<blockquote><div class="name-said">SFCityBear;670893 said:</div><hr>What caused it? I guess watching everyone on the Insider go overboard with praise for this recruiting class, when all we have to go on is the rankings by the recruiting websites. Tedford himself has said he pays no attention to the player ratings on these websites, so we should be pleased with the class, but guarded optimism might be more realistic.<br /><br />We've had good classes and good players before, and this staff has not produced that Rose Bowl team after 10 years of trying. I did some research. In the last 10 years we have landed a total of 6 five-star players and 49 four-star players. Of the 6 five star players, three have panned out. One was a total bust (Chris Martin), one did not live up to expectations (Joe Ayoob), and one has not done much yet (Tiny Moala). Players can get hurt, quit the program, get kicked off the team, or just aren't as good as advertised.<br /><br />24 of the 49 four-star players turned out to be good players for us. 25 either were busts, or are still on the team, waiting for a chance to do something. Among the players who did not live up the rating were David Gray (in my opinion), Noah Smith, Virdell Larkins, Kyle Reed, James Montgomery, Brock Mansion, Alex Lagemann.<br /><br />One interesting fact I found was that Cal landed 31 two-star rated recruits, and 14 were some of the best players we had over the last 10 years: Alex Mack, JJ Arrington, Justin Forsett, Mike Mohammed, Robert Jordan, Thomas DeCoud, David Lonie, Mike Tepper, Tad Smith, Sean Young, Jonathan Makonnen, Tim Mixon, and Steve Levy. This list should cause us to read the website recruiting rankings with a grain of salt.<br /><br />If that doesn't convince you, we have 3 four-star quarterbacks on the roster, none of whom was able to beat out the two-star Zach Maynard.<br /><br />So if history repeats, this class coming in will have maybe 5 or 6 players who will help us, and 5 or 6 who will not pan out. No matter how good a class we bring in, it does not change the fact that the coaching staff has structural problems, and the system appears to be one that only good or great players can learn and execute. The plays are very predictable. I go to the games with a guy who played high school football, and he calls nearly every play we are going to run before the snap. If Tedford sends in a new player or two, my friend will immediately call the play, and be right nearly every time. And if he can do it, the opposing defenses can do it too. <br /><br />Tedford is a good coach, perhaps on a par with Bruce Snyder, but he's not Pappy. Tedford got us out of a deep hole, turned the program around, but now it is stagnant, and has been for several years. <br /><br />However, we can take comfort in the fact that the 1958 team and the 1937 Thunder Team (best in the nation) both overcame inferior coaching to win. They did it with good athletes. For the sake of all those who hated my original post, I sure hope this recruiting class can live up to its rating.<hr></blockquote><br /><br />I've been doing some similar research. You make a good point about the 2-stars panning out half the time. I am posting a series of threads evaluating our talent. Check it out, I think it will make you feel a little better about our future.