taking a more active role" in coaching special teams, which I think is a polite way of saying he became the special teams coach.

Now you could speculate things just "started clicking" for the players, but honestly the turnaround was too dramatic and too sudden to be a coincidence, at least in my opinion. You could also question the wisdom of having your head coach also coach special teams, but again that's a different topic.

As discussed, JW is a very loyal guy and I think everyone liked Ragle quite a bit. He did a fantastic job recruiting Arizona for us. But I think it was also obvious to everyone (probably including Charlie) that special teams wasn't his gift. Expect he'll do much better at Idaho State. Wish him the best,
One of the ST fixes, only because it is the most obvious, is that Cindric was the long snapper on FGs and XPs. Later in the year, Zellers got his form back and took over the role. Also, starters were on STs, e.g. Goode recovering the fumbled KO.
Nasal Mucus Goldenbear
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heartofthebear said:

Additionally Angus McClure needs to make more of his OL, but remember he is relatively new too. I think once these 2 have each had 5 years together along with Wilcox, I will have lost patience for many of the things folks complain about now.


That sounds a bit crazy to me. Give B-Mus & A-Mc 3 more years until the end of 2024 EVEN IF their charges and the playcalling show only modest improvement in '22 and again in '23? If so, should it not be 4 more years until the end of 2025 since 2020 the year of the Rona didn't really count.
UrsineMaximus
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WalterSobchak said:

Thanks for the insights. I hope Wilcox will learn from this experience how critically important ST is to overall success. He should not be coaching ST himself and he should not need to. I don't watch too much interview content but IIRC one thing I did hear him say is that he's still undecided on whether to hire a dedicated ST coach or another hybrid, I believe on the defensive side. While I think a dedicated ST coach is clearly the way to go, I don't know the candidates or their resumes so I can't really formulate an informed opinion. I will say that choosing a hybrid coupled with a regression in performance will be a huge red flag for me that Wilcox is not learning from past mistakes and progressing as a HC the way he needs to. The goal for ST IMO should be for it continue to improve and go from solid to strength. I also appreciate what Ragle did for us and wish him the best.

Agreed not hiring a STs coach would be a mistake. I have no affiliation with Virginia Tech but I watched them when I could only to see their STs play. Beamer made it as important a unit as it should be and won many games because of it.
72CalBear
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Our obvious drop off in experienced talent is going to truly show on offense next season. Garber's experience actually made our offense better than it might have been otherwise under any OC. His decision making knowing what he did about Musgrave's offense, along with the experience with the personnel available made some plays happen that maybe wouldn't have. Our offense doesn't need a re-start/renewal next season, rather another year to see what Musgrave can even do with so many more limitations.
calumnus
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Nasal Mucus Goldenbear said:

heartofthebear said:

Additionally Angus McClure needs to make more of his OL, but remember he is relatively new too. I think once these 2 have each had 5 years together along with Wilcox, I will have lost patience for many of the things folks complain about now.


That sounds a bit crazy to me. Give B-Mus & A-Mc 3 more years until the end of 2024 EVEN IF their charges and the playcalling show only modest improvement in '22 and again in '23? If so, should it not be 4 more years until the end of 2025 since 2020 the year of the Rona didn't really count.


It sounds like Wilcox can go at least through, 2023, year 7, finishing in the bottom half of the conference 7 years in a row without his seat getting warm and if we schedule enough cupcakes to finish 6-6 and go to the Jimmy Kimmel Bowl he may get a raise and another extension.
Nasal Mucus Goldenbear
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heartofthebear said:


I disagree with you that the UCLA was about coaching because I don't think it's as easy to scheme around superior talent as you say it is. There were plenty of good play calls that could not be executed because Garbers was thrown off his game early and often.

You are very intelligent and I agree with your take on things a large majority of the time but forgive me if I assume that Musgrave knows more what he has to deal with against UCLA and simply didn't have the tools to do it.

Musgrave has a long tenure in coaching, to think that he simply wasn't prepared for UCLA despite the evidence is a kind of analysis I'm not willing to make.
It is one thing to claim (correctly) that the brewins' Offense this year was super-talented, experienced, and a bit<h to contain. The same cannot be said about their defense.

Five teams scored over 30 pts on that defense. Three scored at least 40, including talent-middling Fresno State (middling at recruiting, impressive after development). BM's 14 pts on that allegedly talent-dominant defense were the second lowest scored in their 12-game season. The next 2 higher scorers vs the baby bluins were the talent-overflowing offenses of Arizona (16) and Colorado (20). The offenses of Washington and Leland Turd-Jr were unimpressive this year, yet both managed to score a more respectable 24 points on the mighty azzinaros.
Sebastabear
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Quote:

I don't think "Musgrave has forgotten more than we will ever know" and "Musgrave is learning" are consistent.
Well they are if you take as a starting premise that I know very little
heartofthebear
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Nasal Mucus Goldenbear said:

heartofthebear said:


I disagree with you that the UCLA was about coaching because I don't think it's as easy to scheme around superior talent as you say it is. There were plenty of good play calls that could not be executed because Garbers was thrown off his game early and often.

You are very intelligent and I agree with your take on things a large majority of the time but forgive me if I assume that Musgrave knows more what he has to deal with against UCLA and simply didn't have the tools to do it.

Musgrave has a long tenure in coaching, to think that he simply wasn't prepared for UCLA despite the evidence is a kind of analysis I'm not willing to make.
It is one thing to claim (correctly) that the brewins' Offense this year was super-talented, experienced, and a bit<h to contain. The same cannot be said about their defense.

Five teams scored over 30 pts on that defense. Three scored at least 40, including talent-middling Fresno State (middling at recruiting, impressive after development). BM's 14 pts on that allegedly talent-dominant defense were the second lowest scored in their 12-game season. The next 2 higher scorers vs the baby bluins were the talent-overflowing offenses of Arizona (16) and Colorado (20). The offenses of Washington and Leland Turd-Jr were unimpressive this year, yet both managed to score a more respectable 24 points on the mighty azzinaros.
Yeah, I overdid it there. It's funny how many of the Wilcox supports have disappeared on this thread. I'm working too hard by myself. It often leads to overstating my case. You are right, Cal should have been able to do more against UCLA. But, again, I didn't see bad play calling. I saw bad play execution. And the OL was miserable. I suppose McClure and Musgrave need to mesh better in prepping for games.
heartofthebear
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Nasal Mucus Goldenbear said:

heartofthebear said:

Additionally Angus McClure needs to make more of his OL, but remember he is relatively new too. I think once these 2 have each had 5 years together along with Wilcox, I will have lost patience for many of the things folks complain about now.


That sounds a bit crazy to me. Give B-Mus & A-Mc 3 more years until the end of 2024 EVEN IF their charges and the playcalling show only modest improvement in '22 and again in '23? If so, should it not be 4 more years until the end of 2025 since 2020 the year of the Rona didn't really count.
OOOkay.
Big C
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heartofthebear said:

Nasal Mucus Goldenbear said:

heartofthebear said:


I disagree with you that the UCLA was about coaching because I don't think it's as easy to scheme around superior talent as you say it is. There were plenty of good play calls that could not be executed because Garbers was thrown off his game early and often.

You are very intelligent and I agree with your take on things a large majority of the time but forgive me if I assume that Musgrave knows more what he has to deal with against UCLA and simply didn't have the tools to do it.

Musgrave has a long tenure in coaching, to think that he simply wasn't prepared for UCLA despite the evidence is a kind of analysis I'm not willing to make.
It is one thing to claim (correctly) that the brewins' Offense this year was super-talented, experienced, and a bit<h to contain. The same cannot be said about their defense.

Five teams scored over 30 pts on that defense. Three scored at least 40, including talent-middling Fresno State (middling at recruiting, impressive after development). BM's 14 pts on that allegedly talent-dominant defense were the second lowest scored in their 12-game season. The next 2 higher scorers vs the baby bluins were the talent-overflowing offenses of Arizona (16) and Colorado (20). The offenses of Washington and Leland Turd-Jr were unimpressive this year, yet both managed to score a more respectable 24 points on the mighty azzinaros.
Yeah, I overdid it there. It's funny how many of the Wilcox supports have disappeared on this thread. I'm working too hard by myself. It often leads to overstating my case. You are right, Cal should have been able to do more against UCLA. But, again, I didn't see bad play calling. I saw bad play execution. And the OL was miserable. I suppose McClure and Musgrave need to mesh better in prepping for games.

That the kool-aid drinkers' support is dwindling is not all that surprising: Studies have shown that the he-turned-down-Oregon-because-he-loves-Cal! aura begins to wear off after a period of days.


(To be clear, I think Wilcox can still succeed at Cal and that he is probably our best option at this point, all things considered. Rootin' for him.)
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