BearGoggles said:
01Bear said:
tequila4kapp said:
wifeisafurd said:
I think Baldwin is trying to run the offense he knows, and that may not be a fit to Cal's existing talent, starting with inexperienced QBs being asked to do too much. Also, at the D1 level, you need to recruit players to your system and I don't think that has happened yet at Cal on offense.
This is an astute point. SD's offense was unique and left us in a precarious situation relative to transitioning to a different system.
Wouldn't that then raise the question of why not hire an OC whose system was similar enough to the Bear (Air) Raid in order to minimize the learning curve during the transition? IIRC, some folks on here suggested that Baldwin's offense was similar to the Bear Raid, and Baldwin never fully refuted that, though he insisted his system was "multiple" and not a true Air Raid.
If the OC can't tailor his offense to the talent he has and can't coach up the players he has to match the offense he wants to run, why should Cal keep him? Merely because of the hope that he will be able to pull in recruits whose talents match his offense? What offensive skilled players has he recruited successfully to suggest he'll have any sort of success at that going forward?
Honestly, Baldwin is looking more and more like the offensive equivalent of Kaufman.
I think the answer to this question is pretty obvious. Wilcox didn't think Cal could win Rose Bowls with a Bear Raid offense. I think he was proven correct by the Dykes experience. Wilcox is a defensive coach and he realized the tremendous stress a bear raid offense puts on the defense.
In order to win consistently with that type of offense (i.e., conference championships), you need to have defensive depth. Look at Oregon during the Kelly years - they weren't successful (i.e., elite) until they figured that out AND were able to recruit enough defensive players. That is hard, even more so at Cal. As an aside, USC is probably one of the few schools that could pull this off - if Kingsbury goes there it could be scary.
Baldwin was brought in because he was "multiple" which I understood meant he would incorporate bear raid type of concepts. I saw him speak after he was hired and he spoke about designing schemes/plays to maximize the talents of his players.
I think he tried all of that, but the reality was Cal was not very talented and then most of the elite talent left. His response was a combination of panic (McIlvain) and overly conservative play calling - not sure how much of that is put on Wilcox.
I agree that an Air Raid offense probably wasn't ideal for what Wilcox wanted. But at the very least, even a West Coast offense would've been closer to better utilizing Cal's players than the Baldwin 1 Yard and a Cloud of Dust offense.
I also understand that when he used the term "multiple" to describe his offense, Baldwin was trying to convince people that he would be able to play to the strengths of the Cal student athletes. However, that has proven to be either a flat-out lie or hopeful embellishment (or as they say in the world of law, mere "puffery"). I tend to agree with Yogi when he suggests that Baldwin's "multiple" offense remarks really reflected a lack of any real principle (or plays) that ties his offense together. While that can be a good thing, in that it would allow for optimizing players' skillsets, with Baldwin, this has not proven to be the case. Rather, it seems that for Baldwin, "multiple" has come to mean wasting his players and putting them in positions where success is less than likely.
I admit that when Wilcox first announced the Baldwin hire, I was ecstatic. Baldwin led some pretty effective offenses as the HC at EWU. That those offenses also defeated some P5 teams, including Oregon gave me reason to hope we would not see a drop off in Cal's offensive firepower. But these past two years have eroded any of that initial optimism.
I'm usually one of the last guys to say it's time to part ways with a coach (this uncludes both Tedford and Dykes) out of a sense of loyalty and gratitude for what they have done for Cal (notwithstanding the extensive compensation packages they received in return for their services). Yet, with Baldwin, I really do not see him being able to bring the Cal offense out of the depths to which he's sunk it. I'm sure he's a highly intelligent and capable offensive genius, unfortunately, his genius has not taken root here and seems unlikely to do so any time soon.
Which brings us to the main reason I think it's time Cal thanked Baldwin for his service then shut the door behind him. Time is growing short. Wilcox has proven to be a capable HC. He, DeRuyter, and Alexander have turned around Cal's previously much maligned (for good reason!) defense. It's unlikely that they will remain together at Cal for much longer as at least one of the three will be offered more money (and possibly a promotion) elsewhere soon. If Cal does not manage to keep all three, I fear Cal's defense will regress. If we do keep all three, Cal's defense is likely to remain strong enough to get us to the Rose Bowl with a decent offense. Yet, if we keep Baldwin, Cal's offense is unlikely to be up to even that minimal task. That would extend Cal's 60 year drought, an idea, which would grieve most Cal fans.
For purely selfish reasons (i.e., my desire to see Cal in the Rose Bowl), I think it's time to end the Baldwin experience and move on to another OC, preferably one who will be able to recruit top student-athletes, maximize their potential, teach them, and help get them to the Rose Bowl.