Cal88 said:
Mendoza would have gone early in the draft at the very least had he stayed at Cal, in the top 3 QBs and perhaps even ahead of Miami's Carson Beck. Although I think JKS has a higher ceiling than Mendoza, FM as a third year starter would have had a somewhat better season at Cal than true frosh JKS, we would have finished around 9-4, possibly 10-3, instead of 7-6, tied for 2nd in the ACC and he would have garnered enough national exposure to cement a decent draft position.
I think you overestimate the talent we surrounded Sagapolutele with last year. We had the #135 rushing offense, the second worst rushing attack in the entire country. Indiana had the #12 rushing offense.
WR drops were the worst I've ever seen. That from slow WRs too. DeJesus was the one bright spot, but I don't think Mendoza would have found him and fitted throws into tight windows any better than JKS did.
Bottom line is Mendoza played in the #3 scoring offense while Cal had the #86 scoring offense. Mendoza would not have improved it appreciably. QB was our strength.
The year before with Mendoza and a lot more talent surrounding him at RB, WR and TE we had the #90 scoring offense. That year Fernando was #10 in completion percentage, but #29 in passing yards, #35 in passing rating, #40 in yards per attempt, #67 in passing TDs, and #91 in TD percentage.
If Mendoza played for us last year, given the lack of talent we would have surrounded him with, I am pretty certain he would not have left early and would still be playing college football his senior year, either for Cal or with a new team as he did last year.
I similarly think you overestimate the wins we would have had last year with Mendoza given the other issues, but if we had won a game or two more, we are likely still saddled with Wilcox and we would not be seeing the infusion of talent we are seeing with Tosh. So it worked out best for everyone that he left.