#7 Cal (4-7, KenPom #161)
Floor: Bottom 2 finish
Ceiling: Top 5 conference, NIT
Yes, I think the luck factor will regress to the mean for both UCLA and Cal, allowing them to finish on the upper side of the middle-of-the-Pac group. Cal's top seven players are all healthy heading into conference play. They have been competitive in every game. If you pencil in 4 losses to Arizona and Colorado, I think you can pencil in 4 wins over Oregon State and Washington State. That leaves the other 12 games to aim for splits at worst. If they continue to improve and luck goes there way, a 12-8 record is obtainable. If they continue to struggle with turnovers and do not tighten their defense, than 8-12 or worse is a possibility.
Floor: Bottom 2 finish
Ceiling: Top 5 conference, NIT
Yes, I think the luck factor will regress to the mean for both UCLA and Cal, allowing them to finish on the upper side of the middle-of-the-Pac group. Cal's top seven players are all healthy heading into conference play. They have been competitive in every game. If you pencil in 4 losses to Arizona and Colorado, I think you can pencil in 4 wins over Oregon State and Washington State. That leaves the other 12 games to aim for splits at worst. If they continue to improve and luck goes there way, a 12-8 record is obtainable. If they continue to struggle with turnovers and do not tighten their defense, than 8-12 or worse is a possibility.
