UrsusArctosCalifornicus said:
5 STORYLINES TO WATCH AT THE 2019 MINNESOTA INVITE
Texas, Cal to Clash in Minnesota Invite in Biggest Invitational of the Year: Nine Races You Will Not Want to MissMen's 500 FreeKey Players: Felix Aubck, Michigan (4:15.91); Ricardo Vargas, Michigan (4:15.90); Brooks Fail, Arizona (4:25.25); Sean Grieshop, Cal
Nation-Leading Time: 4:12.19, Mark Theall, Texas A&M
The 500 can be one of the most exciting races in any meet if it comes down to the finish. Race and strategy play a big part and this weekend's meet in Minnesota should be no different. The second, third, and fourth place finishers at NCAAs last year will be present at the Minnesota Invite, and none of those three are the early favorite to win this year. That distinction belongs to Michigan senior
Felix Aubck, who had a disastrous 500 at NCAAs, falling out of the top 16 after coming in as the top seed.
Cal's
Sean Grieshop (2nd), Arizona's
Brooks Fail (3rd), and Michigan's
Ricardo Vargas (4th) were all finalists at NCAAs last year and are the fastest returners coming into this year with the graduation of three-time champ
Townley Haas. Aubck was a 4:09 at Big Ten's last year and was third at NCAAs in 2017 and second in 2018. He and Vargas have the top two times out of these schools this season with both of them putting up 4:15's at Michigan's intrasquad meet in October. It is safe to say that whoever comes out of this weekend's meet in this event will be the favorite for the NCAA title come March, and a nation-leading time is possible as well.
Men's 50 FreeKey Players: Ryan Hoffer, Cal (19.57); Daniel Krueger, Texas (19.72); Pawel Sendyk, Cal (19.75); Gus Borges, Michigan (19.77)
Nation-Leading Time: 19.10, Blaise Vera, Pittsburgh
Last year's defending NCAA champion
Ryan Hoffer is one of just two defending champions that is returning this season to defend his title (the other being Michigan's
Felix Aubck in the 1650). But Hoffer will have his hands full this weekend; not only with last year's runner-up and Cal teammate
Pawel Sendyk, but Texas sophomore
Daniel Krueger. Krueger has been on fire this fall for the Longhorns as he is experiencing a nice sophomore burst this season, something Hoffer had last season
when he broke out to win his first title.
It is very possible that four guys will break 19 seconds this weekend, at the Minnesota Invite something no one has done this season. And it is very possible that Hoffer might not touch first. Of course, what happens this weekend will not necessarily mean much in terms of the big picture of this season (Hoffer was tied for 14th after mid-season last year), but like a football game, this will be Krueger's first test to see if he is for real in terms of vying for a national title.
Men's 400 IMKey Players: Charlie Swanson, Michigan (3:45.77); Hugo Gonzalez, Cal (3:48.90); Jake Foster, Texas (3:49.31); Sean Grieshop, Cal (3:54.39)
Nation-Leading Time: 3:42.14, Clayton Forde, Georgia
The men's 400 IM is one of the wide open events this season with two-time defending champion
Abrahm DeVine graduating. Cal's
Sean Grieshop was second last season at NCAAs but has been a little off this season, only registering a 3:54 at Cal's triple distance meet. That doesn't necessarily mean Grieshop is out of shape per-se but he will be in a stacked race with this summer's breakout star
Charlie Swanson of Michigan.
At the Pan American Games in August, Swanson won the 400 IM with a 4:11, which would have won him a medal at the World Championships and put him fourth in the world. And yet, nobody seems to be talking about him. Swanson has quietly become a favorite to make it to Tokyo next summer and we will see what he has for an encore in short course this weekend when he lines up alongside Cal's
Hugo Gonzalez and Texas super freshman
Jake Foster.
Gonzalez is in his first season at Cal after taking last year off and transferring from Auburn where he was a 3:35 in 2018. If he is anywhere close to his 2018 status, then he will be tough to beat. We just have not seen that from Gonzalez yet this season. Foster has been a 3:49 this year and a 4:15 this summer. He may be a year away in terms of a contender in the NCAA title race, but he will definitely be a factor this weekend against some of the nation's best.
Men's 200 BackKey Players: Austin Katz, Texas (1:43.27); Ryan Harty, Texas (1:43.48); Bryce Mefford, Cal (1:44.68); Daniel Carr, Cal (1:45.73)
Nation-Leading Time: 1:38.21, Shaine Casas, Texas A&M
Three of last year's NCAA A-Finalists return to the Minnesota Invite this weekend, led by Texas junior
Austin Katz, who was two seconds faster than Cal's
Bryce Mefford and
Daniel Carr in last year's A-Final. Katz looks to be the heavy favorite this weekend after he won the World University Games and was fifth in this summer's World University Games. However, he will match up with Pan American Games gold medalist
Daniel Carr of Cal. Although he was a 1:58 in Lima compared to Katz's 1:55 in Naples, the two juniors will certainly be a race to watch this weekend.
Texas A&M's
Shaine Casas put up a 1:38 at the Art Adamson Invite and that will be in the back of these guy's minds as they race against each other this weekend. Not to be counted out is Texas senior
Ryan Harty, who has also been a 1:43 in a dual meet this season along with Katz. Harty was the B-Final champ at NCAAs last season with a 1:39 and will definitely be a big piece for Texas this season in chasing a national title.
Men's 200 BreastKey Players: Reece Whitley, Cal (1:53.49); Tommy Cope, Michigan (1:54.82); Max McHugh, Minnesota (1:56.41); Charlie Swanson, Michigan (1:57.05); Caspar Corbeau, Texas (1:57.65)
Nation-Leading Time: 1:52.48, Andres Puente Bustamante, Texas A&M
Cal sophomore
Reece Whitley has been on fire this season. After
winning his first national title over the summer, Whitley swum a 1:53.49 in the 200 breast at the Cal triple distance meet with Stanford. To put that into perspective into how fast it was, he currently sits fourth in Division I behind three swims from November invites and Whitley wasn't even suited! He was a 1:50.8 at NCAAs for fifth last year but was a 1:55 at the same triple distance meet last season and was a 1:52 at the Georgia Invite. Whitley is already well ahead of where he was last season and the rest of the nation will certainly be taking notice when he lines up behind the blocks in Minnesota.
But Whitley might not be all by himself in the 200 like we keep hyping up. Minnesota sophomore
Max McHugh was the NCAA runner-up last season with a 1:49.4 and will be swimming in his home pool this weekend. McHugh and Whitley are the two best high school breaststrokers all-time based on times, and will be matching up this weekend. McHugh might be better at the 100, but has an equally impressive 200 as he beat Whitley last March in Austin. And McHugh is ahead of where he was last season as well with his 1:58 in-season best from last fall and 1:56 this year. It should be a quick race and who knows a sub-1:50 might even be possible?
Not to be counted out is Texas freshman
Caspar Corbeau. The 6'6 freshman has been hyped up by
Eddie Reese as the "best breaststroker in the world" who just does not have the build to compete with the best in the globe. He has been a 1:57 in a duel this season and will have a chance to showcase his talent against two of the best guys in the nation in Whitley and McHugh.