calumnus said:
StillNoStanfurdium said:
DoubtfulBear said:
When was the last time we won a game where we were the underdogs. And I mean actual underdogs, not Auburn which was overrated coming into the season
I can't be the only person who actually trusts Wilcox teams more when they're playing as underdogs. We have a better shot against SMU given current circumstances compared to if they were a winless team if we look at history.
Maybe to beat the spread? In 8 years, 90 games, 42 wins, Wilcox has only 7 wins over FBS teams that finished with a winning record. 1 win in the last 3 years (UCLA last year as Chip quit). Mostly he loses, but when he wins he mostly ekes out wins over bad teams.
I do think we have not yet played to our potential, but SMU in Dallas is not Stanford in front of a packed Memorial Stadium.
I still think it's a higher winning percentage than games against winless teams (excluding the first games of the season).
Most of those losses were in-conference against teams we had played regularly. Even though SMU is in-conference, since this is the first year in the ACC it really feels like one of those classic Wilcox overperforming opportunities.
Mind you, I'm not saying we're likely to win. I'm not confident in that. I'm just saying that I honestly wouldn't be surprised if we pulled one out because it's the kind of game Wilcox weirdly ends winning sometimes and I genuinely felt worse when we were facing winless FSU earlier this year with high expectations.