FiatSlug;841939932 said:
I believe the answer to that question will be largely influenced by football revenues; specifically, ESP revenues, ticket revenues (read: attendance), and the impact of the football season on Bear Backer donations.
ESP revenues are particularly critical. IIRC, 56% of seat inventory has been sold; 47% of dollar inventory has been realized as of March 31, 2012. That means that there have been proportionately fewer sales of seats priced at the higher end of the scale. The goal has been to sell 90% of ESP seat and dollar inventory. If ESP subscription renewals threaten to fall off because of team performance as opposed to increasing, it makes it more likely that Tedford will be fired.
I believe that SB's decision in November will be largely economic. It will balance the cost of paying Tedford's contract and the contract of a new football head coach through 2015, projected ESP sales and subscription renewals, projected season ticket sales, and projected Bear Backer donation revenues.
I think that the Pac-12 TV revenue stream is committed elsewhere in the AD budget, so its influence will be minimal or non-existent in the decision to retain or fire.
The foregoing should illustrate another reason why an AD does not fire a head coach after the first game of the season: doing so jeopardizes the trust placed in the AD by major donors and fans to act prudently and as steward of the overall Athletic Department.
A good AD does not fire the football head coach based solely on one game. Having said that, a good AD does not retain the football head coach based solely on one game, either.
What you say about the retaining or the firing of the football coach is very logical and true, based on the values of modern times, and it is one of the tragedies of modern times.
Quite a number of years ago, a coach's job depended on performance alone, as most people's jobs depended on. The influence of money in sports has all but ruined school and amateur sports, or at least certainly transformed them into something reserved for people who have money.
At Haas Pavilion, if you have lots of money, you can spring for a very comfortable seat, a chair with a back, and a cup holder for your beverage. The more money you have to spend, the better location of your seats. If you don't have that kind of money, but still have plenty, you can buy a ticket for a cushioned bench seat. If you can't afford these options, you buy a ticket that gives you a seat on a very poorly contoured, hard, uncomfortable bench seat. And to squeeze as much money out of the patrons as possible, the seats are as narrow as possible, seemingly designed for your average 125 lb person, and then the rows are shoved so close together that the patrons are unpleasantly squished, and it becomes difficult to leave your seat for any reason.
From looking at the photographs, the videos, and reading the comments of fans who attended the last game at Memorial, the seating and fan experience there is about the same as at Haas. For $320 million, this is what we get.
I could see this happening at Stanford (which it has, to some extent), a school of and for the elite, but not at Berkeley, which was, or so I thought was, the school of and for the general public. Our athletic venues seem to be based on a 'soak the rich and screw the poor" philosophy, which really stinks.