cal83dls79 said:PAC-10-BEAR said:
In an AI singularity scenario with a highly agentic economy, explosive productivity growth driven by autonomous AI agents handling nearly all production, innovation, services, and R&D at near-zero marginal cost would cause the U.S. economy to expand dramatically (potentially doubling GDP every few years or faster).
This massive increase in output and tax revenue would dwarf the existing national debt (around $39 trillion), allowing the government to run large surpluses, refinance at lower real rates amid abundance-driven deflation, or simply service the debt effortlessly as it shrinks relative to the vastly larger economy. Essentially, the debt becomes trivial compared to the new wealth created, much like how post-WWII growth made high debt manageable only amplified exponentially by recursive AI self-improvement and hyper-efficient coordination.
I invite everyone to read this with the movie guy voice, not BI movie. But the in the "In a world gone mad guy" voice. Try it.
Consider that in the U.S., agriculture went from 70% of the workforce to <2%, and manufacturing from 30% to <10%m yet new jobs and vastly higher living standards emerged in a relatively short amount of time.
Autonomous AI agents work 24/7, coordinate at massive scale, and self-improve, leading to compounding growth where output can surge exponentially while marginal costs fall toward zero in many sectors.
Historical tech waves (electricity, computers, internet) each added to the annual growth; advanced AI has the potential to be a much larger force multiplier.