Michigan State preview

3,074 Views | 59 Replies | Last: 28 days ago by SFCALBear72
Schroeder71
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24 25 MSU WBB Combined (PDF) - Michigan State University Athletics

The Michigan State Spartans (6-0) are a really deep team. Their team stats are as impressive as any that I've seen. Although they lost their #2, #3 & #5 scorers from last year's 22-9 team, they play eleven players in a regular rotation. Ten average between 16.6 to 5.5 points per game and the Spartans collectively average 96+ ppg. Cal has six players that average 4.7 or more points. MSU is defeating their opposition by 50.5 ppg. Cal is winning by 27.

To be fair, they have not played an opponent with a winning record except Detroit Mercy (3-1). The Spartans have played five teams within their home state plus Yale. Five have been home games and they played a game at Western Michigan. The latter was their closest game, 79-42 (37-point margin), without their leading scorer, Grace Van Slooten. The Bears have beaten two NCAA Tournament teams in Gonzaga and Auburn.

Michigan State has three double-digit scorers this season. Van Slooten is their leading scorer and rebounder. Cal defeated Oregon twice last season, and the Bears know how to defend this player. Julia Ayrault is perhaps their best all-around player, earning 1st team all-Big Ten honors last season. She is their second-best offensive threat and rebounder. She missed their last game due to injury. Their 3rd best performer is Theryn Hallock who earned the Big Ten "sixth man award." Nobody has played more than 21.2 minutes per game to date. Their best three- point shooter is a freshman, Juliann Woodard. She is a dead-eye bomber, connecting on 70% of her attempts. She only plays 7.7 minutes but puts up 9.7 points per contest. Their seventh scorer is former ASU guard, Jaddan Simmons, who contributes 6.7 ppg and leads the team in assists w/ 20.

2024-25 Women's Basketball Roster - Michigan State University Athletics

The way I see this game is that the starting lineups could be competitive, but that the second five matchup likely might not be. All freshmen played the entire fourth quarter vs Detroit Mercy and tallied 20 points. To stay close, Charmin Smith will have to play her seven veterans lots of minutes.

Two MSU stats knocked my eyes out. Their ball-handling is incredible. They distribute 23.2 assists per game while only averaging 13.5 turnovers. Their defense forces 28 TOs which is scary for a team such as Cal.

I'm predicting a Spartan victory tomorrow, 77-72. If their all-conference player, Ayrault, sits out for a second straight game, the outcome should be really close. For the Bears to prevail, they will have to perform in a manner similar to the Gonzaga upset. I'll go with 74-72 in favor of Cal. The Bears are a much stronger opponent than anyone the Spartans have faced in 2024-25 and they do not play that well away from home.
GO BEARS!
CalFanatic
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That's an extremely weak non-conference schedule. I'd hope a team has impressive stats when playing that level of competition.

I feel better that we've played Gonzaga and Auburn.
annarborbear
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I posted over on the tournament thread about the past record of MSU''s coach. She has been running up the same type of stats over her career at other places. We are going to need to play some excellent defense and watch the the turnovers in this one, The pace of the game will also likely require that we use our bench along the way.
SFCALBear72
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Interesting to note that the opening point spread for this game was:

Michigan State -7.5

It's now down to -5.5 as of this morning.
smh
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SFCALBear72 said:

Interesting to note that the opening point spread for this game was:

Michigan State -7.5

It's now down to -5.5 as of this morning.
huh, somehow i'd never seen women's game point spreads. thanks '72
signed, '73 grad
muting more than 300 handles, turnaround is fair play
Woodacre
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https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/ncaab?tab=women%27s-games

Now at 6.5
SFCALBear72
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smh said:

SFCALBear72 said:

Interesting to note that the opening point spread for this game was:

Michigan State -7.5

It's now down to -5.5 as of this morning.
huh, somehow i'd never seen women's game point spreads. thanks '72
signed, '73 grad
Found it on espn.com Gamecast.
CalFanatic
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All 3 panel members chose Cal over Michigan State because "They've played nobody, they are playing Devry University!"

We'll see...
BearBint
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Watching game on https://www.trutv.com/watchtrutv/west with a Comcast Xfinity sign-in.

https://stats.statbroadcast.com/broadcast/?id=544400&vislive=cal
"Don't get distracted, myself. Don't get distracted." Self-talk from a young relative
SFCALBear72
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Take care of the ball, Bears!!

CalFanatic
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Suarez on fire...another 3! 28-24 MSU
annarborbear
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Could use some more scoring out of Lulu.
CalFanatic
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annarborbear said:

Could use some more scoring out of Lulu.
Ask and you shall receive! 3 Ball.

5 straight by Lulu. 31-26 Cal... big 2nd quarter. 13-0 run (after MSU basket was taken away)
CalFanatic
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18-0 Cal run!
HoopDreams
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EXCEPT for turnovers, Cal playing great

Michelle playing defense without fouling
annarborbear
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Abigor plays some solid minutes. We have our back-up.
wvitbear
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Missed the first quarter. But the second quarter was great. We can play good defense and we can shoot the three. Probably our best quarter of the year.
annarborbear
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Krimili with three fouls is our one problem going into the second half.
HoopDreams
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Ioanna 3rd foul was horrible
RedlessWardrobe
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Is Jayda injured?
Schroeder71
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Cal is playing well offensively except for committing a dozen turnovers in the opening half. Michigan State has had eleven more shots from the field because of our empty possessions. The Spartans can easily catchup if this trend continues. Our PG Kayla Williams and Marta Suarez have 4 TOs each.

Bears finished 3rd quarter with a twelve-point lead (60-48) but then absolutely folded like a suitcase. Cal blown out in final period 30-12. I predicted the final score to be 77-72 in favor of the Spartans (I was off by one point).
Ayrault played and led the way for Michigan State with 22 points and 9 rebounds.

The Bears basically cannot handle the basketball with 20 turnovers that resulted in 20 points for the Spartans. Cal outrebounded MSU 46-42 but yielded 20 offensive boards (including 4 on missed free throws). Three-point baskets were equal 8-8.

Cal really has a starting five of quality players. The rest are role players that have deficiencies. Jayda Noble DNP today and she could have helped out. Natalia Ackerman missed the rim on a layup in the opening minutes and was benched thereafter for the balance of the game (4 minutes of PT). Kayla Williams failed to make a field goal in the game and ended up with 3 points & 4 TOs.

This team lacks depth when facing a NCAA caliber opponent and it shows badly. The game was over when Michelle Onyiah fouled out. She might have been Cal's best player this afternoon. GO BEARS!
CalFanatic
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Krimili 3! Cal with the biggest lead of the game 56-42
annarborbear
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Holding them to 25% shooting percentage and a 7:9 negative assist/TO ratio.
annarborbear
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They are turning up the defensive intensity. Krimili proving to be our best ball handler.
CalFanatic
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uh oh. Cal lead down to 5…
MoragaBear
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Staff
15-2 MSU run. Gotta figure out how to turn it around.
CalFanatic
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Total collapse by the Bears. 1 point game now…
CalFanatic
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We haven't scored in almost 5 minutes! What on earth is happening?!
Bear8995
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Maybe I should stop watching.
LessMilesMoreTedford
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Only six players played in the 2nd half, they ran out of steam. Charmin going up-tempo in the 3rd gassed them out.
CalFanatic
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I'm about as positive as they come but.... that was one of the most disappointing and just straight up embarrassing collapses i've seen as a Golden Bear fan. You're up by 18 deep into the 3rd and you just stop playing.

Where was the strategy? Where was the leadership? Where was the fight? Where was the bench play? Give your talented bench some minutes!

Congrats Spartans. You earned this one!
Bear8995
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CalFanatic said:

I'm about as positive as they come but.... that was one of the most disappointing and just straight up embarrassing collapses i've seen as a Golden Bear fan. You're up by 18 deep into the 3rd and you just stop playing.

Where was the strategy? Where was the leadership? Where was the fight? Where was the bench play? Give your talented bench some minutes!

Congrats Spartans. You earned this one!
This. We look poorly coached.
calbearsfaninsac
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It's tough to win when you have to play against the refs.
LessMilesMoreTedford
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Bear8995 said:

CalFanatic said:

I'm about as positive as they come but.... that was one of the most disappointing and just straight up embarrassing collapses i've seen as a Golden Bear fan. You're up by 18 deep into the 3rd and you just stop playing.

Where was the strategy? Where was the leadership? Where was the fight? Where was the bench play? Give your talented bench some minutes!

Congrats Spartans. You earned this one!
This. We look poorly coached.
You're saying Jim shouldn't have handed Charmin an inexplicable three year extension after making the prestigious WNIT?
HoopDreams
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Hate to point at refs but they made several horrible calls on Cal (and pro Michigan State announcers just made it worse)

Ioanna T, Block on Michelle (should had been charge), Lulu walk on euro, just to name a few
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