Last year 3 teams scored 40+ on the Longhorns, in their "tough to play stadium"... If our offense isn't clicking in Austin, it won't be because the Texas D suddenly got better. We need to score, early and often.
Which brings-up a point someone made earlier, about us getting out to fast starts, commenting on NU and Arizona in 2014. Since, minus FCS Grambling State:
Behind against Colorado, WASU, UW, UCLA, Oregon... against the Beavs, 3-0 Cal and the end of the first, not exactly a fast start, but up to 20-10 at the half. Then, Southern Cal playing from behind (despite our D doing quite well initially), also against Stanford. Our final game with BYU, a nice 21 points in the first half. Our first FBS game in 2015 (SDSU), certainly not a fast start. NU and Arizona, fast starts, with big leads, and we close 2014 with the offense clicking pretty well early against BYU.
Otherwise, we most often have started somewhat slow, and of course in some games never got going all that much. As the first quarter was nearing its end last week (about 3 minutes left), we had just one drive, 4 plays, 13 yards, consuming 2 minutes. Thankfully we turned it around, not something that might have happened in 2014. I'd think we'd all like to see this offense light it up and play with an early lead. I'm looking to see this offense do just that in Austin.
A sign that SDSU's D was a tough one is that our normally pretty good 3rd down conversion rate was at just 20% (2 of 10). Pretty bad. That's normally not gonna win many games. We'll be playing more potent offenses than what we saw from SDSU, and Ds that don't fork-over so many drive-extending yards in the form of personal fouls...
Against ND, Texas allowed the Fighting Irish to convert 3rd downs 57% of the time. Against Rice, 66%! For perspective, only 8 teams in FBS averaged 50% or better on 3rd down conversions in 2014. AND, just as suspected, guess who is number 128, last in FBS, in allowing 3rd downs to be converted? The Longhorns.
I'm expecting a win in Austin. At a minimum, we convert 3rd downs half the time. And, we score early and often - please.