Cal (-7.5) vs SDSU

8,788 Views | 60 Replies | Last: 10 yr ago by NeverOddOrEven
TheFiatLux
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calfanz;842537676 said:

WARNING RANT COMING: (my strong personal opinion)

Let's all agree on this!
[FONT=Century Gothic][SIZE=4] NEVER EVER MAKE A SPORTS BET ON A GAME YOU ALREADY CARE ABOUT![/SIZE][/FONT]

the reason to bet sports is to make a game you didn't care about more interesting
or if you have some legit inside info.

Betting on games you have an emotional interest in is plain ol stupid.


I agree. I never bet ON Cal... I did bet on a Cal (Oregon last year) game but just because the over / under was so ridiculously low. I felt that was almost a disinterested third party bet.
JSML
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heartofthebear;842537691 said:

I pretty much agree but who amongst us is trying to be smart anyway.
We're fans after all.

And there is one exception: You say that it makes sense to bet if you have inside information. The most likely team would be the team you care about. For example, I have much more inside information on Cal than I do any other team so I can be more accurate. That does not mean I bet on Cal, but I have been tempted. And there are times when I recommend betting on Cal games.

I suspect Cal will get a good line vs. Texas, for example and that may be a good one. I also think Utah is over-rated and I'm sure I'm one of the few that thinks so. So I am anticipating a good line there as well.


Bob Voulgaris says on a few Bill Simmons podcasts that if you think a team is going to do well against the spread, the best strategy is to just bet on them for every single game. He said this regarding betting on the NBA playoffs.
JollyBear
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Currently at Cal -10.5. I still think it's a good bet. Took Cal -43 against Grambling, so I guess it's house money now ...
Cal88
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SDSU is the top team in its MWC division, they are the best team in that conference along with Boise. Remember Maryland *actually lost* to an FCS team the week before they beat us. I don't think this is going to be a cakewalk.
Cal88
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Unit2Sucks;842537122 said:

How exactly is SDSU going to score those points?

Their QBs were horrible yesterday -11/23 for 139 yards, 0 TDs and 1 INT. Running game was better but still just 4.6 ypc and only 1 TD. Only 2 runs longer than 15 yards.

And remember - this is against a team with no scholarship players. So if they only managed 305 yards of offense and 1 TD, how are they going to score points against us?


In 2008, we were ranked #25 and played an ACC team that had actually LOST to FCS Middle Tennessee by 10 pts at home the week before... Maryland scored only 14 pts against them, but they ended up scoring 35pts against us.

SDSU is going to win 8 or 9 games this season, they have a good shot at winning their conference. About as good as OSU and better than WSU this year. This is the biggest regular season game for their program this year...
AUOso
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Cal88;842537739 said:

This is the biggest regular season game for their (SDSU's) program this year...


Umm No it isn't..They are playing Penn State @ Happy Valley later in the season and I think they would view that as a "bigger game" even though PSU is in a fallow period after getting sanduskied.
Cal88
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Penn State just lost to TEMPLE, 27-10. Penn State is a Big10 bottom feeder at this point. SDSU doesn't play Boise St in the regular season, so Cal is the biggest game on their schedule. Bragging rights, P12 vs MWC etc. I bet their coaches have prepared for this game all summer.
beeasyed
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Cal88;842537775 said:

Penn State just lost to TEMPLE, 27-10. Penn State is a Big10 bottom feeder at this point. SDSU doesn't play Boise St in the regular season, so Cal is the biggest game on their schedule. Bragging rights, P12 vs MWC etc. I bet their coaches have prepared for this game all summer.


has SDSU EVER beaten a Pac10/12 team on the road before? didn't they lose a bunch of key players this offseason?

their offense looks god-awful. should prepare us well for Texas
Steve Aztec
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beeasyed;842537786 said:

has SDSU EVER beaten a Pac10/12 team on the road before? didn't they lose a bunch of key players this offseason?

their offense looks god-awful. should prepare us well for Texas


You will be happy to hear that I think we beat Stanford once on the road.

Also Oregon State.

I will have to check that for accuracy.

***I am not sure what our offense will look like this year, but I do know we used very little of the playbook vs USD.
TheSouseFamily
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JollyBear;842537702 said:

Currently at Cal -10.5. I still think it's a good bet. Took Cal -43 against Grambling, so I guess it's house money now ...


Already at 12 on scoresandodds.com.
Steve Aztec
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Damn...Just looked this up and we did not beat Stanford on the road. We lost 17-10 in the game I thought we won.

In 1976 we beat Oregon State on the road 25-0. (But I think that game was played in Portland).

In 1977 we beat Arizona on the road 21-14. (But that was the year before they joined the Pac)

I would say we are over due?
beeasyed
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Steve Aztec;842537796 said:

I would say we are over due?


now you even talk like Cal fans!! we've been saying the same thing about the Rose Bowl

:rollinglaugh:
liverflukes
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Is Marshall Faulk playing?
Steve Aztec
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liverflukes;842537799 said:

Is Marshall Faulk playing?


No but I will be wearing one of his jerseys. Does that count? :newnana:
Steve Aztec
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beeasyed;842537798 said:

now you even talk like Cal fans!! we've been saying the same thing about the Rose Bowl

:rollinglaugh:


What's the name of this song?...

:acclaim:
Unit2Sucks
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I think now that WSU lost to Portland State, SDSU is now the third easiest game on our schedule. I worry more about Oregon State. SDSU's offense looks worse than Grambling's. They can't throw at all and their running game didn't exactly blow USD out of the water. I can accept that SDSU may have been looking ahead to this week and pay USD but still. Even if their defense is Pac-12 caliber, this should be a blowout.

If we are SDSU's first Pac-10/12 win in 35 years, that should tell you we are in for a long season and its Sonny's farewell tour. No need to sugarcoat it.
Cal88
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Maryland scored 10 points in their loss against Middle Tenn the week before they lit us up for 35pts. SDSU is as good as OSU this year, but more motivated and likely better prepared. This is a game we could definitely lose if we don't bring our A game.
KingPosibear
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Unit2Sucks;842537821 said:

I think now that WSU lost to Portland State, SDSU is now the third easiest game on our schedule.


We will win 63-14.
beeasyed
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SDSU loses their starting safety. i wonder if this will give Cal fans more confidence, and move the line..

http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/2015/sep/06/sdsu-aztecs-football-lomax-injury/
travelingbears
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Goodness the line's jumped a LOT since this morning. It's now Cal -12...
edg64
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travelingbears;842538042 said:

Goodness the line's jumped a LOT since this morning. It's now Cal -12...


It appears the initial concerns about SDSU were over hyped. I guess this is quickly turning into a cupcake game.
edg64
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travelingbears;842538042 said:

Goodness the line's jumped a LOT since this morning. It's now Cal -12...


Vegas Insider is reporting Cal favored by 12, with an O/U of 61. That translates to a 36-25 predicted Cal victory
AND
96% of money bet on the spread is that Cal will cover the spread
Steve Aztec
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beeasyed;842538024 said:

SDSU loses their starting safety. i wonder if this will give Cal fans more confidence, and move the line..

http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/2015/sep/06/sdsu-aztecs-football-lomax-injury/


This is a loss but we are pretty deep there.
beeasyed
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Steve Aztec;842538211 said:

This is a loss but we are pretty deep there.


i expect you'll need all the guys you can get as this offense will not let up!
Steve Aztec
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beeasyed;842538216 said:

i expect you'll need all the guys you can get as this offense will not let up!


I am anxious to see it. Win or lose I will have a great time on the visit.
tc3590
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SDSU was the school that had e running back go AWOL at the draft 2 years ago right? What happened with that?

Anyway, I have friends who go to school there and they would let me hear it if hey get the W so we better win lol.
NeverOddOrEven
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Cal88;842537739 said:

In 2008, we were ranked #25 and played an ACC team that had actually LOST to FCS Middle Tennessee by 10 pts at home the week before... Maryland scored only 14 pts against them, but they ended up scoring 35pts against us.


MTSU wasn't at the time and still isn't an FCS team. In fact, they featured a DC (Manny Diaz) who would become a hot commodity in the next few years.
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