sluggo said:
SFCityBear said:
sluggo said:
Big C said:
sluggo said:
Big C said:
BeachedBear said:
Big C said:
drizzlybear said:
sluggo said:
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Stats which are extremely limited and sporadic are not reliably predictive. Why reference having seen him play if there's nothing more you need to know than his (extremely) limited stats from his freshman season? It sounds like you actually do rely on other information; namely, your impression from having seen him play in high school. Well, that's exactly why I (and others) are asking the question of 4thGen: because he's about the only one on this board who may have actually seen Bowser play in the past 11 months.
Agree. Given the circumstances, it's way too early to write Bowser off without seeing him play more. I'm guessing the staff has a much better idea as to his potential (or lack thereof) at this point.
Which is reflected in his playing time?
Well, he is not suited up and we still don't know when the last time he was practicing. You know what I mean: The staff has seen him up close and personal, whereas we have hardly seen him at all and are going on a few minutes in a few games, early last season.
The staff said the freshmen class was strong. They are averaging 5 points a game total. It makes sense to ignore what I say, but the staff is also not a good source.
The staff is trying to prolong their jobs. What are they going to say, their incoming class sucks? Anyway, what I mean is, they've seen a lot more of Bowser than we have: In their minds, they must have a decent idea if he is going to eventually be a Pac 12 level player. Although, maybe he's practiced and worked out so little that it's all a mystery (that seems to be on a need-to-know basis and I guess us fans don't need to know).
My current evals on the three frosh:
Alajiki sort of looks like he's hit the wall for the time being. Hopefully he will regroup and grow in the off-season. The 3-pointer from the baseline is beautiful, but he needs more in his game and the rest looks raw.
Anyanwu comes in and battles, but he looks like a 6-7 PF and I'm wondering what the ceiling on somebody like that is.
Roberson looks like he can play, except for he can't shoot... and how many guys can we afford to have out there who can't shoot?
Totally weird that when the freshmen arrived they played very similarly to how they played in high school. There were no magical basketball transformations. Will be surprising once again when the incoming class of 2022 is not very good, and I say that for the same reason.
You mean you actually saw all these kids play in high school? Did you see Alajiki shoot threes at 60% in high school? If he did, he would have been on every school's radar.
I saw them play on video, not in person. Alajiki had only one game with video. He played poorly and showed a lack of basketball awareness. I underrated him for this reason. His shooting is great, but let's not lose our minds. He is averaging 3 points a game, and outside of shooting his game is rough.
Anyanwu and Roberson had more video and I was about right with them. For the incoming recruits, there is tons of video on Okafor, including whole games, less on Newell.
I would respectfully caution you not to place much faith on the accuracy of high school video. These videos are often produced by people who do this for a living, creating a positive portfolio for the purpose of shopping a recruit to coaches. They highlight a player's best skills, and hide his least-developed skills. Even videos made by a child's parents can be look like they were made by professionals. The classic for me was Omondi Amoke's video. He was portrayed as ball handler on the fast break, who could finish, pass and shoot the three. What he was, was a rebounder, a really good offensive rebounder, with a knack for making tip-ins. He couldn't handle the ball in the open court, or anywhere, and he couldn't make a shot from beyond 3 feet from the basket, including free throws. I'd guess they had to do a lot of takes in that video, to show him making a three.
High school recruits usually make their improvement in the summer before arriving at their college. But it often does not appear immediately in their freshman year. They have a great deal to cope with, especially the increased speed of the game. The competition will be bigger and faster than anything they had to deal with in high school, and the skill level of the front line players will be better than most of what they faced in high school. For these reasons, it is seldom that a freshman will improve over the course of the first season. In fact players seldom improve in their individual skills during seasons. It is summer when they make improvement. Allen Crabbe learned a floater in the summer after his 2nd season. The great Tommy Heinsohn said that he had to learn a new shot every year in the offseason, because the opponents had caught up with how to defend all the shots he already had.
I was very high on Alajiki before he arrived, based on seeing two similar videos and an interview with him and another with Mark Fox. I saw an athletic player who could handle the ball in the open court, could leap, and shoot. In his interview, Alajiki said he could make the three, and Fox in his interview, said the same thing. The three is a shot where the players who usually take them in games have a 1/3 probability of it going in the basket, so people don't usually brag about that sort of thing. So far Alajiki has been lights out from three. 60% for a season would be a record, but Micah Mason of Duquesne shot 56%, so 60% may be doable. Tony Bennett of Virginia shot threes at 50% for his career. The other big thing I like about Alajiki which I saw in the videos and still see today is his motor, his hustle. He looks like he is playing at 100% all the time. He gives it all that he has got, and really loves to play this game.
Fox needs to find a way to give Alajiki more playing time. I mean, how do you not play a guy who is capable of making threes at almost double the percentage of anyone else on the floor?
SFCityBear