BearSD said:
Cal88 said:
Good game tonight, superb special teams, improvements elsewhere, 8 wins including a marquee road win at a top 15 SMU is very much a possibility. Holiday Bowl?
What the bowls agreed to with ex-Pac teams is to select in order of overall record except that a bowl can skip a team with the best record among not-yet-selected teams to take a team that had one fewer win. One very possible scenario: If Cal is 7-5 and USC is 6-6, a bowl could choose either one over the other.
Oregon is likely in the playoff, so Alamo gets first choice of everyone else. They'll take Colorado if they can, but if Wazzu has at least 2 more wins than CU, they'll have to take Wazzu. Vegas is probably getting whichever of those two Alamo doesn't get.
Among the other teams, the only edge for having 8 wins is that a bowl can't pick a 6-win team over you. With that restriction, and just projecting final records, Holiday, Sun, LA, and Independence bowls will likely get to choose who they want among Cal, UW, OSU, and the winner of USC-UCLA.
Yeah…with all respect…not sure about your bowl math.
Alamo most likely goes with WSU even if CU gets to 10 wins cause Alamo is pac12 v big 12.
Holiday then takes CU (would take WSU if somehow Alamo does take CU)
Then it's down to Vegas, Sun and LA between (ASU, Cal, UW, SC). Either UW or SC would basically be eliminated if either loses to UCLA or if SC loses to either UCLA or Nebraska. This is why we really needed SC to beat UW could it would have eliminated them from bowl contention
For cal purposes, vegas is possible if they get to 7-8 wins and ASU falters.
Sun is unlikely cause it's ACC v ACC
LA is most likely, assuming either SC or UW is not bowl eligible OR LA takes cal over SC or UW
We all need to root for SC or UW to lose to UCLA/nebraska. This would virtually guarantee at worst an LA bowl trip even at 6 wins.