SoCal fires thread

22,954 Views | 647 Replies | Last: 1 hr ago by movielover
wifeisafurd
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bearister said:

I have zero expertise in the matter and do not purport to know whose opinion is correct. With that said, I found this opinion by a Furd expert:

" David Freyberg, PhD, a hydrologist and water resources specialist at Stanford University, told CBS News in an email that while a full Santa Ynez would have had benefits, it's not clear how much impact it would have had.

"The reservoirs above Pacific Palisades were not designed to support fire-fighting at the scale of [this] fire," he wrote. "Water supply reservoirs are typically designed to cope with house fires, not wildfires."

He added that the situation has made it clear that larger-scale solutions are necessary.

"It is clear that communities vulnerable to wildfire are going to need to think carefully, i.e., rethink, about design criteria for these systems," Freyberg said. "Not just reservoirs, but pipe sizes [and] pressure management."

….and Newsom, not quantifying anything, said this:

"In his letter to DWP, Newsom wrote, "While water supplies from local fire hydrants are not designed to extinguish wildfires over large areas, losing supplies from fire hydrants likely impaired the effort to protect some homes and evacuation corridors."
https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/la-fires-santa-ynez-reservoir-pacific-palisades-california/
You know, this finally seems to be on point. The reservoir in Stone Canyon, which supports Bel Air and its surrounds, serves an area which already has good water pressure, unlike the Palisades. Stone Canyon has 3 plus Billion gallons of water, which last time I looked was more water than had been used to fight the Palisades fire so far. The big difference is Stone Canyon was built many decades ago before public spending was rerouted to different priorities. But had the fire been on the other side of the 405, the result would have been far less damage would have been sustained.

Unfortunately, journalists have focused on the lack of the reservoir with a 117 million gallon capacity which the LA County fire chief said would have only provided maybe a hour more of water pressure (which admttedly could have saved some homes). The LA Times now is rife with articles with LA officials being told that the LA City west of the 405 was grossly insufficient, and something closer to the Stone Canyon Reservoir was needed.

Officials were warned of failing water system before ...Los Angeles Timeshttps://www.latimes.com california story malibu-w...

While the academic quoted is correct the reservoirs in place were designed to fight small fires, and he is incompetently wrong (or being quoted out of context) about the current water system in SoCal. That system generally is designed to accommodate water suppression for the major wild fires that Los Angles and Orange Counties have encountered over many decades. I have both lived through those fires and personally observed fire suppressant efforts on my family homes, and worked for either as real estate counsel or CFO of the largest water purveyors down here. There exists many reservoirs and underground storage facilities the size of Stone Canyon on the wholesale and retail level. Either the professor was taken out of context, or he simply doesn't understand the infrastructure that exists in other populated areas of the City and LA County outside the Palisades.

The agonizing other problem is that journalists are focused on the tiny 117 million gallon facility because they can show pictures of the empty facility and because LA DWP officials blatantly lied abut the facility being closed temporarily for maintenance. The problem was the entire system in the Palisades had been ignored for many decades as population grew exponentially.

Newsom seems to have this right if you talk with the incidence fire chiefs. When the priority shifted from fighting the fire to saving lives (which is the protocol when the initial crew can't control the fire), the evacuation corridors failed and the ground fire resources had to focus on removing people rather than the fire. This allowed the fire to become out of control for hours. This meant, hours later, when the ground fire resources finally shifted to protecting structure, the fire had to be fought too many fronts without the help of air resources. With insufficient water pressure from the local water system, the fight only lated a few hours. This meant there was no water being retrieved from water mains (plenty of water, but no pressure to get the water through the system to the hydrant), and the ground resources were unable to fight the advancing fire without the water.

DiabloWags
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When 54% of Americans only have reading comprehension at the 6th grade level, photos of an empty reservoir have a big impact.

Just ask the dude that loves movies and the guy that loves Putin.
movielover
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Good info, but still incomplete.

Why did it take LAFD 55 minutes to get to the blaze?
Why did LAFD not follow their procedures of placing fire rigs in key areas during extreme weather events?
Why did Newsom end a 200-man volunteer Fire crew that deploys immediately to wilderness fires? (It then took 10 days to train a replacement crew.)
Why doesn't California own multiple Bombardier supercscooper planes?
With the Mayor gone and Deputy Mayor under FBI investigation, who was the local commander?
Why has Newsom blatantly lied about fire suppression activities?
Cal88
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wifeisafurd said:

bearister said:

I have zero expertise in the matter and do not purport to know whose opinion is correct. With that said, I found this opinion by a Furd expert:

" David Freyberg, PhD, a hydrologist and water resources specialist at Stanford University, told CBS News in an email that while a full Santa Ynez would have had benefits, it's not clear how much impact it would have had.

"The reservoirs above Pacific Palisades were not designed to support fire-fighting at the scale of [this] fire," he wrote. "Water supply reservoirs are typically designed to cope with house fires, not wildfires."

He added that the situation has made it clear that larger-scale solutions are necessary.

"It is clear that communities vulnerable to wildfire are going to need to think carefully, i.e., rethink, about design criteria for these systems," Freyberg said. "Not just reservoirs, but pipe sizes [and] pressure management."

….and Newsom, not quantifying anything, said this:

"In his letter to DWP, Newsom wrote, "While water supplies from local fire hydrants are not designed to extinguish wildfires over large areas, losing supplies from fire hydrants likely impaired the effort to protect some homes and evacuation corridors."
https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/la-fires-santa-ynez-reservoir-pacific-palisades-california/
You know, this finally seems to be on point. The reservoir in Stone Canyon, which supports Bel Air and its surrounds, serves an area which already has good water pressure, unlike the Palisades. Stone Canyon has 3 plus Billion gallons of water, which last time I looked was more water than had been used to fight the Palisades fire so far. The big difference is Stone Canyon was built many decades ago before public spending was rerouted to different priorities. But had the fire been on the other side of the 405, the result would have been far less damage would have been sustained.

Unfortunately, journalists have focused on the lack of the reservoir with a 117 million gallon capacity which the LA County fire chief said would have only provided maybe a hour more of water pressure (which admttedly could have saved some homes). The LA Times now is rife with articles with LA officials being told that the LA City west of the 405 was grossly insufficient, and something closer to the Stone Canyon Reservoir was needed.

Officials were warned of failing water system before ...Los Angeles Timeshttps://www.latimes.com california story malibu-w...

While the academic quoted is correct the reservoirs in place were designed to fight small fires, and he is incompetently wrong (or being quoted out of context) about the current water system in SoCal. That system generally is designed to accommodate water suppression for the major wild fires that Los Angles and Orange Counties have encountered over many decades. I have both lived through those fires and personally observed fire suppressant efforts on my family homes, and worked for either as real estate counsel or CFO of the largest water purveyors down here. There exists many reservoirs and underground storage facilities the size of Stone Canyon on the wholesale and retail level. Either the professor was taken out of context, or he simply doesn't understand the infrastructure that exists in other populated areas of the City and LA County outside the Palisades.

The agonizing other problem is that journalists are focused on the tiny 117 million gallon facility because they can show pictures of the empty facility and because LA DWP official blatantly lied abut the facility being closed temporarily for maintenance. The problem was the entire system in the Palisades had been ignored for many decades as population grew exponentially.

Newsom seems to have this right if you talk with the incidence fire chiefs. When the priority shifted from fighting the fire to saving lives (which is the protocol), the evacuation corridors failed and the ground fire resources had to focus on removing people rather than the fire, which allowed the fire to become out of control. This meant, hours later, when the ground fire resources finally shifted to protecting structure, the fire had to be fought too many fronts without the help of air resources, due to insufficient water pressure from the local water system. This meant there was no water being retrieved from water mains (plenty of water, but no pressure to get the water through the system to the hydrant), the ground resources were unable to fight the advancing fire.

A full reservoir with 117 million gallons could have prevented the Palisades fires from growing out of control in the first place.
wifeisafurd
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Cal88 said:

wifeisafurd said:

bearister said:

I have zero expertise in the matter and do not purport to know whose opinion is correct. With that said, I found this opinion by a Furd expert:

" David Freyberg, PhD, a hydrologist and water resources specialist at Stanford University, told CBS News in an email that while a full Santa Ynez would have had benefits, it's not clear how much impact it would have had.

"The reservoirs above Pacific Palisades were not designed to support fire-fighting at the scale of [this] fire," he wrote. "Water supply reservoirs are typically designed to cope with house fires, not wildfires."

He added that the situation has made it clear that larger-scale solutions are necessary.

"It is clear that communities vulnerable to wildfire are going to need to think carefully, i.e., rethink, about design criteria for these systems," Freyberg said. "Not just reservoirs, but pipe sizes [and] pressure management."

….and Newsom, not quantifying anything, said this:

"In his letter to DWP, Newsom wrote, "While water supplies from local fire hydrants are not designed to extinguish wildfires over large areas, losing supplies from fire hydrants likely impaired the effort to protect some homes and evacuation corridors."
https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/la-fires-santa-ynez-reservoir-pacific-palisades-california/
You know, this finally seems to be on point. The reservoir in Stone Canyon, which supports Bel Air and its surrounds, serves an area which already has good water pressure, unlike the Palisades. Stone Canyon has 3 plus Billion gallons of water, which last time I looked was more water than had been used to fight the Palisades fire so far. The big difference is Stone Canyon was built many decades ago before public spending was rerouted to different priorities. But had the fire been on the other side of the 405, the result would have been far less damage would have been sustained.

Unfortunately, journalists have focused on the lack of the reservoir with a 117 million gallon capacity which the LA County fire chief said would have only provided maybe a hour more of water pressure (which admttedly could have saved some homes). The LA Times now is rife with articles with LA officials being told that the LA City west of the 405 was grossly insufficient, and something closer to the Stone Canyon Reservoir was needed.

Officials were warned of failing water system before ...Los Angeles Timeshttps://www.latimes.com california story malibu-w...

While the academic quoted is correct the reservoirs in place were designed to fight small fires, and he is incompetently wrong (or being quoted out of context) about the current water system in SoCal. That system generally is designed to accommodate water suppression for the major wild fires that Los Angles and Orange Counties have encountered over many decades. I have both lived through those fires and personally observed fire suppressant efforts on my family homes, and worked for either as real estate counsel or CFO of the largest water purveyors down here. There exists many reservoirs and underground storage facilities the size of Stone Canyon on the wholesale and retail level. Either the professor was taken out of context, or he simply doesn't understand the infrastructure that exists in other populated areas of the City and LA County outside the Palisades.

The agonizing other problem is that journalists are focused on the tiny 117 million gallon facility because they can show pictures of the empty facility and because LA DWP official blatantly lied abut the facility being closed temporarily for maintenance. The problem was the entire system in the Palisades had been ignored for many decades as population grew exponentially.

Newsom seems to have this right if you talk with the incidence fire chiefs. When the priority shifted from fighting the fire to saving lives (which is the protocol), the evacuation corridors failed and the ground fire resources had to focus on removing people rather than the fire, which allowed the fire to become out of control. This meant, hours later, when the ground fire resources finally shifted to protecting structure, the fire had to be fought too many fronts without the help of air resources, due to insufficient water pressure from the local water system. This meant there was no water being retrieved from water mains (plenty of water, but no pressure to get the water through the system to the hydrant), the ground resources were unable to fight the advancing fire.

A full reservoir with 117 million gallons could have prevented the Palisades fires from growing out of control in the first place.
It already was out of control before fire suppression efforts started. Per the LA County Chief, in LA County where you have smaller jurisdictions that have less transient people, like renters (the Highlands where the fire started has a lot of apartments), you can provide for adequate evacuation planning. For example, in my city, you are contacted by your cell and by email when your area is supposed to leave so the roads are not gridlocked. In LA, most people evacuated as soon as possible clogging the roads, and then far more people than usual insisted upon staying meaning the LAPD had to get involved further delaying fighting the fire. The other thing is he wifi went down. Now the County cities have made a big effort to hand out for free AM radios for use when this happens. But most evacuees either didn't know about the warning system or didn't get notified by the warning system since the wifi went down. The evacuation became an utter sheet show, as evacuees left their cars during the gridlock that prevented crews from going after the fire and getting assets in place. Many cars had to be moved b y bulldozer when people abandoned their cars. But the eviction failure is what caused the delay. The ground assets might have been able to control the fire with the water in the reservoir if fire had not spread so far, but hours later, with huge winds and dry brush, the fire fighters ran out of water quickly, and the LA County Chief does not believe the water from the reservoir would have made any meaningful difference.

BTW, the Chief is making a talking tour to city counsel meetings within LA County, with the message that the Palisades fire can't happen in the County, for the obvious reasons so take this with whatever grain of salt you
like. But Newsom seems to be basing his pointed comments on what the Chief Martin said.
wifeisafurd
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movielover said:

Good info, but still incomplete.

Why did it take LAFD 55 minutes to get to the blaze?
Why did LAFD not follow their procedures of placing fire rigs in key areas during extreme weather events?
Why did Newsom end a 200-man volunteer Fire crew that deploys immediately to wilderness fires? (It then took 10 days to train a replacement crew.)
Why doesn't California own multiple Bombardier supercscooper planes?
With the Mayor gone and Deputy Mayor under FBI investigation, who was the local commander?
Why has Newsom blatantly lied about fire suppression activities?
Why did it take LAFD 55 minutes to get to the blaze? I heard some thoughts on this from the LA County Chief. It does take some time since the idea is to assemble a large enough force to attack the fire so you don't have to get into the next phase which if life protection rather than fighting the fire. The County Chief indicated that the City crew was delayed due to topography and that they were not on the LA County early warning system. The County system uses AI Towers that can make measurements that indicate a fire is happening well before anyone knows a fire exists. Also, the area has a large number of palm and eucalyptus trees that exploded and blocked the road.


Why did LAFD not follow their procedures of placing fire rigs in key areas during extreme weather events? Don't know what these procedures or if the followed them. LA County does not do this since they want to be able to mass resources to attack wildfires. Then again, LA County has an AI early warning system in place.

I can't respond to what the State may or may not have done. I don't know and Chief Martin didn't discuss the State role.

The Mayor or Asst. Mayor don't command fire control. The LA City Chief or whoever they delegate is in charge, since the fire was in their jurisdiction. Once the request is made for County resources, there are two commanders, the LA City guy and the County guy, in this case, Acting Chief Brian Martin. When Cal Fire assets were requested, Cal Fire also had a commander.

I can't respond to vague reference as to what Newsom said.






concordtom
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You mentioned traffic gridlock and evacuation above.
Reminded me of how it went in Hiller Highlands - everyone abandoning their cars and running. Roadway blocked. People died that way.

The PP fire got going in middle of the day. Can you imagine the calamity (evacuation/gridlock/death) if it took aff at 1am instead of 1pm?

One could say PP residents got lucky, although that's a grisly thing to suggest.
movielover
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The Governor clearly failed - we have calamitous fire after calamitous fire - and he still fails to change his approach. (Newsom clearly has had his eye on the WH since his Balboa start and his family connections.)

So the honest question:
- is GN an utter idiot?
- a feckless leader?
- does he purposefully want large fires to continue the Global Warming idealogy?

My guess is 1 and 2. Given how weak and old the current Democrat crop is, he may still have ambitions despite his photo-op legacy. Even greeting President Trump, his body language and dress are horrible, even pointing at the POTUS' face. But he'll commission personal Cali-emblazoned threads.

Earthquake vs Fire Prevention

Decades ago our state woke up, galvanized by the 1989 Loma Prieta tumbler. We set about major infrastructure projects like retrofitting the Golden Gate, a new upgraded Caldecott tunnel bore, and retrofitted civic buildings.

Why do we do the opposite with forest management?

My guess is our Democrat leaders don't want to battle environmental groups, the Sierra Club, etc. Michael Schellenberger suggests that some of these alleged environmentalists are actually nihlists, something I frankly don't typically consider. Newsom firing the 200-man strike team is beyond baffling. Petty politics over safety?

President Trump is right on the big picture, though he is inaccurate on details. Nunes needs to update him.

So the Fire Departments also failed in their response and planning. Maybe Musks satellite connection is more reliable?

wifeisafurd: "Also, the area has a large number of palm and eucalyptus trees that exploded and blocked the road."

I suggested this earlier, not an expert, but was told since the early 1970s eucalyptus trees are dangerous. They have shallow root systems, grow large, and burn hot (or explode). It seems a logical consideration is removing all eucalyptus trees from critical areas. This alone isn't cheap, they're large, and some probably like the privacy they afford.

There were allegedly fire rigs prepositioned in the Valley and Hollywood. I've also read the early warning malfunctioned, and sent an evacuation order out to all 9 million in LA County?

Even if we had a volunteer wildfire strike crew of 200 ready, that's a joke. Allegedly we moved from larger volunteer Fire crews in the past - to permanent positions - understandable when you can earn 200K and retire at 55. But given the size of our State, and our annual fires, we should have large volunteer and volunteer prison wildfire crews.

bear2034
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The National Guard is still preventing people from going back to their properties despite what Mayor Bass said at the press conference with Trump.
movielover
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County officials were saying it could be up to 18 months before before homeowners could have access.

When confronted by President Trump, Mayor Bass said one week.

In her defense, there may be legal issues. Are natural gas nd electrical completely shut off? Are thete any real hazard issues, unsafe streets, leaning power poles or large trees? Even staged admission would help.
Cal88
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Was the rainfall significant? Are the fires over? Can any SoCal locals report? Forecast yesterday was 0.5"-1", a good amount.
movielover
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More Looney Tunes.

EXCLUSIVE: LAFD Assistant Chief Kristina Kepner was accused of brutally assaulting ex-girlfriend... who claims boss Crowley 'covered it up' and promoted her

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14287897/lafd-chief-kristina-kepner-assault-boss-crowley-cover-promotion.html?ito=native_share_article-nativemenubutton

Notice it's the UK breaking this story.
bearister
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Well, the Assistant Chief is clearly a James Bond fan:

"Sometimes there are women who take it to the wire. That's what they're looking for, the ultimate confrontation they want a smack."
Sean Connery, Vanity Fair, 1993
Cancel my subscription to the Resurrection
Send my credentials to the House of Detention
I got some friends inside
movielover
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LAFD also terminated 113 fire fighters who refused to take the Clot Shot.
Big C
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movielover said:

More Looney Tunes.

EXCLUSIVE: LAFD Assistant Chief Kristina Kepner was accused of brutally assaulting ex-girlfriend... who claims boss Crowley 'covered it up' and promoted her

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14287897/lafd-chief-kristina-kepner-assault-boss-crowley-cover-promotion.html?ito=native_share_article-nativemenubutton

Notice it's the UK breaking this story.

AC Kepner should drop that "a" off of the end of her first name!
Cal88
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Fires over, finally.

https://www.nbcnews.com/nightly-news/video/rain-storm-batters-l-a-threatening-mudslides-as-residents-return-after-wildfires-230312517869

The worries about mudslides are overblown, far smaller potential damage than continued Santa Ana conditions.
sonofabear51
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We live in Ventura. Rainfall total here about 1 inch. Hail and some snow. We are not close to Palisades Fire, (40 miles), and Eaton Fire is over 1 hour driving, so I don't know rainfall totals there.
movielover
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Mayor Bass said residents can get information at U R L.
movielover
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