How will the remaining games play out-

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pingpong2
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concordtom said:

It's so funny to me.
To all those who want to fire Wilcox, what makes you think that the next coach is going to produce more wins?

And, just how many wins do you need each season in order to stop calling for (whatever coach) to be fired?

Just come out and say it:

"I must win X games in order to be satisfied with Cal football.
Otherwise, I'm going to kick the cat, spit at the garbageman, and log in to BearInsider and complain."


To be so afraid of going 4-8 that you're satisfied with perpetually finishing 5-7 or 6-6 is akin to a hockey team refusing to pull the goalie down one because they're afraid of losing by two
sycasey
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BearlyCareAnymore said:

sycasey said:

Bearspot said:

SouthKBear said:

How will the remaining games play out-

I'm gonna go with the health and depth of Cal vs the health and depth of the remaining opponents.

At the beginning of the season, it was my understanding that this team had few expected stars but quite a bit of depth across the two-deep. Cal's lost McCulloch and Crosby, but is still in relatively good health vs the remainder of its opponents, except for SMU who is still pretty healthy. And just like in a single game where depth and health become a factor in the 4th quarter, it will be a factor in the "4th quarter" of the season where teams are dinged up. This could be a factor in the home stretch of the season. Cal S&C was a story in the off-season, but it's gonna matter a lot more later in the season. Gotta stay healthy Bears! And let's see if this team can outlast everybody remaining on its schedule. Just win!

One glimmer of hope is that if the common Wilcox pattern was to have an October collapse, it was also to have a partial recovery late in the season to salvage a .500 record. If that happens again maybe we can pull off that 9-win record I'd like to see, given that we have banked 5 wins already. But the schedule is also going to get tougher so I don't know about that.


I think the reason for his monthly record is the strength of schedule in those months, which isn't the same this year.

I think that's most likely true . . . but I'll mark it down as something to observe.
TandemBear
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This isn't how college ball works, Concord.

When coaches don't win or meet expectations, they're gone. Plain & simple.

Like when CEO's are ousted when some external force tanks a company. Doesn't matter who or what was the reason or cause.

You're paid the big bucks. You should face consequences when it doesn't work out. Stop passing the buck, making excuses and all that. You're gone.

No, there's no guarantee that it will cause a turn-around. We could indeed get worse.

But look back at the good coaches we had. Snyder and Tedford were able to do it. With amazing results. And with a crappy stadium, facilities and training equipment. Says a lot. Sure, the climate has changed, but it has always changed.

UC Berkeley is supposed to be smart, innovative and able to accept challenges.

Sticking with a mediocre coach says the opposite.

Don't really know why you're defending a dude who now has generational wealth, thanks to the #1 Public University in the world.
MinotStateBeav
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We seem to go away from the running game as the game goes on, which I think is putting our QB in more and more pressure. Even the quick game if you're using it as a running game extension doesn't help that much in slowing the rush. I did notice a jumbo package against UNC though, that's encouraging.
Big C
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pingpong2 said:

concordtom said:

It's so funny to me.
To all those who want to fire Wilcox, what makes you think that the next coach is going to produce more wins?

And, just how many wins do you need each season in order to stop calling for (whatever coach) to be fired?

Just come out and say it:

"I must win X games in order to be satisfied with Cal football.
Otherwise, I'm going to kick the cat, spit at the garbageman, and log in to BearInsider and complain."


To be so afraid of going 4-8 that you're satisfied with perpetually finishing 5-7 or 6-6 is akin to a hockey team refusing to pull the goalie down one because they're afraid of losing by two

Not only that, we did go 4-8 in 2022, which is when he should've been fired (had it not been for the long extension).
Golden One
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concordtom said:

It's so funny to me.
To all those who want to fire Wilcox, what makes you think that the next coach is going to produce more wins?

And, just how many wins do you need each season in order to stop calling for (whatever coach) to be fired?

Just come out and say it:

"I must win X games in order to be satisfied with Cal football.
Otherwise, I'm going to kick the cat, spit at the garbageman, and log in to BearInsider and complain."


Cal should never have less than 7 wins, with most seasons being 8 wins or more.
calumnus
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MinotStateBeav said:

We seem to go away from the running game as the game goes on, which I think is putting our QB in more and more pressure. Even the quick game if you're using it as a running game extension doesn't help that much in slowing the rush. I did notice a jumbo package against UNC though, that's encouraging.


We have the #131 rushing offense in the country in yards per carry and that is against a very weak schedule. We have to try something.

The last time we were effective running the ball (Ott lead the Pac-12) was with Spavital and Air Raid concepts, but we had better WRs that year too.

I'd like to see our base play start with De Jesus on a jet sweep. Jumbo package in short yardage makes sense too.
SouthKBear
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Wasn't Cade mentioned pre season about playing on offense?
Rushinbear
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MinotStateBeav said:

We seem to go away from the running game as the game goes on, which I think is putting our QB in more and more pressure. Even the quick game if you're using it as a running game extension doesn't help that much in slowing the rush. I did notice a jumbo package against UNC though, that's encouraging.

Our opponents see that what they saw in the films is true, that the long ball is no threat, so they crowd the line and close up the gaps/short pass opps.
concordtom
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BearlyCareAnymore said:

concordtom said:

Well, at the very least that was entertaining!


Glad to entertain you. You embarrass me, concordtomholmoe. No Cal fan should post what you did.


Did you think I was insulting you?
I'm sorry. I wasn't.
You said a lot, and I wasn't sure how to respond at that moment without a similar deep dive.
So I was appreciating your post.
BearlyCareAnymore
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concordtom said:

BearlyCareAnymore said:

concordtom said:

s foWell, at the very least that was entertaining!


Glad to entertain you. You embarrass me, concordtomholmoe. No Cal fan should post what you did.


Did you think I was insulting you?
I'm sorry. I wasn't.
You said a lot, and I wasn't sure how to respond at that moment without a similar deep dive.
So I was appreciating your post.

You insulted everyone with your "shame on you" post, Tom, and you followed it up with more of the same. You should rethink whether casting shame on a majority of the board is really the way you want to go, especially when you are casting shame on people for wanting better. You could have expressed the same opinion without making it a moral crusade. Everyone makes mistakes and yours was very large and deserving of the response you got. But I know you are capable of looking at your messaging and realizing that Cal fans who want better are not deserving of your attack and maybe indicating that while you may vehemently disagree with us, shaming us like you are a parent and we are a bunch of little children was not appropriate.
concordtom
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BearlyCareAnymore said:

concordtom said:

It's so funny to me.
To all those who want to fire Wilcox, what makes you think that the next coach is going to produce more wins?

And, just how many wins do you need each season in order to stop calling for (whatever coach) to be fired?

Just come out and say it:

"I must win X games in order to be satisfied with Cal football.
Otherwise, I'm going to kick the cat, spit at the garbageman, and log in to BearInsider and complain."


It's so funny to me.
To all one of you who want to keep Wilcox, what makes you think that keeping him is going to produce more wins?

And, just how many losses do you need each season in order to stop supporting a coach? How years without a winning record in conference?

Just come out and say it:

"He must lose X games in order to be un satisfied with Cal football. He must go X years without a winning record.
Otherwise, I'm going to sit here counting pink fluffy unicorns and be perfectly blissful spending 8 figures every year on this program and keep chastising others for not being zen about total failure.

You asked the other side. Now you answer. How bad does it have to get before we fire him? How low are your standards. We all know you wanted to get people to commit to unreasonable standards here. What are your unreasonably low standards. Because if you haven't got there yet, they are unreasonably low.


I miss the tailgates, throwing the football around with family in the parking lot.

That's been replaced by untold THOUSANDS (untold zero placeholders) of dollars my family pays to sit in the most primo of seats, which include endless free food and liquor upstairs - for games that nobody attends because they all start at 7:30pm.

The older family members can't go because it's too late and cold.
The youngest family members can't go because it's also past their bedtimes.

But for me, yeah, I'd be equally happy to start an Ivy West conference. Are the stands full for Yale vs Harvard? Are they having fun????

Do you think Cal could find a cure for cancer with all the money spent on Entertainment?

Here, with the help of my "assistant" I've crafted the following for folks to think about:


In "Amusing Ourselves to Death", Neil Postman warns that when entertainment dominates the medium of public discourse, serious matters lose depth and are transformed into spectacle.
Politics, once grounded in reasoned debate, has increasingly become a stage for theatrics and soundbitesa chase for attention, ratings, and fundraising.
College football has undergone a similar evolution: what began as an extracurricular activity aimed at building character and camaraderie has morphed into a high-stakes spectacle, driven by winning, national broadcasts, and multimillion-dollar revenue, often overshadowing the educational mission of the university.


Signed,
120 years of family at UCB.
concordtom
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72CalBear said:

sycasey said:

At this point with all the time he's had to build a program, Wilcox should be able to win 9 games at least once. So that's what I would need to see, particularly against this easy schedule: 9 wins. If not, best wishes to him.

It's probably not happening.

"All the time he's had to build a program?" The Bears started the season with 40 new players vs Oregon State. I know all the teams have new players, but we had alot and maybe just now they are starting to get it. I really don't know how coaches (including high schools now) can build continuity and cohesion with so many new players filtering in.

A voice of reason among the crowd.
concordtom
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TandemBear said:

This isn't how college ball works, Concord.

When coaches don't win or meet expectations, they're gone. Plain & simple.

Like when CEO's are ousted when some external force tanks a company. Doesn't matter who or what was the reason or cause.

You're paid the big bucks. You should face consequences when it doesn't work out. Stop passing the buck, making excuses and all that. You're gone.

No, there's no guarantee that it will cause a turn-around. We could indeed get worse.

But look back at the good coaches we had. Snyder and Tedford were able to do it. With amazing results. And with a crappy stadium, facilities and training equipment. Says a lot. Sure, the climate has changed, but it has always changed.

UC Berkeley is supposed to be smart, innovative and able to accept challenges.

Sticking with a mediocre coach says the opposite.

Don't really know why you're defending a dude who now has generational wealth, thanks to the #1 Public University in the world.


Well, I wouldn't have paid that kind of money!!
Find someone who is mission driven.
Build a brotherhood.
If the coach is going to demand bucks, so are the players, and they're gonna transfer.

The relationships people develop during their college years are often some of the most valuable of their lives. If the right culture is in the program that's worth a ton, and people will stay for that.

But, I've probably tacked too far by introducing this. And I dunno how Wilcox's salary or style affects his team camaraderie.
alarsuel
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concordtom said:

BearlyCareAnymore said:

concordtom said:

It's so funny to me.
To all those who want to fire Wilcox, what makes you think that the next coach is going to produce more wins?

And, just how many wins do you need each season in order to stop calling for (whatever coach) to be fired?

Just come out and say it:

"I must win X games in order to be satisfied with Cal football.
Otherwise, I'm going to kick the cat, spit at the garbageman, and log in to BearInsider and complain."


It's so funny to me.
To all one of you who want to keep Wilcox, what makes you think that keeping him is going to produce more wins?

And, just how many losses do you need each season in order to stop supporting a coach? How years without a winning record in conference?

Just come out and say it:

"He must lose X games in order to be un satisfied with Cal football. He must go X years without a winning record.
Otherwise, I'm going to sit here counting pink fluffy unicorns and be perfectly blissful spending 8 figures every year on this program and keep chastising others for not being zen about total failure.

You asked the other side. Now you answer. How bad does it have to get before we fire him? How low are your standards. We all know you wanted to get people to commit to unreasonable standards here. What are your unreasonably low standards. Because if you haven't got there yet, they are unreasonably low.


I miss the tailgates, throwing the football around with family in the parking lot.

That's been replaced by untold THOUSANDS (untold zero placeholders) of dollars my family pays to sit in the most primo of seats, which include endless free food and liquor upstairs - for games that nobody attends because they all start at 7:30pm.

The older family members can't go because it's too late and cold.
The youngest family members can't go because it's also past their bedtimes.

But for me, yeah, I'd be equally happy to start an Ivy West conference. Are the stands full for Yale vs Harvard? Are they having fun????

Do you think Cal could find a cure for cancer with all the money spent on Entertainment?

Here, with the help of my "assistant" I've crafted the following for folks to think about:


In "Amusing Ourselves to Death", Neil Postman warns that when entertainment dominates the medium of public discourse, serious matters lose depth and are transformed into spectacle.
Politics, once grounded in reasoned debate, has increasingly become a stage for theatrics and soundbitesa chase for attention, ratings, and fundraising.
College football has undergone a similar evolution: what began as an extracurricular activity aimed at building character and camaraderie has morphed into a high-stakes spectacle, driven by winning, national broadcasts, and multimillion-dollar revenue, often overshadowing the educational mission of the university.


Signed,
120 years of family at UCB.


Tom, what does any of this nonsense mean? The University of California CHOOSES to participate in major college football. It is not unreasonable for those connected to the school as fans, alums, employees, donors, or those that just like the ******* colors and logo to expect more. No one is suggesting anything unreasonable…let's start with finding a coach that can win half of his games in a B- level conference. Wilcox should've been fired AT LEAST 4 years ago, even just to roll the dice on someone else. Enough is enough.

BearlyCareAnymore
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concordtom said:

BearlyCareAnymore said:

concordtom said:

It's so funny to me.
To all those who want to fire Wilcox, what makes you think that the next coach is going to produce more wins?

And, just how many wins do you need each season in order to stop calling for (whatever coach) to be fired?

Just come out and say it:

"I must win X games in order to be satisfied with Cal football.
Otherwise, I'm going to kick the cat, spit at the garbageman, and log in to BearInsider and complain."


It's so funny to me.
To all one of you who want to keep Wilcox, what makes you think that keeping him is going to produce more wins?

And, just how many losses do you need each season in order to stop supporting a coach? How years without a winning record in conference?

Just come out and say it:

"He must lose X games in order to be un satisfied with Cal football. He must go X years without a winning record.
Otherwise, I'm going to sit here counting pink fluffy unicorns and be perfectly blissful spending 8 figures every year on this program and keep chastising others for not being zen about total failure.

You asked the other side. Now you answer. How bad does it have to get before we fire him? How low are your standards. We all know you wanted to get people to commit to unreasonable standards here. What are your unreasonably low standards. Because if you haven't got there yet, they are unreasonably low.


I miss the tailgates, throwing the football around with family in the parking lot.

That's been replaced by untold THOUSANDS (untold zero placeholders) of dollars my family pays to sit in the most primo of seats, which include endless free food and liquor upstairs - for games that nobody attends because they all start at 7:30pm.

The older family members can't go because it's too late and cold.
The youngest family members can't go because it's also past their bedtimes.

But for me, yeah, I'd be equally happy to start an Ivy West conference. Are the stands full for Yale vs Harvard? Are they having fun????

Do you think Cal could find a cure for cancer with all the money spent on Entertainment?

Here, with the help of my "assistant" I've crafted the following for folks to think about:


In "Amusing Ourselves to Death", Neil Postman warns that when entertainment dominates the medium of public discourse, serious matters lose depth and are transformed into spectacle.
Politics, once grounded in reasoned debate, has increasingly become a stage for theatrics and soundbitesa chase for attention, ratings, and fundraising.
College football has undergone a similar evolution: what began as an extracurricular activity aimed at building character and camaraderie has morphed into a high-stakes spectacle, driven by winning, national broadcasts, and multimillion-dollar revenue, often overshadowing the educational mission of the university.


Signed,
120 years of family at UCB.

Here's the thing, Tom. None of that has anything to do with what you said. So your real issue isn't the demand for wins. It is the loss of the olden days and it is people willing to chuck whatever amounts of money at this proposition that you find less important than a lot of things we could be doing. Like curing cancer.

As an aside to you, at risk of much criticism, I am sympathetic to a lot of that argument. I've always felt like college revenue sports (and let's not kid ourselves it has been a big money grab for our entire lives) is a bizarre marriage. It doesn't seem like it should be a business that institutions of higher learning should be in. But they are. Now, I've been loud on this board saying that people are living in a fantasy land not realizing just how far behind our competitors, not tOSU, but Duke, on the spending front. That with the university spending $60M a year just on operating losses on athletics, the community needs to step up and through private funds make up the difference between us and our reasonable competitors or the community has spoken about the value the program has to them. They can't just keep asking the university to pay bigger and bigger bills for their hobby. (I can't go into a Porsche dealer and scream because I want a $150K Porsche and I want to pay $30K for it. I go buy a Subaru).

So if you want to argue that society's spending on this endeavor is ridiculous, or Cal's spending is ridiculous, that is a different discussion. One that is frankly weird to have on a football board, but be my guest. If you 1. didn't choose to chastise people with "shame", because there is no shame in having a different opinion, and 2. asked how much money are you willing to spend instead of how many wins is enough, I'd have no issue with you. But what you just said above has nothing to do with what you said before.

Now in terms of what you say here, I get it. I miss a lot of that too. I am old enough that I didn't just play catch with my father in the parking lot. We played catch on the field after the game, which was a thrill for a little kid. I miss that games always started at 1:00 and were on TV or not. And you got annoyed when it was on TV because TV timeouts slowed down the game. I missed the limited ads. I miss the focus on the band. I miss the family section and kids meeting up and walking all around the stadium unimpeded. Yes, college football has become maximizing every dollar rather than the enjoyment (which is why I think people are naive about how realignment is going to go). This is frankly a microcosm of society where everything is that way. Buildings are ugly because making them pretty might cost a few bucks more. I get it Tom. I really do.

But you know what. When I was catching passes on the field at Memorial you know what everyone was talking about? Firing that moron Theder for a record that was on par with Wilcox. And that was when USC, UCLA, and Washington were spending us into oblivion. And we fired him in 4 years. No Cal coach has lasted as long as Wilcox with such a bad record. You have shamed everyone for wanting what contingents of Cal fans have always wanted even in the days you are nostalgic for.

You pushed everyone to name a win standard, but when pushed back you won't name a loss standard. You redirected the argument to a nostalgic argument about the good old days.

I get that argument. I went to a Cal women's basketball game and very much enjoyed it because it reminded me of my days at Harmon where they didn't spend the entire time turning me over and shaking the money out of my pockets. You want to make that argument. Make it. I think there is a distinct possibility that if Cal got out of the rat race, they would spend less money, make less money and have smaller but happier crowds.

But that is all beside the point which is no one should be ashamed to demand better results than Wilcox has provided. And going back to that discussion, which you started, your shaming people was ridiculous. A lot of people here agree with you on the nostalgia front. But they don't have a nostalgia for losing. If you posted "I miss the good old days when..." you would have gotten a lot of likes. You didn't post that. You posted "shame on you for wanting to win more".
TandemBear
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" So if you want to argue that society's spending on this endeavor is ridiculous, or Cal's spending is ridiculous, that is a different discussion. One that is frankly weird to have on a football board, but be my guest. If you 1. didn't choose to chastise people with "shame", because there is no shame in having a different opinion, and 2. asked how much money are you willing to spend instead of how many wins is enough, I'd have no issue with you. But what you just said above has nothing to do with what you said before."

Well said.

But since we spent the half a billion on stadium & facilities upgrades, that ship sailed LONG AGO! We simply have no choice here. Unless you wanna offer Memorial to UCLA as their home stadium, we're in the game for the long haul.

PS What is the remaining debt on Memorial??? AI doesn't give me any answer of any value. I'm really curious to see how the debt service is progressing.
TonyTiger
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As I stated repeatedly this year, well be exactly 6-6. Not 7-5, not 5-7 but 6-6 as we will be next year and the year after and the year after.
It's Over!!!
concordtom
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BearlyCareAnymore said:



But that is all beside the point which is no one should be ashamed to demand better results than Wilcox has provided. And going back to that discussion, which you started, your shaming people was ridiculous. A lot of people here agree with you on the nostalgia front. But they don't have a nostalgia for losing. If you posted "I miss the good old days when..." you would have gotten a lot of likes. You didn't post that. You posted "shame on you for wanting to win more".


Maybe what I'm saying is that all the money and the incessant harping on "fire the coach" ruins the plain enjoyment that even you agree with.

We are 5-2 and have enjoyed some exciting finishes for victories.
Be happy!

Man, y'all are rabid on me. Hahaha.

PS: this growls board is soft to have their feelings so hurt about being "shamed". Come on over to OT, with a thick leather coat.
concordtom
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TandemBear said:

" So if you want to argue that society's spending on this endeavor is ridiculous, or Cal's spending is ridiculous, that is a different discussion. One that is frankly weird to have on a football board, but be my guest. If you 1. didn't choose to chastise people with "shame", because there is no shame in having a different opinion, and 2. asked how much money are you willing to spend instead of how many wins is enough, I'd have no issue with you. But what you just said above has nothing to do with what you said before."

Well said.

But since we spent the half a billion on stadium & facilities upgrades, that ship sailed LONG AGO! We simply have no choice here. Unless you wanna offer Memorial to UCLA as their home stadium, we're in the game for the long haul.

PS What is the remaining debt on Memorial??? AI doesn't give me any answer of any value. I'm really curious to see how the debt service is progressing.


"Captain Smith! There's an iceberg field ahead!"

"We're going to make it to New York ahead of schedule. Ramming speed!"
BearlyCareAnymore
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concordtom said:

BearlyCareAnymore said:



But that is all beside the point which is no one should be ashamed to demand better results than Wilcox has provided. And going back to that discussion, which you started, your shaming people was ridiculous. A lot of people here agree with you on the nostalgia front. But they don't have a nostalgia for losing. If you posted "I miss the good old days when..." you would have gotten a lot of likes. You didn't post that. You posted "shame on you for wanting to win more".


Maybe what I'm saying is that all the money and the incessant harping on "fire the coach" ruins the plain enjoyment that even you agree with.

We are 5-2 and have enjoyed some exciting finishes for victories.
Be happy!

Man, y'all are rabid on me. Hahaha.

PS: this growls board is soft to have their feelings so hurt about being "shamed". Come on over to OT, with a thick leather coat.


For most of us what is ruining the enjoyment is the plainly crappy coaching.

Left to OT board a long time ago because it was a cesspool and people were asshats. I would suggest you realize that no one on this board wants it to be like that board
TedfordTheGreat
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concordtom said:

BearlyCareAnymore said:



But that is all beside the point which is no one should be ashamed to demand better results than Wilcox has provided. And going back to that discussion, which you started, your shaming people was ridiculous. A lot of people here agree with you on the nostalgia front. But they don't have a nostalgia for losing. If you posted "I miss the good old days when..." you would have gotten a lot of likes. You didn't post that. You posted "shame on you for wanting to win more".


Maybe what I'm saying is that all the money and the incessant harping on "fire the coach" ruins the plain enjoyment that even you agree with.

We are 5-2 and have enjoyed some exciting finishes for victories.
Be happy!

Man, y'all are rabid on me. Hahaha.

PS: this growls board is soft to have their feelings so hurt about being "shamed". Come on over to OT, with a thick leather coat.

i actually dont disagree with the sentiment about where college sport is heading. But i think the missing context clue is that we have had 9 years of this mediocrity.

If you posted this on the Clemson board and try to say that to people who wanted to fire Dabo, I would then whole heartedly agree and say hey you know what, sometimes it's just not our year, lets enjoy the wins as they come.

The problem with Justin Wilcox is that he has routinely underperformed. He is operating at the 25% percentile and has one of the longest tenure in all of college football. Its undeserved, and quite frankly insulting to a lot of us who work 9 to 5 and our jobs demand a level of exceptionalism that Justin frankly lacks.

I really do think we are a reasonable bunch. We want to see progress, we want to see players getting better. We want to see that we don't need to see a miracle punch out against a #114 Massey ranked team in FBS, at home.

Justin is doing a disservice to our student athletes who gives their all by not being able to provide an environment to succeed.
annarborbear
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No need to argue the pros and cons of keeping Wilcox. Just have to post his conference records over the past nine seasons:

2-7
4-5
4-5
1-3
4-5
2-7
4-5
2-6
2-1 (TBD)
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