Cal favored by 5.5 over Beavers

3,280 Views | 20 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by GOLDEN
oskidunker
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Opening line.
Bring back It’s It’s to Haas Pavillion!
AunBear89
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oskidunker said:

Opening line.


Clearly the oddsmakers haven't been reading this board. Otherwise, they would know that this is the worst team in the history of ever. And we have criminally inept coaches and administrators. The line should be Beavers - 1,000,000
"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics." -- (maybe) Benjamin Disraeli, popularized by Mark Twain
Golden One
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It's a miracle we're favored over anybody after yesterday's debacle.
AunBear89
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Golden One said:

It's a miracle we're favored over anybody after yesterday's debacle.


Right on cue! GoldenOnenote never disappoints.
"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics." -- (maybe) Benjamin Disraeli, popularized by Mark Twain
Big C
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I'd say even money on whether we play the game or not.
AEM80
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Oddsmakers seem to think the opener was an aberration. I guess we'll see. Saturday's game will be a new challenge. Their quarterback isn't nearly as talented as DTR, but the run game is very good. Can they stop the run. I'm not sure. because Washington had a lot of problems with it. Our defense is not better than Washington's. Can the offense make some adjustments because if I'm OSU I'm blitzing early and often right off the edge. I think we'll have to score 24 to 28 points to win. I'm more worried about the offense than the defense. Going into the season I was thinking the other way around.
Strykur
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AEM80 said:

Oddsmakers seem to think the opener was an aberration.
The whole 48 hours preceding the game were somewhat aberrant.
oskidunker
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It was the ultimate fucla.
Bring back It’s It’s to Haas Pavillion!
bearister
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I'm not posting THAT cartoon.

#MeToo
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Send my credentials to the House of Detention

“I love Cal deeply. What are the directions to The Portal from Sproul Plaza?”
calumnus
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AEM80 said:

Oddsmakers seem to think the opener was an aberration. I guess we'll see. Saturday's game will be a new challenge. Their quarterback isn't nearly as talented as DTR, but the run game is very good. Can they stop the run. I'm not sure. because Washington had a lot of problems with it. Our defense is not better than Washington's. Can the offense make some adjustments because if I'm OSU I'm blitzing early and often right off the edge. I think we'll have to score 24 to 28 points to win. I'm more worried about the offense than the defense. Going into the season I was thinking the other way around.


OSU is 0-2 after losing to UW and WSU. Sagarin has this as a toss up (Cal #70, OSU#71 overall but OSU #77 and Cal #79 in Recent).
AunBear89
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bearister said:

I'm not posting THAT cartoon.

#MeToo

"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics." -- (maybe) Benjamin Disraeli, popularized by Mark Twain
bearister
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I suppose there is no mystery who starred that.
Cancel my subscription to the Resurrection
Send my credentials to the House of Detention

“I love Cal deeply. What are the directions to The Portal from Sproul Plaza?”
concordtom
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"Cal favored by 5.5 over Beavers"

Over, under a beaver...- either way. As long as it's within six.
BigDaddy
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Interesting. Oregon State is 0-2 but I think they've become a tougher out under Jonathan Smith. Obviously a must win.
“My tastes are simple; I am easily satisfied with the best.” - Winston Churchill
bencgilmore
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don't want to be a gloomer, but after a glorious opening play vs UW... the Huskies basically were rolling them, and i wrote the beavers off. turns out they made it (quite) a game, so...

but i don't think we saw the 'real' bears so i won't freak out
LMK5
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Kind of an intriguing point spread if it sticks. The oddsmakers have seen OSU play twice and the Bears once. I'm wondering what factors they saw in those 3 games that would justify the Bears being the favorite. I hope what they see pans out.
The truth lies somewhere between CNN and Fox.
72CalBear
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3 1/2 today. Might get closer by Saturday. How can they do these? Go Bears!!
KoreAmBear
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LMK5 said:

Kind of an intriguing point spread if it sticks. The oddsmakers have seen OSU play twice and the Bears once. I'm wondering what factors they saw in those 3 games that would justify the Bears being the favorite. I hope what they see pans out.
The ol "they aren't that bad they are due" factor.
calumnus
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KoreAmBear said:

LMK5 said:

Kind of an intriguing point spread if it sticks. The oddsmakers have seen OSU play twice and the Bears once. I'm wondering what factors they saw in those 3 games that would justify the Bears being the favorite. I hope what they see pans out.
The ol "they aren't that bad they are due" factor.


Yeah, I think it is based on the preseason media picking Cal second to Oregon (and OSU fifth) in the North, with a few even predicting Cal wins the PAC-12. If this was our opener we would have been favored by more. The odds makers were trying to get action at 5. They overestimated the willingness of people to bet on Cal. The computer programs have it as a toss up. Cal and OSU had the same conference record last year. People are taking OSU and the points and the line is moving as a result.

I never bet on the Bears, I have too much invested in them already. Hopefully we are who we thought we were and everyone who bets on us is richly rewarded.
sefton
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sefton
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I too was wondering about that point spread. At first blush, I thought, "even with that UCLA debacle?" The Vegas joints might be trying to stir the pot on what many consider a ho-hum matchup.
Ever hopeful and it seems like forever.
GOLDEN
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sefton said:

I too was wondering about that point spread. At first blush, I thought, "even with that UCLA debacle?" The Vegas joints might be trying to stir the pot on what many consider a ho-hum matchup.
Heck the Cal is favored by 10 over the cardboard cut outs.
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