Rushinbear said:6956bear said:Goobear said:calumnus said:
Wilcox's only win over the Beavers in Corvallis was back in 2018, 7 years ago. Other than Stanford, Oregon State is now far and away Cal's longest running continuous series.
I was there my son's last Beaver away game. Things have changed for the Beavers tremendously but folks seem to ignore that.
No doubt things have changed tremendously for OSU. But this is not the same Cal team that demolished a severely injured Beavers team last year 44-7. Cal will start a new OL (likely all 5) a new QB, a new TE, at least 1 and maybe 2 Wrs. A new DE/OLB in place of Carlton, a new ILB and 5 new starters at DB. A new punter, pk and long snapper. And this will all occur on the road. And they are breaking in a new DC and OC albeit the OC has a long track record and likely won't shrink in crucial moments.
I do think Cal has a better roster. But first games (especially on the road) are often tricky and sloppy. And despite how much the Beavers have changed the prognosticators have pegged them the favorite (3 pts) . That is likely due to being at home.
So sure OSU no longer is a P4 program. But few outside the Cal faithful feel the Bears have upgraded much if at all. In fact more feel Cal went backwards in terms of talent. And they lack experience at QB which can be a big difference maker.
I like the Bears to win, but I must say I am not overly confident they will do so. This is a crucially important game for Cal. It is as close to a must win as any opening game can be for Cal.
I see 3 new starters on the OL and an upgrade in the OL coach. Can the other 3 replacements be worse than last year's? Our new QB is mature, at least, and has shown game management ability with a potential star in the wings. Returning starter at WR and talented newcomers (who can/will block) may be all we need. We ought to be able to find at least one good RB out of the four and they're all bigger and stronger.
DL will be at least as good as last year, as will LBs. DBs are the concern with only one returnee (a good one). But, there's depth there, as there is throughout the D.
How in the world did that QB end up at OSU? There's more to that story. In any event, their OL is gonna have a time trying to protect him. Where else have they improved over last year? I don't see it.
Duke brought in a QB with a $4m a year NIL deal. He had to go somewhere.