Gobears49 said:
Please explain and document why teams from the former Mountain West conference could not be invited to the FBS playoffs. That's absurd. There will be twelve or thirteen teams that will be in those playoffs and thus I believe all of the FBS conference champions will get at least one team in. since the number of FBS teams that will be invited into the playoffs will be more than the number of FBS conferences. Thus, all FBS conferences will get at least one team invited into the playoffs. A new Pac 9 conference, if the top teams are really strong, could get two invites.
Please show me where I am wrong on this and not just based upon an opinion that is not at all substantiated. Thanks.
They get whatever number of invites the Mountain West gets because you essentially have a Mountain West level group of teams. Even if Cal got good now, the economics without material TV money will in the long run force all teams, including Cal, to end-up at a Mountain West level. You are just not getting this. Again, that is why all the Pac schools were desperate to get into a major conference.
This new expansion will give teams from the American, Conference USA, Sun Belt, MAC, and the Mountain West into the playoffs, a shot they didn't have. Expect the seed for the Group of Five to be No. 12 nearly every year. At least someone on the five conferences will get a seat at the table to take on the fifth seed.
As of right now, ESPN' gives Boise State the best chance at earning a playoff bid at 16.4% with UTSA out of the American as the next closest team with a 15.6% chance going to the College Football Playoff. Everyone else is pretty negligible. So we will see. A 15.6% to get a team into the playoffs is not great odds. The outlier is the Pac 2 for at least 2 years, and we shall see this season exactly how good are WSU and OSU are, even if one is entitled of them is grandfathered in. The Pac 2 team is destroyed on national TV, that pretty much seals the fate of the Pac 9. My sense is it will become apparent that OSU and WSU have taken a step back. In the long run, you are looking at a consolidation of conferences where only a select number of teams are eligible to play in the playoffs, making ESPN and Fox quite happy.