510Bear;558167 said:

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Well? After what we saw today (lots of mistakes but also lots of potential), anyone want to make a prediction for next week in Boulder?

CU is in action right now vs. Hawaii on ESPN2 BTW.....

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Thought I'd drop a quick post in this thread and invite all of you to come over and make a prediction in our Pick'em thread. As part of Colorado's move the the Pac, we are running a prediction contest with all of the other forums in the Pac.

You and your members are welcome to vote during on any game involving Pac-12 opponents. The person who gets the right score, or closest without going over will win a $30 Amazon gift card.

Allbuffs.com Predict the Score Contest

I'll warn you all now there are some predictions on here that predate the Hawaii game, the injury to our starting left tackle and "The Marshall" effect, so please take CU 45 - Cal 9 with a grain of salt.

twister;559683 said:

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so please take CU 45 - Cal 9 with a grain of salt.

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Haha. Awesome. I predict . . . a long Saturday for Colorado fans.

Cal by 20+

elpbear;558830 said:

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CU was 5-2 at home last year:

W CSU 24-3
W Hawaii 31-13
W UGA 29-27
L Baylor 24-31
L TTU 24-27
W ISU 34-14
W KSU 44-36

In the parlance of Tedford, CU was 10 points from being a perfect 7-0 at home last year.

I'll be happy with a win.

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To better see the "Folsom effect" I did the same, and even went back a few more years to see how often the Buffs got beat fairly soundly at home. Let's call this by 10 or more points...

lost by 19 to Mizzou in 2009

lost by 24 to #5 TX in 2008

lost by 13 to #11 Okie St in 2008

lost by 10 to FSU in 2007

lost by 45 to #19 Mizzou 2007

The worst beatings, were for the most part by ranked teams. I know we all feel that we might have a decent to very good team, ultimately, but as of now we are not ranked an no where near it. Excluding the 45 outlier whooping by Mizzou four years ago, the average of these worst home losses is approaching 17 points.

For those expecting to see a 3, 4 or 5 TD victory, let's just say that is very optimistic, for our unranked and unproven squad. That is the objective side of me. The respectful side too...

Between watching the Buffs last year at CMS and last week against Hawaii, I see little that concerns me, on either side of the ball. It's not the kind of stuff that is easily correctable, unlike the shortcomings we saw with our Bears in a rather easy win. If we can clean those things up, and I expect that to happen, I see a comfortable win, by 14 to 21 points.

If not, a close game, to maybe a 10 point win.

Note, if we were playing the likes of the Ducks at elevation, that changes everything. Elevation is a factor here. We need to sub and if the pace does not allow for it, at 5,400 feet, game over.

The Bears are going to have a great day in Boulder.
Altitude won't be a factor.
Vegas says CU+4
Bears win by 16.5

510Bear;558167 said:

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Well? After what we saw today (lots of mistakes but also lots of potential), anyone want to make a prediction for next week in Boulder?

CU is in action right now vs. Hawaii on ESPN2 BTW.....

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31-17, CU scores a meaningless late TD against our 2nd and 3rd team D.

While I would have liked to see AB get in vs FSU, I think getting so many defensive guys game reps will payoff down the road. It also gave the 1st team D a second chance to practice their 'goal to go' D. Another valuable experience for future games this season.

Not sure if we score 31 the traditional way or the hard way by only going 3-5 on extra points

The altitude might not be a factor with the results, win or lose per se, but it will be factor. With the incredible exertion that football requires, at that elevation, it will be felt. An 80 yard pick for TD will have the player sucking for air, more so than at sea level. A 6 minute drive will have lineman gasping and taking deeper breaths, and hands on hips that much sooner... To maintain a desired freshness level, subbing will need to be more often.

I think we win, but it will be close. CU is a different team at home and Hawaii's defense is pretty good, which also helped CU look bad... Also, HI is a very hard place to play, especially when you are from the mountains and then go deal with the humidity, heat and Aloha of Hawaii. I think our D is better/different from Hawaii, but note that having spent the last 3 weeks in Honolulu, they were pretty stoked on their defense and were proven right in their first game.

I think we'll win, but it will be within 10 points and we'll have a few moments of heartburn in the final quarter.

Many of these posts remind me of Nevada last year after we blew out CU and we absolutely laid an egg on the road.

We win, they lose!

One note besides the altitude at Folsom even Dan Hawkins had a winning record. Of the roughly 17 of the 19 games that DII Danny won were at home. Under Hawk we were 17-15 at home and 2-24 on the road, this will be some form of factor.

which is why our depth on D will become the deciding factor in this game....
Coleman, scarlett, Moala, Mclure, walls, Mccain, whiteside, Jalil should all see a lot of snaps...

I agree...but I wonder if the same can be thought with respect to the RB position?

I'd say that it applies to RB's also, or just the offense in general. Less so probably because they are setting the pace though... That said, Isi is from SLC, with a decent elevation, so I'd imagine he can appreciate this though.