Report: North Carolina exploring potential move from ACC to SEC

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BigDaddy
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Report: North Carolina exploring potential move from ACC to SEC

Is the college sports world ready for another round of realignment? Well, if a Tuesday report from Inside Carolina is accurate, North Carolina could be exploring a move away from the ACC for the SEC.

The University of North Carolina is reportedly among several schools "interested in seeking a potential departure from the ACC" whenever the next round of collegiate realignment happens, sources told Inside Carolina's Adam Smith, and UNC "even could be considered at the front of that pack, alongside Clemson."

https://www.on3.com/college/north-carolina-tar-heels/news/report-north-carolina-exploring-potential-move-from-acc-to-sec/
Econ141
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Good - more room for us in the B1G?
Give to Cal Legends!

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golden sloth
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I don't see how this is news. No one should think Clemson, North Carolina and Florida State are going to be in the ACC after 2030.
Bear_Territory
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I don't think it's surprising that UNC, Clemson and probably Florida State and Miami are looking to jump to the SEC. This is good news for us with respect to going to the B1G.
calbear80
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How is it good news for us?
sycasey
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calbear80 said:

How is it good news for us?

B1G will want to expand in response to that and if UNC doesn't want to go there then Cal/Stanford are more likely candidates.
sycasey
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golden sloth said:

I don't see how this is news. No one should think Clemson, North Carolina and Florida State are going to be in the ACC after 2030.

Agreed, none of this would be shocking at all. There's a reason those three schools all voted against expanding the ACC.
MTbear22
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sycasey said:

calbear80 said:

How is it good news for us?

B1G will want to expand in response to that and if UNC doesn't want to go there then Cal/Stanford are more likely candidates.

They'll "respond" (they already have more members than the SEC) only if the money is right. UNC going to the SEC doesn't make Cal more financially lucrative.
bearsandgiants
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When they go 4-8 they'll really be in a good position.
Anarchistbear
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Big is a much better fit for UNC given academics ,other sports . Plus the Big would love a footprint south of Maryland
Bobodeluxe
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"given academics"

Hahahahahahahahahaha!

Academics mean nothing in the Professional Minor Leagues.
TandemBear
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Just put everyone in it and call it the "Super Excellent Conference."

There, done.
nikeykid
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let's smash them and bill b. this season as a send off gift. cal vs unc - storied rivalry since 2025.
wifeisafurd
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Is it not clear that North Carolina has had aspirations to be in one of the two top paying conferences for some time? That they are continuing to plan for this doesn't change the landscape of college sports for Cal. The people at Cal already say that they expect another conference realignment, and that Cal's fate will be determined by the success of football, not whatever North Carolina decides is best for itself. So just win baby, win.
BearoutEast67
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Eventually, there will be only two leagues: Union and Confederacy.
Roll on you Bears!
BearSD
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We are living in Pompeii and hoping Vesuvius doesn't erupt.
golden sloth
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I do wonder what the final end game is for conference realignment is. I can't help but imagine that both the Big 10 and SEC continue to gobble up the final 8 - 12 big name properties and markets, then implement a system maximizing the SEC and Big 10 payouts and control with only token participation from the remaining conferences and schools. Obviously, the ACC and Big 12 drop to be mid-major level (similar to the Pac).

For the Big 10, I think they eventually expand to a total of 24 schools with four divisions of (6) schools each. In football, you'd play everyone in your division every year and play one school from the other divisions. I think they'd also schedule an SEC - Big 10 challenge where you play two games against the other conference every year (one home, one away). That is ten SEC/Big 10 opponents every season, with two cupcake home games. Each school would have 7 home game and 5 away games. That makes sense to me.

As for the divisions, I'd imagine it would be something along the lines of:

Div 1:
1. Penn State
2. Maryland
3. Rutgers
4. North Carolina
5. Miami
6. TBD

TBD: One of Clemson, Florida State, Virginia, Georgia Tech
They could also take two of the TBDs and push Penn State to Div 2 and Northwestern to Div 3.

Div 2:
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Michigan State
4. Purdue
5. Indiana
6. Northwestern (NW could easily switch will Illinois if needed)

Div 3:
1. Illinois
2. Wisconsin
3. Minnesota
4. Iowa
5. Nebraska
6. TBD

TBD: One of Kansas, Utah, Colorado

Div 4:
1. USC
2. UCLA
3. Washington
4. Oregon
5. TBD
6. TBD

TBD: Two of Cal, Stanford, Arizona, Arizona St, Utah

This assumes, Notre Dame remains independent. If they do, they can choose their division taking either a TBD spot, or moving Northwestern to Division 3. Also assumes the Big 10 can't poach from the SEC.
BearlyCareAnymore
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golden sloth said:

I do wonder what the final end game is for conference realignment is. I can't help but imagine that both the Big 10 and SEC continue to gobble up the final 8 - 12 big name properties and markets, then implement a system maximizing the SEC and Big 10 payouts and control with only token participation from the remaining conferences and schools. Obviously, the ACC and Big 12 drop to be mid-major level (similar to the Pac).

For the Big 10, I think they eventually expand to a total of 24 schools with four divisions of (6) schools each. In football, you'd play everyone in your division every year and play one school from the other divisions. I think they'd also schedule an SEC - Big 10 challenge where you play two games against the other conference every year (one home, one away). That is ten SEC/Big 10 opponents every season, with two cupcake home games. Each school would have 7 home game and 5 away games. That makes sense to me.

As for the divisions, I'd imagine it would be something along the lines of:

Div 1:
1. Penn State
2. Maryland
3. Rutgers
4. North Carolina
5. Miami
6. TBD

TBD: One of Clemson, Florida State, Virginia, Georgia Tech
They could also take two of the TBDs and push Penn State to Div 2 and Northwestern to Div 3.

Div 2:
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Michigan State
4. Purdue
5. Indiana
6. Northwestern (NW could easily switch will Illinois if needed)

Div 3:
1. Illinois
2. Wisconsin
3. Minnesota
4. Iowa
5. Nebraska
6. TBD

TBD: One of Kansas, Utah, Colorado

Div 4:
1. USC
2. UCLA
3. Washington
4. Oregon
5. TBD
6. TBD

TBD: Two of Cal, Stanford, Arizona, Arizona St, Utah

This assumes, Notre Dame remains independent. If they do, they can choose their division taking either a TBD spot, or moving Northwestern to Division 3. Also assumes the Big 10 can't poach from the SEC.

We are hanging on to a system that no longer works or makes any sense. I do think it is going to evolve to something that makes sense, but right now it is doing so in a haphazard manner that is taking too long.

First of all, let's get acceptance that College football and men's basketball are professional sports leagues now. Second of all, they are two different professional sports leagues. There is really no reason that schools in the same football conference need to also be in the same basketball conference.

College football and basketball are fundamentally different business models. Football is hell expensive. You need 5 times the number of quality players to field a competitive football team than you need in basketball, meaning a lower level team can't get lucky with one or two guys and compete. There is more money making potential in football. Football is more about a whole system of strength and conditioning to develop bodies. A 240 lb player cannot just outskill a 300lb player. As a result, a school like St. Mary's can compete in basketball where even if they wanted to they have no chance to compete in football.

Just discussing football because I think it is more black and white. There are not 40, 50, 60 teams that are financially viable. Pro sports leagues in the US have pretty well settled in around 30 teams, I think there is a good reason for this. Get much beyond that and you spread the product too thin. Also, the disparity between the haves and the have nots is just too great.

The college football organization has been blown up. The NCAA was barely a business organization and it was terrible at it. The SEC and the Big 10 are the de facto major leagues here. They need to join together with business sponsorship and form a league that is an actual private business not related to school administrations or state governments. They need to have a league of 32 or 36 teams. They have the management invite teams to apply and then pick the teams based on long term financial viability and that is it. They form a self contained league and they do not play anybody else. Structure the league similar to the NFL. Similar schedules. Similar playoffs so you don't have this idiotic "I lost two games now I'm out" BS. And It will be best for all concerned. Cut off the dreams of the teams that can't accept that they can never compete so they stop being idiots with their money. Then out of those teams you'll see another league - cheaper to run because they can't afford more - that will form out of the next 32 or 36 teams.

This would also bring more stability with the personnel. The top league will barely recruit high school players because they are too risky and be subject to leaving anyway. They will take only the very cream of the crop out of high school and otherwise hire guys who have proven themselves in the lower leagues. The lower leagues would be made up of young players and experienced players who can't make it in the top leagues.

There would be a lot more stability and competitiveness within leagues. No more 60 point destruction games. Games would be a lot more entertaining with more evenly matched teams. Teams would spend the appropriate amount of money for their level because they wouldn't all be trying to follow a fantasy of getting into a higher level.

The current system is killing midrange teams. It is like watching a car race where a bunch of drivers in Yugo's are burning out their engines with their pedal to the floor, trying to keep up with Porsches.

I honestly think separating the top from the middle will reinvigorate the middle tier allowing them to play competitive games and compete for championships as medium sized frogs in medium sized ponds.



HearstMining
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BearlyCareAnymore said:

golden sloth said:

I do wonder what the final end game is for conference realignment is. I can't help but imagine that both the Big 10 and SEC continue to gobble up the final 8 - 12 big name properties and markets, then implement a system maximizing the SEC and Big 10 payouts and control with only token participation from the remaining conferences and schools. Obviously, the ACC and Big 12 drop to be mid-major level (similar to the Pac).

For the Big 10, I think they eventually expand to a total of 24 schools with four divisions of (6) schools each. In football, you'd play everyone in your division every year and play one school from the other divisions. I think they'd also schedule an SEC - Big 10 challenge where you play two games against the other conference every year (one home, one away). That is ten SEC/Big 10 opponents every season, with two cupcake home games. Each school would have 7 home game and 5 away games. That makes sense to me.

As for the divisions, I'd imagine it would be something along the lines of:

Div 1:
1. Penn State
2. Maryland
3. Rutgers
4. North Carolina
5. Miami
6. TBD

TBD: One of Clemson, Florida State, Virginia, Georgia Tech
They could also take two of the TBDs and push Penn State to Div 2 and Northwestern to Div 3.

Div 2:
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Michigan State
4. Purdue
5. Indiana
6. Northwestern (NW could easily switch will Illinois if needed)

Div 3:
1. Illinois
2. Wisconsin
3. Minnesota
4. Iowa
5. Nebraska
6. TBD

TBD: One of Kansas, Utah, Colorado

Div 4:
1. USC
2. UCLA
3. Washington
4. Oregon
5. TBD
6. TBD

TBD: Two of Cal, Stanford, Arizona, Arizona St, Utah

This assumes, Notre Dame remains independent. If they do, they can choose their division taking either a TBD spot, or moving Northwestern to Division 3. Also assumes the Big 10 can't poach from the SEC.

We are hanging on to a system that no longer works or makes any sense. I do think it is going to evolve to something that makes sense, but right now it is doing so in a haphazard manner that is taking too long.

First of all, let's get acceptance that College football and men's basketball are professional sports leagues now. Second of all, they are two different professional sports leagues. There is really no reason that schools in the same football conference need to also be in the same basketball conference.

College football and basketball are fundamentally different business models. Football is hell expensive. You need 5 times the number of quality players to field a competitive football team than you need in basketball, meaning a lower level team can't get lucky with one or two guys and compete. There is more money making potential in football. Football is more about a whole system of strength and conditioning to develop bodies. A 240 lb player cannot just outskill a 300lb player. As a result, a school like St. Mary's can compete in basketball where even if they wanted to they have no chance to compete in football.

Just discussing football because I think it is more black and white. There are not 40, 50, 60 teams that are financially viable. Pro sports leagues in the US have pretty well settled in around 30 teams, I think there is a good reason for this. Get much beyond that and you spread the product too thin. Also, the disparity between the haves and the have nots is just too great.

The college football organization has been blown up. The NCAA was barely a business organization and it was terrible at it. The SEC and the Big 10 are the de facto major leagues here. They need to join together with business sponsorship and form a league that is an actual private business not related to school administrations or state governments. They need to have a league of 32 or 36 teams. They have the management invite teams to apply and then pick the teams based on long term financial viability and that is it. They form a self contained league and they do not play anybody else. Structure the league similar to the NFL. Similar schedules. Similar playoffs so you don't have this idiotic "I lost two games now I'm out" BS. And It will be best for all concerned. Cut off the dreams of the teams that can't accept that they can never compete so they stop being idiots with their money. Then out of those teams you'll see another league - cheaper to run because they can't afford more - that will form out of the next 32 or 36 teams.

This would also bring more stability with the personnel. The top league will barely recruit high school players because they are too risky and be subject to leaving anyway. They will take only the very cream of the crop out of high school and otherwise hire guys who have proven themselves in the lower leagues. The lower leagues would be made up of young players and experienced players who can't make it in the top leagues.

There would be a lot more stability and competitiveness within leagues. No more 60 point destruction games. Games would be a lot more entertaining with more evenly matched teams. Teams would spend the appropriate amount of money for their level because they wouldn't all be trying to follow a fantasy of getting into a higher level.

The current system is killing midrange teams. It is like watching a car race where a bunch of drivers in Yugo's are burning out their engines with their pedal to the floor, trying to keep up with Porsches.

I honestly think separating the top from the middle will reinvigorate the middle tier allowing them to play competitive games and compete for championships as medium sized frogs in medium sized ponds.





I agree with many of your points but have one disagreement: I think the second tier will have maybe 48-60 teams and the reason will be that it will need that many in order to have regional conferences. That will be the niche that the top superconference can't fill because it will be national. Regional conferences, aside from being cheaper for travel, can play more day games since schools will be, at most, one time-zone apart. This second tier won't be hard to fill, since there will be plenty of P4 teams that don't make the leap to the super plus some solid teams in "lower" conferences (ala the MAC) that are plenty competitive. Even though players will be paid, teams will draw an alumni following because there's less player movement so fans can build a stronger identification with the team.
sycasey
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BearlyCareAnymore said:

golden sloth said:

I do wonder what the final end game is for conference realignment is. I can't help but imagine that both the Big 10 and SEC continue to gobble up the final 8 - 12 big name properties and markets, then implement a system maximizing the SEC and Big 10 payouts and control with only token participation from the remaining conferences and schools. Obviously, the ACC and Big 12 drop to be mid-major level (similar to the Pac).

For the Big 10, I think they eventually expand to a total of 24 schools with four divisions of (6) schools each. In football, you'd play everyone in your division every year and play one school from the other divisions. I think they'd also schedule an SEC - Big 10 challenge where you play two games against the other conference every year (one home, one away). That is ten SEC/Big 10 opponents every season, with two cupcake home games. Each school would have 7 home game and 5 away games. That makes sense to me.

As for the divisions, I'd imagine it would be something along the lines of:

Div 1:
1. Penn State
2. Maryland
3. Rutgers
4. North Carolina
5. Miami
6. TBD

TBD: One of Clemson, Florida State, Virginia, Georgia Tech
They could also take two of the TBDs and push Penn State to Div 2 and Northwestern to Div 3.

Div 2:
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Michigan State
4. Purdue
5. Indiana
6. Northwestern (NW could easily switch will Illinois if needed)

Div 3:
1. Illinois
2. Wisconsin
3. Minnesota
4. Iowa
5. Nebraska
6. TBD

TBD: One of Kansas, Utah, Colorado

Div 4:
1. USC
2. UCLA
3. Washington
4. Oregon
5. TBD
6. TBD

TBD: Two of Cal, Stanford, Arizona, Arizona St, Utah

This assumes, Notre Dame remains independent. If they do, they can choose their division taking either a TBD spot, or moving Northwestern to Division 3. Also assumes the Big 10 can't poach from the SEC.

We are hanging on to a system that no longer works or makes any sense. I do think it is going to evolve to something that makes sense, but right now it is doing so in a haphazard manner that is taking too long.

First of all, let's get acceptance that College football and men's basketball are professional sports leagues now. Second of all, they are two different professional sports leagues. There is really no reason that schools in the same football conference need to also be in the same basketball conference.

College football and basketball are fundamentally different business models. Football is hell expensive. You need 5 times the number of quality players to field a competitive football team than you need in basketball, meaning a lower level team can't get lucky with one or two guys and compete. There is more money making potential in football. Football is more about a whole system of strength and conditioning to develop bodies. A 240 lb player cannot just outskill a 300lb player. As a result, a school like St. Mary's can compete in basketball where even if they wanted to they have no chance to compete in football.

Just discussing football because I think it is more black and white. There are not 40, 50, 60 teams that are financially viable. Pro sports leagues in the US have pretty well settled in around 30 teams, I think there is a good reason for this. Get much beyond that and you spread the product too thin. Also, the disparity between the haves and the have nots is just too great.

The college football organization has been blown up. The NCAA was barely a business organization and it was terrible at it. The SEC and the Big 10 are the de facto major leagues here. They need to join together with business sponsorship and form a league that is an actual private business not related to school administrations or state governments. They need to have a league of 32 or 36 teams. They have the management invite teams to apply and then pick the teams based on long term financial viability and that is it. They form a self contained league and they do not play anybody else. Structure the league similar to the NFL. Similar schedules. Similar playoffs so you don't have this idiotic "I lost two games now I'm out" BS. And It will be best for all concerned. Cut off the dreams of the teams that can't accept that they can never compete so they stop being idiots with their money. Then out of those teams you'll see another league - cheaper to run because they can't afford more - that will form out of the next 32 or 36 teams.

This would also bring more stability with the personnel. The top league will barely recruit high school players because they are too risky and be subject to leaving anyway. They will take only the very cream of the crop out of high school and otherwise hire guys who have proven themselves in the lower leagues. The lower leagues would be made up of young players and experienced players who can't make it in the top leagues.

There would be a lot more stability and competitiveness within leagues. No more 60 point destruction games. Games would be a lot more entertaining with more evenly matched teams. Teams would spend the appropriate amount of money for their level because they wouldn't all be trying to follow a fantasy of getting into a higher level.

The current system is killing midrange teams. It is like watching a car race where a bunch of drivers in Yugo's are burning out their engines with their pedal to the floor, trying to keep up with Porsches.

I honestly think separating the top from the middle will reinvigorate the middle tier allowing them to play competitive games and compete for championships as medium sized frogs in medium sized ponds.





Agreed with a lot of this, though I think you also need some kind of promotion system so that a school on the lower level that wants to put in the resources to keep up with the big boys can do so. Good luck getting any American sports league to agree to promotion/relegation along the lines of English football, though.
Bobodeluxe
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BearoutEast67 said:

Eventually, there will be only two leagues: Union and Confederacy.

Confederacy and Sympathizers?

Oh, and the savants here, those who forecast only one win from Sonny's depleted first team, and saw the Wilcox hiring as a big mistake, and called for an English (pig dogs that they are) football style relegation system for all laundry sports, occasionally guess right.
wifeisafurd
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golden sloth said:

I do wonder what the final end game is for conference realignment is. I can't help but imagine that both the Big 10 and SEC continue to gobble up the final 8 - 12 big name properties and markets, then implement a system maximizing the SEC and Big 10 payouts and control with only token participation from the remaining conferences and schools. Obviously, the ACC and Big 12 drop to be mid-major level (similar to the Pac).

For the Big 10, I think they eventually expand to a total of 24 schools with four divisions of (6) schools each. In football, you'd play everyone in your division every year and play one school from the other divisions. I think they'd also schedule an SEC - Big 10 challenge where you play two games against the other conference every year (one home, one away). That is ten SEC/Big 10 opponents every season, with two cupcake home games. Each school would have 7 home game and 5 away games. That makes sense to me.

As for the divisions, I'd imagine it would be something along the lines of:

Div 1:
1. Penn State
2. Maryland
3. Rutgers
4. North Carolina
5. Miami
6. TBD

TBD: One of Clemson, Florida State, Virginia, Georgia Tech
They could also take two of the TBDs and push Penn State to Div 2 and Northwestern to Div 3.

Div 2:
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Michigan State
4. Purdue
5. Indiana
6. Northwestern (NW could easily switch will Illinois if needed)

Div 3:
1. Illinois
2. Wisconsin
3. Minnesota
4. Iowa
5. Nebraska
6. TBD

TBD: One of Kansas, Utah, Colorado

Div 4:
1. USC
2. UCLA
3. Washington
4. Oregon
5. TBD
6. TBD

TBD: Two of Cal, Stanford, Arizona, Arizona St, Utah

This assumes, Notre Dame remains independent. If they do, they can choose their division taking either a TBD spot, or moving Northwestern to Division 3. Also assumes the Big 10 can't poach from the SEC.

This is interesting stuff. One observation is this framework really doesn't work for basketball. If that sport mattered, you have UConn, Gonzaga, Duke and other elite programs in.conferences. You also lose the concept that academics matter. Then again, TV revenues seem to drive realignment, so this structure starts making sense.
sycasey
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wifeisafurd said:

golden sloth said:

I do wonder what the final end game is for conference realignment is. I can't help but imagine that both the Big 10 and SEC continue to gobble up the final 8 - 12 big name properties and markets, then implement a system maximizing the SEC and Big 10 payouts and control with only token participation from the remaining conferences and schools. Obviously, the ACC and Big 12 drop to be mid-major level (similar to the Pac).

For the Big 10, I think they eventually expand to a total of 24 schools with four divisions of (6) schools each. In football, you'd play everyone in your division every year and play one school from the other divisions. I think they'd also schedule an SEC - Big 10 challenge where you play two games against the other conference every year (one home, one away). That is ten SEC/Big 10 opponents every season, with two cupcake home games. Each school would have 7 home game and 5 away games. That makes sense to me.

As for the divisions, I'd imagine it would be something along the lines of:

Div 1:
1. Penn State
2. Maryland
3. Rutgers
4. North Carolina
5. Miami
6. TBD

TBD: One of Clemson, Florida State, Virginia, Georgia Tech
They could also take two of the TBDs and push Penn State to Div 2 and Northwestern to Div 3.

Div 2:
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Michigan State
4. Purdue
5. Indiana
6. Northwestern (NW could easily switch will Illinois if needed)

Div 3:
1. Illinois
2. Wisconsin
3. Minnesota
4. Iowa
5. Nebraska
6. TBD

TBD: One of Kansas, Utah, Colorado

Div 4:
1. USC
2. UCLA
3. Washington
4. Oregon
5. TBD
6. TBD

TBD: Two of Cal, Stanford, Arizona, Arizona St, Utah

This assumes, Notre Dame remains independent. If they do, they can choose their division taking either a TBD spot, or moving Northwestern to Division 3. Also assumes the Big 10 can't poach from the SEC.

This is interesting stuff. One observation is this framework really doesn't work for basketball. If that sport mattered, you have UConn, Gonzaga, Duke and other elite programs in.conferences. You also lose the concept that academics matter. Then again, TV revenues seem to drive realignment, so this structure starts making sense.

Maybe the need is for football to have a conference structure completely different from all other sports.
golden sloth
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sycasey said:

wifeisafurd said:

golden sloth said:

I do wonder what the final end game is for conference realignment is. I can't help but imagine that both the Big 10 and SEC continue to gobble up the final 8 - 12 big name properties and markets, then implement a system maximizing the SEC and Big 10 payouts and control with only token participation from the remaining conferences and schools. Obviously, the ACC and Big 12 drop to be mid-major level (similar to the Pac).

For the Big 10, I think they eventually expand to a total of 24 schools with four divisions of (6) schools each. In football, you'd play everyone in your division every year and play one school from the other divisions. I think they'd also schedule an SEC - Big 10 challenge where you play two games against the other conference every year (one home, one away). That is ten SEC/Big 10 opponents every season, with two cupcake home games. Each school would have 7 home game and 5 away games. That makes sense to me.

As for the divisions, I'd imagine it would be something along the lines of:

Div 1:
1. Penn State
2. Maryland
3. Rutgers
4. North Carolina
5. Miami
6. TBD

TBD: One of Clemson, Florida State, Virginia, Georgia Tech
They could also take two of the TBDs and push Penn State to Div 2 and Northwestern to Div 3.

Div 2:
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Michigan State
4. Purdue
5. Indiana
6. Northwestern (NW could easily switch will Illinois if needed)

Div 3:
1. Illinois
2. Wisconsin
3. Minnesota
4. Iowa
5. Nebraska
6. TBD

TBD: One of Kansas, Utah, Colorado

Div 4:
1. USC
2. UCLA
3. Washington
4. Oregon
5. TBD
6. TBD

TBD: Two of Cal, Stanford, Arizona, Arizona St, Utah

This assumes, Notre Dame remains independent. If they do, they can choose their division taking either a TBD spot, or moving Northwestern to Division 3. Also assumes the Big 10 can't poach from the SEC.

This is interesting stuff. One observation is this framework really doesn't work for basketball. If that sport mattered, you have UConn, Gonzaga, Duke and other elite programs in.conferences. You also lose the concept that academics matter. Then again, TV revenues seem to drive realignment, so this structure starts making sense.

Maybe the need is for football to have a conference structure completely different from all other sports.


Chip Kelly made that point a few years ago and it's a good, logical point and an easy adjustment.

Have conference affiliation for football be separated from all the other sports. The other sports can be regional (thus save a ton on travel), and frees up football to chase that money with the national super conference model (even though I still hate the national conference model).
BearSD
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golden sloth said:

sycasey said:

wifeisafurd said:




Maybe the need is for football to have a conference structure completely different from all other sports.


Chip Kelly made that point a few years ago and it's a good, logical point and an easy adjustment.

Have conference affiliation for football be separated from all the other sports. The other sports can be regional (thus save a ton on travel), and frees up football to chase that money with the national super conference model (even though I still hate the national conference model).

This won't ever happen because the schools that have the biggest brands (Big Ten and SEC) are getting the benefit of those brands in sports other than football and won't give it up.

UCLA, USC and Oregon are using Big Ten membership to their advantage in all Big Ten sports, not just football. USC just signed the top recruit in women's basketball -- that wouldn't happen if only football was in the Big Ten and basketball and other sports were in some lesser-status regional conference like the Big West. The SEC is the best conference in baseball and softball, and there's no way Texas will give up SEC branding in those sports just to put them in some regional league with other Texas colleges. Etc., etc.
golden sloth
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BearSD said:

golden sloth said:

sycasey said:


Maybe the need is for football to have a conference structure completely different from all other sports.


Chip Kelly made that point a few years ago and it's a good, logical point and an easy adjustment.

Have conference affiliation for football be separated from all the other sports. The other sports can be regional (thus save a ton on travel), and frees up football to chase that money with the national super conference model (even though I still hate the national conference model).

This won't ever happen because the schools that have the biggest brands (Big Ten and SEC) are getting the benefit of those brands in sports other than football and won't give it up.

UCLA, USC and Oregon are using Big Ten membership to their advantage in all Big Ten sports, not just football. USC just signed the top recruit in women's basketball -- that wouldn't happen if only football was in the Big Ten and basketball and other sports were in some lesser-status regional conference like the Big West. The SEC is the best conference in baseball and softball, and there's no way Texas will give up SEC branding in those sports just to put them in some regional league with other Texas colleges. Etc., etc.

This assumes that Athletic Departments care about something other than revenue and cost. I am of the belief that schools care only about football money compared to the cost of everything else. The two biggest learning points over the last 10 years of college sports are:

1. Football players are more mercenary than student-athlete.
2. Football dictates all, and its not even close.

If sports other than football mattered, Duke, Kansas, or Arizona would not be threatened by being left out of the two power conferences. If Men's basketball doesn't matter, you can be sure softball, baseball, swimming, volleyball, and all those other sports don't matter. Hence, the separation of football from the conference system.

As for the conference set-up if football were separated. I kind of feel the conferences would go back to where they were pre-2012 for basketball and non-revenue. That would mean a reformation of the Pac-10 for all sports not named football.
wifeisafurd
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sycasey said:

wifeisafurd said:

golden sloth said:

I do wonder what the final end game is for conference realignment is. I can't help but imagine that both the Big 10 and SEC continue to gobble up the final 8 - 12 big name properties and markets, then implement a system maximizing the SEC and Big 10 payouts and control with only token participation from the remaining conferences and schools. Obviously, the ACC and Big 12 drop to be mid-major level (similar to the Pac).

For the Big 10, I think they eventually expand to a total of 24 schools with four divisions of (6) schools each. In football, you'd play everyone in your division every year and play one school from the other divisions. I think they'd also schedule an SEC - Big 10 challenge where you play two games against the other conference every year (one home, one away). That is ten SEC/Big 10 opponents every season, with two cupcake home games. Each school would have 7 home game and 5 away games. That makes sense to me.

As for the divisions, I'd imagine it would be something along the lines of:

Div 1:
1. Penn State
2. Maryland
3. Rutgers
4. North Carolina
5. Miami
6. TBD

TBD: One of Clemson, Florida State, Virginia, Georgia Tech
They could also take two of the TBDs and push Penn State to Div 2 and Northwestern to Div 3.

Div 2:
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Michigan State
4. Purdue
5. Indiana
6. Northwestern (NW could easily switch will Illinois if needed)

Div 3:
1. Illinois
2. Wisconsin
3. Minnesota
4. Iowa
5. Nebraska
6. TBD

TBD: One of Kansas, Utah, Colorado

Div 4:
1. USC
2. UCLA
3. Washington
4. Oregon
5. TBD
6. TBD

TBD: Two of Cal, Stanford, Arizona, Arizona St, Utah

This assumes, Notre Dame remains independent. If they do, they can choose their division taking either a TBD spot, or moving Northwestern to Division 3. Also assumes the Big 10 can't poach from the SEC.

This is interesting stuff. One observation is this framework really doesn't work for basketball. If that sport mattered, you have UConn, Gonzaga, Duke and other elite programs in.conferences. You also lose the concept that academics matter. Then again, TV revenues seem to drive realignment, so this structure starts making sense.

Maybe the need is for football to have a conference structure completely different from all other sports.

Assuming the folks in the robes allow that.
BearSD
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Quote:

If sports other than football mattered, Duke, Kansas, or Arizona would not be threatened by being left out of the two power conferences.

Football is the primary money maker, and also the primary conveyer of status, but both the money and status extend to all members of the Big Ten and SEC. That money and status benefits all sports for members of those conferences. The SEC placed 14 of its 16 members in this year's men's NCAA basketball tournament. The ACC had only 4, in case you're still wondering why Duke or North Carolina might have reasons other than football for hoping to get into the SEC.

In the women's basketball tournament, the Big Ten had 12 teams and the SEC had 10. The SEC also placed 13 teams in the NCAA baseball tournament and 14 in softball.

Those advantages will only get larger over time as the money and media attention gaps grow. And unlike everyone outside those two conferences, they have enough money that they don't need to save a few bucks by regionalizing further. They have no desire to give up their built-in advantages just to help "the rest of us" by joining bus leagues.
sycasey
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wifeisafurd said:

sycasey said:

wifeisafurd said:

golden sloth said:

I do wonder what the final end game is for conference realignment is. I can't help but imagine that both the Big 10 and SEC continue to gobble up the final 8 - 12 big name properties and markets, then implement a system maximizing the SEC and Big 10 payouts and control with only token participation from the remaining conferences and schools. Obviously, the ACC and Big 12 drop to be mid-major level (similar to the Pac).

For the Big 10, I think they eventually expand to a total of 24 schools with four divisions of (6) schools each. In football, you'd play everyone in your division every year and play one school from the other divisions. I think they'd also schedule an SEC - Big 10 challenge where you play two games against the other conference every year (one home, one away). That is ten SEC/Big 10 opponents every season, with two cupcake home games. Each school would have 7 home game and 5 away games. That makes sense to me.

As for the divisions, I'd imagine it would be something along the lines of:

Div 1:
1. Penn State
2. Maryland
3. Rutgers
4. North Carolina
5. Miami
6. TBD

TBD: One of Clemson, Florida State, Virginia, Georgia Tech
They could also take two of the TBDs and push Penn State to Div 2 and Northwestern to Div 3.

Div 2:
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Michigan State
4. Purdue
5. Indiana
6. Northwestern (NW could easily switch will Illinois if needed)

Div 3:
1. Illinois
2. Wisconsin
3. Minnesota
4. Iowa
5. Nebraska
6. TBD

TBD: One of Kansas, Utah, Colorado

Div 4:
1. USC
2. UCLA
3. Washington
4. Oregon
5. TBD
6. TBD

TBD: Two of Cal, Stanford, Arizona, Arizona St, Utah

This assumes, Notre Dame remains independent. If they do, they can choose their division taking either a TBD spot, or moving Northwestern to Division 3. Also assumes the Big 10 can't poach from the SEC.

This is interesting stuff. One observation is this framework really doesn't work for basketball. If that sport mattered, you have UConn, Gonzaga, Duke and other elite programs in.conferences. You also lose the concept that academics matter. Then again, TV revenues seem to drive realignment, so this structure starts making sense.

Maybe the need is for football to have a conference structure completely different from all other sports.

Assuming the folks in the robes allow that.

It already happens in some contexts. Notre Dame, for example. But yeah, would be hard to get the biggest conferences to agree.
Golden One
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No way does North Carolina get into the SEC on the strength of the basketball program. The SEC and it's fans don't give a damn about basketball. N.C. Will have to significantly strengthen its football program to have a chance. Thus, Bill Belichick.
6956bear
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BigDaddy said:

Report: North Carolina exploring potential move from ACC to SEC

Is the college sports world ready for another round of realignment? Well, if a Tuesday report from Inside Carolina is accurate, North Carolina could be exploring a move away from the ACC for the SEC.

The University of North Carolina is reportedly among several schools "interested in seeking a potential departure from the ACC" whenever the next round of collegiate realignment happens, sources told Inside Carolina's Adam Smith, and UNC "even could be considered at the front of that pack, alongside Clemson."

https://www.on3.com/college/north-carolina-tar-heels/news/report-north-carolina-exploring-potential-move-from-acc-to-sec/

The ACC as we know it is almost certainly not going to exist beyond 2030. And possibly sooner. North Carolina is seen as perhaps the most viable candidate for the SEC because they are in the footprint but the SEC has no programs in that state. The B1G also would love UNC. UNC and NC State are politically tied and that makes things a bit sticky. But if they agree to play each other annually I think they can be separated.

UNC is going for it. They hired Bill Belichick. That decision is expected to drive eyeballs to their games much like Deion did for Colorado. TV is paying the freight so ratings will matter. They also have sold out their season tickets for 2025. You need to be a brand.

I think many of the programs want out of the ACC. FSU, Clemson, Miami also want out. They believe they are a brand and deserve a bigger platform. They did manage to change the ACC payouts so they are getting more money now but do understand that most of the rest of the league is an anchor in terms of football.

Virginia is also a desired program because of the state they are in. That state is not represented in either of the 2 top leagues. The program has been historically weak but the location will help. UVa is now throwing a lot of money at football. They know they need to win to improve their case in realignment.

Cal and Stanford IMO both need to do a lot of winning and drawing eyeballs to be a viable candidate in realignment. They are in a huge market. A market that does not watch college sports.

It is possible that college sports realigns itself into a large super league type of format that allows Cal to continue as a P4 program but the 2 big leagues are less inclined to be open to that. They have the power currently. They have the best media deals. They have controlling interest in the CFP. They have nearly 100% of the sports best brands and will be reluctant to give up their advantages over the ACC and Big 12. They are more likely open to realigning their own conferences and adding the high value programs. Cal needs to make itself a high value program. Now.

GivemTheAxe
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BearlyCareAnymore said:

golden sloth said:

I do wonder what the final end game is for conference realignment is. I can't help but imagine that both the Big 10 and SEC continue to gobble up the final 8 - 12 big name properties and markets, then implement a system maximizing the SEC and Big 10 payouts and control with only token participation from the remaining conferences and schools. Obviously, the ACC and Big 12 drop to be mid-major level (similar to the Pac).

For the Big 10, I think they eventually expand to a total of 24 schools with four divisions of (6) schools each. In football, you'd play everyone in your division every year and play one school from the other divisions. I think they'd also schedule an SEC - Big 10 challenge where you play two games against the other conference every year (one home, one away). That is ten SEC/Big 10 opponents every season, with two cupcake home games. Each school would have 7 home game and 5 away games. That makes sense to me.

As for the divisions, I'd imagine it would be something along the lines of:

Div 1:
1. Penn State
2. Maryland
3. Rutgers
4. North Carolina
5. Miami
6. TBD

TBD: One of Clemson, Florida State, Virginia, Georgia Tech
They could also take two of the TBDs and push Penn State to Div 2 and Northwestern to Div 3.

Div 2:
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Michigan State
4. Purdue
5. Indiana
6. Northwestern (NW could easily switch will Illinois if needed)

Div 3:
1. Illinois
2. Wisconsin
3. Minnesota
4. Iowa
5. Nebraska
6. TBD

TBD: One of Kansas, Utah, Colorado

Div 4:
1. USC
2. UCLA
3. Washington
4. Oregon
5. TBD
6. TBD

TBD: Two of Cal, Stanford, Arizona, Arizona St, Utah

This assumes, Notre Dame remains independent. If they do, they can choose their division taking either a TBD spot, or moving Northwestern to Division 3. Also assumes the Big 10 can't poach from the SEC.

We are hanging on to a system that no longer works or makes any sense. I do think it is going to evolve to something that makes sense, but right now it is doing so in a haphazard manner that is taking too long.

First of all, let's get acceptance that College football and men's basketball are professional sports leagues now. Second of all, they are two different professional sports leagues. There is really no reason that schools in the same football conference need to also be in the same basketball conference.

College football and basketball are fundamentally different business models. Football is hell expensive. You need 5 times the number of quality players to field a competitive football team than you need in basketball, meaning a lower level team can't get lucky with one or two guys and compete. There is more money making potential in football. Football is more about a whole system of strength and conditioning to develop bodies. A 240 lb player cannot just outskill a 300lb player. As a result, a school like St. Mary's can compete in basketball where even if they wanted to they have no chance to compete in football.

Just discussing football because I think it is more black and white. There are not 40, 50, 60 teams that are financially viable. Pro sports leagues in the US have pretty well settled in around 30 teams, I think there is a good reason for this. Get much beyond that and you spread the product too thin. Also, the disparity between the haves and the have nots is just too great.

The college football organization has been blown up. The NCAA was barely a business organization and it was terrible at it. The SEC and the Big 10 are the de facto major leagues here. They need to join together with business sponsorship and form a league that is an actual private business not related to school administrations or state governments. They need to have a league of 32 or 36 teams. They have the management invite teams to apply and then pick the teams based on long term financial viability and that is it. They form a self contained league and they do not play anybody else. Structure the league similar to the NFL. Similar schedules. Similar playoffs so you don't have this idiotic "I lost two games now I'm out" BS. And It will be best for all concerned. Cut off the dreams of the teams that can't accept that they can never compete so they stop being idiots with their money. Then out of those teams you'll see another league - cheaper to run because they can't afford more - that will form out of the next 32 or 36 teams.

This would also bring more stability with the personnel. The top league will barely recruit high school players because they are too risky and be subject to leaving anyway. They will take only the very cream of the crop out of high school and otherwise hire guys who have proven themselves in the lower leagues. The lower leagues would be made up of young players and experienced players who can't make it in the top leagues.

There would be a lot more stability and competitiveness within leagues. No more 60 point destruction games. Games would be a lot more entertaining with more evenly matched teams. Teams would spend the appropriate amount of money for their level because they wouldn't all be trying to follow a fantasy of getting into a higher level.

The current system is killing midrange teams. It is like watching a car race where a bunch of drivers in Yugo's are burning out their engines with their pedal to the floor, trying to keep up with Porsches.

I honestly think separating the top from the middle will reinvigorate the middle tier allowing them to play competitive games and compete for championships as medium sized frogs in medium sized ponds.





I am not arguing with your reasoning. But to me if there is major shrinkage in the number of viable college teams, it will shrink the available players who can be recruited by the Pros.
Right now there is a very large pool of potential Pro players. Many come out of Podunk Universities.
What happens when that large pool dries up to just 32 or 36 teams.
Remember that A. Rodgers was recruited by Cal of a J.C. because no other school wanted to take a chance on him.
Take away Cal and there would have been no A. Rodgers.
Take away Cal and that would likely dry up J.C. football.
Which schools (4-year or J.C. would be willing to spend money to keep alive College Football if that school has no hope of making its college football program economically feasible.)

I see Pro Football sowing the seeds of its own destruction in the long run.
sycasey
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GivemTheAxe said:

BearlyCareAnymore said:

golden sloth said:

I do wonder what the final end game is for conference realignment is. I can't help but imagine that both the Big 10 and SEC continue to gobble up the final 8 - 12 big name properties and markets, then implement a system maximizing the SEC and Big 10 payouts and control with only token participation from the remaining conferences and schools. Obviously, the ACC and Big 12 drop to be mid-major level (similar to the Pac).

For the Big 10, I think they eventually expand to a total of 24 schools with four divisions of (6) schools each. In football, you'd play everyone in your division every year and play one school from the other divisions. I think they'd also schedule an SEC - Big 10 challenge where you play two games against the other conference every year (one home, one away). That is ten SEC/Big 10 opponents every season, with two cupcake home games. Each school would have 7 home game and 5 away games. That makes sense to me.

As for the divisions, I'd imagine it would be something along the lines of:

Div 1:
1. Penn State
2. Maryland
3. Rutgers
4. North Carolina
5. Miami
6. TBD

TBD: One of Clemson, Florida State, Virginia, Georgia Tech
They could also take two of the TBDs and push Penn State to Div 2 and Northwestern to Div 3.

Div 2:
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Michigan State
4. Purdue
5. Indiana
6. Northwestern (NW could easily switch will Illinois if needed)

Div 3:
1. Illinois
2. Wisconsin
3. Minnesota
4. Iowa
5. Nebraska
6. TBD

TBD: One of Kansas, Utah, Colorado

Div 4:
1. USC
2. UCLA
3. Washington
4. Oregon
5. TBD
6. TBD

TBD: Two of Cal, Stanford, Arizona, Arizona St, Utah

This assumes, Notre Dame remains independent. If they do, they can choose their division taking either a TBD spot, or moving Northwestern to Division 3. Also assumes the Big 10 can't poach from the SEC.

We are hanging on to a system that no longer works or makes any sense. I do think it is going to evolve to something that makes sense, but right now it is doing so in a haphazard manner that is taking too long.

First of all, let's get acceptance that College football and men's basketball are professional sports leagues now. Second of all, they are two different professional sports leagues. There is really no reason that schools in the same football conference need to also be in the same basketball conference.

College football and basketball are fundamentally different business models. Football is hell expensive. You need 5 times the number of quality players to field a competitive football team than you need in basketball, meaning a lower level team can't get lucky with one or two guys and compete. There is more money making potential in football. Football is more about a whole system of strength and conditioning to develop bodies. A 240 lb player cannot just outskill a 300lb player. As a result, a school like St. Mary's can compete in basketball where even if they wanted to they have no chance to compete in football.

Just discussing football because I think it is more black and white. There are not 40, 50, 60 teams that are financially viable. Pro sports leagues in the US have pretty well settled in around 30 teams, I think there is a good reason for this. Get much beyond that and you spread the product too thin. Also, the disparity between the haves and the have nots is just too great.

The college football organization has been blown up. The NCAA was barely a business organization and it was terrible at it. The SEC and the Big 10 are the de facto major leagues here. They need to join together with business sponsorship and form a league that is an actual private business not related to school administrations or state governments. They need to have a league of 32 or 36 teams. They have the management invite teams to apply and then pick the teams based on long term financial viability and that is it. They form a self contained league and they do not play anybody else. Structure the league similar to the NFL. Similar schedules. Similar playoffs so you don't have this idiotic "I lost two games now I'm out" BS. And It will be best for all concerned. Cut off the dreams of the teams that can't accept that they can never compete so they stop being idiots with their money. Then out of those teams you'll see another league - cheaper to run because they can't afford more - that will form out of the next 32 or 36 teams.

This would also bring more stability with the personnel. The top league will barely recruit high school players because they are too risky and be subject to leaving anyway. They will take only the very cream of the crop out of high school and otherwise hire guys who have proven themselves in the lower leagues. The lower leagues would be made up of young players and experienced players who can't make it in the top leagues.

There would be a lot more stability and competitiveness within leagues. No more 60 point destruction games. Games would be a lot more entertaining with more evenly matched teams. Teams would spend the appropriate amount of money for their level because they wouldn't all be trying to follow a fantasy of getting into a higher level.

The current system is killing midrange teams. It is like watching a car race where a bunch of drivers in Yugo's are burning out their engines with their pedal to the floor, trying to keep up with Porsches.

I honestly think separating the top from the middle will reinvigorate the middle tier allowing them to play competitive games and compete for championships as medium sized frogs in medium sized ponds.





I am not arguing with your reasoning. But to me if there is major shrinkage in the number of viable college teams, it will shrink the available players who can be recruited by the Pros.
Right now there is a very large pool of potential Pro players. Many come out of Podunk Universities.
What happens when that large pool dries up to just 32 or 36 teams.
Remember that A. Rodgers was recruited by Cal of a J.C. because no other school wanted to take a chance on him.
Take away Cal and there would have been no A. Rodgers.
Take away Cal and that would likely dry up J.C. football.
Which schools (4-year or J.C. would be willing to spend money to keep alive College Football if that school has no hope of making its college football program economically feasible.)

I see Pro Football sowing the seeds of its own destruction in the long run.


I think the idea here is that the smaller schools would still recruit those players and give them chances, and if they blew up (like Rodgers) then the top league would get them in the transfer portal.

Heck, star NFL players still got drafted from the I-AA / FCS ranks in the old days too (Jerry Rice, Steve McNair, etc.). The NFL will find their talent wherever it is.
Cal88
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sycasey said:

GivemTheAxe said:

BearlyCareAnymore said:

golden sloth said:

I do wonder what the final end game is for conference realignment is. I can't help but imagine that both the Big 10 and SEC continue to gobble up the final 8 - 12 big name properties and markets, then implement a system maximizing the SEC and Big 10 payouts and control with only token participation from the remaining conferences and schools. Obviously, the ACC and Big 12 drop to be mid-major level (similar to the Pac).

For the Big 10, I think they eventually expand to a total of 24 schools with four divisions of (6) schools each. In football, you'd play everyone in your division every year and play one school from the other divisions. I think they'd also schedule an SEC - Big 10 challenge where you play two games against the other conference every year (one home, one away). That is ten SEC/Big 10 opponents every season, with two cupcake home games. Each school would have 7 home game and 5 away games. That makes sense to me.

As for the divisions, I'd imagine it would be something along the lines of:

Div 1:
1. Penn State
2. Maryland
3. Rutgers
4. North Carolina
5. Miami
6. TBD

TBD: One of Clemson, Florida State, Virginia, Georgia Tech
They could also take two of the TBDs and push Penn State to Div 2 and Northwestern to Div 3.

Div 2:
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Michigan State
4. Purdue
5. Indiana
6. Northwestern (NW could easily switch will Illinois if needed)

Div 3:
1. Illinois
2. Wisconsin
3. Minnesota
4. Iowa
5. Nebraska
6. TBD

TBD: One of Kansas, Utah, Colorado

Div 4:
1. USC
2. UCLA
3. Washington
4. Oregon
5. TBD
6. TBD

TBD: Two of Cal, Stanford, Arizona, Arizona St, Utah

This assumes, Notre Dame remains independent. If they do, they can choose their division taking either a TBD spot, or moving Northwestern to Division 3. Also assumes the Big 10 can't poach from the SEC.

We are hanging on to a system that no longer works or makes any sense. I do think it is going to evolve to something that makes sense, but right now it is doing so in a haphazard manner that is taking too long.

First of all, let's get acceptance that College football and men's basketball are professional sports leagues now. Second of all, they are two different professional sports leagues. There is really no reason that schools in the same football conference need to also be in the same basketball conference.

College football and basketball are fundamentally different business models. Football is hell expensive. You need 5 times the number of quality players to field a competitive football team than you need in basketball, meaning a lower level team can't get lucky with one or two guys and compete. There is more money making potential in football. Football is more about a whole system of strength and conditioning to develop bodies. A 240 lb player cannot just outskill a 300lb player. As a result, a school like St. Mary's can compete in basketball where even if they wanted to they have no chance to compete in football.

Just discussing football because I think it is more black and white. There are not 40, 50, 60 teams that are financially viable. Pro sports leagues in the US have pretty well settled in around 30 teams, I think there is a good reason for this. Get much beyond that and you spread the product too thin. Also, the disparity between the haves and the have nots is just too great.

The college football organization has been blown up. The NCAA was barely a business organization and it was terrible at it. The SEC and the Big 10 are the de facto major leagues here. They need to join together with business sponsorship and form a league that is an actual private business not related to school administrations or state governments. They need to have a league of 32 or 36 teams. They have the management invite teams to apply and then pick the teams based on long term financial viability and that is it. They form a self contained league and they do not play anybody else. Structure the league similar to the NFL. Similar schedules. Similar playoffs so you don't have this idiotic "I lost two games now I'm out" BS. And It will be best for all concerned. Cut off the dreams of the teams that can't accept that they can never compete so they stop being idiots with their money. Then out of those teams you'll see another league - cheaper to run because they can't afford more - that will form out of the next 32 or 36 teams.

This would also bring more stability with the personnel. The top league will barely recruit high school players because they are too risky and be subject to leaving anyway. They will take only the very cream of the crop out of high school and otherwise hire guys who have proven themselves in the lower leagues. The lower leagues would be made up of young players and experienced players who can't make it in the top leagues.

There would be a lot more stability and competitiveness within leagues. No more 60 point destruction games. Games would be a lot more entertaining with more evenly matched teams. Teams would spend the appropriate amount of money for their level because they wouldn't all be trying to follow a fantasy of getting into a higher level.

The current system is killing midrange teams. It is like watching a car race where a bunch of drivers in Yugo's are burning out their engines with their pedal to the floor, trying to keep up with Porsches.

I honestly think separating the top from the middle will reinvigorate the middle tier allowing them to play competitive games and compete for championships as medium sized frogs in medium sized ponds.





I am not arguing with your reasoning. But to me if there is major shrinkage in the number of viable college teams, it will shrink the available players who can be recruited by the Pros.
Right now there is a very large pool of potential Pro players. Many come out of Podunk Universities.
What happens when that large pool dries up to just 32 or 36 teams.
Remember that A. Rodgers was recruited by Cal of a J.C. because no other school wanted to take a chance on him.
Take away Cal and there would have been no A. Rodgers.
Take away Cal and that would likely dry up J.C. football.
Which schools (4-year or J.C. would be willing to spend money to keep alive College Football if that school has no hope of making its college football program economically feasible.)

I see Pro Football sowing the seeds of its own destruction in the long run.


I think the idea here is that the smaller schools would still recruit those players and give them chances, and if they blew up (like Rodgers) then the top league would get them in the transfer portal.

Heck, star NFL players still got drafted from the I-AA / FCS ranks in the old days too (Jerry Rice, Steve McNair, etc.). The NFL will find their talent wherever it is.


It's basically the same system in international soccer, when a young player blows up at a small club, he gets picked up by a big club. The difference is that in soccer, the small club gets a transfer fee from the big club.

The NCAAF picture is getting worse all the time.

calumnus
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GivemTheAxe said:

BearlyCareAnymore said:

golden sloth said:

I do wonder what the final end game is for conference realignment is. I can't help but imagine that both the Big 10 and SEC continue to gobble up the final 8 - 12 big name properties and markets, then implement a system maximizing the SEC and Big 10 payouts and control with only token participation from the remaining conferences and schools. Obviously, the ACC and Big 12 drop to be mid-major level (similar to the Pac).

For the Big 10, I think they eventually expand to a total of 24 schools with four divisions of (6) schools each. In football, you'd play everyone in your division every year and play one school from the other divisions. I think they'd also schedule an SEC - Big 10 challenge where you play two games against the other conference every year (one home, one away). That is ten SEC/Big 10 opponents every season, with two cupcake home games. Each school would have 7 home game and 5 away games. That makes sense to me.

As for the divisions, I'd imagine it would be something along the lines of:

Div 1:
1. Penn State
2. Maryland
3. Rutgers
4. North Carolina
5. Miami
6. TBD

TBD: One of Clemson, Florida State, Virginia, Georgia Tech
They could also take two of the TBDs and push Penn State to Div 2 and Northwestern to Div 3.

Div 2:
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Michigan State
4. Purdue
5. Indiana
6. Northwestern (NW could easily switch will Illinois if needed)

Div 3:
1. Illinois
2. Wisconsin
3. Minnesota
4. Iowa
5. Nebraska
6. TBD

TBD: One of Kansas, Utah, Colorado

Div 4:
1. USC
2. UCLA
3. Washington
4. Oregon
5. TBD
6. TBD

TBD: Two of Cal, Stanford, Arizona, Arizona St, Utah

This assumes, Notre Dame remains independent. If they do, they can choose their division taking either a TBD spot, or moving Northwestern to Division 3. Also assumes the Big 10 can't poach from the SEC.

We are hanging on to a system that no longer works or makes any sense. I do think it is going to evolve to something that makes sense, but right now it is doing so in a haphazard manner that is taking too long.

First of all, let's get acceptance that College football and men's basketball are professional sports leagues now. Second of all, they are two different professional sports leagues. There is really no reason that schools in the same football conference need to also be in the same basketball conference.

College football and basketball are fundamentally different business models. Football is hell expensive. You need 5 times the number of quality players to field a competitive football team than you need in basketball, meaning a lower level team can't get lucky with one or two guys and compete. There is more money making potential in football. Football is more about a whole system of strength and conditioning to develop bodies. A 240 lb player cannot just outskill a 300lb player. As a result, a school like St. Mary's can compete in basketball where even if they wanted to they have no chance to compete in football.

Just discussing football because I think it is more black and white. There are not 40, 50, 60 teams that are financially viable. Pro sports leagues in the US have pretty well settled in around 30 teams, I think there is a good reason for this. Get much beyond that and you spread the product too thin. Also, the disparity between the haves and the have nots is just too great.

The college football organization has been blown up. The NCAA was barely a business organization and it was terrible at it. The SEC and the Big 10 are the de facto major leagues here. They need to join together with business sponsorship and form a league that is an actual private business not related to school administrations or state governments. They need to have a league of 32 or 36 teams. They have the management invite teams to apply and then pick the teams based on long term financial viability and that is it. They form a self contained league and they do not play anybody else. Structure the league similar to the NFL. Similar schedules. Similar playoffs so you don't have this idiotic "I lost two games now I'm out" BS. And It will be best for all concerned. Cut off the dreams of the teams that can't accept that they can never compete so they stop being idiots with their money. Then out of those teams you'll see another league - cheaper to run because they can't afford more - that will form out of the next 32 or 36 teams.

This would also bring more stability with the personnel. The top league will barely recruit high school players because they are too risky and be subject to leaving anyway. They will take only the very cream of the crop out of high school and otherwise hire guys who have proven themselves in the lower leagues. The lower leagues would be made up of young players and experienced players who can't make it in the top leagues.

There would be a lot more stability and competitiveness within leagues. No more 60 point destruction games. Games would be a lot more entertaining with more evenly matched teams. Teams would spend the appropriate amount of money for their level because they wouldn't all be trying to follow a fantasy of getting into a higher level.

The current system is killing midrange teams. It is like watching a car race where a bunch of drivers in Yugo's are burning out their engines with their pedal to the floor, trying to keep up with Porsches.

I honestly think separating the top from the middle will reinvigorate the middle tier allowing them to play competitive games and compete for championships as medium sized frogs in medium sized ponds.





I am not arguing with your reasoning. But to me if there is major shrinkage in the number of viable college teams, it will shrink the available players who can be recruited by the Pros.
Right now there is a very large pool of potential Pro players. Many come out of Podunk Universities.
What happens when that large pool dries up to just 32 or 36 teams.
Remember that A. Rodgers was recruited by Cal of a J.C. because no other school wanted to take a chance on him.
Take away Cal and there would have been no A. Rodgers.
Take away Cal and that would likely dry up J.C. football.
Which schools (4-year or J.C. would be willing to spend money to keep alive College Football if that school has no hope of making its college football program economically feasible.)

I see Pro Football sowing the seeds of its own destruction in the long run.



Aaron Rodgers went to JC because he had no offers. Most JC players go to JC because they are not academically qualified. They produce JC stats and get recruited after two years when they have their AA and are NCAA eligible. Rodgers was putting up great numbers and would have gotten recruited out of JC, guaranteed. However, Tedford's luck was that he was at Butte scouting TE Cross and he said "Who is that guy throwing the ball?" He checked and Rodgers had been a full qualifier out of high school so he did not have to stay in JC two years. The rest is history.

Scouting services changed the game. The Portal has changed the game further. If a kid is playing somewhere, he will get discovered, but with QBs the problem is future great QBs often don't get a chance. Brady almost got overlooked riding the bench at Michigan. Even if he had transferred to Cal there is no guarantee he would have been given the starting job.
However, the current system with unlimited transfers is better for letting players find their opportunity to show what they can do than the old system where top players could wait their turn then get recruited over, especially with a coaching change.
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