juarezbear said:
socaltownie said:
59bear said:
GMP said:
socaltownie said:
evanluck said:
What is identity of Cal Football and can this identity be truly competitive in the changing landscape of modern College Football?
I think most of us would agree that the goal identity of Cal Football and Cal Athletics in general is nurture true student athletes that experience success at the highest level as students and athletes.
It seems too dissonant to think that just because the trend in College football is more rapidly hurtling towards professionalism, that Cal Football will all of a sudden transform itself into a football factory ready to duke it out with the "Big Boys" who have decades of preparation, infrastructure, donors, and fan bases willing to cooperate in masquerading a semi-professional team as a group of student athletes.
Most of us in our own professional career can relate to this type of choice. Most industries, be it medicine, insurance, real estate, financial investment, engineering all began with a service-oriented broader mission. Many professionals get into those industries (some with significant investment in education and training) with the idea that they will make a difference serving others in the context of this broader mission only to find that the mechanics of the industry have totally shifted to profit over mission.
Most make the compromise and participate in the profit machine in the name of supporting their families and building their own personal prosperity. Some leave out of disgust. A few stay in the system and they figure out how to still serve the mission despite a structure that makes it difficult. Many of these people find, perhaps surprisingly, that they do not have to sacrifice personal well being to remain mission focused.
I think Cal Football can be have this type of identity. We can be who we want to be and still succeed at the highest level. All of our decisions should flow from the clarity of this identity and goal. Feels good to have the world shaking around you with changes and everyone shouting that your very existence is in jeopardy and you are standing in the security of knowing who you are and believing that you can accomplish what you set out to accomplish.
Go Bears!
I would put it a different way. The industry has changed. You could make a strong argument that in an era where football was largely played at 1 p.m. on a Saturday and TV revenues were largely an afterthought (if generated at all) there was value in fielding competive teams. Alumni parties provided an opportunity, nearly unique, for donor engagement and that mattered over the course of decades as Cal built up endowments and cultivated donations.
But in an era where TV wags the dog, the industry is fundamentally transformed. Alumni events can not be easily planned as the TV schedule often isn't finalized until 14 days away. The time is at the convenience of TV - not what works for engaging prospective donors. The game day experience is eroded as TV commercial time outs slow the game to a crawl. In-stadium revenue needs to be maximized. Etc. etc. etc.
I just can't make a BUSINESS argument for Cal being in this industry. I can make an emotional one. I can try to tie straws together to suggest that somehow the good will of seeing Cal on an ESPN broadcast at 10 a.m. on a Saturday translates into greater unrestricted donations but honestly I don't know if that is true and I would absolutely want the data on it. I get why every Chancellor makes happy sounds because why would you poke the bear and speak truth on this matter until you absolutely had to. But personally I think that this moment is a perfect one to step back and really ask whether the patient is worth saving and then ask why.
The business argument for Cal to field a football team is it makes a ton of money. If football wasn't forced to give all its profits to every other sports on campus (save men's basketball), football could invest in itself and in all likelihood be very successful.
Ah, the "I" word!
plus many. That is the model. It is a function of the NCAA, Title IX, probably the US Olympic Committee and several hundred ADs and others who participated in non-revenue olympic sports and have a fond place in their hearts for wrestingly or field hockey.
I REALLY want there to be a business case for Cal to be in the football game since really some of my most cheished memories are at CMS with my father from the age of 5. However, I just can't. When you look at higher education as a business and think of where Cal sits in that eco-system there just isn't a strong business case for fielding a strong 8 win plus team.
One way to think about this is to realize that a student housing system for 20,000 students at 15K a pop brings in 300million - far in excess of most Athletic Department Top lines. From a pure business line standpoint who would you hire - the guru that knows football coaches or the top notch person that knows how to keep student housing profitable and growing. The answer is clear absent the fact that the VC of Housing is only known by readers of the Chronical of Higher Ed and the AD gets covered by ESPN.
There are other schools that can. Schools in the East and Midwest are deseperate for out of state students to fight off a real problem of demographics. Many also are looking at how USNews uses % accepted and number of applications in its rating system and the incentives to juice the books by getting universal applications from kids that saw the Mustangs on their blue field on TV. Many communities in the SEC use football essentially as a visitors promotion tool - bringing thousands to fairly rural communities several weekends a year to stay in hotels, drink, shop, etc. Many of those schools are also playing the US news ranking game - why schools like Bama give GENEROUS packages to academically successful Californian kids.
One thing this crisis should allow us to do - if we get past our fandom - is to ask these really hard questions. We might not like the answer and we might not say them outloud. But I haven't seen a solid argument for why a very selective research focused institution wtih a relatively strong development/fundraising history like Cal NEEDS football. It definately is a nice to have but given the increasing costs (and compromises) to succeed in football I just don't see the business case.
Thanks for the well written, clear response. My response to you would be that we should get both a great student housing guru and a great AD. I honestly don't think Cal has a choice at the moment because there's no clear answer as to who assumes the CMS debt should we tank football. In essence, that decision was made 10 years ago when the decision to retrofit the stadium was made and the financial plan approved. I'm hoping against hope that the UW President and GK can negotiate a better deal with ESPN to raise the Pac 10 rates to a level where the Cal Admin can kick in some money and get us competitive again on the field. If so, the gate should increase along with merch sales, etc...basically, the momentum swings the other way and the entire boat stays afloat.
Except (and this gets tricky) Cal DOESN"T have the debt - the UC Regents do. That is who is on the hook for making bond payments.
THen the question is how OOP handles that. THe tricky part is that CMS is just one of NUMEROUS bond issuances by the system of a variety of different flavors.
1) Cal simply says "nope. We can't pay it given the $$ we are going to get from the denuded Pac10. You know who has money, OOP? UCLA. Ask them."
2) Since OOP has the debt but not the revenue Less Capital gets expended throughout the system. Cal MIGHT suffer some but the university is sorta past the era of massive infrastructure spends that are NOT 100% donor funded. WHo frankly gets screwed is campuses like Merced who need OOP $$ to grow and where there is strong pressure TO grow. Also Riverside, Davis and possibly a few others. There could be some demands from OOP for additional transfers from the university - likely resulting in some squeezing on the administrative staff side and Grant overhead.
2.5) Definately non revenue sports get wacked. No way the Chancellor is getting away with massive debt transfers to Oakland AND spending discretionary funds on field hockey. But the university as an institution of higher ed doesn't really suffer.
3) OOP again looks at that B1G windfall.
I get that the CMS debt is a great trump card to play but it it is not as clear cut as it seems since Cal is part of a SYSTEM where campuses have a ton of autonomy but also are financially very intertwinned.
PS. To really understand this would require far more knowledge than I have on how 1) any campus-OOP agreements on the CMS debt were worded. 2) Precedence for this kind of chicken between a campus and the OOP.
Take care of your Chicken