Syracuse Game

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CalWSportsFan
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You know, I think most people, coaches/athletes, etc. in sports these days are paid too much in the scheme of things. I think there are many people in various jobs throughout our society who work extremely hard and who should be paid better for challenging jobs…teachers, caregivers, etc. That said. I don't determine pay rates for coaches at any level, college or pro. I was simply offering info as to how high salaries are generally. So please don't use sarcasm back @ me. I understand how you feel. I don't want to argue. You're talking someone who donates to a small division 3 women's team in addition to Cal and my undergraduate alma mater. My D3 team is actually playing in their NCAA tourney today, a college of 1500. I love women's sports and supporting young women who have wonderful opportunities to play and compete at every level.

I like Charmin. I like Carrie and I like Michelle. Go Bears. Go Crimson. Go Blues. Onward and upward.
annarborbear
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CalWSportsFan said:

You know, I think most people, coaches/athletes, etc. in sports these days are paid too much in the scheme of things. I think there are many people in various jobs throughout our society who work extremely hard and who should be paid better for challenging jobs…teachers, caregivers, etc. That said. I don't determine pay rates for coaches at any level, college or pro. I was simply offering info as to how high salaries are generally. So please don't use sarcasm back @ me. I understand how you feel. I don't want to argue. You're talking someone who donates to a small division 3 women's team in addition to Cal and my undergraduate alma mater. My D3 team is actually playing in their NCAA tourney today, a college of 1500. I love women's sports and supporting young women who have wonderful opportunities to play and compete at every level.

I like Charmin. I like Carrie and I like Michelle. Go Bears. Go Crimson. Go Blues. Onward and upward.

I was not really addressing my comments to anyone in particular. That is why I didn't quote you. But it is hard to believe that we can spend $8 million on a sport, $750,000 on a coach, and then have no performance standards or accountability. Is the WBIT, with a probable attendance of 600-700, supposed to be considered a success? And in last year's NCAA game against Mississippi State, we had 5 assists and 24 TO's. And a year later, we still have huge turnover problems in the first half of our final game against Syracuse, and in many other games. Isn't a coach supposed to fix something like that, especially for this much money? I think both our fans and our student athletes deserve something better than this.

It is great that our team has loyal fans like you. But we had even more fans when we were going to NCAA tournaments almost every year under Gottlieb and Boyle. I remember when we had 10,000 fans at a game against Stanford under Boyle, and 9000 fans at a game against Baylor and Britney Griner under Gottlieb. The fan potential is still out there for a nationally relevant team.
smh
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sorry for your pain. stuff happens, good bad or indifferent. and just sometimes,
if we're really lucky, it's darn special. # live for the moment
# funk trunk
BearBint
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annarborbear said:

CalWSportsFan said:

It is great that our team has loyal fans like you. But we had even more fans when we were going to NCAA tournaments almost every year under Gottlieb and Boyle.



This is not about coaching per se, but about the whole system of college sports slowly becoming a semi-pro system, just as our universities have slowly become corporations. (The fact that transferred athletes can now immediately play, rather than sitting a year, does not help. Covid was probably a factor, too.)

Cal has never been a longstanding "elite" program, but Boyle and Gottlieb coached cohesive four-year teams; Smith has not enjoyed that advantage.
"Don't get distracted, myself. Don't get distracted." Self-talk from a young relative
annarborbear
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BearBint said:

annarborbear said:

CalWSportsFan said:

It is great that our team has loyal fans like you. But we had even more fans when we were going to NCAA tournaments almost every year under Gottlieb and Boyle.



This is not about coaching per se, but about the whole system of college sports slowly becoming a semi-pro system, just as our universities have slowly become corporations. (The fact that transferred athletes can now immediately play, rather than sitting a year, does not help. Covid was probably a factor, too.)

Cal has never been a longstanding "elite" program, but Boyle and Gottlieb coached cohesive four-year teams; Smith has not enjoyed that advantage.

Don't disagree with you on most of that. Although I do think that a long 14 year era of success under Boyle and Gottlieb was no accident. Coaches do make a difference under all circumstances.

I watched Michigan beat Oregon tonight. Michigan had only 9 TO's despite being under constant pressure from Oregon., That is a coaching issue that has been there for us even before this new environment. You can't just tell people to stop turning it over. You have to have a coaching system that addresses it. It was very frustrating to watch what happened with us again in the first half against Syracuse, especially after our people have had a full year of playing together. I am honestly not sure that Charmin knows how to coach that aspect of the game.

I wish that we could appoint Layshia as our Associate Head Coach and future Head Coach-in-Waiting. Charmin could then ask her to address this specific problem.
wvitbear
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Michigan is the problem with college sports. I would never wath a game featuring them. /they r3present what is wrong with college sports.

Byt eh way , even though we had a couple of vig attendance games with Stanford, we only averaged a little over 3,000 a game.
ClayK
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*There is no reason to believe Layshia Clarendon would be a better coach than Charmin Smith. It's possible, of course, but former players with mid-range jump shots do not automatically become elite head coaches.

*The mid-range shot is rare because it must be made a high percentage to be a worthwhile shots. The three primary scoring areas are at the rim, beyond the three and from the free-throw line. A player who is consistent at those three spots can add a mid-range, but unless a player is an exceptional shooter -- as Clarendon was -- the mid-range jumper will lose you more games than it will win you.

*One of the hardest things to coach is ball control. Passing is a processing speed skill, coupled with an instinctual feel for space and player positioning. I have tried and tried to help girls become better passers but it is more a matter of experience and the ability to process lots of information at a high speed under physical and emotional stress. Draymond Green's success is predicated almost solely on his ability to process the game at a very high rate, and success at the NBA level often comes down to the ability to make quick, accurate passes without hesitation. Many elite athletes bomb out because they cannot make decisions quickly enough to utilize their skills.

Of course some players can make the right decision but don't have the physical attributes necessary to execute those decisions at this level.

Take Mjracle. There's a reason she was in the portal, and it's decision-making. She may get better at it -- sometimes it just clicks -- but it is almost impossible to teach/coach.

*The reason Cal women's basketball, and almost all women's basketball programs, lose so much money is that they are primarily in place because of Title IX. Colleges cannot justify the head-to-head disparity of expenses and coaches' salaries to reflect the realities of the income generated by the women's game, so it's just part of the overhead.

Women's postseason tournaments lose tens of millions of dollars each year, and the only reason they exist is that the men have them, and the colleges cannot justify elminating them for the women.
wvitbear
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Clay, you are right about Title IX. We could drop 99% of all the women's programs in the country. They don't pay for them selves. But yu could say that about most minor sports, men's or women's.

Still think a wide open 8 foot shot is better than a congested layup that is blocked.
RedlessWardrobe
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Clay, I tend to agree with your comments about passing to a certain degree. But with this team, so many of our turnovers occur when we are running our half court offense, as opposed to passes that can lead to turnovers when the game is speeded up. Sometimes it appears that the plays we run on the offensive end don't have the right spacing - which ultimately leads to a lot of our turnovers. I'm not sure if this is due to the offense we run itself, or our players' inability to execute it. But for some reason at least the last four seasons we struggle with it. And to a certain degree our personnel has changed over the last four years, thus it's hard to think that some of the problem is due to weak coaching.

Your comment about Mjracle's issue with decision making is spot on. I have a hard time recalling a time seeing a player who can consistently beat their defender off the dribble, and still there is no resulting basket made. And yes, this is something that is hard to teach. Unfair comparison to make, but she needs to get a little Jason Kidd mindset into her game.
HoopDreams
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The bigger issue with Layshia Clarendon is she has no coaching experience. She would be a great assistant but I doubt she would be interested. I think she is a great color person and who knows how far that could take her.




annarborbear
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HoopDreams said:

The bigger issue with Layshia Clarendon is she has no coaching experience. She would be a great assistant but I doubt she would be interested. I think she is a great color person and who knows how far that could take her.






If that won't work, then Charmin needs an honest year-end performance review (by a new boss, hopefully) which recognizes her strengths, but can also be honest with her about her TO issues. Probably need to bring in an unbiased basketball consultant who can review the TO situation and offer some recommendations. She should also talk with some other coaches to see how they handle it themselves. And then some objective performance standard needs to be established in this area.

We continue to lose important games we need to win because of this TO problem.
wvitbear
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The biggest problem is the way the NCAA is structured. If you are going to be professionals then you should model after what professional teams do which is have a salary cap, have a draft to help the weaker teams. But instead we have the Michigan model which is ruining it for everyone else.
annarborbear
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wvitbear said:

The biggest problem is the way the NCAA is structured. If you are going to be professionals then you should model after what professional teams do which is have a salary cap, have a draft to help the weaker teams. But instead we have the Michigan model which is ruining it for everyone else.

Michigan is having the same portal transfer problems as everyone else. Their fans also want the chaos to end. But several rich donors there - Steven Ross and Larry Ellison - keep pumping money in. However, as far as I know, most of their student athletes do still attend classes and most still get degrees. Their best player on their women's team is a business major.

Our own football team just brought in 34 portal transfers. Only a couple of them came from highly rated academic schools. It is a sad era.

And the school that really made this chaos worse was UCLA. They completely sold out for money in moving to the Big Ten.
wvitbear
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I blame the Big Ten for inviting them. why do we need 18 team conferences?
BearBint
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Quote:


It is great that our team has loyal fans like you. But we had even more fans when we were going to NCAA tournaments almost every year under Gottlieb and Boyle. I remember when we had 10,000 fans at a game against Stanford under Boyle, and 9000 fans at a game against Baylor and Britney Griner under Gottlieb. The fan potential is still out there for a nationally relevant team.

Interesting point; apart from the fact that Stanford and Griner were big draws, I wonder how Cal WBB was being marketed back then? I see what appear to be more students in the north bleachers these days, but no real change. "Bring a freakin' friend" is not enough.
"Don't get distracted, myself. Don't get distracted." Self-talk from a young relative
annarborbear
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BearBint said:

Quote:


It is great that our team has loyal fans like you. But we had even more fans when we were going to NCAA tournaments almost every year under Gottlieb and Boyle. I remember when we had 10,000 fans at a game against Stanford under Boyle, and 9000 fans at a game against Baylor and Britney Griner under Gottlieb. The fan potential is still out there for a nationally relevant team.

Interesting point; apart from the fact that Stanford and Griner were big draws, I wonder how Cal WBB was being marketed back then? I see what appear to be more students in the north bleachers these days, but no real change. "Bring a freakin' friend" is not enough.

My recollection was that it was just easier to interest fans in a nationally ranked team and one that also had many well-known local players. I also can't remember having any problems with the game day experience during those years. They respected the idea that you might actually want to be able to talk to the people you were sitting next to.
HoopDreams
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Since Kristine Anigwe, a dominant center and rebounder, Cal offense has been designed to get the ball inside.

Perhaps it's helpful to recruit talented bigs as we've had quite a few good ones.

But I also don't like the constant passes to the post, especially when the defense is set, and ESPECIALLY when we stare down the post and pass against a double/triple

Even if that very risky pass gets through it's not going to be a high percentage shot

Of course in that situation playing inside out might work but we aren't very consistent with that either

The other way we have a ton of turnovers is when a player drives but can't get all the way to the basket. They usually stop their dribble and have no where to go so they try to make an ill advised pass. To improve that players need to keep their dribble and be able to back out, but ball handling is also a weakness on our team

The only strong passer on this team is Maul because she makes passes within the rhythm of the offense and often accurate passes when no one is expecting it

But this season I'm not sure Coach had a choice as this current team has too many weaknesses. But I think the only way to change the offense is to hire a new assistant coach and also sign more shooters

The season has been disappointing as we didn't make the NCAA, but if we had won some of the close games we could have slipped in. That's better than I expected after watching the team early in the season. They improved throughout the year.
wvitbear
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We actually had fewer turnovers during the three seasons of 20/21, 21/22/ and 22/23 than last year. As our team fot better , we turned the ball over more.

During our final four team we had great inside players. . Brandon, Gray and Caldwell, who were great rebounders but we didn't have outside shooting. Boyd and Pierre were poor and even Clarendon wasn't lights out.
wvitbear
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Last years team had more turnovers than this years team and were signicantly better. 18 last year and 16 this year per game. 15 a game when we were horrible.

The Golden State Warriors for years have been a high turnover team And they won a championship doing it.
annarborbear
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wvitbear said:

Last years team had more turnovers than this years team and were signicantly better. 18 last year and 16 this year per game. 15 a game when we were horrible.

The Golden State Warriors for years have been a high turnover team And they won a championship doing it.

The stats to look at are TO's and points off of turnovers against good teams in important games. That is where it really hurts us. Last year's 5 assists and 24 TO's in our NCAA tournament game was the worst I have seen. And yesterday's first half against Syracuse was an instant replay.
BearBint
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annarborbear said:

wvitbear said:

Last years team had more turnovers than this years team and were signicantly better. 18 last year and 16 this year per game. 15 a game when we were horrible.

The Golden State Warriors for years have been a high turnover team And they won a championship doing it.

The stats to look at are TO's and points off of turnovers against good teams in important games. That is where it really hurts us. Last year's 5 assists and 24 TO's in our NCAA tournament game was the worst I have seen. And yesterday's first half against Syracuse was an instant replay.

I also look at rebounding and assists.
"Don't get distracted, myself. Don't get distracted." Self-talk from a young relative
ClayK
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So I thought I'd inject some data into the discussion.

Cal has averaged 15.8 turnovers a game. The best in the nation is Colorado State at 10.3. The worst is Alabama State at 23.8.

The best P4 team is Minnesota at 10.9. The worst is Houston at 18.7. If you take the next two it's 12.2 and 18.3.

Just taking a simple average Cal is slightly worse than the average P4 team. Not great, but not really that ad.

Now this does not take into account pace. A better number would be TO/100 possessions, but my guess it wouldn't be that much different.

Cal actually turns the ball over less than its opponents (+1.7 a game), which may tell more about their defense than offense, but that's a very respectable margin. It's fourth best in the ACC.

Cal also played a freshman point guard for much of the year and had massive roster turnover. Familiarity makes a huge difference when it comes to turnovers because, even in pickup, the better you know who you're playing with, the better your passes will be.

So given all those factors, I'd say Cal is probably about average in terms of P4 turnovers.

More distressing is rebounding -- cue Shocky -- where Cal is 13th. Naya Ojukwu has more rebounds per minute than any other player, though that number is skewed by her exceptional offensive rebounding. The problem with Ojukwu is defense, and there are no accurate defensive metrics, so it's really unknown how much difference she would have made with more minutes.

I will say this: One of the first questions any recruiter asks herself about a recruit is this: Who's she gonna guard?
HoopDreams
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Good stats.

I do think we force the ball to our center in bad ways
annarborbear
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I think you have to look at a different set of numbers to really understand our problem. We will never look really bad on TO's for a season since we play so many weak teams out-of-conference. But in conference, we have ranked 15th this year in Turnover Margin.

And worse yet, here are the stats on Points Off of Turnovers in games this year against strong teams that if we had beaten would have moved our NET ranking up instead of down or sideways:

Points Off of Turnovers

Vandy 19, Cal 13

Auburn 19, Cal 13

Syracuse (1) 27, Cal 17

North Carolina 19, Cal 13

NC State 23, Cal 7

Duke 24, Cal 13

Va Tech 22, Cal 15

Miami 12, Cal 5

Clemson 24, Cal 13

Syracuse (2) 20, Cal 15

Unfortunately, unless you can acknowledge that you have a problem, you will never solve a problem.


gwashburn14
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I think the primary issue with Charmin's teams and turnovers is Cal has been mistake prone regardless of the personnel under her tenure. It's a coaching issue. Against Syracuse a few days ago, there were mistakes such as stepping inbounds before making the inbounds pass, or going 1-on-3 on a break and losing the dribble. Against Mississippi State in last year's tournament, Suarez had eight turnovers in 26 minutes, three of those were on inbounds passes, including running the baseline after a turnover. That is coaching.

When an individual player usually commits a slew of turnovers, they get benched. And maybe I am wrong but I just don't see the discipline where players know if they aren't careful with the ball and make the right play, they're getting benched. Charmin appears to take the turnovers in stride and opposing coaches know the more you pressure Cal, the more mistakes they will make. And the passes in the post is an entirely different issue. The passes to bigs are sloppy and below average at best. I would presume 40 percent of Cal's turnovers are from unforced passes to bigs but it seems the coaching staff doesn't levy any playing time discipline there. Syracuse scored 15 points off turnovers in the first quarter on Wednesday. That lost Cal the game. Sometime has to change with ball security and unforced mistakes.
HoopDreams
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Well Marta averages 3.1 turnovers, slightly lower than her 2 year average at Cal, and I know her TCU coach is trying to improve that because I watched a post game interview where he praised her, but said she needed to improve on her turnovers
annarborbear
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gwashburn14 said:

I think the primary issue with Charmin's teams and turnovers is Cal has been mistake prone regardless of the personnel under her tenure. It's a coaching issue. Against Syracuse a few days ago, there was mistakes such as stepping inbounds before making the inbounds pass, or going 1-on-3 on a break and losing the dribble. Against Mississippi State in last year's tournament, Suarez had eight turnovers in 26 minutes, three of those were on inbounds passes, including running the baseline after a turnover. That is coaching.

When an individual player usually commits a slew of turnovers, they get benched. And maybe I am wrong but I just don't see the discipline where players know if they aren't careful with the ball and make the right play, they're getting benched. Charmin appears to take the turnovers in stride and opposing coaches know the more you pressure Cal, the more mistakes they will make. And the passes in the post is an entirely different issue. The passes to bigs are sloppy and below average at best. I would presume 40 percent of Cal's turnovers are from unforced passes to bigs but it seems the coaching staff doesn't levy any playing time discipline there. Syracuse scored 15 points off turnovers in the first quarter on Wednesday. That lost Cal the game. Sometime has to change with ball security and unforced mistakes.

Not that I want to use Bobby Knight as a total model for our coach. But I do recall one thing he used to say about benching players after turnovers and other mistakes:

"Coach sends player to bench. Bench sends message to butt. Butt sends message to brain. Brain sends message to mouth. Mouth sends message to Coach: "Yes, Coach, I am now ready to correct my mistakes and follow the game plan".

stu
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Quote:

*The mid-range shot is rare because it must be made a high percentage to be a worthwhile shots. The three primary scoring areas are at the rim, beyond the three and from the free-throw line. A player who is consistent at those three spots can add a mid-range, but unless a player is an exceptional shooter -- as Clarendon was -- the mid-range jumper will lose you more games than it will win you.

I remember both Asha and Leilani had a variety of pull-ups and floaters which worked when they were too small to score at the rim with a defender there. However they shot well below 50%.
3Cats4CAL
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HoopDreams said:

Since Kristine Anigwe, a dominant center and rebounder, Cal offense has been designed to get the ball inside.

Perhaps it's helpful to recruit talented bigs as we've had quite a few good ones.

But I also don't like the constant passes to the post, especially when the defense is set, and ESPECIALLY when we stare down the post and pass against a double/triple

Even if that very risky pass gets through it's not going to be a high percentage shot

Of course in that situation playing inside out might work but we aren't very consistent with that either

The other way we have a ton of turnovers is when a player drives but can't get all the way to the basket. They usually stop their dribble and have no where to go so they try to make an ill advised pass. To improve that players need to keep their dribble and be able to back out, but ball handling is also a weakness on our team

The only strong passer on this team is Maul because she makes passes within the rhythm of the offense and often accurate passes when no one is expecting it

But this season I'm not sure Coach had a choice as this current team has too many weaknesses. But I think the only way to change the offense is to hire a new assistant coach and also sign more shooters

The season has been disappointing as we didn't make the NCAA, but if we had won some of the close games we could have slipped in. That's better than I expected after watching the team early in the season. They improved throughout the year.


So which assistant coach(s) are responsible for the poor offense and should be replaced? And is Charmon willing to get rid of them?
 
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