Canzano in 2022 Pac-12 had a deal in place...

10,354 Views | 78 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by ducktilldeath
MinotStateBeav
How long do you want to ignore this user?




Tolkien probably has a great line for the entire saga that is the Pac-12 for the last 20 years.
ColoradoBear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
@#$#$'&
okaydo
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Maybe don't hire your buddy.

I wonder how much his buddy made.


https://bearinsider.com/forums/2/topics/115646/replies/2197255
MinotStateBeav
How long do you want to ignore this user?
I wonder who sold these idiots on the idea of 50 mil / year when even back then it was obvious that Disney et al were going to be slashing their budgets like crazy.
BigDaddy
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Incredible.
“My tastes are simple; I am easily satisfied with the best.” - Winston Churchill
MrGPAC
How long do you want to ignore this user?
So less than the big12, 100% with ESPN, and how long a GOR?
CAL4LIFE
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Interesting article by Canzano but a year too late don't you think.

Between he and Wilner they both consistently carried the PR media water for the conference even after SC and UCLA bolted. A real scribe would have been hypervigilant wanting to dig for all the factoids surrounding that topic and the P12's ongoing media rights saga.

I have no doubt that the assertions in his story are correct. It's what happens when you have academics, lacking common sense and business savvy, making decisions w/o any decision tree analysis or thoughtful queries.

Not to mention the poor stewardship and oversight of their last two commissioners.

So why now?

The P12's demise seems rather intentional at this point.



ColoradoBear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
okaydo said:

Maybe don't hire your buddy.

I wonder how much his buddy made.



https://bearinsider.com/forums/2/topics/115646/replies/2197255


Ugh. Depressing.

Do these ass hats get paid a buyout if the conference folds?

Never stop finding the juicy info!
okaydo
How long do you want to ignore this user?
okaydo said:

Maybe don't hire your buddy.

I wonder how much his buddy made.


https://bearinsider.com/forums/2/topics/115646/replies/2197255

For those who didn't click on the link, here's the gist: Yormark hired the "big guns" WME and IMG, who told him to get a deal done ASAP.

Kliavkoff, meanwhile, hired his law school buddy's boutique sports media advisory firm, who apparently gave him bad advice.
Hawaii Haas
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Remember the saying "no one ever went broke taking a profit"

It's easier to leave money on the table in a deal as a private individual. I followed this advice, and never looked back.

These conferences, the media will bring up the money disparity all the time, so it's harder to stay objective.

Unfortunately the tide went out.
oski003
How long do you want to ignore this user?
That's a low-ball offer.
MinotStateBeav
How long do you want to ignore this user?
No it wasn't...remember..this was a conference without USC and UCLA.
CAL4LIFE
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Also, a 50M counter to a 30M offer after losing the LA market schools?



DoubtfulBear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
CAL4LIFE said:

Also, a 50M counter to a 30M offer after losing the LA market schools?




If the old timers on this board were in the room, I have no doubt they would share GK and the university presidents' delusions on the value of the PAC10
BearSD
How long do you want to ignore this user?
oski003 said:

That's a low-ball offer.


Yes. The schools that ended up in the Big Ten and Big 12 got more.

ESPN made a lowball offer, then said adios, then ESPN and Fox used the Big Ten and Big 12 to burn the Pac to the ground. For the last step, Fox gave the Big Ten enough money to get UO and UW to blow up an Apple deal that both were ready to accept.
MinotStateBeav
How long do you want to ignore this user?
BearSD said:

oski003 said:

That's a low-ball offer.


Yes. The schools that ended up in the Big Ten and Big 12 got more.

ESPN made a lowball offer, then said adios, then ESPN and Fox used the Big Ten and Big 12 to burn the Pac to the ground. For the last step, Fox gave the Big Ten enough money to get UO and UW to blow up an Apple deal that both were ready to accept.
That apple deal was worse than the 30m a year from espn. It required the pac10 to have more subs than Major League Baseball to earn a higher tier otherwise it was in the low 20s. (someone can fact check me on that but that's from my memory on the apple deal)
BearSD
How long do you want to ignore this user?
MinotStateBeav said:

BearSD said:

oski003 said:

That's a low-ball offer.


Yes. The schools that ended up in the Big Ten and Big 12 got more.

ESPN made a lowball offer, then said adios, then ESPN and Fox used the Big Ten and Big 12 to burn the Pac to the ground. For the last step, Fox gave the Big Ten enough money to get UO and UW to blow up an Apple deal that both were ready to accept.
That apple deal was worse than the 30m a year from espn. It required the pac10 to have more subs than Major League Baseball to earn a higher tier otherwise it was in the low 20s. (someone can fact check me on that but that's from my memory on the apple deal)


The point is that UO and UW were going to say yes to the Apple deal right up until Fox gave the Big Ten new money.
sosheezy
How long do you want to ignore this user?
BearSD said:

oski003 said:

That's a low-ball offer.


Yes. The schools that ended up in the Big Ten and Big 12 got more.

ESPN made a lowball offer, then said adios, then ESPN and Fox used the Big Ten and Big 12 to burn the Pac to the ground. For the last step, Fox gave the Big Ten enough money to get UO and UW to blow up an Apple deal that both were ready to accept.
Yes it seems crazy a year later after everything has played out, but at the time, the Big Ten schools just got $62.5M/yr deals. ESPN absolutely gives a seeming quite low offer at $30M (this is before the Big12 resets the floor at $31.7M) less than 50% of what they'll be paying Minnesota, Purdue, Indiana, Illinois, Northwestern, etc. Pac 12 counters with a big ask, but I think with the assumption, ESPN will end up splitting the difference at landing at $40-45M. ESPN walking away rather right then is odd rather. Big 12 then slides in to take the ESPN offer basically and resets the market for Non Big Ten/SEC conferences.

What Kliavkoff and media advisors didn't get is the limited number of linear TV time slots and the limitations of being on the West Coast. Either the PAC needed to move East more to get into different time zones via expansion, or needed to move quick to grab ESPN/Fox/CBS/NBC air times. Big 12 understood that.
mbBear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
MinotStateBeav said:





Tolkien probably has a great line for the entire saga that is the Pac-12 for the last 20 years.

But would that have prevented SC and UCLA from leaving?
I'm a minority opinion probably, but I think the conference became mediocre once they left..
berserkeley
How long do you want to ignore this user?
sosheezy said:

BearSD said:

oski003 said:

That's a low-ball offer.


Yes. The schools that ended up in the Big Ten and Big 12 got more.

ESPN made a lowball offer, then said adios, then ESPN and Fox used the Big Ten and Big 12 to burn the Pac to the ground. For the last step, Fox gave the Big Ten enough money to get UO and UW to blow up an Apple deal that both were ready to accept.
Yes it seems crazy a year later after everything has played out, but at the time, the Big Ten schools just got $62.5M/yr deals. ESPN absolutely gives a seeming quite low offer at $30M (this is before the Big12 resets the floor at $31.7M) less than 50% of what they'll be paying Minnesota, Purdue, Indiana, Illinois, Northwestern, etc. Pac 12 counters with a big ask, but I think with the assumption, ESPN will end up splitting the difference at landing at $40-45M. ESPN walking away rather right then is odd rather. Big 12 then slides in to take the ESPN offer basically and resets the market for Non Big Ten/SEC conferences.

What Kliavkoff and media advisors didn't get is the limited number of linear TV time slots and the limitations of being on the West Coast. Either the PAC needed to move East more to get into different time zones via expansion, or needed to move quick to grab ESPN/Fox/CBS/NBC air times. Big 12 understood that.


Exactly. It looks good in retrospect. At the time, it was a low ball offer. But, the Big XII unexpectedly jumped the line, took the offer because they read the market and understood that no one else had any offers to make.
ColoradoBear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
mbBear said:

MinotStateBeav said:





Tolkien probably has a great line for the entire saga that is the Pac-12 for the last 20 years.

But would that have prevented SC and UCLA from leaving?
I'm a minority opinion probably, but I think the conference became mediocre once they left..


Fall 2022 was after they left, or I guess announced they would leave.

GK seemed to have thought the Regents could block UCLA, but the waiting until that December decision killed the p12 IMO. Media companies started tightening their belts while GK waited.

P12 was probably worth $40-45 mil per school with SC/UCLA (maybe even that $50 mil), so $30 million w/o LA isn't a terrible offer, depending on terms (# of night games, # of weekday games). GK needed a viable steaming offer on the table last fall to use to push ESPN, or just take the ESPN deal. 50 million w/o USC is insane.

ESPN now gets 4 former Pac 12 teams who can play in the 8pm MT slot for a total of $80 million, not $300 million for the whole p12 conference.
philly1121
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Looks like Cal, Stanford, WSU and OSU have hired a consultant.

https://www.johncanzano.com/p/canzano-could-oliver-luck-help-save
BearSD
How long do you want to ignore this user?
sosheezy said:

BearSD said:

oski003 said:

That's a low-ball offer.


Yes. The schools that ended up in the Big Ten and Big 12 got more.

ESPN made a lowball offer, then said adios, then ESPN and Fox used the Big Ten and Big 12 to burn the Pac to the ground. For the last step, Fox gave the Big Ten enough money to get UO and UW to blow up an Apple deal that both were ready to accept.
Yes it seems crazy a year later after everything has played out, but at the time, the Big Ten schools just got $62.5M/yr deals. ESPN absolutely gives a seeming quite low offer at $30M (this is before the Big12 resets the floor at $31.7M) less than 50% of what they'll be paying Minnesota, Purdue, Indiana, Illinois, Northwestern, etc. Pac 12 counters with a big ask, but I think with the assumption, ESPN will end up splitting the difference at landing at $40-45M. ESPN walking away rather right then is odd rather. Big 12 then slides in to take the ESPN offer basically and resets the market for Non Big Ten/SEC conferences.

What Kliavkoff and media advisors didn't get is the limited number of linear TV time slots and the limitations of being on the West Coast. Either the PAC needed to move East more to get into different time zones via expansion, or needed to move quick to grab ESPN/Fox/CBS/NBC air times. Big 12 understood that.
"What Kliavkoff and media advisors didn't get" ... is everything.

It seems that the Pac not only let Larry Scott stay on several years too long, but then topped it off by replacing him with someone even worse. Kliavkoff appears to be a faker who bluffed his way into a job he had no hope of doing competently.

Hiring incompetent commissioners and giving them too long a leash turned out to be fatal.


Bobodeluxe
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Everyone here claimed that the PACx was worth more than the B12 at that time. I blame Buh.
kal kommie
How long do you want to ignore this user?
philly1121 said:

Looks like Cal, Stanford, WSU and OSU have hired a consultant.

https://www.johncanzano.com/p/canzano-could-oliver-luck-help-save
So Kliavkoff suicidally overplayed our hand even after losing our two biggest programs and that apparently caused the final destruction of the Pac. I just don't understand how any CEO could have rejected $30 million from ESPN last summer and then wind up with only a streaming deal for less money. Kliavkoff must have known how scanty our remaining options would be after he rejected ESPN. The incompetence is staggering.
philly1121
How long do you want to ignore this user?
I think what we're seeing is ESPN saying "eff you" to the P12 for rejecting their offer. Now, we tried to come back to them hat in hand and they aren't even talking to us.

It seems like this ACC pipe dream isn't going to happen and the B1G doesn't appear to want us. So with all that cash we have, perhaps we pay the exit fees for SDSU and SMU and try and retool the conference.
movielover
How long do you want to ignore this user?
philly1121 said:

Looks like Cal, Stanford, WSU and OSU have hired a consultant.

https://www.johncanzano.com/p/canzano-could-oliver-luck-help-save


Desperation?
Northside91
How long do you want to ignore this user?
CAL4LIFE said:

Interesting article by Canzano but a year too late don't you think.

Between he and Wilner they both consistently carried the PR media water for the conference even after SC and UCLA bolted. A real scribe would have been hypervigilant wanting to dig for all the factoids surrounding that topic and the P12's ongoing media rights saga.

I have no doubt that the assertions in his story are correct. It's what happens when you have academics, lacking common sense and business savvy, making decisions w/o any decision tree analysis or thoughtful queries.

Not to mention the poor stewardship and oversight of their last two commissioners.

So why now?

The P12's demise seems rather intentional at this point.





Nailed it.
Northside91
How long do you want to ignore this user?
movielover said:

philly1121 said:

Looks like Cal, Stanford, WSU and OSU have hired a consultant.

https://www.johncanzano.com/p/canzano-could-oliver-luck-help-save


Desperation?

Try tragicomedy.
okaydo
How long do you want to ignore this user?
okaydo
How long do you want to ignore this user?
philly1121 said:

I think what we're seeing is ESPN saying "eff you" to the P12 for rejecting their offer. Now, we tried to come back to them hat in hand and they aren't even talking to us.

It seems like this ACC pipe dream isn't going to happen and the B1G doesn't appear to want us. So with all that cash we have, perhaps we pay the exit fees for SDSU and SMU and try and retool the conference.


ESPN of today isn't even the ESPN of a few months ago.

This is from Daily Cal alum Matt Belloni, former editor of The Hollywood Reporter.


ColoradoBear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Empty Suit George.
LongTimeBearFan
How long do you want to ignore this user?
philly1121 said:

Looks like Cal, Stanford, WSU and OSU have hired a consultant.

https://www.johncanzano.com/p/canzano-could-oliver-luck-help-save
Now we know where Andrew gets his horse face from.
DoubtfulBear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
kal kommie said:

philly1121 said:

Looks like Cal, Stanford, WSU and OSU have hired a consultant.

https://www.johncanzano.com/p/canzano-could-oliver-luck-help-save
So Kliavkoff suicidally overplayed our hand even after losing our two biggest programs and that apparently caused the final destruction of the Pac. I just don't understand how any CEO could have rejected $30 million from ESPN last summer and then wind up with only a streaming deal for less money. Kliavkoff must have known how scanty our remaining options would be after he rejected ESPN. The incompetence is staggering.
Kliavkoff is just the scapegoat, you think he made the decision unilaterally without consulting university presidents? UO and UW probably said no because they were still angling to get into the B1G. Then you have schools like us with pie in the sky dreams about "market potential" and declined because we thought the fair market value is closer to $50M
kal kommie
How long do you want to ignore this user?
DoubtfulBear said:

kal kommie said:

philly1121 said:

Looks like Cal, Stanford, WSU and OSU have hired a consultant.

https://www.johncanzano.com/p/canzano-could-oliver-luck-help-save
So Kliavkoff suicidally overplayed our hand even after losing our two biggest programs and that apparently caused the final destruction of the Pac. I just don't understand how any CEO could have rejected $30 million from ESPN last summer and then wind up with only a streaming deal for less money. Kliavkoff must have known how scanty our remaining options would be after he rejected ESPN. The incompetence is staggering.
Kliavkoff is just the scapegoat, you think he made the decision unilaterally without consulting university presidents? UO and UW probably said no because they were still angling to get into the B1G. Then you have schools like us with pie in the sky dreams about "market potential" and declined because we thought the fair market value is closer to $50M
If there was internal dissension about the ESPN offer I would be surprised we didn't hear about it. If, for instance, Kliavkoff and the majority of the remaining 10 wanted to accept the deal but were dissuaded by strong stands from UW and UO, I would think that would leak in the media.

I agree that Kliavkoff is likely to take even more blame than he deserves because we don't have enough visibility on the incompetent decisions of the individual program CEOs but I still think he deserves a huge amount of blame.
Last Page
Page 1 of 3
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.