Blatt is getting a lot of heat for going small and benching Mozgov. I honestly don't think that there is a right answer to this.
- If the Cavs play Mozgov, it severely hurts your defense and I'm not sure Mozgov necessarily makes up for it on the offensive end. When Mozgov was in during the 1st Q last night, the Dubs simply doubled him whenever he touched the ball in the post and the Cavs turned the ball over 4-5 times within the first few minutes of the game. You simply cannot turn the ball over against the Dubs, which is why Mozgov was pulled.
- If the Cavs don't play Mozgov, then you supposedly play right into the hands of the Dubs, because the Dubs can play small ball better and the Cavs are also shortening their already short bench by not playing Mozgov.
So its really a damned if you do, damned if you don't scenario for Blatt. He simply does not have a lot of options. Which is why most talking heads are already assuming the Dubs take game 6, especially after only 1 day of rest.
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HOWEVER, I think there is a strategy that the Cavs can employ that could get them Game 6, and I'd actually be mildly surprised if the Cavs don't do it.
They have to go "all in" on hack-a-iggy.
Lets say, best case scenario, Iggy makes 50% of his fts (I think that's best case for Iggy). That a little over 1 point per possession (have to take into account a couple offensive rebounds off missed fts). Again, that's best case for the warriors. Iggy could also go 1-10 again.
So there are so many advantages for the Cavs if they go hack-a-iggy
- The Warriors are a rhythm offense. you take them out of that rhythm and they become beatable
- You completely slow the game down. With each FT attempt, it gives Lebron and co. a rest. Its like a mini time out. You make iggy shoot like 40 free throws, that's a ton of rest. plus, the Cavs won't have to play defense, thats even more rest. That will allow Lebron to play the entire game and also maybe the Cavs aren't completely gassed by the 4th quarter
- You can make the game as ugly as possible. You foul Iggy on one end, and then just ISO Lebron on the other, and take as much clock as possible. Again, the uglier you make the game, the better for the Cavs. at some point, it will get into the dubs' heads, especially if Iggy starts missing a ton.
- You can start playing marginal defensive players (like Miller, Marion, Jones) heavier minutes (thus lengthening their bench) because if they don't have to play defense, they are no longer liabilities. a player like miller may have some value if he doesn't have to play defense
- You may eventually force Iggy out of the game. which would be killer for the dubs because he's the best defender you can stick on Lebron.
The one worry is that the Cavs will be accumulating a ton of fouls. but between Marion, Miller and Jones, that is 18 fouls and 36 free throws from Iggy.
I'm not saying you foul Iggy every single time. But maybe you foul him one possession, play defense on one possession, and then foul him the next possession. By mixing it up, it will really disrupt the Warriors rhythm.
This strategy is not ideal. But what choice do the Cavs have at this point?
- If the Cavs play Mozgov, it severely hurts your defense and I'm not sure Mozgov necessarily makes up for it on the offensive end. When Mozgov was in during the 1st Q last night, the Dubs simply doubled him whenever he touched the ball in the post and the Cavs turned the ball over 4-5 times within the first few minutes of the game. You simply cannot turn the ball over against the Dubs, which is why Mozgov was pulled.
- If the Cavs don't play Mozgov, then you supposedly play right into the hands of the Dubs, because the Dubs can play small ball better and the Cavs are also shortening their already short bench by not playing Mozgov.
So its really a damned if you do, damned if you don't scenario for Blatt. He simply does not have a lot of options. Which is why most talking heads are already assuming the Dubs take game 6, especially after only 1 day of rest.
-------------------
HOWEVER, I think there is a strategy that the Cavs can employ that could get them Game 6, and I'd actually be mildly surprised if the Cavs don't do it.
They have to go "all in" on hack-a-iggy.
Lets say, best case scenario, Iggy makes 50% of his fts (I think that's best case for Iggy). That a little over 1 point per possession (have to take into account a couple offensive rebounds off missed fts). Again, that's best case for the warriors. Iggy could also go 1-10 again.
So there are so many advantages for the Cavs if they go hack-a-iggy
- The Warriors are a rhythm offense. you take them out of that rhythm and they become beatable
- You completely slow the game down. With each FT attempt, it gives Lebron and co. a rest. Its like a mini time out. You make iggy shoot like 40 free throws, that's a ton of rest. plus, the Cavs won't have to play defense, thats even more rest. That will allow Lebron to play the entire game and also maybe the Cavs aren't completely gassed by the 4th quarter
- You can make the game as ugly as possible. You foul Iggy on one end, and then just ISO Lebron on the other, and take as much clock as possible. Again, the uglier you make the game, the better for the Cavs. at some point, it will get into the dubs' heads, especially if Iggy starts missing a ton.
- You can start playing marginal defensive players (like Miller, Marion, Jones) heavier minutes (thus lengthening their bench) because if they don't have to play defense, they are no longer liabilities. a player like miller may have some value if he doesn't have to play defense
- You may eventually force Iggy out of the game. which would be killer for the dubs because he's the best defender you can stick on Lebron.
The one worry is that the Cavs will be accumulating a ton of fouls. but between Marion, Miller and Jones, that is 18 fouls and 36 free throws from Iggy.
I'm not saying you foul Iggy every single time. But maybe you foul him one possession, play defense on one possession, and then foul him the next possession. By mixing it up, it will really disrupt the Warriors rhythm.
This strategy is not ideal. But what choice do the Cavs have at this point?