Interest Rate

11,088 Views | 83 Replies | Last: 1 yr ago by 82gradDLSdad
bearister
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Inflation is coming and Americans' fear of it could become self-fulfilling - Axios


https://www.axios.com/inflation-rising-panic-consumer-prices-d5f1875b-2ab7-4839-aeaf-65de7a2044f1.html
Cancel my subscription to the Resurrection
Send my credentials to the House of Detention
I got some friends inside
“98 yards with my boys” Yeah, sure.
dajo9
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bearister said:

Inflation is coming and Americans' fear of it could become self-fulfilling - Axios


https://www.axios.com/inflation-rising-panic-consumer-prices-d5f1875b-2ab7-4839-aeaf-65de7a2044f1.html
I like this article because it kind of concisely frames all the narratives. I especially like them dragging out Laurence summers to present the high inflation argument because of "expectations". Inflation caused by "expectations" is basically the failed argument that Summers learned back in the 1970's when policymakers had zero clue about how they were causing inflation. The Fed pumped up the money supply and back then our economy was structured so that money went to consumers - therefore they got inflation and blamed it on "expectations" (our economy now is designed to keep money with the wealthy so the Fed pumps up the money supply and asset prices go up. They have learned nothing. They can't figure out why pumping up the money supply leads to different economic responses at different times). I was still learning that "expectations" nonsense at Berkeley back in the 1990's. Laurence Summers is the epitome of the Paul Krugman quote that "it is better for your career to be conventionally wrong than to be right".

The reason why inflation won't persist is because too many consumers are struggling to get by. Vendors can't jack up prices when people can't afford to pay. Bubble people like Laurence Summers and most Wall Street types can't fathom this.

Now, if we get a strong Covid recovery and a huge infrastructure project and some gains on minimum wages - then we might get some much needed wage based persistent inflation. We are a long way away from worrying about that.
hanky1
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Bitcoin
dajo9
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hanky1 said:

Bitcoin
Proof the rich are undertaxed
hanky1
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dajo9 said:

hanky1 said:

Bitcoin
Proof the rich are undertaxed


It's an asset that's untethered from politics. Money for the masses.
dajo9
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hanky1 said:

dajo9 said:

hanky1 said:

Bitcoin
Proof the rich are undertaxed


It's an asset that's untethered from politics. Money for the masses.
Sure. The masses are buying assets at $60,000 each.
hanky1
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dajo9 said:

hanky1 said:

dajo9 said:

hanky1 said:

Bitcoin
Proof the rich are undertaxed


It's an asset that's untethered from politics. Money for the masses.
Sure. The masses are buying assets at $60,000 each.


You can buy a Satoshis for a few bucks.
dajo9
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hanky1 said:

dajo9 said:

hanky1 said:

dajo9 said:

hanky1 said:

Bitcoin
Proof the rich are undertaxed


It's an asset that's untethered from politics. Money for the masses.
Sure. The masses are buying assets at $60,000 each.


You can buy a Satoshis for a few bucks.
All the rage on Main Street
AunBear89
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Combative Dick said:

bearister said:

Actual Title
Inflation will rise. Don't panic.

https://www.axios.com/inflation-rising-panic-consumer-prices-d5f1875b-2ab7-4839-aeaf-65de7a2044f1.html
Fixed it for you.

Also from the article:
Quote:

"I was born in 1970," said Harvard's Jason Furman on Twitter. "Anyone born earlier was overly scarred by inflation. And anyone born later doesn't have enough experience with it to really understand."
This will save us a lot of time on this subject, as you can all just now accept that I am the most knowledgeable person on this topic in this forum.

dajo9
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Combative Dick said:

dajo9 said:


Laurence Summers is the epitome of the Paul Krugman quote that "it is better for your career to be conventionally wrong than to be right".
Worked out great for Paul Krugman






Seriously though man, how do you keep walking into these? If you were a pitcher, you would have an infinite ERA.



From a guy who thinks Matt Taibbi and Glenn Greenwood are relevant.

Let me explain something to a political neophyte like you. Paul Krugman was on an island in the media outlining the errors of the George W Bush Administration in real time before you even cared to get involved.
dajo9
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And this sequence is why I'm not too worried about persistent inflation



dajo9
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This is purely antidotal but I talked with a homebuilder in my community yesterday. He said that because of high lumber prices he has stopped doing all work except for what he is contractually obligated to do.

You can't have inflation when consumers won't / can't put up the money. Instead you get reduced business activity until input prices normalize. If a business COULD charge a higher price, they already would be, regardless of input prices - if they are good at business.
concordtom
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Mr. Dajo,
What is your opinion on this theme called Japanification?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4375527-japanification-of-united-states-is-complete
dajo9
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concordtom said:

Mr. Dajo,
What is your opinion on this theme called Japanification?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4375527-japanification-of-united-states-is-complete
The United States and Japan suffer from the same problem - wealth inequality. The concept of Japanification is a misdiagnosis of the problem, in which the government is blamed for natural impacts of capitalism. In capitalism, the quest for efficiency is a process that naturally consolidates means of production and wealth. Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism. But people who want to believe in free markets find ways to blame the government. The "Monetary Death Spiral" described in the article is a perfect example of blaming the government for the effects of capitalism.

Before you go and google Japan wealth inequality and say that Japan does not have wealth inequality, you need to consider the impacts of Japanese businesses. Japan's businesses have been hoarding cash for decades. The wealth is hidden away in these companies, and therefore Japan actually scores very well on wealth inequality measures. But the economic impact of corporate wealth inequality is the same as individual wealth inequality.

Japan borrows from cash hoarding businesses (and their central bank) while the United States borrows from cash hoarding individuals (and our central bank). They both need to be taxed higher and the money spent on the middle class.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-biggest-failure-of-abenomics-japan-inc-is-still-hoarding-cash-51599253201
concordtom
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Turning Japanese said:

concordtom said:

Mr. Dajo,
What is your opinion on this theme called Japanification?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4375527-japanification-of-united-states-is-complete
That article is horseshyt. When I look to try to understand the economy, I don't look to real estate agents for advice.

You need to stop looking for stuff that confirms your biases (which are intractable) and look for stuff that reflects the world that actually exists, not the one that you've convinced yourself exists in your mind.
    Japanification" is the process of other countries' economies becoming like that of Japan: flatlined, with little to no growth or inflation and interest rates stuck at zero indefinitely.
The only reason I included that article is for the definition in the opening (above).
It's a concept that has been written about in many places, perhaps with some variances.

If you don't like the article, I'm sorry. I'm not going to stand by it (I didn't even read it - was just looking for the opening definition and assumed the rest of the article would be good.) At any rate, you now have heard the term.

The term "Japanification" caught my eye some months ago because when interest rates plummeted in 2008/9 I saw the long term chart and figured that we would return to norm, as we had been far below decades long rates. More than a decade later, that hasn't happened. Japanification suggests it may NOT happen.

Treasury rates going back to 1960:


Nikkei stock index levels remain unchanged going back to mid 80's. Can you imagine if US stock investors saw essentially ZERO appreciation for 35 years?????


Anarchistbear
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Turning Japanese said:

concordtom said:

Mr. Dajo,
What is your opinion on this theme called Japanification?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4375527-japanification-of-united-states-is-complete
That article is horseshyt. When I look to try to understand the economy, I don't look to real estate agents for advice.

You need to stop looking for stuff that confirms your biases (which are intractable) and look for stuff that reflects the world that actually exists, not the one that you've convinced yourself exists in your mind.


I think I'm turning Japanese. I really think so.
concordtom
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dajo9 said:

concordtom said:

Mr. Dajo,
What is your opinion on this theme called Japanification?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4375527-japanification-of-united-states-is-complete
The United States and Japan suffer from the same problem - wealth inequality. The concept of Japanification is a misdiagnosis of the problem, in which the government is blamed for natural impacts of capitalism. In capitalism, the quest for efficiency is a process that naturally consolidates means of production and wealth. Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism. But people who want to believe in free markets find ways to blame the government. The "Monetary Death Spiral" described in the article is a perfect example of blaming the government for the effects of capitalism.

Before you go and google Japan wealth inequality and say that Japan does not have wealth inequality, you need to consider the impacts of Japanese businesses. Japan's businesses have been hoarding cash for decades. The wealth is hidden away in these companies, and therefore Japan actually scores very well on wealth inequality measures. But the economic impact of corporate wealth inequality is the same as individual wealth inequality.

Japan borrows from cash hoarding businesses (and their central bank) while the United States borrows from cash hoarding individuals (and our central bank). They both need to be taxed higher and the money spent on the middle class.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-biggest-failure-of-abenomics-japan-inc-is-still-hoarding-cash-51599253201
Thank you, Dajo:

My 19 year old daughter has surprised me recently by continually attacking "capitalism". Sometimes I don't even think she knows what it is. I have tried to have conversation with her about this.

Some of the (general understanding, non-textbook) things I have been able to say off the top of my head in between her breaths of accusation:
  • Capitalism is distinct from socialism or communism where individual actors (people/businesses) determine and own the means of production/consumption - not the central government.
  • Capitalism allows the "invisible hand" forces of supply and demand of the market place to determine what gets produced/consumed, and at what prices.
  • I believe in the best and most efficient use of capital, while adding in "externalities", such as adding a cost (or outright banning thru regulation) to pollution or local/global resources consumption and depletion.
  • Capitalism harnesses innovation via the risk/reward of a return on capital invested. Take away the reward and nobody would risk.
  • Central government planned economy (communist) USSR failed because it is killed individual motivation to produce/invent. That's what you get when you take away the risk/reward factor of a "capitalist" economy.
  • Popular memes on social media that "you (daughter)" are reading which criticize "capitalism" are shortsighted. You don't even know how to think your way through this. Take a few economics classes and come back and see me (okay, I didn't talk to her like that, but that's what I tried to gently convey.)
  • Capitalism causes wealth inequality (as you say, Dajo) and so we need to work to resolve that. I gave her the link to Cal's Gabriel Zucman talk about how we effectively have a "flat tax" in the US, and need to return to a "progressive" tax system - via his proposal for a wealth tax, which I believe was the basis for Elizabeth Warren's plan. Watch minutes 7 thru 20 if interested.

So, when you say above, "Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism", what sort of proposals might you suggest?
concordtom
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Turning Japanese said:

concordtom said:


Thank you, Dajo:

My 19 year old daughter has surprised me recently by continually attacking "capitalism". Sometimes I don't even think she knows what it is. I have tried to have conversation with her about this.
Good to hear your daughter is thinking for herself. You should learn to have a more open mind like hers.
I do have an open mind. That's why I asked Dajo for his opinion on this subject here, and on Deficit and Debt levels in another thread.
You? I'm not interested in hearing what you have to say. I'm closed to what you, Hanky, and BF2 have to say.

Plenty of other people here also interest me! They know who they are!
hanky1
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concordtom said:

Turning Japanese said:

concordtom said:


Thank you, Dajo:

My 19 year old daughter has surprised me recently by continually attacking "capitalism". Sometimes I don't even think she knows what it is. I have tried to have conversation with her about this.
Good to hear your daughter is thinking for herself. You should learn to have a more open mind like hers.
I do have an open mind. That's why I asked Dajo for his opinion on this subject here, and on Deficit and Debt levels in another thread.
You? I'm not interested in hearing what you have to say. I'm closed to what you, Hanky, and BF2 have to say.

Plenty of other people here also interest me! They know who they are!


Do you want to know what I think about debt levels?
concordtom
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hanky1 said:

concordtom said:

Turning Japanese said:

concordtom said:


Thank you, Dajo:

My 19 year old daughter has surprised me recently by continually attacking "capitalism". Sometimes I don't even think she knows what it is. I have tried to have conversation with her about this.
Good to hear your daughter is thinking for herself. You should learn to have a more open mind like hers.
I do have an open mind. That's why I asked Dajo for his opinion on this subject here, and on Deficit and Debt levels in another thread.
You? I'm not interested in hearing what you have to say. I'm closed to what you, Hanky, and BF2 have to say.

Plenty of other people here also interest me! They know who they are!


Do you want to know what I think about debt levels?
Debt levels? Sure.
Please just try to keep it economic and don't get into political parties, or other nonsense (I imagine you know what I'm talking about). Thx.
dajo9
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concordtom said:

hanky1 said:

concordtom said:

Turning Japanese said:

concordtom said:


Thank you, Dajo:

My 19 year old daughter has surprised me recently by continually attacking "capitalism". Sometimes I don't even think she knows what it is. I have tried to have conversation with her about this.
Good to hear your daughter is thinking for herself. You should learn to have a more open mind like hers.
I do have an open mind. That's why I asked Dajo for his opinion on this subject here, and on Deficit and Debt levels in another thread.
You? I'm not interested in hearing what you have to say. I'm closed to what you, Hanky, and BF2 have to say.

Plenty of other people here also interest me! They know who they are!


Do you want to know what I think about debt levels?
Debt levels? Sure.
Please just try to keep it economic and don't get into political parties, or other nonsense (I imagine you know what I'm talking about). Thx.


Hanky thinks debt is bad when Democrats are President and best not talked about when Republicans are President.
dajo9
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concordtom said:

dajo9 said:

concordtom said:

Mr. Dajo,
What is your opinion on this theme called Japanification?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4375527-japanification-of-united-states-is-complete
The United States and Japan suffer from the same problem - wealth inequality. The concept of Japanification is a misdiagnosis of the problem, in which the government is blamed for natural impacts of capitalism. In capitalism, the quest for efficiency is a process that naturally consolidates means of production and wealth. Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism. But people who want to believe in free markets find ways to blame the government. The "Monetary Death Spiral" described in the article is a perfect example of blaming the government for the effects of capitalism.

Before you go and google Japan wealth inequality and say that Japan does not have wealth inequality, you need to consider the impacts of Japanese businesses. Japan's businesses have been hoarding cash for decades. The wealth is hidden away in these companies, and therefore Japan actually scores very well on wealth inequality measures. But the economic impact of corporate wealth inequality is the same as individual wealth inequality.

Japan borrows from cash hoarding businesses (and their central bank) while the United States borrows from cash hoarding individuals (and our central bank). They both need to be taxed higher and the money spent on the middle class.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-biggest-failure-of-abenomics-japan-inc-is-still-hoarding-cash-51599253201
Thank you, Dajo:

My 19 year old daughter has surprised me recently by continually attacking "capitalism". Sometimes I don't even think she knows what it is. I have tried to have conversation with her about this.

Some of the (general understanding, non-textbook) things I have been able to say off the top of my head in between her breaths of accusation:
  • Capitalism is distinct from socialism or communism where individual actors (people/businesses) determine and own the means of production/consumption - not the central government.
  • Capitalism allows the "invisible hand" forces of supply and demand of the market place to determine what gets produced/consumed, and at what prices.
  • I believe in the best and most efficient use of capital, while adding in "externalities", such as adding a cost (or outright banning thru regulation) to pollution or local/global resources consumption and depletion.
  • Capitalism harnesses innovation via the risk/reward of a return on capital invested. Take away the reward and nobody would risk.
  • Central government planned economy (communist) USSR failed because it is killed individual motivation to produce/invent. That's what you get when you take away the risk/reward factor of a "capitalist" economy.
  • Popular memes on social media that "you (daughter)" are reading which criticize "capitalism" are shortsighted. You don't even know how to think your way through this. Take a few economics classes and come back and see me (okay, I didn't talk to her like that, but that's what I tried to gently convey.)
  • Capitalism causes wealth inequality (as you say, Dajo) and so we need to work to resolve that. I gave her the link to Cal's Gabriel Zucman talk about how we effectively have a "flat tax" in the US, and need to return to a "progressive" tax system - via his proposal for a wealth tax, which I believe was the basis for Elizabeth Warren's plan. Watch minutes 7 thru 20 if interested.

So, when you say above, "Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism", what sort of proposals might you suggest?


Tax the rich and provide healthcare to everybody and build bridges. Also, raise the minimum wage.
AunBear89
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hanky1 said:

concordtom said:

Turning Japanese said:

concordtom said:


Thank you, Dajo:

My 19 year old daughter has surprised me recently by continually attacking "capitalism". Sometimes I don't even think she knows what it is. I have tried to have conversation with her about this.
Good to hear your daughter is thinking for herself. You should learn to have a more open mind like hers.
I do have an open mind. That's why I asked Dajo for his opinion on this subject here, and on Deficit and Debt levels in another thread.
You? I'm not interested in hearing what you have to say. I'm closed to what you, Hanky, and BF2 have to say.

Plenty of other people here also interest me! They know who they are!


Do you want to know what I think about debt levels?

I doubt there are more than a couple here that want to know why you think about anything. Your opinions are predictable and abhorrent.
hanky1
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AunBear89 said:

hanky1 said:

concordtom said:

Turning Japanese said:

concordtom said:


Thank you, Dajo:

My 19 year old daughter has surprised me recently by continually attacking "capitalism". Sometimes I don't even think she knows what it is. I have tried to have conversation with her about this.
Good to hear your daughter is thinking for herself. You should learn to have a more open mind like hers.
I do have an open mind. That's why I asked Dajo for his opinion on this subject here, and on Deficit and Debt levels in another thread.
You? I'm not interested in hearing what you have to say. I'm closed to what you, Hanky, and BF2 have to say.

Plenty of other people here also interest me! They know who they are!


Do you want to know what I think about debt levels?

I doubt there are more than a couple here that want to know why you think about anything. Your opinions are predictable and abhorrent.


You hurt my feelings. I'm going to go home and cry now.
AunBear89
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And your sense of humor is stuck in Junior High School.
hanky1
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AunBear89 said:

And your sense of humor is stuck in Junior High School.



*cry
LMK5
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concordtom said:

dajo9 said:

concordtom said:

Mr. Dajo,
What is your opinion on this theme called Japanification?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4375527-japanification-of-united-states-is-complete
The United States and Japan suffer from the same problem - wealth inequality. The concept of Japanification is a misdiagnosis of the problem, in which the government is blamed for natural impacts of capitalism. In capitalism, the quest for efficiency is a process that naturally consolidates means of production and wealth. Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism. But people who want to believe in free markets find ways to blame the government. The "Monetary Death Spiral" described in the article is a perfect example of blaming the government for the effects of capitalism.

Before you go and google Japan wealth inequality and say that Japan does not have wealth inequality, you need to consider the impacts of Japanese businesses. Japan's businesses have been hoarding cash for decades. The wealth is hidden away in these companies, and therefore Japan actually scores very well on wealth inequality measures. But the economic impact of corporate wealth inequality is the same as individual wealth inequality.

Japan borrows from cash hoarding businesses (and their central bank) while the United States borrows from cash hoarding individuals (and our central bank). They both need to be taxed higher and the money spent on the middle class.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-biggest-failure-of-abenomics-japan-inc-is-still-hoarding-cash-51599253201
Thank you, Dajo:

My 19 year old daughter has surprised me recently by continually attacking "capitalism". Sometimes I don't even think she knows what it is. I have tried to have conversation with her about this.

Some of the (general understanding, non-textbook) things I have been able to say off the top of my head in between her breaths of accusation:
  • Capitalism is distinct from socialism or communism where individual actors (people/businesses) determine and own the means of production/consumption - not the central government.
  • Capitalism allows the "invisible hand" forces of supply and demand of the market place to determine what gets produced/consumed, and at what prices.
  • I believe in the best and most efficient use of capital, while adding in "externalities", such as adding a cost (or outright banning thru regulation) to pollution or local/global resources consumption and depletion.
  • Capitalism harnesses innovation via the risk/reward of a return on capital invested. Take away the reward and nobody would risk.
  • Central government planned economy (communist) USSR failed because it is killed individual motivation to produce/invent. That's what you get when you take away the risk/reward factor of a "capitalist" economy.
  • Popular memes on social media that "you (daughter)" are reading which criticize "capitalism" are shortsighted. You don't even know how to think your way through this. Take a few economics classes and come back and see me (okay, I didn't talk to her like that, but that's what I tried to gently convey.)
  • Capitalism causes wealth inequality (as you say, Dajo) and so we need to work to resolve that. I gave her the link to Cal's Gabriel Zucman talk about how we effectively have a "flat tax" in the US, and need to return to a "progressive" tax system - via his proposal for a wealth tax, which I believe was the basis for Elizabeth Warren's plan. Watch minutes 7 thru 20 if interested.

So, when you say above, "Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism", what sort of proposals might you suggest?
It's great that your daughter is willing to have a discussion. I also have 2 daughters about the same age. I agree with your talking points. My daughters have grandparents and other relatives who grew up under socialist and communist systems, so they know about those firsthand. Their uncle from Cuba visited here a couple of years ago, and when given a strawberry, he told us it was the first one he'd ever seen in his life! Sadly, many of our youth, including lots of Cal students, embrace these systems without ever learning the effects on everyday people. They're proud of their Che' t-shirts.

I grew up in the 70s.They were awful times. Inflation was talked about constantly, we waited in gas lines, and businesses were closing. For the first time, a car's gas cap came with a lock. Our landlord didn't give us the heat we needed because heating oil prices were so high. My grandfather, a retired shop-owner at the time, used to recoil at the sight of closed small businesses in our area of northern New Jersey. Yet, wages of blue collar workers were comparatively high, and unions were quite strong, but I don't remember people living well. My friends' parents were always concerned about money.

People used to be able to buy cars more frequently back then, but the quality was also terrible (Japanese cars were just beginning to penetrate the market). Water and air pollution were major issues of the day. Remember Lake Erie catching fire in Cleveland? For a quick recalibration of what those times were like, one should review Carter's famous "Malaise" speech: https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=106508243

I know quite a few people who grew up in the old USSR under their centrally-planned system. Boy do they have stories to tell of the shortages and inefficiencies they witnessed, not to mention the hypocrisy of the party members who lived like financiers. Citizens learned to become masters at working around entrenched "systems." Their experiences seemed to have destroyed their trust in authority of any kind.

Capitalism certainly does have its issues, but for now it seems to be the best of the worst.
The truth lies somewhere between CNN and Fox.
dajo9
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LMK5 said:

concordtom said:

dajo9 said:

concordtom said:

Mr. Dajo,
What is your opinion on this theme called Japanification?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4375527-japanification-of-united-states-is-complete
The United States and Japan suffer from the same problem - wealth inequality. The concept of Japanification is a misdiagnosis of the problem, in which the government is blamed for natural impacts of capitalism. In capitalism, the quest for efficiency is a process that naturally consolidates means of production and wealth. Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism. But people who want to believe in free markets find ways to blame the government. The "Monetary Death Spiral" described in the article is a perfect example of blaming the government for the effects of capitalism.

Before you go and google Japan wealth inequality and say that Japan does not have wealth inequality, you need to consider the impacts of Japanese businesses. Japan's businesses have been hoarding cash for decades. The wealth is hidden away in these companies, and therefore Japan actually scores very well on wealth inequality measures. But the economic impact of corporate wealth inequality is the same as individual wealth inequality.

Japan borrows from cash hoarding businesses (and their central bank) while the United States borrows from cash hoarding individuals (and our central bank). They both need to be taxed higher and the money spent on the middle class.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-biggest-failure-of-abenomics-japan-inc-is-still-hoarding-cash-51599253201
Thank you, Dajo:

My 19 year old daughter has surprised me recently by continually attacking "capitalism". Sometimes I don't even think she knows what it is. I have tried to have conversation with her about this.

Some of the (general understanding, non-textbook) things I have been able to say off the top of my head in between her breaths of accusation:
  • Capitalism is distinct from socialism or communism where individual actors (people/businesses) determine and own the means of production/consumption - not the central government.
  • Capitalism allows the "invisible hand" forces of supply and demand of the market place to determine what gets produced/consumed, and at what prices.
  • I believe in the best and most efficient use of capital, while adding in "externalities", such as adding a cost (or outright banning thru regulation) to pollution or local/global resources consumption and depletion.
  • Capitalism harnesses innovation via the risk/reward of a return on capital invested. Take away the reward and nobody would risk.
  • Central government planned economy (communist) USSR failed because it is killed individual motivation to produce/invent. That's what you get when you take away the risk/reward factor of a "capitalist" economy.
  • Popular memes on social media that "you (daughter)" are reading which criticize "capitalism" are shortsighted. You don't even know how to think your way through this. Take a few economics classes and come back and see me (okay, I didn't talk to her like that, but that's what I tried to gently convey.)
  • Capitalism causes wealth inequality (as you say, Dajo) and so we need to work to resolve that. I gave her the link to Cal's Gabriel Zucman talk about how we effectively have a "flat tax" in the US, and need to return to a "progressive" tax system - via his proposal for a wealth tax, which I believe was the basis for Elizabeth Warren's plan. Watch minutes 7 thru 20 if interested.

So, when you say above, "Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism", what sort of proposals might you suggest?
It's great that your daughter is willing to have a discussion. I also have 2 daughters about the same age. I agree with your talking points. My daughters have grandparents and other relatives who grew up under socialist and communist systems, so they know about those firsthand. Their uncle from Cuba visited here a couple of years ago, and when given a strawberry, he told us it was the first one he'd ever seen in his life! Sadly, many of our youth, including lots of Cal students, embrace these systems without ever learning the effects on everyday people. They're proud of their Che' t-shirts.

I grew up in the 70s.They were awful times. Inflation was talked about constantly, we waited in gas lines, and businesses were closing. For the first time, a car's gas cap came with a lock. Our landlord didn't give us the heat we needed because heating oil prices were so high. My grandfather, a retired shop-owner at the time, used to recoil at the sight of closed small businesses in our area of northern New Jersey. Yet, wages of blue collar workers were comparatively high, and unions were quite strong, but I don't remember people living well. My friends' parents were always concerned about money.

People used to be able to buy cars more frequently back then, but the quality was also terrible (Japanese cars were just beginning to penetrate the market). Water and air pollution were major issues of the day. Remember Lake Erie catching fire in Cleveland? For a quick recalibration of what those times were like, one should review Carter's famous "Malaise" speech: https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=106508243

I know quite a few people who grew up in the old USSR under their centrally-planned system. Boy do they have stories to tell of the shortages and inefficiencies they witnessed, not to mention the hypocrisy of the party members who lived like financiers. Citizens learned to become masters at working around entrenched "systems." Their experiences seemed to have destroyed their trust in authority of any kind.

Capitalism certainly does have its issues, but for now it seems to be the best of the worst.


Speaking of "working around" communist systems - I read a great historical fiction book called "Red Plenty" about Soviet Union economics. In the U.S. we have salespeople who try to push goods on people. In the Soviet Union if you wanted something, you hired a "buyer" who could work connections to find a seller. Kind of an amazing flip of things we take for granted, if you think about it.
LMK5
How long do you want to ignore this user?
dajo9 said:

LMK5 said:

concordtom said:

dajo9 said:

concordtom said:

Mr. Dajo,
What is your opinion on this theme called Japanification?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4375527-japanification-of-united-states-is-complete
The United States and Japan suffer from the same problem - wealth inequality. The concept of Japanification is a misdiagnosis of the problem, in which the government is blamed for natural impacts of capitalism. In capitalism, the quest for efficiency is a process that naturally consolidates means of production and wealth. Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism. But people who want to believe in free markets find ways to blame the government. The "Monetary Death Spiral" described in the article is a perfect example of blaming the government for the effects of capitalism.

Before you go and google Japan wealth inequality and say that Japan does not have wealth inequality, you need to consider the impacts of Japanese businesses. Japan's businesses have been hoarding cash for decades. The wealth is hidden away in these companies, and therefore Japan actually scores very well on wealth inequality measures. But the economic impact of corporate wealth inequality is the same as individual wealth inequality.

Japan borrows from cash hoarding businesses (and their central bank) while the United States borrows from cash hoarding individuals (and our central bank). They both need to be taxed higher and the money spent on the middle class.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-biggest-failure-of-abenomics-japan-inc-is-still-hoarding-cash-51599253201
Thank you, Dajo:

My 19 year old daughter has surprised me recently by continually attacking "capitalism". Sometimes I don't even think she knows what it is. I have tried to have conversation with her about this.

Some of the (general understanding, non-textbook) things I have been able to say off the top of my head in between her breaths of accusation:
  • Capitalism is distinct from socialism or communism where individual actors (people/businesses) determine and own the means of production/consumption - not the central government.
  • Capitalism allows the "invisible hand" forces of supply and demand of the market place to determine what gets produced/consumed, and at what prices.
  • I believe in the best and most efficient use of capital, while adding in "externalities", such as adding a cost (or outright banning thru regulation) to pollution or local/global resources consumption and depletion.
  • Capitalism harnesses innovation via the risk/reward of a return on capital invested. Take away the reward and nobody would risk.
  • Central government planned economy (communist) USSR failed because it is killed individual motivation to produce/invent. That's what you get when you take away the risk/reward factor of a "capitalist" economy.
  • Popular memes on social media that "you (daughter)" are reading which criticize "capitalism" are shortsighted. You don't even know how to think your way through this. Take a few economics classes and come back and see me (okay, I didn't talk to her like that, but that's what I tried to gently convey.)
  • Capitalism causes wealth inequality (as you say, Dajo) and so we need to work to resolve that. I gave her the link to Cal's Gabriel Zucman talk about how we effectively have a "flat tax" in the US, and need to return to a "progressive" tax system - via his proposal for a wealth tax, which I believe was the basis for Elizabeth Warren's plan. Watch minutes 7 thru 20 if interested.

So, when you say above, "Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism", what sort of proposals might you suggest?
It's great that your daughter is willing to have a discussion. I also have 2 daughters about the same age. I agree with your talking points. My daughters have grandparents and other relatives who grew up under socialist and communist systems, so they know about those firsthand. Their uncle from Cuba visited here a couple of years ago, and when given a strawberry, he told us it was the first one he'd ever seen in his life! Sadly, many of our youth, including lots of Cal students, embrace these systems without ever learning the effects on everyday people. They're proud of their Che' t-shirts.

I grew up in the 70s.They were awful times. Inflation was talked about constantly, we waited in gas lines, and businesses were closing. For the first time, a car's gas cap came with a lock. Our landlord didn't give us the heat we needed because heating oil prices were so high. My grandfather, a retired shop-owner at the time, used to recoil at the sight of closed small businesses in our area of northern New Jersey. Yet, wages of blue collar workers were comparatively high, and unions were quite strong, but I don't remember people living well. My friends' parents were always concerned about money.

People used to be able to buy cars more frequently back then, but the quality was also terrible (Japanese cars were just beginning to penetrate the market). Water and air pollution were major issues of the day. Remember Lake Erie catching fire in Cleveland? For a quick recalibration of what those times were like, one should review Carter's famous "Malaise" speech: https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=106508243

I know quite a few people who grew up in the old USSR under their centrally-planned system. Boy do they have stories to tell of the shortages and inefficiencies they witnessed, not to mention the hypocrisy of the party members who lived like financiers. Citizens learned to become masters at working around entrenched "systems." Their experiences seemed to have destroyed their trust in authority of any kind.

Capitalism certainly does have its issues, but for now it seems to be the best of the worst.


Speaking of "working around" communist systems - I read a great historical fiction book called "Red Plenty" about Soviet Union economics. In the U.S. we have salespeople who try to push goods on people. In the Soviet Union if you wanted something, you hired a "buyer" who could work connections to find a seller. Kind of an amazing flip of things we take for granted, if you think about it.
Absolutely. Remember this joke?:
Soviet housewife calls ministry of refrigerators:
Housewife (April 1975): My refrigerator isn't working. I'd like to schedule a repairsky.
Bureaucrat: Well madam, I have good news. I can have someone there on September 6th of this year!
Housewife: What? That's impossible. That's not a good date!
Bureaucrat: Madam, that's the best I can do. What's the problem?
Housewife: The washing machine repairman is coming on that day!
The truth lies somewhere between CNN and Fox.
concordtom
How long do you want to ignore this user?
LMK5 said:

concordtom said:

dajo9 said:

concordtom said:

Mr. Dajo,
What is your opinion on this theme called Japanification?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4375527-japanification-of-united-states-is-complete
The United States and Japan suffer from the same problem - wealth inequality. The concept of Japanification is a misdiagnosis of the problem, in which the government is blamed for natural impacts of capitalism. In capitalism, the quest for efficiency is a process that naturally consolidates means of production and wealth. Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism. But people who want to believe in free markets find ways to blame the government. The "Monetary Death Spiral" described in the article is a perfect example of blaming the government for the effects of capitalism.

Before you go and google Japan wealth inequality and say that Japan does not have wealth inequality, you need to consider the impacts of Japanese businesses. Japan's businesses have been hoarding cash for decades. The wealth is hidden away in these companies, and therefore Japan actually scores very well on wealth inequality measures. But the economic impact of corporate wealth inequality is the same as individual wealth inequality.

Japan borrows from cash hoarding businesses (and their central bank) while the United States borrows from cash hoarding individuals (and our central bank). They both need to be taxed higher and the money spent on the middle class.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-biggest-failure-of-abenomics-japan-inc-is-still-hoarding-cash-51599253201
Thank you, Dajo:

My 19 year old daughter has surprised me recently by continually attacking "capitalism". Sometimes I don't even think she knows what it is. I have tried to have conversation with her about this.

Some of the (general understanding, non-textbook) things I have been able to say off the top of my head in between her breaths of accusation:
  • Capitalism is distinct from socialism or communism where individual actors (people/businesses) determine and own the means of production/consumption - not the central government.
  • Capitalism allows the "invisible hand" forces of supply and demand of the market place to determine what gets produced/consumed, and at what prices.
  • I believe in the best and most efficient use of capital, while adding in "externalities", such as adding a cost (or outright banning thru regulation) to pollution or local/global resources consumption and depletion.
  • Capitalism harnesses innovation via the risk/reward of a return on capital invested. Take away the reward and nobody would risk.
  • Central government planned economy (communist) USSR failed because it is killed individual motivation to produce/invent. That's what you get when you take away the risk/reward factor of a "capitalist" economy.
  • Popular memes on social media that "you (daughter)" are reading which criticize "capitalism" are shortsighted. You don't even know how to think your way through this. Take a few economics classes and come back and see me (okay, I didn't talk to her like that, but that's what I tried to gently convey.)
  • Capitalism causes wealth inequality (as you say, Dajo) and so we need to work to resolve that. I gave her the link to Cal's Gabriel Zucman talk about how we effectively have a "flat tax" in the US, and need to return to a "progressive" tax system - via his proposal for a wealth tax, which I believe was the basis for Elizabeth Warren's plan. Watch minutes 7 thru 20 if interested.

So, when you say above, "Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism", what sort of proposals might you suggest?
It's great that your daughter is willing to have a discussion. I also have 2 daughters about the same age. I agree with your talking points. My daughters have grandparents and other relatives who grew up under socialist and communist systems, so they know about those firsthand. Their uncle from Cuba visited here a couple of years ago, and when given a strawberry, he told us it was the first one he'd ever seen in his life! Sadly, many of our youth, including lots of Cal students, embrace these systems without ever learning the effects on everyday people. They're proud of their Che' t-shirts.

I grew up in the 70s.They were awful times. Inflation was talked about constantly, we waited in gas lines, and businesses were closing. For the first time, a car's gas cap came with a lock. Our landlord didn't give us the heat we needed because heating oil prices were so high. My grandfather, a retired shop-owner at the time, used to recoil at the sight of closed small businesses in our area of northern New Jersey. Yet, wages of blue collar workers were comparatively high, and unions were quite strong, but I don't remember people living well. My friends' parents were always concerned about money.

People used to be able to buy cars more frequently back then, but the quality was also terrible (Japanese cars were just beginning to penetrate the market). Water and air pollution were major issues of the day. Remember Lake Erie catching fire in Cleveland? For a quick recalibration of what those times were like, one should review Carter's famous "Malaise" speech: https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=106508243

I know quite a few people who grew up in the old USSR under their centrally-planned system. Boy do they have stories to tell of the shortages and inefficiencies they witnessed, not to mention the hypocrisy of the party members who lived like financiers. Citizens learned to become masters at working around entrenched "systems." Their experiences seemed to have destroyed their trust in authority of any kind.

Capitalism certainly does have its issues, but for now it seems to be the best of the worst.


But the sucking 70's was also the era of disco, let's not forget. It also brought us streaking, the bicentennial, and the Oakland Raiders first Super Bowl title!

So, if you grew up in NJ, how'd did you make it to Berkeley for college?

I went to Moscow in Jan of 90 for a week. The job of the mother-in-law was to stand in lines all day, many day, to buy things for the family:
Meat one day
Dairy the next
You get the picture...

You're right. I should focus more on the fact that she has opinions and is testing them with me, rather than get too upset about how silly she sounds. It's true, I've told her I'm proud that she vocalizes and cares. She just needs seasoning to speak more intelligently, rather than railing for the purpose of railing.

We talked about ethical capitalism, capitalism with a heart - and not just as a do-nothing talking point typical of pre-Trump republicans who tried to appeal to the middle left.

.... LMK5, when Democrats march and complain, I do NOT think for a nanosecond that they are rallying to tear this system we have down, though you will hear that assertion from Tucker Carlson and Sean Hannity, etc. That's a scare tactic - don't buy it!

Lean in, listen, consider the merits of the protest. Don't shun them just because they may be your natural "other", full of a bunch of "thems".

Collectively, we are simply in the generations long push-pull process of figuring out how to live in mass civilization without burning down the planet first.
Wish us all luck - we need it.
concordtom
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Combative Dick said:



.


I'm enjoying this article, thank you.

It's cool to see that someone who gets punched around big time by the right is making an argument they should embrace.

Quote:


Is his universal basic income proposal a good idea?

No, it isn't. It's both too expensive to be sustainable without a very large tax increase and inadequate for Americans who really need help. I've done the math.

First, we really would be talking about a lot of money. The recently enacted American Rescue Plan gave most adults a one-time $1,400 payment, at a cost of $411 billion. These payments make some sense given the lingering economic effects of the pandemic, although other components of the plan, especially enhanced unemployment benefits, are playing a more crucial role in limiting financial misery.

But the Yang proposal to pay $12,000 a year would cost more than eight times as much every year well over $3 trillion a year, in perpetuity. Even if you aren't much worried about either debt or inflationary overheating right now (which I'm not), you have to think that sustained spending at that rate would both cause problems and conflict with other priorities, from infrastructure to child care.

Yet these payments would also be grossly inadequate for Americans who actually did lose their jobs, whether to automation or something else. The median full-time worker in the United States currently earns about $1,000 per week.

The point is that for now, at least, the best way to provide an adequate safety net is to make aid conditional. We can and should provide generous aid to the unemployed; we can and should provide aid to families with children. But sending checks to everyone, every month, is just too poorly focused on the real problems.


Maybe people see the words Paul and Krugman next to each other and decide without additional thought to get out their bashing sticks.
concordtom
How long do you want to ignore this user?
dajo9 said:

LMK5 said:

concordtom said:

dajo9 said:

concordtom said:

Mr. Dajo,
What is your opinion on this theme called Japanification?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4375527-japanification-of-united-states-is-complete
The United States and Japan suffer from the same problem - wealth inequality. The concept of Japanification is a misdiagnosis of the problem, in which the government is blamed for natural impacts of capitalism. In capitalism, the quest for efficiency is a process that naturally consolidates means of production and wealth. Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism. But people who want to believe in free markets find ways to blame the government. The "Monetary Death Spiral" described in the article is a perfect example of blaming the government for the effects of capitalism.

Before you go and google Japan wealth inequality and say that Japan does not have wealth inequality, you need to consider the impacts of Japanese businesses. Japan's businesses have been hoarding cash for decades. The wealth is hidden away in these companies, and therefore Japan actually scores very well on wealth inequality measures. But the economic impact of corporate wealth inequality is the same as individual wealth inequality.

Japan borrows from cash hoarding businesses (and their central bank) while the United States borrows from cash hoarding individuals (and our central bank). They both need to be taxed higher and the money spent on the middle class.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-biggest-failure-of-abenomics-japan-inc-is-still-hoarding-cash-51599253201
Thank you, Dajo:

My 19 year old daughter has surprised me recently by continually attacking "capitalism". Sometimes I don't even think she knows what it is. I have tried to have conversation with her about this.

Some of the (general understanding, non-textbook) things I have been able to say off the top of my head in between her breaths of accusation:
  • Capitalism is distinct from socialism or communism where individual actors (people/businesses) determine and own the means of production/consumption - not the central government.
  • Capitalism allows the "invisible hand" forces of supply and demand of the market place to determine what gets produced/consumed, and at what prices.
  • I believe in the best and most efficient use of capital, while adding in "externalities", such as adding a cost (or outright banning thru regulation) to pollution or local/global resources consumption and depletion.
  • Capitalism harnesses innovation via the risk/reward of a return on capital invested. Take away the reward and nobody would risk.
  • Central government planned economy (communist) USSR failed because it is killed individual motivation to produce/invent. That's what you get when you take away the risk/reward factor of a "capitalist" economy.
  • Popular memes on social media that "you (daughter)" are reading which criticize "capitalism" are shortsighted. You don't even know how to think your way through this. Take a few economics classes and come back and see me (okay, I didn't talk to her like that, but that's what I tried to gently convey.)
  • Capitalism causes wealth inequality (as you say, Dajo) and so we need to work to resolve that. I gave her the link to Cal's Gabriel Zucman talk about how we effectively have a "flat tax" in the US, and need to return to a "progressive" tax system - via his proposal for a wealth tax, which I believe was the basis for Elizabeth Warren's plan. Watch minutes 7 thru 20 if interested.

So, when you say above, "Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism", what sort of proposals might you suggest?
It's great that your daughter is willing to have a discussion. I also have 2 daughters about the same age. I agree with your talking points. My daughters have grandparents and other relatives who grew up under socialist and communist systems, so they know about those firsthand. Their uncle from Cuba visited here a couple of years ago, and when given a strawberry, he told us it was the first one he'd ever seen in his life! Sadly, many of our youth, including lots of Cal students, embrace these systems without ever learning the effects on everyday people. They're proud of their Che' t-shirts.

I grew up in the 70s.They were awful times. Inflation was talked about constantly, we waited in gas lines, and businesses were closing. For the first time, a car's gas cap came with a lock. Our landlord didn't give us the heat we needed because heating oil prices were so high. My grandfather, a retired shop-owner at the time, used to recoil at the sight of closed small businesses in our area of northern New Jersey. Yet, wages of blue collar workers were comparatively high, and unions were quite strong, but I don't remember people living well. My friends' parents were always concerned about money.

People used to be able to buy cars more frequently back then, but the quality was also terrible (Japanese cars were just beginning to penetrate the market). Water and air pollution were major issues of the day. Remember Lake Erie catching fire in Cleveland? For a quick recalibration of what those times were like, one should review Carter's famous "Malaise" speech: https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=106508243

I know quite a few people who grew up in the old USSR under their centrally-planned system. Boy do they have stories to tell of the shortages and inefficiencies they witnessed, not to mention the hypocrisy of the party members who lived like financiers. Citizens learned to become masters at working around entrenched "systems." Their experiences seemed to have destroyed their trust in authority of any kind.

Capitalism certainly does have its issues, but for now it seems to be the best of the worst.


Speaking of "working around" communist systems - I read a great historical fiction book called "Red Plenty" about Soviet Union economics. In the U.S. we have salespeople who try to push goods on people. In the Soviet Union if you wanted something, you hired a "buyer" who could work connections to find a seller. Kind of an amazing flip of things we take for granted, if you think about it.


Yes! They didn't produce enough because there was no incentive to do so. This is what happens when you break down the relationship between effort and reward - key to capitalism.

In economics I understand that the only road to increased wealth is increased worker productivity. (Interesting that Yang and his robots enter the conversation at this moment. Robots increase productivity. Robots good!)

In my story above, the grandmother was effectively the hired buyer in your book.
dajo9
How long do you want to ignore this user?
concordtom said:

Combative Dick said:



.


I'm enjoying this article, thank you.

It's cool to see that someone who gets punched around big time by the right is making an argument they should embrace.

Quote:


Is his universal basic income proposal a good idea?

No, it isn't. It's both too expensive to be sustainable without a very large tax increase and inadequate for Americans who really need help. I've done the math.

First, we really would be talking about a lot of money. The recently enacted American Rescue Plan gave most adults a one-time $1,400 payment, at a cost of $411 billion. These payments make some sense given the lingering economic effects of the pandemic, although other components of the plan, especially enhanced unemployment benefits, are playing a more crucial role in limiting financial misery.

But the Yang proposal to pay $12,000 a year would cost more than eight times as much every year well over $3 trillion a year, in perpetuity. Even if you aren't much worried about either debt or inflationary overheating right now (which I'm not), you have to think that sustained spending at that rate would both cause problems and conflict with other priorities, from infrastructure to child care.

Yet these payments would also be grossly inadequate for Americans who actually did lose their jobs, whether to automation or something else. The median full-time worker in the United States currently earns about $1,000 per week.

The point is that for now, at least, the best way to provide an adequate safety net is to make aid conditional. We can and should provide generous aid to the unemployed; we can and should provide aid to families with children. But sending checks to everyone, every month, is just too poorly focused on the real problems.


Maybe people see the words Paul and Krugman next to each other and decide without additional thought to get out their bashing sticks.


The right hates Paul Krugman because week after week he eviscerated George W Bush and was right over and over again. The left hates Krugman because he is not a radical.

When you do punditry as long as Krugman you're going to say some incorrect things. But I'd take his track record over any other pundit I can think of, in terms of boldness and accuracy (most pundits never say anything of substance).
LMK5
How long do you want to ignore this user?
concordtom said:

LMK5 said:

concordtom said:

dajo9 said:

concordtom said:

Mr. Dajo,
What is your opinion on this theme called Japanification?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4375527-japanification-of-united-states-is-complete
The United States and Japan suffer from the same problem - wealth inequality. The concept of Japanification is a misdiagnosis of the problem, in which the government is blamed for natural impacts of capitalism. In capitalism, the quest for efficiency is a process that naturally consolidates means of production and wealth. Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism. But people who want to believe in free markets find ways to blame the government. The "Monetary Death Spiral" described in the article is a perfect example of blaming the government for the effects of capitalism.

Before you go and google Japan wealth inequality and say that Japan does not have wealth inequality, you need to consider the impacts of Japanese businesses. Japan's businesses have been hoarding cash for decades. The wealth is hidden away in these companies, and therefore Japan actually scores very well on wealth inequality measures. But the economic impact of corporate wealth inequality is the same as individual wealth inequality.

Japan borrows from cash hoarding businesses (and their central bank) while the United States borrows from cash hoarding individuals (and our central bank). They both need to be taxed higher and the money spent on the middle class.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-biggest-failure-of-abenomics-japan-inc-is-still-hoarding-cash-51599253201
Thank you, Dajo:

My 19 year old daughter has surprised me recently by continually attacking "capitalism". Sometimes I don't even think she knows what it is. I have tried to have conversation with her about this.

Some of the (general understanding, non-textbook) things I have been able to say off the top of my head in between her breaths of accusation:
  • Capitalism is distinct from socialism or communism where individual actors (people/businesses) determine and own the means of production/consumption - not the central government.
  • Capitalism allows the "invisible hand" forces of supply and demand of the market place to determine what gets produced/consumed, and at what prices.
  • I believe in the best and most efficient use of capital, while adding in "externalities", such as adding a cost (or outright banning thru regulation) to pollution or local/global resources consumption and depletion.
  • Capitalism harnesses innovation via the risk/reward of a return on capital invested. Take away the reward and nobody would risk.
  • Central government planned economy (communist) USSR failed because it is killed individual motivation to produce/invent. That's what you get when you take away the risk/reward factor of a "capitalist" economy.
  • Popular memes on social media that "you (daughter)" are reading which criticize "capitalism" are shortsighted. You don't even know how to think your way through this. Take a few economics classes and come back and see me (okay, I didn't talk to her like that, but that's what I tried to gently convey.)
  • Capitalism causes wealth inequality (as you say, Dajo) and so we need to work to resolve that. I gave her the link to Cal's Gabriel Zucman talk about how we effectively have a "flat tax" in the US, and need to return to a "progressive" tax system - via his proposal for a wealth tax, which I believe was the basis for Elizabeth Warren's plan. Watch minutes 7 thru 20 if interested.

So, when you say above, "Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism", what sort of proposals might you suggest?
It's great that your daughter is willing to have a discussion. I also have 2 daughters about the same age. I agree with your talking points. My daughters have grandparents and other relatives who grew up under socialist and communist systems, so they know about those firsthand. Their uncle from Cuba visited here a couple of years ago, and when given a strawberry, he told us it was the first one he'd ever seen in his life! Sadly, many of our youth, including lots of Cal students, embrace these systems without ever learning the effects on everyday people. They're proud of their Che' t-shirts.

I grew up in the 70s.They were awful times. Inflation was talked about constantly, we waited in gas lines, and businesses were closing. For the first time, a car's gas cap came with a lock. Our landlord didn't give us the heat we needed because heating oil prices were so high. My grandfather, a retired shop-owner at the time, used to recoil at the sight of closed small businesses in our area of northern New Jersey. Yet, wages of blue collar workers were comparatively high, and unions were quite strong, but I don't remember people living well. My friends' parents were always concerned about money.

People used to be able to buy cars more frequently back then, but the quality was also terrible (Japanese cars were just beginning to penetrate the market). Water and air pollution were major issues of the day. Remember Lake Erie catching fire in Cleveland? For a quick recalibration of what those times were like, one should review Carter's famous "Malaise" speech: https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=106508243

I know quite a few people who grew up in the old USSR under their centrally-planned system. Boy do they have stories to tell of the shortages and inefficiencies they witnessed, not to mention the hypocrisy of the party members who lived like financiers. Citizens learned to become masters at working around entrenched "systems." Their experiences seemed to have destroyed their trust in authority of any kind.

Capitalism certainly does have its issues, but for now it seems to be the best of the worst.


But the sucking 70's was also the era of disco, let's not forget. It also brought us streaking, the bicentennial, and the Oakland Raiders first Super Bowl title!

So, if you grew up in NJ, how'd did you make it to Berkeley for college?

I went to Moscow in Jan of 90 for a week. The job of the mother-in-law was to stand in lines all day, many day, to buy things for the family:
Meat one day
Dairy the next
You get the picture...

You're right. I should focus more on the fact that she has opinions and is testing them with me, rather than get too upset about how silly she sounds. It's true, I've told her I'm proud that she vocalizes and cares. She just needs seasoning to speak more intelligently, rather than railing for the purpose of railing.

We talked about ethical capitalism, capitalism with a heart - and not just as a do-nothing talking point typical of pre-Trump republicans who tried to appeal to the middle left.

.... LMK5, when Democrats march and complain, I do NOT think for a nanosecond that they are rallying to tear this system we have down, though you will hear that assertion from Tucker Carlson and Sean Hannity, etc. That's a scare tactic - don't buy it!

Lean in, listen, consider the merits of the protest. Don't shun them just because they may be your natural "other", full of a bunch of "thems".

Collectively, we are simply in the generations long push-pull process of figuring out how to live in mass civilization without burning down the planet first.
Wish us all luck - we need it.
Tom, I didn't go to Berkeley. I went to SUNY. One of my kids attends Cal. However, my father did attend Cal for awhile. Strangely, I've been watching Cal football for a long time, mostly becasue I've always been curious as to how the "smart" schools (Cal, Northwestern, Stanford) perform. I figured they always had a built-in disadvantage.

Yes, the fact that your daughter does wish to engage with you is certainly a a positive sign. If the exchanges were negative in her view, she'd likely refrain from them altogether. Thankfully I'm able to discuss topics with my kids also. To me the key is to listen rather than talk at them. Then when they're done, I give them something to chew on.

I have no issues with people marching. I think most have good intentions. I do have a an issue with protesters like the ones in Portland (yes those are still going on).

For sure people on Fox News are trying to appeal to a particular audience, just like the other cable channels. They are all trying to keep their viewers in the fold by fomenting their outrage. This is what needs to be done when there is this much competition. My issue is with CBS, ABC, and NBC. They have a multi-decade reputation to uphold. We're talking Cronkite, Murrrow, Chancellor, Brinkley, well... you get the picture. But they have abandoned their impartiality, something that will take them forever to regain--if at all. Does this not sadden you?

I've been watching NBC Nightly News for decades. When I saw, 2 weeks ago, how Lester Holt presented the video of the Columbus Ohio police shooting I was really taken aback once I saw the full video. Holt could have just as easily presented the video as a cop saving the life of a woman who was about to be stabbed, but that angle was abandoned in favor of a (white) cop shooting a (black) person. He needed to keep the theme of outrage fomentation going. Anyway, I'm now trying ABC News LOL!

And I do agree with "Collectively, we are simply in the generations long push-pull process of figuring out how to live in mass civilization without burning down the planet first."
The truth lies somewhere between CNN and Fox.
concordtom
How long do you want to ignore this user?
LMK5 said:

concordtom said:

LMK5 said:

concordtom said:

dajo9 said:

concordtom said:

Mr. Dajo,
What is your opinion on this theme called Japanification?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4375527-japanification-of-united-states-is-complete
The United States and Japan suffer from the same problem - wealth inequality. The concept of Japanification is a misdiagnosis of the problem, in which the government is blamed for natural impacts of capitalism. In capitalism, the quest for efficiency is a process that naturally consolidates means of production and wealth. Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism. But people who want to believe in free markets find ways to blame the government. The "Monetary Death Spiral" described in the article is a perfect example of blaming the government for the effects of capitalism.

Before you go and google Japan wealth inequality and say that Japan does not have wealth inequality, you need to consider the impacts of Japanese businesses. Japan's businesses have been hoarding cash for decades. The wealth is hidden away in these companies, and therefore Japan actually scores very well on wealth inequality measures. But the economic impact of corporate wealth inequality is the same as individual wealth inequality.

Japan borrows from cash hoarding businesses (and their central bank) while the United States borrows from cash hoarding individuals (and our central bank). They both need to be taxed higher and the money spent on the middle class.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-biggest-failure-of-abenomics-japan-inc-is-still-hoarding-cash-51599253201
Thank you, Dajo:

My 19 year old daughter has surprised me recently by continually attacking "capitalism". Sometimes I don't even think she knows what it is. I have tried to have conversation with her about this.

Some of the (general understanding, non-textbook) things I have been able to say off the top of my head in between her breaths of accusation:
  • Capitalism is distinct from socialism or communism where individual actors (people/businesses) determine and own the means of production/consumption - not the central government.
  • Capitalism allows the "invisible hand" forces of supply and demand of the market place to determine what gets produced/consumed, and at what prices.
  • I believe in the best and most efficient use of capital, while adding in "externalities", such as adding a cost (or outright banning thru regulation) to pollution or local/global resources consumption and depletion.
  • Capitalism harnesses innovation via the risk/reward of a return on capital invested. Take away the reward and nobody would risk.
  • Central government planned economy (communist) USSR failed because it is killed individual motivation to produce/invent. That's what you get when you take away the risk/reward factor of a "capitalist" economy.
  • Popular memes on social media that "you (daughter)" are reading which criticize "capitalism" are shortsighted. You don't even know how to think your way through this. Take a few economics classes and come back and see me (okay, I didn't talk to her like that, but that's what I tried to gently convey.)
  • Capitalism causes wealth inequality (as you say, Dajo) and so we need to work to resolve that. I gave her the link to Cal's Gabriel Zucman talk about how we effectively have a "flat tax" in the US, and need to return to a "progressive" tax system - via his proposal for a wealth tax, which I believe was the basis for Elizabeth Warren's plan. Watch minutes 7 thru 20 if interested.

So, when you say above, "Liberal economic policies are needed to offset this natural impulse of capitalism", what sort of proposals might you suggest?
It's great that your daughter is willing to have a discussion. I also have 2 daughters about the same age. I agree with your talking points. My daughters have grandparents and other relatives who grew up under socialist and communist systems, so they know about those firsthand. Their uncle from Cuba visited here a couple of years ago, and when given a strawberry, he told us it was the first one he'd ever seen in his life! Sadly, many of our youth, including lots of Cal students, embrace these systems without ever learning the effects on everyday people. They're proud of their Che' t-shirts.

I grew up in the 70s.They were awful times. Inflation was talked about constantly, we waited in gas lines, and businesses were closing. For the first time, a car's gas cap came with a lock. Our landlord didn't give us the heat we needed because heating oil prices were so high. My grandfather, a retired shop-owner at the time, used to recoil at the sight of closed small businesses in our area of northern New Jersey. Yet, wages of blue collar workers were comparatively high, and unions were quite strong, but I don't remember people living well. My friends' parents were always concerned about money.

People used to be able to buy cars more frequently back then, but the quality was also terrible (Japanese cars were just beginning to penetrate the market). Water and air pollution were major issues of the day. Remember Lake Erie catching fire in Cleveland? For a quick recalibration of what those times were like, one should review Carter's famous "Malaise" speech: https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=106508243

I know quite a few people who grew up in the old USSR under their centrally-planned system. Boy do they have stories to tell of the shortages and inefficiencies they witnessed, not to mention the hypocrisy of the party members who lived like financiers. Citizens learned to become masters at working around entrenched "systems." Their experiences seemed to have destroyed their trust in authority of any kind.

Capitalism certainly does have its issues, but for now it seems to be the best of the worst.


But the sucking 70's was also the era of disco, let's not forget. It also brought us streaking, the bicentennial, and the Oakland Raiders first Super Bowl title!

So, if you grew up in NJ, how'd did you make it to Berkeley for college?

I went to Moscow in Jan of 90 for a week. The job of the mother-in-law was to stand in lines all day, many day, to buy things for the family:
Meat one day
Dairy the next
You get the picture...

You're right. I should focus more on the fact that she has opinions and is testing them with me, rather than get too upset about how silly she sounds. It's true, I've told her I'm proud that she vocalizes and cares. She just needs seasoning to speak more intelligently, rather than railing for the purpose of railing.

We talked about ethical capitalism, capitalism with a heart - and not just as a do-nothing talking point typical of pre-Trump republicans who tried to appeal to the middle left.

.... LMK5, when Democrats march and complain, I do NOT think for a nanosecond that they are rallying to tear this system we have down, though you will hear that assertion from Tucker Carlson and Sean Hannity, etc. That's a scare tactic - don't buy it!

Lean in, listen, consider the merits of the protest. Don't shun them just because they may be your natural "other", full of a bunch of "thems".

Collectively, we are simply in the generations long push-pull process of figuring out how to live in mass civilization without burning down the planet first.
Wish us all luck - we need it.
Tom, I didn't go to Berkeley. I went to SUNY. One of my kids attends Cal. However, my father did attend Cal for awhile. Strangely, I've been watching Cal football for a long time, mostly becasue I've always been curious as to how the "smart" schools (Cal, Northwestern, Stanford) perform. I figured they always had a built-in disadvantage.

Yes, the fact that your daughter does wish to engage with you is certainly a a positive sign. If the exchanges were negative in her view, she'd likely refrain from them altogether. Thankfully I'm able to discuss topics with my kids also. To me the key is to listen rather than talk at them. Then when they're done, I give them something to chew on.

I have no issues with people marching. I think most have good intentions. I do have a an issue with protesters like the ones in Portland (yes those are still going on).

For sure people on Fox News are trying to appeal to a particular audience, just like the other cable channels. They are all trying to keep their viewers in the fold by fomenting their outrage. This is what needs to be done when there is this much competition. My issue is with CBS, ABC, and NBC. They have a multi-decade reputation to uphold. We're talking Cronkite, Murrrow, Chancellor, Brinkley, well... you get the picture. But they have abandoned their impartiality, something that will take them forever to regain--if at all. Does this not sadden you?

I've been watching NBC Nightly News for decades. When I saw, 2 weeks ago, how Lester Holt presented the video of the Columbus Ohio police shooting I was really taken aback once I saw the full video. Holt could have just as easily presented the video as a cop saving the life of a woman who was about to be stabbed, but that angle was abandoned in favor of a (white) cop shooting a (black) person. He needed to keep the theme of outrage fomentation going. Anyway, I'm now trying ABC News LOL!

And I do agree with "Collectively, we are simply in the generations long push-pull process of figuring out how to live in mass civilization without burning down the planet first."

1. Thanks

2. No it does not sadden me that ABC, CBS, NBC has turned biased against Trump - because I am extremely biased against him. I compare him and his followers to Hitler and Naziism. I think the media tried to be respectful to him, especially after he won, but that only served to normalize and win him more favor amongst those on the fence. "Well, he IS the President," people would say. No. He is a crook, a cad, and a very dangerous person. Anyone who disagrees with me on those points can, well, I don't really give a F. It's idiotic in my mind to rationalize that Trump and Trumpism is okay. This is not a normal case of simply being upset about some politician I don't like. This is very serious sh*t! He's that dangerous in my mind. I think many others feel the same way I do, and those media people who have gone activist in delivering that message have surely been compelled to abandon the traditional norms in favor of calling a pig a pig. Wouldn't it have been nice if the Nazi movement had been stopped by Germans before all the insanity began? You can disagree with me and say "Oh, that isn't what we are talking about here," and "that would never happen here". I will disagree with you and maintain my belief. The insanity of crowds. The cult of personality.

3. My parents and grandparents both met at Cal. I did not go there. SDSU and American U in DC. Grew up going to Cal football games, parking lot tailgates. Aunt, Sister also went to Cal. Family endows a couple professorships. It's in the blood. An aunt and uncle of my grandmother also went to Cal, and I think her father did for a time, before finding school wasn't for him. 1908 era...

4. Shooting in Ohio. I have not seen the full video, but I understood someone had a knife and was freaking out? Does that make the shooting justifiable?
I think the way to look at this is thusly: Perhaps MANY of these situations are "justifiable". But are they the best policing tactics? Should an officer SO OFTEN be pulling out there guns as a de-escalation tactic? No.

I saw this news story yesterday and what struck me is how the cops gathered afterwards to digest what happened. They were replaying it in their mind, testosterone was (understandably) amped. But what if their attitude was one of "how can we help this person?" rather than the attitude of an exciting chase and catch ("at that point she earned it")? THAT is the change in policing attitude that is being requested.



I had some solar sales-people come by my house in Dec. Some neighbor called police on the "suspicious vehicle". A cop pulled into my driveway as I spoke to the salesmen. We ended up talking to the cop (about 30, and an Iraq-vet). Somehow we got into the issue of police shootings and George Floyd. He ended up telling us about the time recently he was at Thunder Valley Casino in Lincoln CA. Said it's all trash there. He said there was somebody suspicious slumped in his car in the parking lot, and how he ended up quietly behind him with his hand on the trigger with pressure, gun pointed at head. The fellow had a lighter in his lap that was in the shape of (looked like) a gun. The young cop told them guy to raise his hands slowly. Now, imagine hanging out in your car and suddenly you hear that voice, not knowing who it was or what was going on. Fortunately, the guy didn't do something to spook the cop and the trigger wasn't pulled, but the cop ended up telling us "I would have been completely justified had I shot him", but clearly the reason for his telling us this is that months later, he's still quite aware he nearly became an internet star, the next Derek Chauvin.

Cops have an attitude bias, whether to guns, to blacks to the poor and downtrodden. The protests and calls by media are to alter this policing bias and tactics.
The guy in the car was just smoking pot, a dirty lowlife in his car at a casino.
There but for the grace of god go you or I.

Anyone who has experienced the sh*t side of life at one time or another can have a heart for these masses. Not everyone makes it out of that ditch. Your family did. Be grateful.
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