sluggo said:
tthompson993 said:
Just a point of clarification for Sluggo who indicated that we didn't recruit a point guard in the 2021 class. I went to two O'Dowd games last season and Roberson played the point in each game and very well I might add. He scored the ball well and made several good passes to Bowser and Lewis. I said in another post, I believe that Roberson will or probably should be the starting point guard next year by the start of conference unless there is some type of major improvement in Brown's ability to shoot and Hyder's ability to do anything. Roberson is a born leader and that should have real positive impact on next year's team. He is definitely a true 4 star recruit.
Watched a few more BOD highlights. Roberson did not seem to be the point in them, though I believe you saw what you saw. He plays somewhat like Tyrone Wallace, who played both on and off the ball. I am not so into positions, but I think he is likely to be off the ball at Cal. I don't think he could run an offense, or do much else for that matter, if Joel Brown was guarding him.
He comes from a great high school basketball program, so everyone knew about him, but yet his only good offer was Cal. So the world voted and did not see the type of player who would beat out Brown as a freshman. Last year he had great leaping ability and good size, and I think being left handed is underrated. But he was not so fluid on the ball and had a slow motion outside shot (that I suspect is unreliable but did not watch whole game footage), almost a push shot. Compared to Bowser, who is am amazing athlete, he did not appear that quick. But that was a year ago and he could definitely have improved.
The above is what I'm talking about, slug. It is rare for any but the top ranked PG in a high school class to come in and succeed right away. Even top ranked ones don't. I can point to Ayinde Ubaka who was All American and struggled for 2 years. I can point to Keith Smith who thankfully didn't have to play PG as a frosh, but who looked lost as a frosh and turned out great. It is wholly unrealistic to think that a guy who everyone is recruiting as a 2, who has 2 offers from power conference teams, both in last place, who is ranked 157 nationally is going to walk in and take over the PG job. That while everyone in America who is paid to do this sees him as a 3 star shooting guard, the guy who watches some high school games is telling us he is a 4 star PG starter as a true frosh. That is not to say that Roberson is a bad recruit by any stretch. Those are ridiculous expectations.
The overwhelmingly most likely reality is that the 5 starters next year are on the team right now. That Joel Brown will take his first year of being the PG starter, learn from it and get better. If you want to bank on some optimism, bank on THAT. That is how things work. Especially when the supposed point of Fox is that he will slowly build this program by developing players over time.
What I see is that people who want to be optimistic reveal their pessimism with the constant cycling away from guys actually on the team and talking about HS players coming in and taking over. Because what they are really saying is our team sucks and to maintain their optimism they have to engage in ridiculous fantasies that have HS players developing much faster than anyone has a right to expect basically because the HS guy hasn't proven to suck and in their minds the guy on the team has. They couch it in confidence over the incoming players when they really are displaying a lack of confidence in the current players (who they previously had seen as the hope). It's a repeating cycle of "This guy will be the guy! Oh. He's not the guy. This guy will be the guy!" I am reminded of the number of Cal fans who dissatisfied with the play of a true freshman quarterback who would later be a number 1 pick and play in a superbowl insisted that his job would be challenged by an incoming frosh who would quickly become a safety.
Happy to eat crow on this if I have to. But I'm very comfortable in my supposition that Brown is our PG next year. We've already gone through a lot of people assuming Hyder would supplant him and see how that worked out (and to be clear, most likely Hyder is the backup next year.) Instead of flailing around looking for answers, people should realize, Brown is the answer. He may not be the one you want, but he is the answer. And while I don't think he will set the world on fire, he will be a solid player roughly in line with the other starters on the team.
I have no issue with what YOU are saying. You may claim more expertise than I do, but it does not rise to the level of ridiculous hubris. You have mentioned Celestine, for instance. Well, you may be right about Celestine. And being right means you saw a player that as a freshman is a nice role player off the bench. Not a starter that is solving our problems. You have a different opinion from recruiting services on where Alajiki fits in our class. It isn't an outlandish one. I take it from what you are saying that he could be next year's Celestine. Which is a completely reasonable expectation to have for a freshman not ranked high. If you are going to claim that Alajiki is an impact recruit that starts first year, I'll take issue with that.
If people were really feeling good about the state of this team, they would not be looking for true freshman to come in and start. They'd be looking for further development from the guys on the team.