teknofreek;842462273 said:
Too much money involved from TV networks (ESPN, Fox, CBS) who demand content for this to fly. Would NCAA and schools have the fortitude to buck their sugar daddies? I'd bet unlikely.
UrsaMajor;842462446 said:
Why it won't happen:
In order for this to happen, one of two things needs to occur: either you shorten the season by 1/2 dozen games or so, or--as he suggested--push the Final Four into May. The latter is a non-starter because it conflicts with the NBA playoffs and that would be no go for ESPN, CBS, and the true rulers of college basketball (along with Nike and Adidas).
I like the idea of a single semester basketball season for academic reasons. Players could really benefit from one semester w/o any travel which would allow them to load up on harder classes. Would be great for schools like Cal IMO and for players who take academics seriously. That is what the NCAA/P5 should be pushing - making it easier for players to actually attend class and then graduate. With summer school and one semester of uninterrupted class, almost every player could take their more difficult classes outside of the traveling season. If players are making 'sufficient progress' to a degree on a
yearly basis, an can take a reduced load during their season, I think that fits the goals of the NCAA and student athlete much better than having two semesters interrupted.
On top of the season running in December and conflicting with finals (though schools like Cal do not schedule games then, but I'm sure having 5-6 games beforehand, and often a big trip to a neutral site tourney, does not help getting done with the semester), the NCAA Tournament as it currently is scheduled conflicts with a lot of finals for schools on a quarter system. So moving it back (maybe 3 weeks?) would eliminate that, while also prevent conflicts with spring semester finals.
Now for the money/power part -
I get that a may final four might not go over well with ESPN, but the NCAA tournament actually gets better rating than the NBA playoffs. CBS might be willing to play. It would only compete with the NBA conference semi finals. The Final Four draws around 10-12 million viewers for the round of 4 games and 20 million viewers for the championship game. The tournaments early round average ~ 10 million viwers, and 13 million when in primetime (that is across 4 networks though since the game run concurrently). The NBA might get 3-4 million viewers for a conference semifinal. ESPN would not have the MBB regular season up against their NBA playoffs games since the NBA playoffs start mid April. Fox and CBS do not have any of their own content that would conflict. The conference networks would benefit because it would spread out their 'must see' content. And there is plenty of NFL in December on FOUR nights a week - nothing like that to compete against in march. Turner would be the only network with conflicts (NBA on TNT).
But this year the NBA playoffs start April 18th. The 1st/2nd/3rd round games are 4 weeks before that. The NCAA could push back the tournament 3 weeks and basically still avoid any conflicts that would hurt the NCAA's bottom line. The Final Four would dominate the NBA's first round opening games, but the other rounds would not go up against the playoffs. Would three weeks be enough to clear enough time to start completely after finals? Not quite - Cal started regular games 5 weeks before the end of finals. BUT I see potentially 3 weeks of savings possible:
1)consider there are two weeks (vs Furd) in the regular season where Cal did not play a weekend opponent - play someone on both of those, and that's one week saved.
2)Get rid of the 2 game exemption for a neutral site tournament and that's a week saved (we played alcorn and kennesaw state... what a waste anyways).
3) And consider that Cal played one game during finals week (on Friday), not two, so if the NCAA reduced the number of allowable games from 29 to 28, that could be essentially a week saved.
So you only have to do 2 of these 3 and move the tourney back 3 weeks to clear the fall semester out of conflict with competition. As for the exhibition games, they are just that - since the team is practicing in the fall, it would not be that harmful to have a few.... and why not schedule them on football satudays in November? Or one could still have an exempt like tourney on Thanksgiving weekend. But no other games until after finals. Lots of options to protect the students.
Also, Basketball TV money for the P5 schools is not all that great because it's watered down by the NCAA. If the P5 really wanted to force the issue, they could essentially threaten to leave the NCAA and start their own tournament (P5 didn't explicitly do this with CFB, but the writing was on the wall - no 'full cost' and the NCAA could very well be left behind since CFB is the cash cow and already did not rely on the NCAA for $$$). Even with a much smaller TV contract, the P5 schools would end up with MORE money because the NCAA keeps a lot to themselves and gives a lot to smaller conferences. (An aside, if the current court cases regarding player 'pay' go against the NCAA and amateurism as set up now, a two tier system could force the split-off of the P5 and cripple the NCAA and force mid major schools to make really difficult choices). CBS pays far more for NCAA basketball (through the tourney) than any other party - I'd even wonder if they have an out clause if some conferences withdraw? They'd be left with a garbage tourney if they don't.