Here's Wilcox's regular season OOC record:

2017: 3-0
2018: 3-0
2019: 3-0
2021: 1-2
2022: 2-1
2023: 2-1
2024: 4-0
2025: 3-1

= 21-5

= 81%


Wilcox is 23-43 in conference games

= 35%.


The OOC schedule accounts for 80% of the perception of Wilcox.

(Why 80%? Because the OOC sets the perception of the season. And doing well in the OOC means that the perception will be great nearly every year after a long offseason hiatus.)

The conference schedule accounts for 20% of the perception of Wilcox.

(Why 20%? Well, if you lose 2 out of every 3 conference games and are kept around each year, that means the conference games aren't important in shaping the perception of Wilcox.)


.81 x 80 = 64.8

.35 x 20 = 7


64.8 + 7 = 71.8.

71.8 is a C-.

C- is not a D. It's not an F.

C- is passing.

C- is hope.

Hope that Wilcox can turn it around the next year.

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Wait, so what does this have to do with tonight?

Well, Wilcox is now 2-6 in the 4th game of the season during 12-game regular seasons.

And if you think Cal will bounce back next week, Wilcox is 1-6 in the 5th game of the season.

And if you think Cal will bounce back the week after that, Wilcox is 0-7 in the 6th game of the season.

Wilcox is 20-4 (83%) in Games 1 through 3 of the season (excluding the COVID year).

He is 3-19 (14%) in Games 4-6 of the season (excluding the COVID year and excluding Games 5 and 6 of this year, obviously).

OK, Justin Wilcox's entire record based on ....

Game 1: 7-2
Game 2: 6-3
Game 3: 7-2
Game 4: 3-6
Game 5: 1-6
Game 6: 0-7
Game 7: 3-4
Game 8: 4-3
Game 9: 2-5
Game 10: 5-2
Game 11: 5-2
Game 12: 3-4

Wilcox is the equivalent of someone who's great at small talk, but terrible at moving on to more meaningful and emotional subjects.

75bear said:

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Wilcox is the equivalent of someone who's great at small talk, but terrible at moving on to more meaningful and emotional subjects.

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Is he great at anything? I suppose starting 3-0 but that's about it

75bear said:

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Wilcox is the equivalent of someone who's great at small talk, but terrible at moving on to more meaningful and emotional subjects.

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He's a frat guy?

All OOC W-L stats should have the FCS buy games excluded. Unless a team loses!

Taking 8 FCs wins away from Wilcox's record is certainly more representative of his performance as substantially below .500 coach.