calumnus said:
philly1121 said:
Sactowndog said:
philly1121 said:
LunchTime said:
58ballboy said:
Let me preface by saying that. I am saddened and angry that this has happened. It shouldn't have happened and it could have been avoided. But, it has happened, so we move forward. Let me also provide some context. My Dad played in the 40's and I began attending in 1955. I never missed a home football or basketball game (and most baseball games as well) for the next 20 years.
Cal regularly sold out their games back then. Even against conference members Idaho and Montana. Why? Because going to the game was fun. Sure, Cal would win more than they would lose back then, but the event was greater than the outcome. As we transitioned into the mediocre years, the key was not the losses, but the changing interests of students and fans.From the late 60's on, playing Alabama would not have filled the stadium. However, take a look around the country and you'll see that fans are back.
College sports are supposed to be fun for the athletes and the fans. Granted, NIL and other changes have had an effect. But take a look at some of the other college teams that I also follow. Fresno State draws 35,000 fans to most games. Their tailgate area is famous. UC Davis, and Sac State that I also follow are totally enjoyable events. The MWC teams that are so easily dismissed are generally competitive teams that send many players to the pros. Just look at Cal's record against MWC teams recently.
What would happen if the remaining 4 teams merged with the Mountain West? There would probably be a short term drop in financial support and attendance. But, it would be short term and it might not happen at all. Cal would immediately become competitive and would likely go to bowl games and the NCAA final 64. Over time, the other ""Pac-15" teams would become even stronger, quite possible creating a new power conference. Look at what happened to the Florida schools that recently stepped up their programs.
Television has turned college sports into a game of ratings. While that's a fact today, I predict that it will not last. The joy and camaraderie of college sports is still there. Just give it a chance.
Hopefully, financial supporters will not be short sighted and will rally around the swimming, water polo, rugby, tennis, golf, track, softball, and soccer programs the way they did for baseball. Likewise, the debt around the stadium could easily by resolved if the state would step up.
I suggest that we dispense with the gloom and doom, and look instead to new opportunities.
Cal didn't sell out games because they were fun. They sold out because games were easier to get to before Berkeley intentionally made access difficult, and there wasn't anything else to do. Even if you enjoy sports, there are 6 other teams in close proximity to split the group now, vs 2 previously. The Giants didn't come til '58, the As 68, the NFL wasn't significant until the 70s. The sharks in the '90s. Of course Cal was a bigger draw in the 50s and 60s.
The MWC would cause attendance to plummet. I wouldn't watch SJSU Fresno etc for free. It's why SJSU was on the verge of being pushed out of D1"A" and had to attract fans with a marching band.
No one in the world wants to watch that. Fresno and boise draws fans... For tiny texas high school sized stadiums. Matter of fact, the only stadium with 60k+ is an NFL stadium. At MWC standards, a great attendance would leave our stadium at about 30% full. Yikes.
2022 Avg Attendance
Cal: 38,596 (63,000 is capacity)
Fresno State: 39,067 (40,727 is capacity)
5-year average
Cal - 41,172
Fresno - 30,513
Diff: 10,659
Facts.
You really doing a 5 year average that includes
1) Covid years
2) Fresno's worst coach in its entire history in DeRuyter
The fact is joining the MWC would give you a short term boost in attendance. Once you sank to the bottom of the MWC standings with UNLV maybe not. NIL would depend if your alumni could stand the annual beatings at the hands of Fresno or would they pay up to prevent the humiliation. At least your TV ratings might rise as 1/2 the state and most of the Central Valley would tune in to watch Fresno thrash you.
As pointed out you already have a losing record against Fresno. Expect that to continue. We have the only coach that actually won here since the 50's. Your admin knows that fact which is why they want to send your athletes across the country.
The stats I gave show that Fresno, despite DeRuyter and despite Covid - has a better overall attendance than Cal. Smaller stadium notwithstanding. I think Fresno would add a regional rivalry that would absolutely matter to the Valley. Not so much Cal.
I brought those stats up to show that, we are really not all that we think we are. That whatever value we think we have is way overhyped because of our academic standing. And as we read in other threads, particularly CalStrong's postings that working or collab'ing in some way with MWC schools is not gonna happen - then I think we are probably going independent or dropping football.
Fresno is the regional team for a small metro agricultural area with no professional sports. Iowa on a smaller scale. They make good coaching hires spending less and have a good record against lesser competition.
Cal has an opportunity to be the regional team in a large urban metropolitan area (the North and East Bay) that now has no professional sports. We have not generally hired good coaches despite spending more and until now we play tougher competition.
We are at an inflection point. This realignment is critical. Cal is a sleeping giant, but will we awake or be smothered with a pillow while we sleep?
Haha. I know your are trying to be positive….
Just FYI, Iowa has a population of 3.2M which is split between Iowa and Iowa State. The San Joaquin Valley has a population of 4.2M people and contains only Fresno State within it.
Since I'm guessing most here don't know….
the San Joaquin Valley does not include the Sacramento Metro area which is another 2.4M people and again has no FBS or Pro football. It's this 6.6M people with no Pro or FBS competition that caused Endeavor to recommend to Yormark the Big-12 look hard at Fresno State. That population base is basically Indiana.
Unfortunately, Fresno did not have the Academics to win Presidential support over 4 PAC-12 AAU schools. I also think Fresno might struggle to gain brand strength past maybe Elk Grove. I do think Cal and Fresno combined could reasonably penetrate the Sac Metro area. But sadly you all would prefer to offer yourselves up for free to the ACC with Stanford.
How is that going for you all?