Cal Football Unlikely

29,606 Views | 317 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by philbert
BearinOC
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Please don't it's so. I am getting pretty upset over this Covid 19 crap, now no football? This is bull****, man.

https://www.si.com/college/cal/news/cal-football-napolitano
Sebastabear
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I think the author is missing the point. I read this statement as there will in fact be students on campus - probably just not in the large lecture halls. So the conclusion of no football because no students is based on a faulty assumption. Mid June is when the decision will be made. Hearing that from a number of sources.
SoCalie
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Totally agree, SB. If the general student body is enrolled in - and attending - classes virtually and in-person (even if on a limited basis), it would seem that should be enough to constitute "students on campus." In this regard, school will be continuing. Even if many of the students elect to stay home (and not return to Berkeley) and take their classes solely online, that shouldn't matter. The athletes (and anyone else that wants to) can remain on campus and attend their classes however they want (virtually and/or in person), and follow what ever regulations are set forth for social distancing. I'm hoping the Athletic Department can come up with rules that the coaches and athletes feel comfortable with - and that the UC Regents approve - that will enable the fall sports to safely take place. That's not hoping for too much, is it?

Cal Strong!
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If the NCAA season is cancelled, Cal and furd should still suit up and play the Big Game. Students only can attend, to keep distancing.
HungryCalBear
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Cal Strong! said:

If the NCAA season is cancelled, Cal and furd should still suit up and play the Big Game. Students only can attend, to keep distancing.
ur ... what about the players? pretty porous defense if they have to stand 6 feet apart.

I feel really bumped since this could be our year!!! :-(
JSC 76
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IF students are on campus, then the odds of football being played go up to 50/50 (IMHO). If every player and staff, on every team, is tested every week then I don't see any reason why they couldn't play.

Stands in the fan is a much bigger hurdle.
wifeisafurd
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Cal AD has been very transparent about this:

1) Conferences, etc. are talking - national decision on when to play and how
2) Need 6 to 8 weeks of football practice before safety playing
3) No one really knows, Cal and others are modeling different alternatives (put another way, many different scenarios are being considered)
4) Decisions will be more likely around June as SB states

What this tells me is what you hear now is mainly conjecture. The media, as usual, continues to put out a lot of disinformation (or you could call it bulls!t). .
bearchamp
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I heard somewhere (thus no basis for accuracy) that a delayed season is in discussion, Start later, end later.
BearoutEast67
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Well, at least our Esports team could still play.
Donate to Cal's NIL at https://calegends.com/donation/
GivemTheAxe
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SoCalie said:

Totally agree, SB. If the general student body is enrolled in - and attending - classes virtually and in-person (even if on a limited basis), it would seem that should be enough to constitute "students on campus." In this regard, school will be continuing. Even if many of the students elect to stay home (and not return to Berkeley) and take their classes solely online, that shouldn't matter. The athletes (and anyone else that wants to) can remain on campus and attend their classes however they want (virtually and/or in person), and follow what ever regulations are set forth for social distancing. I'm hoping the Athletic Department can come up with rules that the coaches and athletes feel comfortable with - and that the UC Regents approve - that will enable the fall sports to safely take place. That's not hoping for too much, is it?



I agree. In addition it is possible that games can safely be played if there are no fans in the stands. It would be easier to test and track the players, coaches, refs etc than it would be to test and control thousands of
fans.
wifeisafurd
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This is far more complicated. For example, Newsom wants to move up the fall semester to summer since the virus will be diminished in warmer weather. The view is because we isolated, we are more susceptible to a repeat bad COVID season later in the fall. (I'm not going to get into the whole herd immunity the Swiss have it right thing - we did what we did and now have to deal with it). I'm not sure schools will be ready, and certainly don't know that summer football is even close to a reality for a lot of reasons. I don't even know if Newsom (and other governors?) will get his wish on an open campus in June/July. But if COVID does come back badly in the fall, that changes the equation even if the decision was made to have football as regularly scheduled. Long way of saying, what is decided in June, may not hold. This is a very fluid. Sorry to be the bearer of uncertainty. But anyone that tells you they know what is happening, doesn't know what is happening.

71Bear
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wifeisafurd said:

This is far more complicated. For example, Newsom wants to move up the fall semester to summer since the virus will be diminished in warmer weather. The view is because we isolated, we are more susceptible to a repeat bad COVID season later in the fall. (I'm not going to get into the whole herd immunity the Swiss have it right thing - we did what we did and now have to deal with it). I'm not sure schools will be ready, and certainly don't know that summer football is even close to a reality for a lot of reasons. I don't even know if Newsom (and other governors?) will get his wish on an open campus in June/July. But if COVID does come back badly in the fall, that changes the equation even if the decision was made to have football as regularly scheduled. Long way of saying, what is decided in June, may not hold. This is a very fluid. Sorry to be the bearer of uncertainty. But anyone that tells you they know what is happening, doesn't know what is happening.


Your last sentence is a succinct summary of the current situation.

Having said that, my guess is a delayed season, starting late, ending late. Much like the NFL (which is planning for two scenarios (starting on tine or starting in mid-October), college football is also planning on multiple scenarios, starting on time, starting later in the fall or pushing everything to after the first of the year.

The only thing I would bet on is that a season (fully or truncated, with or without fans) will take place - colleges simply can not afford to cancel the entire season.



6956bear
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Because so much is truly unknown I am very skeptical a season is played. The speculation of a 2nd wave in the Fall and Winter makes starting late very precarious. Not enough time to prepare to start earlier and weather concerns abound in either scenario.

What to do with the players, staff and support folks should even a single player or staffer become infected? I want there to be a season but it just seems to me that too many things are conspiring against that hope to genuinely anticipate the games being played.

JMO but I think the idea of playing with this pandemic still ongoing will cause the powers that be from keeping a season from becoming a reality. I am not sure I agree or disagree with that, just believe that to be the likely outcome.

Can a Spring season be possible? I doubt it. Unless they want to permanently move football to the Spring. Football is a tough sport and there needs to be sufficient offseason to recover from a season of playing. A season ending say in May and then starting back up in late August seems to be too quick.

I want there to be a season, but have resigned myself to the belief it will not occur.
Strykur
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6956bear said:

Can a Spring season be possible? I doubt it. Unless they want to permanently move football to the Spring. Football is a tough sport and there needs to be sufficient offseason to recover from a season of playing. A season ending say in May and then starting back up in late August seems to be too quick.
You can't play a spring season and then expect everybody to start it up again in less than 3 months to return to the fall schedule, it happens in fall or it doesn't. Other than practices and games, there are logistical mechanics for bowls, TV networks, etc., how would college football work during March Madness and the NBA playoffs?
IssyBear
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wifeisafurd said:

This is far more complicated. For example, Newsom wants to move up the fall semester to summer since the virus will be diminished in warmer weather. The view is because we isolated, we are more susceptible to a repeat bad COVID season later in the fall. (I'm not going to get into the whole herd immunity the Swiss have it right thing - we did what we did and now have to deal with it). I'm not sure schools will be ready, and certainly don't know that summer football is even close to a reality for a lot of reasons. I don't even know if Newsom (and other governors?) will get his wish on an open campus in June/July. But if COVID does come back badly in the fall, that changes the equation even if the decision was made to have football as regularly scheduled. Long way of saying, what is decided in June, may not hold. This is a very fluid. Sorry to be the bearer of uncertainty. But anyone that tells you they know what is happening, doesn't know what is happening.


I agree. We are learning as we go, so what we discover in July will supersede anything decided in June. Lots of "experts" are expecting another wave sooner than expected as a result of the current re-opening strategies being pursued by some states. We shall find out soon who is correct.

One important model will likely be provided by Major League Baseball. If they do start a modified season in late June or July as is now being discussed, we will gain experience on how to protect players and older (and possibly more at risk) staff and umpires while trying to play a major sport in empty stadiums. It is not exactly like football, but catchers, hitters and umpires will not be practicing social distancing or likely wearing cloth masks. If they do start the season two months from now, they will need to start a modified spring training very soon.
Chabbear
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The big elephant in the room is that without football revenues, other D-1 athletic programs die unless one of a few things happen:

1. Sport is fully endowed
2. College picks up the tab
3. Donations increase to support the sports kept.
4. Other revenues found.
5.???

Wild cards:
1. Title 9.
2. NCAA rules about the number of sports to remain eligible for D-1
3. Conference rules about sports that must be included to be in the conference (Pac 12: Football, Men and Women Basketball, Women Volleyball)
4. Tax support from Congress
5. ??



IssyBear
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Chabbear said:

The big elephant in the room is that without football revenues, other D-1 athletic programs die unless one of a few things happen:

1. Sport is fully endowed
2. College picks up the tab
3. Donations increase to support the sports kept.
4. Other revenues found.
5.???

Wild cards:
1. Title 9.
2. NCAA rules about the number of sports to remain eligible for D-1
3. Conference rules about sports that must be included to be in the conference (Pac 12: Football, Men and Women Basketball, Women Volleyball)
4. Tax support from Congress
5. ??




This is at a time when the university itself is having a tremendous loss of funding. Loss of student housing revenue is a real killer, costs to shift to on-line learning have been excessive, and with the State of California's own financial losses (we only get 40% of our education support from the state anyway) will prevent us from getting any help from Sacramento.
Rushinbear
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No football would be a huge mistake. We see how this situation is being managed, globally, nationally and on a state level. The recent admission by the CDC that the number of deaths is 37,000, not 60,000, is the latest evidence.

It is seen by some as a good chance to radically transform our way of life (and I'm not quoting Obama - he got it from someone else). I'm talking about the crowd that has been slowly, incrementally undermining football, not because it can be characterized as dangerous, but because it is the number one reflection of an individual, competitive way of life. If they can kill football or radically undermine it, they are on their way faster to changing all that we hold dear.

They hadn't counted on Sweden not having wiped itself out by now.

How sick of this "shelter in place" are you? Have you obeyed orders explicitly? We went along in the short term because we wanted to gain time for the scientists to come up with tests, treatments and vaccines. That's now well underway. How much longer are you willing to sacrifice when nearly half the states and their populations are determined to open up and cope with the results? Don't forget that the steps taken so far are voluntary and would not survive even the merest of Constitutional challenges. Orange County has already figured that out. They, at least, will not take any more.
oskidunker
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Maybe play league games only. Or go to a 8 game schedule or less.
Bring back It’s It’s to Haas Pavillion!
Big C
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HungryCalBear said:

Cal Strong! said:

If the NCAA season is cancelled, Cal and furd should still suit up and play the Big Game. Students only can attend, to keep distancing.
ur ... what about the players? pretty porous defense if they have to stand 6 feet apart.

I feel really bumped since this could be our year!!! :-(

New Rule: All teams required to use the spread offense to help maintain distancing!
Big C
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Rushinbear said:

No football would be a huge mistake. We see how this situation is being managed, globally, nationally and on a state level. The recent admission by the CDC that the number of deaths is 37,000, not 60,000, is the latest evidence.

It is seen by some as a good chance to radically transform our way of life (and I'm not quoting Obama - he got it from someone else). I'm talking about the crowd that has been slowly, incrementally undermining football, not because it can be characterized as dangerous, but because it is the number one reflection of an individual, competitive way of life. If they can kill football or radically undermine it, they are on their way faster to changing all that we hold dear.

They hadn't counted on Sweden not having wiped itself out by now.

How sick of this "shelter in place" are you? Have you obeyed orders explicitly? We went along in the short term because we wanted to gain time for the scientists to come up with tests, treatments and vaccines. That's now well underway. How much longer are you willing to sacrifice when nearly half the states and their populations are determined to open up and cope with the results? Don't forget that the steps taken so far are voluntary and would not survive even the merest of Constitutional challenges. Orange County has already figured that out. They, at least, will not take any more.

Wow. A lot of "interesting" ideas and statistics there. Let me guess, you are at least as sick of shelter-in-place as I am?
golden sloth
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Rushinbear said:

I'm talking about the crowd that has been slowly, incrementally undermining football, not because it can be characterized as dangerous, but because it is the number one reflection of an individual, competitive way of life. If they can kill football or radically undermine it, they are on their way faster to changing all that we hold dear.


Do you care to elaborate on this because I dont see this as happening at all, and I don't understand the logic behind the 'kill the football, change the world' sentiment?
ducky23
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Rushinbear said:

No football would be a huge mistake. We see how this situation is being managed, globally, nationally and on a state level. The recent admission by the CDC that the number of deaths is 37,000, not 60,000, is the latest evidence.




Cmon man. That's been debunked for awhile
IssyBear
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golden sloth said:

Rushinbear said:

I'm talking about the crowd that has been slowly, incrementally undermining football, not because it can be characterized as dangerous, but because it is the number one reflection of an individual, competitive way of life. If they can kill football or radically undermine it, they are on their way faster to changing all that we hold dear.


Do you care to elaborate on this because I dont see this as happening at all, and I don't understand the logic behind the 'kill the football, change the world' sentiment?
I wonder who the "they" he is talking about are? I have never heard this position expressed by anyone until now. Especially as football is the ultimate TEAM sport, not an individual sport in any sense.
Bobodeluxe
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ducky23 said:

Rushinbear said:

No football would be a huge mistake. We see how this situation is being managed, globally, nationally and on a state level. The recent admission by the CDC that the number of deaths is 37,000, not 60,000, is the latest evidence.




Cmon man. That's been debunked for awhile
Nonsense. Fox News has reported that there are actually over 120,000 new lifes over the period of this communist hoax administered by Ben Ghazi.

Hard to believe that many of the posters here ever graduated high school.
Rushinbear
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Big C said:

Rushinbear said:

No football would be a huge mistake. We see how this situation is being managed, globally, nationally and on a state level. The recent admission by the CDC that the number of deaths is 37,000, not 60,000, is the latest evidence.

It is seen by some as a good chance to radically transform our way of life (and I'm not quoting Obama - he got it from someone else). I'm talking about the crowd that has been slowly, incrementally undermining football, not because it can be characterized as dangerous, but because it is the number one reflection of an individual, competitive way of life. If they can kill football or radically undermine it, they are on their way faster to changing all that we hold dear.

They hadn't counted on Sweden not having wiped itself out by now.

How sick of this "shelter in place" are you? Have you obeyed orders explicitly? We went along in the short term because we wanted to gain time for the scientists to come up with tests, treatments and vaccines. That's now well underway. How much longer are you willing to sacrifice when nearly half the states and their populations are determined to open up and cope with the results? Don't forget that the steps taken so far are voluntary and would not survive even the merest of Constitutional challenges. Orange County has already figured that out. They, at least, will not take any more.

Wow. A lot of "interesting" ideas and statistics there. Let me guess, you are at least as sick of shelter-in-place as I am?
I'm on the board of an over 55 homeowners assn. We put in shelter in place two months ago and have enforced it almost rigidly. We've had no cases or deaths and only one owner has reported any family/friends as having come down with it (Colorado). I've been getting calls, stopped on the sidewalks by a lot of our owners and they are about to revolt. We're opening up next week on a gradual basis.

We are not alone. It appears that demonstrations to open up are increasing around the country. And, the governors in most of those places are taking notice.

I've also been in touch with the med community. Our town has had only 5 cases reported and no deaths. The data in-state and nationwide leaves me suspicious. Hyping the numbers with cause of death assumptions is criminal, especially when you realize that a hospital receives as much as 3 times the reimbursement for a CV19 case as for a non. Also, there are no national statistics being gathered on cases/deaths in nursing homes. Granted some states refuse to release them (mine included), but that leads me to think that this is where the bulk of the numbers are generated. If so, let's design strategies for that and ease up on the rest.

Yes, I'm sick of it, but also worried that our "leaders" may see a chance here to suppress our rights.
Rushinbear
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ducky23 said:

Rushinbear said:

No football would be a huge mistake. We see how this situation is being managed, globally, nationally and on a state level. The recent admission by the CDC that the number of deaths is 37,000, not 60,000, is the latest evidence.




Cmon man. That's been debunked for awhile
I linked the image of the CDC form, with footnotes about a week ago. The 37,000 number has been made public much more recently. "Awhile" hasn't had time to transpire.
Rushinbear
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IssyBear said:

golden sloth said:

Rushinbear said:

I'm talking about the crowd that has been slowly, incrementally undermining football, not because it can be characterized as dangerous, but because it is the number one reflection of an individual, competitive way of life. If they can kill football or radically undermine it, they are on their way faster to changing all that we hold dear.


Do you care to elaborate on this because I dont see this as happening at all, and I don't understand the logic behind the 'kill the football, change the world' sentiment?
I wonder who the "they" he is talking about are? I have never heard this position expressed by anyone until now. Especially as football is the ultimate TEAM sport, not an individual sport in any sense.
Are you new here? It's been debated off and on over the last two years, at least.

In football, each individual has their position to play and their role in the team, unlike BB or soccer where one player can dominate to a much greater degree. And, because of the physical demands, each individual must maximize his readiness to perform. And, overcoming fatigue and injury during play is much more important.
Rushinbear
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Bobodeluxe said:

ducky23 said:

Rushinbear said:

No football would be a huge mistake. We see how this situation is being managed, globally, nationally and on a state level. The recent admission by the CDC that the number of deaths is 37,000, not 60,000, is the latest evidence.




Cmon man. That's been debunked for awhile
Nonsense. Fox News has reported that there are actually over 120,000 new lifes over the period of this communist hoax administered by Ben Ghazi.

Hard to believe that many of the posters here ever graduated high school.
That's how you avoid debate? Weak.
KenBurnski
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He should return to typing nothing but "Buh." Comedic gold.
ducky23
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Rushinbear said:

ducky23 said:

Rushinbear said:

No football would be a huge mistake. We see how this situation is being managed, globally, nationally and on a state level. The recent admission by the CDC that the number of deaths is 37,000, not 60,000, is the latest evidence.




Cmon man. That's been debunked for awhile
I linked the image of the CDC form, with footnotes about a week ago. The 37,000 number has been made public much more recently. "Awhile" hasn't had time to transpire.
Ok first off, you do understand that your 37k stat is not accurate, correct?

second, things move fast in covid world. while you are spouting 37k deaths, the CDC is now projecting that by June, we could see 3000 deaths PER DAY
wifeisafurd
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this has been somewhat buried, but there will be Congressional action on the paying players issue fairly soon. That provides an opportunity for such things as a subsidy or some other action to unburden the financial pressures on college athletics caused by COVID. Not saying it will happen, but don't be surprised if there isn't at least a trial ballon for some sort of temporary financial relief.
Go!Bears
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Bobodeluxe said:

ducky23 said:

Rushinbear said:

No football would be a huge mistake. We see how this situation is being managed, globally, nationally and on a state level. The recent admission by the CDC that the number of deaths is 37,000, not 60,000, is the latest evidence.




Cmon man. That's been debunked for awhile
Nonsense. Fox News has reported that there are actually over 120,000 new lifes over the period of this communist hoax administered by Ben Ghazi.

Hard to believe that many of the posters here ever graduated high school.
What I always wonder is why intelligent people continue to trust sources that continually intentionally mislead them. Yes the 37K number did appear on the CDC web site as a PROVISIONAL number. Regular consumers of the sites data would understand that the data lag by as much as two weeks or more. In this instance, that would account for the difference between 67K & 37K - but Fox reports the shocking new number (37K) and the echo chamber amplifies. People who trust Fox news repeat it - and look like idiots. Fool me twice, shame on me...
BearlyCareAnymore
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wifeisafurd said:

This is far more complicated. For example, Newsom wants to move up the fall semester to summer since the virus will be diminished in warmer weather. The view is because we isolated, we are more susceptible to a repeat bad COVID season later in the fall. (I'm not going to get into the whole herd immunity the Swiss have it right thing - we did what we did and now have to deal with it). I'm not sure schools will be ready, and certainly don't know that summer football is even close to a reality for a lot of reasons. I don't even know if Newsom (and other governors?) will get his wish on an open campus in June/July. But if COVID does come back badly in the fall, that changes the equation even if the decision was made to have football as regularly scheduled. Long way of saying, what is decided in June, may not hold. This is a very fluid. Sorry to be the bearer of uncertainty. But anyone that tells you they know what is happening, doesn't know what is happening.


Colleges have shown absolutely zero indication to their students of any plan to open early. They are already under brutal timelines to figure out what to do about Fall under the current timelines.

I can only speak to my kids' school district, but 24 hours after what they called the somewhat confusing direction about opening schools in July, they sent out a tactful letter that basically between the lines said parents can stop calling them to scream, that teachers would have to agree, the school board would need to pass a resolution that as of this time there is no plan to change the already approved calendar for next school year. In other words it ain't happening.

I will be utterly shocked if anything comes of the proposed July opening. I don't see anyone making moves to actually do it, and none of it is up to Newsom.
IssyBear
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Rushinbear said:

IssyBear said:

golden sloth said:

Rushinbear said:

I'm talking about the crowd that has been slowly, incrementally undermining football, not because it can be characterized as dangerous, but because it is the number one reflection of an individual, competitive way of life. If they can kill football or radically undermine it, they are on their way faster to changing all that we hold dear.


Do you care to elaborate on this because I dont see this as happening at all, and I don't understand the logic behind the 'kill the football, change the world' sentiment?
I wonder who the "they" he is talking about are? I have never heard this position expressed by anyone until now. Especially as football is the ultimate TEAM sport, not an individual sport in any sense.
Are you new here? It's been debated off and on over the last two years, at least.

In football, each individual has their position to play and their role in the team, unlike BB or soccer where one player can dominate to a much greater degree. And, because of the physical demands, each individual must maximize his readiness to perform. And, overcoming fatigue and injury during play is much more important.
Thanks for the tip to check out the debate that has been held for the past two years on this issue. To save time I Googled the following: "football is reflection of an individual, competitive way of life". Surprisingly, all I got was your above post. You were #1! I could find no #2 on this topic.
 
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