Early line has Cal -7.5 vs Wake Forest

5,181 Views | 41 Replies | Last: 9 mo ago by Strykur
bencgilmore
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tabear82 said:

Anyone know a good bar or restaurant to catch the wakeforest game, in or near Pasadena?
not really in pasadena. tough to do during rush hour but if you can find a way to busby's in santa monica its the gold standard in socal cal bars
Oakbear
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oski003 said:

bearsandgiants said:

We have has eight freaking years of evidence. This game doesn't prove anything. It is a must win, however.


As I have said multiple times this season, we need 8 wins this year to keep Wilcox around. Winning this game matters.
Lol, jw is here if we only beat the furd, even if winkess the powers that be will probably keep him
calumnus
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Cal88 said:

Sagarin has up as 8 to 13 pts favorites, depending on the algorithm criteria.

http://sagarin.com/sports/cfsend.htm


I think he has it a little closer than that. Did you take Sagarin's Home Field factor into account?

Sagarin's use of an average home field advantage for all of college football may overstate Cal as a road team (and understate Cal as a home team) if Cal's home field advantage/disadvantage is greater than the average.

The encouraging thing is Cal is ranked better in Recent and even better in Strong Recent vs Predictor indicating we are improving as a team. This is the opposite of last year. The early loss to FSU is looking especially bad.
AunBear89
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Cal minus the points and the under is the way to go.
"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics." -- (maybe) Benjamin Disraeli, popularized by Mark Twain
Oski87
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Cal88 said:

Sagarin has up as 8 to 13 pts favorites, depending on the algorithm criteria.

http://sagarin.com/sports/cfsend.htm
Sagarin has wake as a three point favorite over Davis.
calumnus
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Oski87 said:

Cal88 said:

Sagarin has up as 8 to 13 pts favorites, depending on the algorithm criteria.

http://sagarin.com/sports/cfsend.htm
Sagarin has wake as a three point favorite over Davis.


One Sagarin measure also says we should have beat Florida State on the road by 16 and beat NC State at CMS by 16
Strykur
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calumnus said:

Oski87 said:

Cal88 said:

Sagarin has up as 8 to 13 pts favorites, depending on the algorithm criteria.

http://sagarin.com/sports/cfsend.htm
Sagarin has wake as a three point favorite over Davis.
One Sagarin measure also says we should have beat Florida State on the road by 16 and beat NC State at CMS by 16
They are not wrong
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