Bear19 said:
Like many egocentric folks, Jones refused to recognize that he just was not capable of leading a P-5 MBB team. That Cal refused to see the obvious truth is another notch in the failed regime belt of Mike Williams. Enough of the obvious.
Knowlton has an opportunity to get the program back on track. No room for error on this critical hire decision.
Really now. How do you know Jones was egocentric, as you imply? Do you have evidence? Do you know any applicant for a job who does not walk into his interview, and when asked, "Do you think you can do this job?" answers, "Yes"?
Everyone does that. Those who don't, don't get hired. And believe me, if you are broke, or out of work, and a job is posted that pays a large sum of money, most people will bend their concept of honesty a little and stretch it by saying they think they can do a job that they are not completely sure they can do. When Cuonzo quit, Jones suddenly found himself in an insecure position, even if he was named interim head coach. That could end immediately. So when Williams came to him, told him he could be paid $5M, and asked him if he could do the job, well, what would you have said? It is egocentric to say, "Yes"?
Ever hear of the "Peter Principle"? That is the idea that the reason there seems to bee so much incompetence in the workforce is that once you become good at doing your job, you are often promoted to a higher job, and in that job you are incompetent, learning the new job, and do not get competent until you have learned it. The guy that gets hired to a new job, is also incompetent at the job until he learns it.
Most head coaches were assistants at some point. Jones had worked with several head coaches, and had to have an idea of how to do this. He had his own ideas as well. He took the job knowing the roster would be thin with all the players graduating. He did not expect or predict the departures of Moore and Rooks, leaving him with a roster of 3 viable players, none outstanding, except possibly Lee, in a good situation with a good center and good point guard. Any coach who took this job would have to build a roster in his first season. He did well to hold most of the incoming recruits, and sign McNeill on his own, but none of those players had any star power. Jones had to know that both Lee and KO would graduate after a year, and he would have to build the roster all over again. He was able to land one player with star power, Bradley, and maybe Kelly and Vanover for the future. An experienced coach would have faced the same situation, and would have had better recruiting reputation, and maybe to get one or two better players quicker. For an inexperienced coach to pick up star recruits in the first couple of years was unlikely.
The mistake here was that of Williams. He thought hiring Jones would ensure, hopefully, continuity, by keeping the recruiting class intact. Except that the recruiting class had only one player who was highly rated. Williams overlooked that Jones needed to learn how to do the job and that usually takes at least a couple of years if you start with a competitive roster. Jones' insurmountable task was to learn the job in a year without a competitive roster to coach, and try and speed up the recruiting of top players at the same time. I doubt any assistant coach with no HC experience could do that job. Williams should have focused on hiring an experienced coach, who already had his own system of playing and coaching, already had recruiting chops in his resume. I think one of William's problems might have been that probably no experienced coach would have been interested in the Cal job with that 3 man roster in place, and a recruiting class with one good player on the horizon.
I think it is more correct to say of Jones that he might have been able to become a P5 BB coach, if he had spent years learning to be a head coach at a lower level first, like a Bobby Hurley, for example. I don't fault him for taking a shot at it, and for not refusing the job and money when offered. But a better career path, if this was his goal, would be to start at a lower level first. With his failure at Cal, he will likely not be able to follow that advice any time soon.
I agree with you on the upcoming decision on who to hire. While the roster is in a little better shape now, I still firmly believe it should be an experienced head coach who should get the reigns. But even that is not a sure thing that will lead to immediate Cal success. To rebuild that roster Cuonzo left takes 3-4 seasons and with a new coach coming in, possibly losing another player or two, it could take the full 4 years, which means Cal might not be competitive for another season or two.
SFCityBear