BREAKING NEWS: Pac12 is in imminent and existential danger

28,356 Views | 339 Replies | Last: 1 yr ago by ninetyfourbear
calumnus
How long do you want to ignore this user?
BearSD said:

movielover said:

Does the newly engineered PAC have to include all current MWC teams? Might they subtract and add a few?


The MWC has a big exit fee for anyone who leaves with less than two years notice. If the members vote to dissolve the MWC to join the Pac, the exit fee goes away, but any school will vote to dissolve only if they have a Pac invitation.

Theoretically a vast majority could gang up to exclude 2 or 3 MWC members from the Pac if their votes are not needed to dissolve, and someone from SDSU actually floated that idea, but AFAIK no one else has publicly supported SDSU on that.


Yes. Or the PAC-2 could get 10 MWC members to vote for a scheduling agreement while they play as the PAC-2 in 2024 and 2025 then invite the ten from the MWC to join in 2026 when the media rights expire.
BearSD
How long do you want to ignore this user?
calumnus said:

BearSD said:

movielover said:

Does the newly engineered PAC have to include all current MWC teams? Might they subtract and add a few?

The MWC has a big exit fee for anyone who leaves with less than two years notice. If the members vote to dissolve the MWC to join the Pac, the exit fee goes away, but any school will vote to dissolve only if they have a Pac invitation.

Theoretically a vast majority could gang up to exclude 2 or 3 MWC members from the Pac if their votes are not needed to dissolve, and someone from SDSU actually floated that idea, but AFAIK no one else has publicly supported SDSU on that.

Yes. Or the PAC-2 could get 10 MWC members to vote for a scheduling agreement while they play as the PAC-2 in 2024 and 2025 then invite the ten from the MWC to join in 2026 when the media rights expire.
I don't think the MWC exit fee expires when their TV deal expires. I suppose teams could give notice now and leave in a year or two when the exit fee is much lower, but OSU and WSU need 2024-25 scheduling in all sports, not just football. It's one thing for a group of MWC teams to commit to helping OSU with football schedules, it's quite another for them to supply 10-16 games to both OSU and WSU in every team sport.

Also, as long as we are gaming this out for fun: The MWC has 11 full members. Hawaii only plays football with them and wouldn't get a vote on dissolving the MWC. If a group of schools tries any of these maneuvers to exclude some of their conference mates, they'd try to exclude more than one.
calumnus
How long do you want to ignore this user?
BearSD said:

calumnus said:

BearSD said:

movielover said:

Does the newly engineered PAC have to include all current MWC teams? Might they subtract and add a few?

The MWC has a big exit fee for anyone who leaves with less than two years notice. If the members vote to dissolve the MWC to join the Pac, the exit fee goes away, but any school will vote to dissolve only if they have a Pac invitation.

Theoretically a vast majority could gang up to exclude 2 or 3 MWC members from the Pac if their votes are not needed to dissolve, and someone from SDSU actually floated that idea, but AFAIK no one else has publicly supported SDSU on that.

Yes. Or the PAC-2 could get 10 MWC members to vote for a scheduling agreement while they play as the PAC-2 in 2024 and 2025 then invite the ten from the MWC to join in 2026 when the media rights expire.
I don't think the MWC exit fee expires when their TV deal expires. I suppose teams could give notice now and leave in a year or two when the exit fee is much lower, but OSU and WSU need 2024-25 scheduling in all sports, not just football. It's one thing for a group of MWC teams to commit to helping OSU with football schedules, it's quite another for them to supply 10-16 games to both OSU and WSU in every team sport.

Also, as long as we are gaming this out for fun: The MWC has 11 full members. Hawaii only plays football with them and wouldn't get a vote on dissolving the MWC. If a group of schools tries any of these maneuvers to exclude some of their conference mates, they'd try to exclude more than one.



One question is how many votes does it take for the MWC to revise its 2024 schedules in all sports to accommodate 2Pac?

But overall, it is best for the PAC-2 to ally with the MWC as a whole, leaving the decision on whether to merge in 2024, 2025 or 2026 up to the lawyers and accounts.
wifeisafurd
How long do you want to ignore this user?
calumnus said:

Big Dog said:

sycasey said:

So what is the likely end result here? OSU and WSU just have to give up the ghost and join the Mountain West? Would a reverse merge with the Pac ever be feasible?
Sure, it's feasible, but the MWC is only gonna want to merge with a squeaky clean partner, with no future liabilities hanging around that they might be on teh hook for. And that will take time to sort out. And lawyers.


That is why operating as the PAC-2 for 2024 and 2025, but with a scheduling alliance with the MWC, appears to be the best path for OSU, WSU and the MWC (or most of th MWC). That gets to the end of the MWC media contact and gives the lawyers time to sort through the PAC-12's holdover issues. It also keeps two votes at the CFP to defend PAC-12 rights.

The other option would be for the reverse merger to happen sooner, as soon as next season, which would allow the MWC schools to get out of their $5 million media deal and negotiate a better one as the PAC-16, with some benefit going to WSU and OSU. That would also strengthen the PAC's hand in fighting fo it's existing contractural rights.

The main obstacle, which WIAF has made vey clear, is the other 10 (I guess we let USC and UCLA back into the club) need to have their current financial interests in the conference protected. That is reasonable and any court will likely support it. We may even see the conference placed in receivership to make sure the interests of all the parties are protected.

However, there may be more at play. The B1G, Fox, ESPN and B-12 clearly wanted the PAC-12 dead, and now the departing members, joining those conferences, may now also want to see a future competitor conference destroyed. If the object was to eliminate the PAC-12 those parties won't be happy with simply eliminating the MWC. The SEC and B1G want to redo the 2024 and 2024 CFP format and the best way would be to get their new members to burn their old conference to the ground so there is no longer a PAC-12 to claim its 2024 and 2025 rights and revenues.

Moreover, rather than the MWC members being able to abandon their current media deal and negotiate as the PAC-16 possibly involving Apple and Amazon, dissolving the PAC-12 would instead force WSU and OSU into the current MWC media deal at $5 million per and keep everyone under ESPN control.

It seems pretty dirty to me, and especially as we are ourselves victims of these same forces and were almost killed ourselves, I am saddened to hear we have gone Stockholm and are now collaborating with these forces in actions against our former fellow refugees.
You seem to be viewing this as evil vs. good, which if courts get to do, and ignore corporate law, than nothing will ever be predictable, and we might as well not bother planning for clients.

The biggest obstacle facing OSU and WSU is they don't know what the liabilities of the Pac will be, primarily from some of Larry's bad conduct. Part of the problem is they don't seem to be getting any help from the conference, and maybe that changes with a Judge's order. But also it may be some of this is not quantifiable until the parties go through discovery, such as on the Holiday Bowl, Comcast employee fiasco, Direct TV, and sexual harassment litigations. The Comcast employees' suits, as alleged, could mean material punitive damages. The Comcast liability at least is a know quantity, I'n not sure how to evaluate the Direct TV claims, but there likely is an outside number that can be estimated - these are contractual damages. I'm guessing it will take some time to figure that all out, and my guess is the exposure will be too much for the MWC to be willing to do engage in any transaction, reverse merger or otherwise, that will provide for successor liability. I'm also suggesting that OSU and WSU will run out of time before the can properly assess these lialbities. The cure seems to be somehow the MWC will give up two football conference games, god knows how many basketball games, and change to whatever sports to get this done, which seems to vastly overestimate the value of the OSU and WSU programs, and assumes that there really is a pot of gold at the end of the rainbow. I just don't see this happening. I think the MWC Commissioner was very clear in her statement.

Another huge problem is that the Pac departing members have no advantage in going through this exercise, and appear to have very good reasons not to do so, and under CA corporate law, can and will cause the conference to liquidate. You seem to attribute some sinister motivations to the departing members, such as watching out for their own financial interest and those that will impact their future partners. But the corporate law is written so that the vast majority are not enslaved with other partners forever, especially when the other partners want to control decisions in organizations they have continuing liability for.

You are correct that teams leave conferences, and they do so typically subject to bilateral indemnification provisions (partnership withdrawal agreements typically provide for this). This is possible because the conferences are clearly viable entities that have remaining members who are able to meet their commitments. That is not the case with the Pac 2. WSU and OSU have athletic departments that are deeply in the red. There probably is no sense right now what the outside number is for contingent liabilities and if the Pac 2 would be able to pay them. There is major doubts the Pac 2 could even develop a schedule in most sports. There is significant doubt the Pac 2 can get anything close to viable TV contract, pay its bills on time or merge or somehow obtain members from the MWC, who themselves would be looking at enormous break out fees from their TV contract. There is a great deal of concern that the Pac 2 would not even be able to make the payments the departing members think they are due for the past and 2023/4 basketball season that have accrued and are payable in the future. I'm not sure anyone really has thought out all the consequences of trying to keep the Pac 12 alive, and I don't think the departing members or the MWC will want to spend the legal and other fees trying to find out how to examine and document all the weird scenarios to make it try to work. What really is bizarre is that you then add the broadcast partners want the Pac 2 dead, and if this really is the case, why the hell is the MWC or the departing teams going to piss off their broadcast partners to help OSU and WSU try to rescue the conference?

At some point someone has to ask why Washgon thought they were entitled to way more money to join an "East" conference than Calford or SMU? They made certain calculated decisions and want to be bailed out from the consequences of those arrogant decisions. You instead compare these schools to hostages, when they willing made their decisions without a gun to their head, unlike the hostages in the Stockholm bank robbery.

Note: I use the terms partners loosely, because the law regarding unincorporated associations is similar to that for general partnerships.

movielover
How long do you want to ignore this user?
So liquidation seems most logical? Could the name "PCC" still be used after the fact?

Would a combination of MWC and BWC members offer a more inviting TV package? Given the LA market ... might adding UCSB and UCI add TV households?
Big Dog
How long do you want to ignore this user?
calumnus said:

Big Dog said:

sycasey said:

So what is the likely end result here? OSU and WSU just have to give up the ghost and join the Mountain West? Would a reverse merge with the Pac ever be feasible?
Sure, it's feasible, but the MWC is only gonna want to merge with a squeaky clean partner, with no future liabilities hanging around that they might be on teh hook for. And that will take time to sort out. And lawyers.


That is why operating as the PAC-2 for 2024 and 2025, but with a scheduling alliance with the MWC, appears to be the best path for OSU, WSU and the MWC (or most of th MWC). That gets to the end of the MWC media contact and gives the lawyers time to sort through the PAC-12's holdover issues. It also keeps two votes at the CFP to defend PAC-12 rights.

The other option would be for the reverse merger to happen sooner, as soon as next season, which would allow the MWC schools to get out of their $5 million media deal and negotiate a better one as the PAC-16, with some benefit going to WSU and OSU. That would also strengthen the PAC's hand in fighting fo it's existing contractural rights.

The main obstacle, which WIAF has made vey clear, is the other 10 (I guess we let USC and UCLA back into the club) need to have their current financial interests in the conference protected. That is reasonable and any court will likely support it. We may even see the conference placed in receivership to make sure the interests of all the parties are protected.

However, there may be more at play. The B1G, Fox, ESPN and B-12 clearly wanted the PAC-12 dead, and now the departing members, joining those conferences, may now also want to see a future competitor conference destroyed. If the object was to eliminate the PAC-12 those parties won't be happy with simply eliminating the MWC. The SEC and B1G want to redo the 2024 and 2024 CFP format and the best way would be to get their new members to burn their old conference to the ground so there is no longer a PAC-12 to claim its 2024 and 2025 rights and revenues.

Moreover, rather than the MWC members being able to abandon their current media deal and negotiate as the PAC-16 possibly involving Apple and Amazon, dissolving the PAC-12 would instead force WSU and OSU into the current MWC media deal at $5 million per and keep everyone under ESPN control.

It seems pretty dirty to me, and especially as we are ourselves victims of these same forces and were almost killed ourselves, I am saddened to hear we have gone Stockholm and are now collaborating with these forces in actions against our former fellow refugees.

Except nobody knows nothing =. (John Bogle)

We have no idea what the costs will be to eliminate all liabilities of the leaving 10 members as the Pac winds down to just 2. How much debt does teh P12 Network have? (equipment leasing, for example) So, it would be presumptuous for anyone to say what is the "best" avenue for them. (And that is prolly the biggest reason they are asking to see teh books.)

Perhaps the best avenue for all 12 is Bk so they can pay out existing contracts & leases for pennies on the dollar.
ColoradoBear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
It seems that the time factor is going to be the biggest obstacle to OSU and WSU doing anything. The MWC plays an 8 game schedule and almost all teams have already filled out their OOC schedule with 4 games. Unless the MWC redoes their entire conference schedule, there is no way to give extra games to OSU/WSU in any kind of alliance. It would have to be OSU become member of the MWC or the MWC fully joins the Pac for 2024 (or enough teams join to dissolve the MWC).

In terms of the Pac 12 liabilities, wouldn't those have to be figured out whether the p12 dissolves or continues? It's not like the 12 members could dissolve the p12 on June 30th, 2024, empty all the accounts of assets and cash (there will still be hundreds of millions of revenue) then just stuff people on the liabilities. But the timing again seems like it will not be soon enough for OSU/WSU.
JRL.02
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Lol - maybe OSU and WSU can schedule a game against Stanford & Cal… Jim Knowlton said he was looking for a fourth OOC opponent for next year!
Strykur
How long do you want to ignore this user?
JRL.02 said:

Lol - maybe OSU and WSU can schedule a game against Stanford & Cal… Jim Knowlton said he was looking for a fourth OOC opponent for next year!
Schedule nobody from Oregon or Washington, cut off NorCal from the Northwest completely.
DoubtfulBear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Strykur said:

JRL.02 said:

Lol - maybe OSU and WSU can schedule a game against Stanford & Cal… Jim Knowlton said he was looking for a fourth OOC opponent for next year!
Schedule nobody from Oregon or Washington, cut off NorCal from the Northwest completely.
They will just schedule SJSU and Fresno State instead
Bobodeluxe
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Schedule only big and sec teams, and draw 44,000. Easy money.
BearSD
How long do you want to ignore this user?
ColoradoBear said:

It seems that the time factor is going to be the biggest obstacle to OSU and WSU doing anything. The MWC plays an 8 game schedule and almost all teams have already filled out their OOC schedule with 4 games. Unless the MWC redoes their entire conference schedule, there is no way to give extra games to OSU/WSU in any kind of alliance. It would have to be OSU become member of the MWC or the MWC fully joins the Pac for 2024 (or enough teams join to dissolve the MWC).

In terms of the Pac 12 liabilities, wouldn't those have to be figured out whether the p12 dissolves or continues? It's not like the 12 members could dissolve the p12 on June 30th, 2024, empty all the accounts of assets and cash (there will still be hundreds of millions of revenue) then just stuff people on the liabilities. But the timing again seems like it will not be soon enough for OSU/WSU.
I agree that dealing with any Pac-12 liabilities without putting MWC schools at risk is a solvable problem.

I still think the big obstacle to getting the MWC schools to dissolve the MWC and join the Pac-2 is going to be how the MWC schools answer the question, "What's in it for us?" I think it happens if the MWC schools each get a few million dollars from making the switch, and doesn't happen if they get no financial benefit.
movielover
How long do you want to ignore this user?
PAC brand > MWC brand?
ColoradoBear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
BearSD said:

ColoradoBear said:

It seems that the time factor is going to be the biggest obstacle to OSU and WSU doing anything. The MWC plays an 8 game schedule and almost all teams have already filled out their OOC schedule with 4 games. Unless the MWC redoes their entire conference schedule, there is no way to give extra games to OSU/WSU in any kind of alliance. It would have to be OSU become member of the MWC or the MWC fully joins the Pac for 2024 (or enough teams join to dissolve the MWC).

In terms of the Pac 12 liabilities, wouldn't those have to be figured out whether the p12 dissolves or continues? It's not like the 12 members could dissolve the p12 on June 30th, 2024, empty all the accounts of assets and cash (there will still be hundreds of millions of revenue) then just stuff people on the liabilities. But the timing again seems like it will not be soon enough for OSU/WSU.
I agree that dealing with any Pac-12 liabilities without putting MWC schools at risk is a solvable problem.

I still think the big obstacle to getting the MWC schools to dissolve the MWC and join the Pac-2 is going to be how the MWC schools answer the question, "What's in it for us?" I think it happens if the MWC schools each get a few million dollars from making the switch, and doesn't happen if they get no financial benefit.


Better playoff access in 2024/25, larger playoff revenue share in 24/25, ability to renegotiate TV deal (might not be a good thing though), and hope that if they prove themselves in 24/25, the conference could have some kind of more elevated status in 2026 going forward (hope does not mean it is likely to happen though).
BearSD
How long do you want to ignore this user?
ColoradoBear said:

BearSD said:

ColoradoBear said:

It seems that the time factor is going to be the biggest obstacle to OSU and WSU doing anything. The MWC plays an 8 game schedule and almost all teams have already filled out their OOC schedule with 4 games. Unless the MWC redoes their entire conference schedule, there is no way to give extra games to OSU/WSU in any kind of alliance. It would have to be OSU become member of the MWC or the MWC fully joins the Pac for 2024 (or enough teams join to dissolve the MWC).

In terms of the Pac 12 liabilities, wouldn't those have to be figured out whether the p12 dissolves or continues? It's not like the 12 members could dissolve the p12 on June 30th, 2024, empty all the accounts of assets and cash (there will still be hundreds of millions of revenue) then just stuff people on the liabilities. But the timing again seems like it will not be soon enough for OSU/WSU.
I agree that dealing with any Pac-12 liabilities without putting MWC schools at risk is a solvable problem.

I still think the big obstacle to getting the MWC schools to dissolve the MWC and join the Pac-2 is going to be how the MWC schools answer the question, "What's in it for us?" I think it happens if the MWC schools each get a few million dollars from making the switch, and doesn't happen if they get no financial benefit.

Better playoff access in 2024/25, larger playoff revenue share in 24/25, ability to renegotiate TV deal (might not be a good thing though), and hope that if they prove themselves in 24/25, the conference could have some kind of more elevated status in 2026 going forward (hope does not mean it is likely to happen though).
Those are things the MWC schools will consider. None of them is a sure thing. Greater status is something that the Power 2 and Mid 2 will not want the Pac/MWC to acquire, no matter what name the conference takes. Future TV money is also not going to depend on the name of the conference.
wifeisafurd
How long do you want to ignore this user?
movielover said:

So liquidation seems most logical? Could the name "PCC" still be used after the fact?

Would a combination of MWC and BWC members offer a more inviting TV package? Given the LA market ... might adding UCSB and UCI add TV households?
yes, and yes IMO.

Not sure on last line - someone else with expertise on media would have to opine. .
JRL.02
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Question: why as the Big12 never a serious option for Stanford? Rumors were cal would be fine with the big12 but Stanford wanted no part of the big12 lol
calumnus
How long do you want to ignore this user?
JRL.02 said:

Question: why as the Big12 never a serious option for Stanford? Rumors were cal would be fine with the big12 but Stanford wanted no part of the big12 lol


Stanford preferred the ACC and thought the schools were a better match.

Cal has had no leadership or vision in realignment and has been passive and reactive. Our response to USC and UCLA leaving was to support Klisvkoff in trying to block UCLA instead of trying to use whatever leverage we had to go with them. We were reportedly ready to sign Kliavkoff's Apple steaming deal, Knowlton's first reaction when that fell apart was to meet with the MWC (a meeting Stanford reportedly attended out of "curtesy"). If we were immediately considering MWC of course we would be OK with B-12, but the B-12 only had 4 slots and the 4 corner schools grabbed them first.

We are very fortunate Stanford and Notre Dame were looking out for us. The ACC is a great landing place. Apart from the money (no small matter) I prefer it even to the B1G. Over the last year I was a big advocate for the PAC-10 merging with the ACC which would have at least provided a West Coast pod, reduced travel and a better home for the Olympic sports. Especially given our alternative was apparently MWC or death, I am extremely happy we are in the ACC. Apart from the travel issues, it is a great conference for us.
BearSD
How long do you want to ignore this user?
calumnus said:

JRL.02 said:

Question: why as the Big12 never a serious option for Stanford? Rumors were cal would be fine with the big12 but Stanford wanted no part of the big12 lol

Stanford preferred the ACC and thought the schools were a better match.

Cal has no leadership or vision in realignment and has been passive and reactive. We were reportedly ready to sign Kliavkoff's Apple steaming deal, Knowlton's first reaction was to meet with the MWC (a meeting Stanford reportedly attended out of "curtesy"). If we were immediately considering MWC of course we would be OK with B-12, but the B-12 only had 4 slots and the 4 corner schools grabbed them first.

We are very fortunate Stanford and Notre Dame were looking out for us. The ACC is a great landing place. Apart from the money (no small matter) I prefer it even to the B1G. Over the last year I was a big advocate for the PAC-10 merging with the ACC which would have at least provided a West Coast pod, reduced travel and a better home for the Olympic sports. Especially given our alternative was apparently MWC or death, I am extremely happy we are in the ACC. Apart from the travel issues, it is a great conference for us.
Stanford is a significant reason why Cal is in the ACC, but on the other hand, Stanford's quick rejection of the Big 12 meant that Cal couldn't get a full Mid-2 revenue share and had to take the big haircut with the ACC.
sycasey
How long do you want to ignore this user?
JRL.02 said:

Question: why as the Big12 never a serious option for Stanford? Rumors were cal would be fine with the big12 but Stanford wanted no part of the big12 lol
I think they don't care for the academics of that conference.
calumnus
How long do you want to ignore this user?
BearSD said:

calumnus said:

JRL.02 said:

Question: why as the Big12 never a serious option for Stanford? Rumors were cal would be fine with the big12 but Stanford wanted no part of the big12 lol

Stanford preferred the ACC and thought the schools were a better match.

Cal has no leadership or vision in realignment and has been passive and reactive. We were reportedly ready to sign Kliavkoff's Apple steaming deal, Knowlton's first reaction was to meet with the MWC (a meeting Stanford reportedly attended out of "curtesy"). If we were immediately considering MWC of course we would be OK with B-12, but the B-12 only had 4 slots and the 4 corner schools grabbed them first.

We are very fortunate Stanford and Notre Dame were looking out for us. The ACC is a great landing place. Apart from the money (no small matter) I prefer it even to the B1G. Over the last year I was a big advocate for the PAC-10 merging with the ACC which would have at least provided a West Coast pod, reduced travel and a better home for the Olympic sports. Especially given our alternative was apparently MWC or death, I am extremely happy we are in the ACC. Apart from the travel issues, it is a great conference for us.
Stanford is a significant reason why Cal is in the ACC, but on the other hand, Stanford's quick rejection of the Big 12 meant that Cal couldn't get a full Mid-2 revenue share and had to take the big haircut with the ACC.


We had to take a haircut to get the ACC votes. We finally got NC State to flip to yes. They probably didn't care what our other options were so if we had a B-12 offer we would have just had to choose between that and whatever it took to get the votes in the ACC. I prefer the ACC but it is going to cause budgetary issues for the Olympic sports.
JRL.02
How long do you want to ignore this user?
I'm not a Cal fan so I just wanted to know from a Cal fan perspective… on August 4th when the Pac-12 blew up, where did y'all think cal would land? Was the ACC even a consideration? Resigned to the MWC?
sycasey
How long do you want to ignore this user?
JRL.02 said:

I'm not a Cal fan so I just wanted to know from a Cal fan perspective… on August 4th when the Pac-12 blew up, where did y'all think cal would land? Was the ACC even a consideration? Resigned to the MWC?

I honestly thought we'd get some kind of lowball B1G offer and be forced to take it. But after a couple of weeks it became clear that the ACC was more likely.
calumnus
How long do you want to ignore this user?
sycasey said:

JRL.02 said:

I'm not a Cal fan so I just wanted to know from a Cal fan perspective… on August 4th when the Pac-12 blew up, where did y'all think cal would land? Was the ACC even a consideration? Resigned to the MWC?

I honestly thought we'd get some kind of lowball B1G offer and be forced to take it. But after a couple of weeks it became clear that the ACC was more likely.


Agreed. The silence around the B1G was surprising to me. We were told it was a hard "no" from Fox but I thought we should have been more public in our efforts and force Fox to publicly say they would pay nothing for us.

After that I thought our only path was for the PAC-4 to do what the PAC-2 is trying if to do, hang onto the PAC's history, rights and P5 status and rebuild it in an alliance with the MWC. I thought ACC with no West Coast pod (other than UCLA) was out of the question due to all the public statements Carol Christ made about UCLA going to the B1G and student athlete welfare, amateurism, etc. I am thrilled we ended up on the ACC.
wifeisafurd
How long do you want to ignore this user?
JRL.02 said:

Question: why as the Big12 never a serious option for Stanford? Rumors were cal would be fine with the big12 but Stanford wanted no part of the big12 lol
I think the narrative being discussed is fairly accurate, but let me provide some context.

The two schools agreed Calford was a package deal. Both schools had demands that both schools were willing to accommodate. Both Cal and Furd had impacts on getting both schools accepted into the ACC. Both ADs made an effort after the announcement to thank the other school and discuss how important is was to have the Big Game at the end of the season.

Furd liked the B1G for the money and the fact that it generally had good schools, including former Pac school rivals, and had some private schools. There would be reduced travel due to a west coast pod. Cal also preferred the B1G. Unfortunately, that didn't work out for reasons that have been discussed in another thread. At this point the Cal Chancellor, appreciating what would happen if Cal was not in a Power conference, went all in on getting to a major conference. There was never a view at Cal in the MWC was an alternative without massive changes to the athletic department and what Cal sports meant, which would have been painful and costly to the entire University and its stakeholders.

Neither school liked the academic profile of the Big 12. Both schools supposedly were okay with BYU. Cal would have been okay with the B12 if a full media share was available or even at some discount. It wanted badly to be in a Power conference. My understanding was that it was a moot point, as the B12 said they were done expanding. Cal supposedly inquired at least twice and got the same answer. I don't think Cal would have gone to the B12 without Furd, but good luck getting that question awnswered.

All along Cal and Furd preferred the ACC after the B1G, because of the conference's academic profile. Furd also liked the number of privates. Both schools also thought that the travel would be relatively the same as travel to the B12. I night add Cal's trip to Notre Dame last year had a strong impact on the leaders of both schools. The rest will be for someone to write a book about the Pac's demise. Should be fascinating reading.
JRL.02
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Ross Dellenger reported in his deep dive into ACC expansion that even before Aug. 4 that the ACC was in contact with Utah, Arizona, ASU, Cal, and Stanford about joining the league. Unfortunately for the ACC, the Big12 had been eyeing those four corner schools for much longer than the ACC.
wifeisafurd
How long do you want to ignore this user?
calumnus said:

sycasey said:

JRL.02 said:

I'm not a Cal fan so I just wanted to know from a Cal fan perspective… on August 4th when the Pac-12 blew up, where did y'all think cal would land? Was the ACC even a consideration? Resigned to the MWC?

I honestly thought we'd get some kind of lowball B1G offer and be forced to take it. But after a couple of weeks it became clear that the ACC was more likely.


Agreed. The silence around the B1G was surprising to me. We were told it was a hard "no" from Fox but I thought we should have been more public in our efforts and force Fox to publicly say they would pay nothing for us.

After that I thought our only path was for the PAC-4 to do what the PAC-2 is trying if to do, hang onto the PAC's history, rights and P5 status and rebuild it in an alliance with the MWC. I thought ACC with no West Coast pod (other than UCLA) was out of the question due to all the public statements Carol Christ made about UCLA going to the B1G and student athlete welfare, amateurism, etc. I am thrilled we ended up on the ACC.
I heard many of those comments by Christ in person. She has a practical side, and once the B1G said no, she was all in on moving to a Power conference.


wifeisafurd
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Something that also bears discussing in this thread, given some of the comments about who is right or wrong or moral. ESPN offered a media rights deal worth $30 million per school in October of last year. But a Pac-12 president worked with an unnamed professor on his campus, estimated the value of each conference school at $50 million and demanded that be the amount to be countered, That counter caused ESPN to walk away from the table, thus stripping the Pac-12 of any type of high-end negotiation power. Anyone want to speculate who that President was (note the words Chancellor and her were not used)?
BearSD
How long do you want to ignore this user?
wifeisafurd said:

Something that also bears discussing in this thread, given some of the comments about who is right or wrong or moral. ESPN offered a media rights deal worth $30 million per school in October of last year. But a Pac-12 president worked with an unnamed professor on his campus, estimated the value of each conference school at $50 million and demanded that be the amount to be countered, That counter caused ESPN to walk away from the table, thus stripping the Pac-12 of any type of high-end negotiation power. Anyone want to speculate who that President was (note the words Chancellor and her were not used)?


Sportswriters have reported it was Michael Crow at Arizona State.

https://www.azcentral.com/story/sports/college/pac-12/2023/08/17/pac-12-collapse-rumors-include-arizona-state-michael-crow-professor/70613674007/
JRL.02
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Kirk Schulz? Lol. Maybe ASU?
sycasey
How long do you want to ignore this user?
BearSD said:

wifeisafurd said:

Something that also bears discussing in this thread, given some of the comments about who is right or wrong or moral. ESPN offered a media rights deal worth $30 million per school in October of last year. But a Pac-12 president worked with an unnamed professor on his campus, estimated the value of each conference school at $50 million and demanded that be the amount to be countered, That counter caused ESPN to walk away from the table, thus stripping the Pac-12 of any type of high-end negotiation power. Anyone want to speculate who that President was (note the words Chancellor and her were not used)?


Sportswriters have reported it was Michael Crow at Arizona State.

https://www.azcentral.com/story/sports/college/pac-12/2023/08/17/pac-12-collapse-rumors-include-arizona-state-michael-crow-professor/70613674007/

This is what I've been assuming is the case.
calumnus
How long do you want to ignore this user?
wifeisafurd said:

Something that also bears discussing in this thread, given some of the comments about who is right or wrong or moral. ESPN offered a media rights deal worth $30 million per school in October of last year. But a Pac-12 president worked with an unnamed professor on his campus, estimated the value of each conference school at $50 million and demanded that be the amount to be countered, That counter caused ESPN to walk away from the table, thus stripping the Pac-12 of any type of high-end negotiation power. Anyone want to speculate who that President was (note the words Chancellor and her were not used)?


I don't know who actually demanded it, but the two who logically <<could>> have demanded it are Oregon and UW, since that is essentially what they will end up getting as members of the B1G (and probably were already given those numbers). It would have been a reasonable demand for them, retrospectively at least.

Once OSU and WSU are settled it will be interesting to add up all the money Fox and ESPN are paying our new conferences (different than what we are getting paid) for the former PAC-12 and PAC-10 members. I think it will be more than they ever offered the PAC-12 or PAC-10 directly.
Strykur
How long do you want to ignore this user?
calumnus said:

wifeisafurd said:

Something that also bears discussing in this thread, given some of the comments about who is right or wrong or moral. ESPN offered a media rights deal worth $30 million per school in October of last year. But a Pac-12 president worked with an unnamed professor on his campus, estimated the value of each conference school at $50 million and demanded that be the amount to be countered, That counter caused ESPN to walk away from the table, thus stripping the Pac-12 of any type of high-end negotiation power. Anyone want to speculate who that President was (note the words Chancellor and her were not used)?
I don't know who actually demanded it, but the two who logically <<could>> have demanded it are Oregon and UW, since that is essentially what they will end up getting as members of the B1G (and probably were already given those numbers). It would have been a reasonable demand for them, retrospectively at least.

Once OSU and WSU are settled it will be interesting to add up all the money Fox and ESPN are paying our new conferences (different than what we are getting paid) for the former PAC-12 and PAC-10 members. I think it will be more than they ever offered the PAC-12 or PAC-10 directly.
The LA Times reported that Kliavkoff went to freaking Regents to get fluke LA out of the Big Ten deal, but this would have required the PAC-12 giving them the new Big Ten amount at the expense of the remaining members (SC was gone at this point), and when he went to Oregon with this proposal they balked at having to accept half of what the bear runts would get, and now...Oregon is in the Big Ten, receiving half of what the respective LA schools are getting (also Phil Knight was onboard with the Apple TV deal, and only left for the Big Ten once Kalen DeBoer told Washington that the Apple TV deal was not acceptable and at that point it was game over).
calumnus
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Strykur said:

calumnus said:

wifeisafurd said:

Something that also bears discussing in this thread, given some of the comments about who is right or wrong or moral. ESPN offered a media rights deal worth $30 million per school in October of last year. But a Pac-12 president worked with an unnamed professor on his campus, estimated the value of each conference school at $50 million and demanded that be the amount to be countered, That counter caused ESPN to walk away from the table, thus stripping the Pac-12 of any type of high-end negotiation power. Anyone want to speculate who that President was (note the words Chancellor and her were not used)?
I don't know who actually demanded it, but the two who logically <<could>> have demanded it are Oregon and UW, since that is essentially what they will end up getting as members of the B1G (and probably were already given those numbers). It would have been a reasonable demand for them, retrospectively at least.

Once OSU and WSU are settled it will be interesting to add up all the money Fox and ESPN are paying our new conferences (different than what we are getting paid) for the former PAC-12 and PAC-10 members. I think it will be more than they ever offered the PAC-12 or PAC-10 directly.
The LA Times reported that Kliavkoff went to freaking Regents to get fluke LA out of the Big Ten deal, but this would have required the PAC-12 giving them the new Big Ten amount at the expense of the remaining members (SC was gone at this point), and when he went to Oregon with this proposal they balked at having to accept half of what the bear runts would get, and now...Oregon is in the Big Ten, receiving half of what the respective LA schools are getting (also Phil Knight was onboard with the Apple TV deal, and only left for the Big Ten once Kalen DeBoer told Washington that the Apple TV deal was not acceptable and at that point it was game over).


However by the end of the current contract UW and Oregon will be paid the full B1G amount.

Soon after USC and UCLA announced they were leaving, UW and Oregon were reported to have flown to the Midwest to meet with B1G officials and lobby for admission. They may well have already known the details of their B1G offer when the above events took place and were just waiting to see if Kliavkoff could match it,
calumnus
How long do you want to ignore this user?
wifeisafurd said:

JRL.02 said:

Question: why as the Big12 never a serious option for Stanford? Rumors were cal would be fine with the big12 but Stanford wanted no part of the big12 lol
I think the narrative being discussed is fairly accurate, but let me provide some context.

The two schools agreed Calford was a package deal. Both schools had demands that both schools were willing to accommodate. Both Cal and Furd had impacts on getting both schools accepted into the ACC. Both ADs made an effort after the announcement to thank the other school and discuss how important is was to have the Big Game at the end of the season.

Furd liked the B1G for the money and the fact that it generally had good schools, including former Pac school rivals, and had some private schools. There would be reduced travel due to a west coast pod. Cal also preferred the B1G. Unfortunately, that didn't work out for reasons that have been discussed in another thread. At this point the Cal Chancellor, appreciating what would happen if Cal was not in a Power conference, went all in on getting to a major conference. There was never a view at Cal in the MWC was an alternative without massive changes to the athletic department and what Cal sports meant, which would have been painful and costly to the entire University and its stakeholders.

Neither school liked the academic profile of the Big 12. Both schools supposedly were okay with BYU. Cal would have been okay with the B12 if a full media share was available or even at some discount. It wanted badly to be in a Power conference. My understanding was that it was a moot point, as the B12 said they were done expanding. Cal supposedly inquired at least twice and got the same answer. I don't think Cal would have gone to the B12 without Furd, but good luck getting that question awnswered.

All along Cal and Furd preferred the ACC after the B1G, because of the conference's academic profile. Furd also liked the number of privates. Both schools also thought that the travel would be relatively the same as travel to the B12. I night add Cal's trip to Notre Dame last year had a strong impact on the leaders of both schools. The rest will be for someone to write a book about the Pac's demise. Should be fascinating reading.


Thanks for the insight. I agree, I am looking forward to the book, but it might have to wait until all the litigation to be over for key people to talk and that could be years from now.
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.