kaplanfx;842613598 said:
I'm no expert in these contracts but wouldn't an extension also result in a larger buyout? So if he really wanted to bolt after next year it might be in his interest not to get a big extension now (although he can of course use that in negotiations for his next job)? The fact that he is seemingly (not confirmed) trying to improve his extension terms means he might actually be thinking long term if he gets a reasonable contract. On the other hand, the sticking point for the bargaining might be the buyout...
-kap
There is no automatic relationship between an extension of years, a salary increase, and the amount of the buyout on either side. There are all subject to negotiation, there is nothing "standard in the industry" regarding the buyout amount, except that there is usually a correlation between the amount the school has to pay to terminate early and the amount the coach has to pay to leave early.
More than any salary bump, and WAY more than the number of years, and even more than what Sonny has to pay to get out early, Cal cares about how much it has to pay to fire Sonny early. Cal would probably be happy to give Sonny a ten year extension if, after the 2016, the buyout for terminating Sonny early without cause is $500,000 and drops by $50K per year. This won't fool recruits or opposing coaches recruiting against Cal, since the contract is public, they will know that if Sonny is on the hot seat, his long term contract doesn't mean squat. And Sonny would know it doesn't mean squat.
To protect Cal in the way you are suggesting, what is important is the amount that Sonny has to pay to get out of the contract early (as well as the overall salary level). Cal cares somewhat about that, but not nearly as much as Cal cares about how much it has to pay to terminate Sonny early.
There is still a lot of distress about how it worked out with Tedford. Right now, Cal is going to be very shy about taking a guy who hasn't demonstrated anything beyond getting to the middle of the Pac, where the jury is still out on how successful he can be on the field, and making it very expensive to fire him if Cal decides he needs to be fired in the next year or two or three. Realistically, the only way Cal can avoid making it really expensive to fire him is to also keep it cheap for Sonny to leave, whether that is through a negotiated extension with relatively low buyouts on both sides or by having no extension right now.
Cal absolutely could negotiate an extension that would help prevent Sonny from leaving if he is successful, but Sonny won't agree to it unless Cal also makes it expensive to fire him early if he is a failure, and I really don't think Cal wants to make that trade off right now.