2 of Cal's 7 victories came against losing teams

3,591 Views | 29 Replies | Last: 10 yr ago by moonpod
okaydo
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We beat:

grambling
san diego state
texas - LOSING TEAM
washington
washington state
oregon state - LOSING TEAM
arizona state


all 5 of our losses came to teams with superior records:

utah - 9 wins
ucla - 8 wins
usc - 8 wins
oregon - 9 wins
stanford - 10 wins
Bobodeluxe
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No more excuses!

Fire everybody, EVERY YEAR!

Cal is hard.

:woohoo
kaplanfx
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We beat ourselves at Utah and the Stanford game was winnable. UCLA had our number, and I'm not sure why we always collapse against SC no matter our personnel. It was a pretty solid season, some will complain but I'm in a good place right now. Watching the comeback win tonight certainly helps, it was a great effort against a decent team.

-kap
Cal89
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okaydo;842603735 said:

We beat:

grambling
san diego state
texas - LOSING TEAM
washington
washington state
oregon state - LOSING TEAM
arizona state


all 5 of our losses came to teams with superior records:

utah - 9 wins
ucla - 8 wins
usc - 8 wins
oregon - 9 wins
stanford - 10 wins


Focusing only on the conference games, excluding the FCS and Mtn West teams (teams that play in weaker conferences):

texas - losing team in conf

uw - losing team in conf
cougs - winning team in conf
beavs - losing team in conf
asu - losing team in conf
Cal88
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You're getting into Schroedinger territory here. ASU and UW only have a losing record because we beat them. Had we lost to them, they would have had a winning record.

Going into the ASU game, our Sagarin ranking was in the low 20s. If we win our bowl game we will deserve to finish this season ranked.
KoreAmBear
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kaplanfx;842603752 said:

We beat ourselves at Utah and the Stanford game was winnable. UCLA had our number, and I'm not sure why we always collapse against SC no matter our personnel. It was a pretty solid season, some will complain but I'm in a good place right now. Watching the comeback win tonight certainly helps, it was a great effort against a decent team.

-kap


I'm pretty much where you are. I didn't like the losing out on the gauntlet + BG, but considering how I felt last week, how I feel about a 7-5 record = Vanessa Bayer of SNL as Miley Cyrus: "thats pretty cool."
KoreAmBear
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Cal88;842603893 said:

You're getting into Schroedinger territory here. ASU and UW only have a losing record because we beat them. Had we lost to them, they would have had a winning record.

Going into the ASU game, our Sagarin ranking was in the low 20s. If we win our bowl game we will deserve to finish this season ranked.


Wow that would be something. I would imagine we would have to clownstomp someone pretty good for that to happen.
MoragaBear
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It won't happen. But 8 wins would be pretty satisfying, all things considered.
BunzOfAnarchy
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Cal88;842603893 said:

You're getting into Schroedinger territory here. ASU and UW only have a losing record because we beat them. Had we lost to them, they would have had a winning record.


Excellent point. It sorta reminds me of people talking about the Warriors' "soft" schedule to start the year. Part of the reason those teams have bad records is because they've had to play the Dubs (and in some cases been demoralized by them)..
Bear8
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Gaff
okaydo;842603735 said:

We beat:

grambling
san diego state
texas - LOSING TEAM
washington
washington state
oregon state - LOSING TEAM
arizona state


all 5 of our losses came to teams with superior records:

utah - 9 wins
ucla - 8 wins
usc - 8 wins
oregon - 9 wins
stanford - 10 wins


All but SC were on the road losses. A stop in that game and the opportunity to score would place us with the other superior teams.
Phantomfan
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MoragaBear;842603917 said:

It won't happen. But 8 wins would be pretty satisfying, all things considered.
I predicted 7, so 8 would be sweet.Glad to see progress. 6 would have felt like no progress to me, regardless of 6 being more than 5.
wvitbear
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Sagarin said we played the 7th toughest schedule in them country. Even Grambling and S diego State won their conferences. Plus we didn't play two of the worst teams in the conference in Colorado and Arizona.
SonOfCalVa
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Cal88;842603893 said:

You're getting into Schroedinger territory here. ASU and UW only have a losing record because we beat them. Had we lost to them, they would have had a winning record.

Going into the ASU game, our Sagarin ranking was in the low 20s. If we win our bowl game we will deserve to finish this season ranked.


Of course we'll be ranked, but not in the top 25.
Really don't care about rankings, they happen, but hope the 2nd-half attitude and fire was a program turning point.
The comeback was startling, especially after the first half was so flat and dismal and looked like another blowout was looming.
7-5, especially with this win, is hugely better than 6-6; 8-5 would exceed most people's expectations.
tequila4kapp
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Phantomfan;842604034 said:

I predicted 7, so 8 would be sweet.Glad to see progress. 6 would have felt like no progress to me, regardless of 6 being more than 5.


This is pretty much me, too. I thought this was a 7-ish win team, so 8 is great. That is tempered a bit by the knowledge that SC, UCLA and Oregon were way down when we played them and we mostly got boat raced by all three. Even though I started the season expecting losses the way the season played out I thought we should have won some of those games or at least been more competitive. But bottom line - 8 wins would be great, keep the momentum going and give the staff something tangible to sell recruits. We need it.
SonOfCalVa
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Phantomfan;842604034 said:

I predicted 7, so 8 would be sweet.Glad to see progress. 6 would have felt like no progress to me, regardless of 6 being more than 5.


I also "predicted" 7, but as a minimum. 6-6 would have been a huge step back, and through the first half, that seemed a too real possibility. Whatever happened during half time with the coaches and team needs to be sustained and repeated, into the bowl game and after.
Winning the bowl game, to 8-5, would be a step up with possible positive recruiting results.
Cal89
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Cal88;842603893 said:

You're getting into Schroedinger territory here. ASU and UW only have a losing record because we beat them. Had we lost to them, they would have had a winning record.

Going into the ASU game, our Sagarin ranking was in the low 20s. If we win our bowl game we will deserve to finish this season ranked.


Indeed, both ASU and UW having losing conference records because Cal was one of their Pac-12 losses; a Cal team that is the best we fielded since 2011.

A good team wins the majority of its games, probably a definition most would accept. A good Pac-12 team is one that wins the majority of its conference games...

ASU and UW are not good Pac-12 teams, as demonstrated throughout the course of the season - not simply because our best team in 4 years beat them.

Again, this is the worst ASU team since 2011, the worst UW since 2009...

Related, the 2015 Beavs are the worst in like 3+ decades. The Ducks, who finished strong, they had their worst team in at least a couple years...

If we win our bowl game, convincingly too, we might get "other votes", but no way ranked in the the Top 25 - and deservedly so. Good teams find ways to beat good teams... We are currently not ranked in the Top 25 nor receiving such votes for that reason. ASU is a middling team and we are apt to play a middling team in some bowl... Stanford was the last good team we played. The Cougs are our only good team win and we were favored by 19 in that one...

As stated in another thread, this win is now my favorite one in the SD era, mostly because it was the last game of the regular season, and that we avoided a 1-6 repeat close. It also indicates to me that this team is firmly behind its HC and staff; and that means a ton to me. IMO, a very meaningful win. The offense was finally potent, albeit against the 11th best pass D in the Pac-12, now the worst...
MaximusArelliusDaBearius
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wvitbear;842604042 said:

Sagarin said we played the 7th toughest schedule in them country. Even Grambling and S diego State won their conferences. Plus we didn't play two of the worst teams in the conference in Colorado and Arizona.


wow, what a great point.
moonpod
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here's the plus minus. Preseason Vegas had us at 5 wins. So for the second year in a row Sonny beat the Vegas pre season predictions. That's good

Sonny has yet to beat a team he wasn't favored against. that's bad. Still hasn't shown any ability to "coach a win" so to speak.

this was a VERY up/down year emotionally for me as a fan. the opening 5-0 had me HIGH. The UCLA and furd losses in particular had me saying WTF.

The recruiting is sorta the same thing too. I can point at gilliam, beck, weaver and say damn I like it. But the class as a whole is gonna be ranked in the bottom of the PAC. So weird
PtownBear1
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moonpod;842604139 said:

here's the plus minus. Preseason Vegas had us at 5 wins. So for the second year in a row Sonny beat the Vegas pre season predictions. That's good

Sonny has yet to beat a team he wasn't favored against. that's bad. Still hasn't shown any ability to "coach a win" so to speak.

this was a VERY up/down year emotionally for me as a fan. the opening 5-0 had me HIGH. The UCLA and furd losses in particular had me saying WTF.

The recruiting is sorta the same thing too. I can point at gilliam, beck, weaver and say damn I like it. But the class as a whole is gonna be ranked in the bottom of the PAC. So weird


Agree with all that except the part about not beating any teams as under dogs. We had a few of those wins last season.

In my opinion this year goes in the acceptable category. Not good, not bad, just acceptable and a decent improvement over last year. Unfortunately, the P12 will be stronger next year as there were several frosh QB's playing this year and SC will be back to full scholarships. Plus we'll have a first year QB and as of now, a relatively lackluster incoming class, so hard to see more wins next year.
moonpod
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SFBear2012;842604160 said:

Agree with all that except the part about not beating any teams as under dogs. We had a few of those wins last season.


oh yeah. forgot that we weren't favored for like anything last year after the 1-11

SFBear2012;842604160 said:

In my opinion this year goes in the acceptable category. Not good, not bad, just acceptable and a decent improvement over last year. Unfortunately, the P12 will be stronger next year as there were several frosh QB's playing this year and SC will be back to full scholarships. Plus we'll have a first year QB and as of now, a relatively lackluster incoming class, so hard to see more wins next year.


I'm not sure our O changes in terms of overall production next year. the OL dropped the VS towards the end of the year and the pass pro got A LOT better. we had all sorts of chemistry/timing issues with Goff and the WRs through this year, so I'm not sure I see it all that much different honestly. And maybe Gilliam or Evans (if he commits) wins it and totally changes the QB style
pappysghost
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kaplanfx;842603752 said:

We beat ourselves at Utah and the Stanford game was winnable. UCLA had our number, and I'm not sure why we always collapse against SC no matter our personnel. It was a pretty solid season, some will complain but I'm in a good place right now. Watching the comeback win tonight certainly helps, it was a great effort against a decent team.

-kap

losing by 6 to USC is hardly collapsing
pappysghost
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Great post. Texas at home was decent and they did beat OU. Every team that beat us is a darn good team. We're closing the gap. It will be tough to continue to close the gap breaking in a new Qb, but one can hope.
GoldenBear1
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This was the best win of our new era.
Asu has talented players and coaches that have won a lot of games.
To get to 7 wins and a chance for 8 IN A BOWL game playing one of the toughest schedules in the country is progress.
In the 2nd half last night I believe we were down to one healthy starting LB (Nickerson) and Allensworth was out in addition to all the other injuries that piled up recently. Our D fought and gave the offense a chance and they stepped up.
I understand frustration with not beating our traditional rivals but a foundation is building, a culture is in place, the won loss column is improving.
The OL played a very good game to my eye last night and that was really encouraging.
This is a key offseason, we need to recruit and develop players that will continue to move the program forward. The administration needs to invest, make positive moves and the coaches need to produce on JC and HS LOI days.
JC signing day is coming right up.
Go Bears!
59bear
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In August, this was pretty much the most likely possible result in the eyes of most observers. We might have had a shot at any of the 5 we lost to but also might have fallen to UW, WSU, ASU and TX. Not the best result and far from the worst, on balance a decent year. In most situations, accomplishing what is expected is considered success. Congratulations Bears.
pappysghost
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I think the road wins over UW and Texas were slightly better. Historically, we have had success against ASU at home.
82gradDLSdad
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Imagine if the strength of next year's offense is the OL !!!???
We'll be playing the "What if Goff stayed" game all year long. "We'd be national champs if Goff had stayed."

moonpod;842604177 said:

oh yeah. forgot that we weren't favored for like anything last year after the 1-11



I'm not sure our O changes in terms of overall production next year. the OL dropped the VS towards the end of the year and the pass pro got A LOT better. we had all sorts of chemistry/timing issues with Goff and the WRs through this year, so I'm not sure I see it all that much different honestly. And maybe Gilliam or Evans (if he commits) wins it and totally changes the QB style
okaydo
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6bear6;842604011 said:

Gaff

All but SC were on the road losses. A stop in that game and the opportunity to score would place us with the other superior teams.


Coulda woulda shoulda

We've beaten USC 1 time in the past 15 seasons, as I've pointed out in another thread. And that victory took 3 OTs to accomplish.

I think the odds were against this team accomplishing what 14 seasons of worth of Cal teams couldn't accomplish, even though USC looked beatable, as they did the 3 times we lost to them when Lane Kiffin was their coach or the one other team we faced them when they had an interim coach.

What I'm trying to say is that we're conditioned to lose to USC, even when we look like we have a chance.

So I don't see us beating USC until we actually beat them.
moonpod
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82gradDLSdad;842604243 said:

Imagine if the strength of next year's offense is the OL !!!???
We'll be playing the "What if Goff stayed" game all year long. "We'd be national champs if Goff had stayed."


It's going to be. we are returning everyone except for Rigs. Farley got hurt and didn't play as much second half of season. Johnson played A LOT yesterday. Cochran has the left side now. Moore will be back along with Granado and Borrayo.

Watson and Khalfani are making the RB position look really bright as well.
AunBear89
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6bear6;842604011 said:

Gaff

All but SC were on the road losses. A stop in that game and the opportunity to score would place us with the other superior teams.


5-1 at home this year.
SmellinRoses
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okaydo;842603735 said:

We beat:

grambling
san diego state
texas - LOSING TEAM
washington
washington state
oregon state - LOSING TEAM
arizona state


all 5 of our losses came to teams with superior records:

utah - 9 wins
ucla - 8 wins
usc - 8 wins
oregon - 9 wins
stanford - 10 wins


0-12
moonpod
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SmellinRoses;842604342 said:

0-12


well that's the rub right? can he coach up a win against the elite of the conference. can he change that to 1-15 or 2-14 next year? or....
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