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Predictive markets are a hoot

246 Views | 3 Replies | Last: 1 mo ago by Cal88
socaltownie
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Right now you can by the no side of "Will there be an announcement of definitive alien life" by the end of 2027 for .85 cents. Even after fees (and while you have a long tail exposure) it is easy money

1) You collect a nice ROI
2) We are living in the most important period of human history ever and do you really give a **** ;-)

The contract resolved by the announcement of the president or a cabinet level officials.


I also have a small position on the No for the Odyssey winning best picture that will likely fall from .57 yes as more Oscar level films are show. Still could win, just that price is unlikely to be sustained for long.
Take care of your Chicken
DiabloWags
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We are a society of gamblers.
One look at the financial markets will tell you that.
Especially with same-day option expirations.

The prediction markets simply dumb down the ability to gamble, in my opinion.
Which helps make it more "mainstream".


socaltownie
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DiabloWags said:

We are a society of gamblers.
One look at the financial markets will tell you that.
Especially with same-day option expirations.

The prediction markets simply dumb down the ability to gamble, in my opinion.
Which helps make it more "mainstream".




Oh it is gambling. But in this case I love giving the odds. Aliens diablo. Aliens ;-)
Take care of your Chicken
Cal88
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socaltownie said:

Right now you can by the no side of "Will there be an announcement of definitive alien life" by the end of 2027 for .85 cents. Even after fees (and while you have a long tail exposure) it is easy money

1) You collect a nice ROI
2) We are living in the most important period of human history ever and do you really give a **** ;-)

The contract resolved by the announcement of the president or a cabinet level officials.


I also have a small position on the No for the Odyssey winning best picture that will likely fall from .57 yes as more Oscar level films are show. Still could win, just that price is unlikely to be sustained for long.


Whatever the outcome of this will be, once thing's for sure, Barron Trump is going to rake it in.
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