Big Dog said:
Quote:
I'm not buying what your selling. Show me the stats.
Sure, how about UC's own press reports:
"In its freshman admissions, UC Berkeley admitted 0.4 percent fewer California residents this year as compared to last year 9,715 students while admission for out-of-state students jumped 28 percent to 4,490 students."
'In May, the UC Board of Regents approved(link is external) a systemwide out-of-state student enrollment cap. Beginning in fall 2018, all UC campuses will be capped at enrolling 18 percent nonresidents unless a campus's 2017-18 student-body composition of out-of-state students exceeds 18 percent. At those campuses, including UC Berkeley, nonresident enrollment will be capped at the level of nonresident enrollment for 2017-18."
First gen offers of admissions also increased. (source: Daily Cal)
It's simple math, really. Undergrad enrollment is capped. % of Pell grantees remains flat. OOS admission offers "jumped." Nonresident enrollment at Cal was 11% in the entering class of 2000. (source Academic Senate report)
Last year OOS was 24%. That additional 13% of wealthy had to displace state residents, by definition.
(Not sure why this is such a difficult concept. It's a zero-sum game.)
Actually, with all due respect as your analysis is clever, it is not a zero sum game, because the total number of students increased, throwing off your percentage numbers. Cal and UC were gaming the system by increasing enrollment levels by increasing the number of foreign students, especially from Asia (think of UC as a mini-USC). The percentage of in state went down because the increase in total students is mostly due to an influx in foreign (as opposed to out of state) students.
IN FACT, THE NUMER OF RESIDENT STUDENTS AT CAL AND UC IN GENERAL INCREASES EVERY YEAR AND HAS FOR MANY YEARS. THE UPSHOT IS THE NUMBER OF MOSTLY FOREGN STUDENTS HAS INCREASED DRAMATICALLY, REDUCING THE PERCENTAGE (but not absolute number) OF RESIDENTS. Cherrypicking lines from articles or UC statements is not quantitive analysis.
The enrollment game:
Here are UC's own numbers (go to the UC site, hit the tab Enrollment, and then Enrollment At A Glance and do UC and then Cal). I don't go back to 2000 where we didn't have today's issues and policies. Let us just start at 2011, when the first of the major State major budget cuts started to 2017 (2018 numbers don't include actual enrollment yet):
Cal/UC All Schools
2011
Number of students: 36,137 231,268
Percentage of in-state: 77.1 87
Pell Grants percent: 33 42
Undergrad number of residents: 19,855 166,254
2017
Number of students: 41,891 273,179
Percentage in state: 68.8 77
Pell grants: 27 42 (yes, unchanged)
Undergrad number of residents: 23,006 179,530
During this period the number of students from China, India, Korea, and Taiwan increased approximately 20,000 (400 plus percent gain), 1,500, 1,000, and 1,000, respectively. The undergrad resident enrollment numbers go back to 2013 only.
Nevertheless, the comments here about number of residents enrolled dropping is THIS THREAD is bull crap. Indeed the number of residents admitted at Cal and UC continues to go up, year after year. Almost the entire increase during the period I referenced (over 80%) in the gross UC numbers increase is attributable to increasing foreign enrollment (Cal actually was less - a little over 50%, and I blame Sonny's recruiting policies for out of state domestic recruits for the number being lower than other UCs (joke somewhat intended).
The income game: I'm going to cherry pick a NY Times article on the Cal class of 2013 (the article says these numbers were derived by looking at
US tax returns, which I find suspect (how did they author get access to family tax returns?). In any event:
Median family income for Cal students: $119,900
Median family income for Cal students from top 1%: 3.8%
Median family income for Cal students from top 5%: 23%
Median family income for Cal students from top 20%: 54%
All four levels are among the highest for California schools. And in the 1% to 5% top income category, Cal is among the highest of peer schools.
Cal also is among the highest with 7.3% families being in the bottom 7%.
BTW: the article reads like an ad for Cal, as the how Cal students fare after college is off the charts high.
Several conclusions re: Cal:
1) Cal has less Pell grant students than before and far less compared to other UCs (I think one poster mentioned this).
2) Cal enrolls a lot of kids from high income families.
3) The high income numbers are so huge, they can't just be attributed to out of state students because there are not sufficient enough numbers of out of state students, and the purported increase certainly isn't from the out of state (as opposed to foreign since THE NEW YORK TIMES DOESN'T HAVE ACCES TO FOREGN TAX RETURNS).
4) A substantial portion of the increase in non-resident enrollment is due to the increase in enrollment of foreign students. The number of resident students has been increasing. The number out of state (but not foreign) increases is less than 5%, not 13% (admittedly we are dealing with different time periods, but I can prove from the website the majority of the gain still was due to foreign and resident students and the increasing the size of enrollment from 2000 to 2011), leaving you somewhere around 5% still).
5) Saying "[T]hat additional 13% of wealthy [out of state residents] had to displace state residents, by definition" is inconsistent with actual numbers because:
a) There was no displacement of resident students whose numbers actually increased each year.
b) The family income number are too high to be attributed to any large degree to out of state students, and a majority of the increase in out of state students comes from foreign students who are not taken into account in the income study.
c) Cal seems to be admitting less lower income students in absolute terms given the drop in Pell Grants (this could also be an immigration issue, though illegal immigrant families often file tax returns). If anything the higher tuition payment is subsidizing those who do not qualify for Pell grants due to family income or immigration status.
The premise makes even less sense when applied to UC in general.