The Bears still deserve a game thread game thread

5,693 Views | 66 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by HoopDreams
Big C
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We had a game today?!?

Question: If a game does not appear on the Bear Insider schedule, does it even exist? Next, somebody's going to tell me we play at Stanfurd on Tuesday... I refuse to believe it!
oski003
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Chapman_is_Gone said:

Pure comedy how everyone complains about the refs after every Cal loss. I guess they just have it comin' for us. Week after week. Year after year.



You didn't watch the game as you self-profess that you don't watch them this year. The calls in the last five minutes favored the Trojans. Stick to your handle.
bearister
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oski003 said:

Chapman_is_Gone said:

Pure comedy how everyone complains about the refs after every Cal loss. I guess they just have it comin' for us. Week after week. Year after year.



You didn't watch the game as you self-profess that you don't watch them this year. The calls in the last five minutes favored the Trojans. Stick to your handle.


Cal has zero margin for error playing a much better team like U$C. The refs had a double standard today. 25 fouls vs 15, and it looked worse. Inconsistent over the back calls. Missed travel calls in key situations. U$C doesn't need that kind of assistance to beat us. It made our task impossible.

If the calls were made by the book, we had a chance. There is an old saying that you shouldn't put yourself in a situation where bad officiating can beat you. Unfortunately, Cal is always in that situation.
F that officiating crew. Shame on them…and Andy was working the sh@it out of them.
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bearister
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"Nattering nabobs of negativism."
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FloriDreaming
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Well this team has gone south in a hurry. Not surprised but it's seems the initial hope for this season was false hope. As usual.

Fox is always going to suck.
blungld
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Chapman_is_Gone said:

oski003 said:

Chapman_is_Gone said:

Pure comedy how everyone complains about the refs after every Cal loss. I guess they just have it comin' for us. Week after week. Year after year.



You didn't watch the game as you self-profess that you don't watch them this year. The calls in the last five minutes favored the Trojans. Stick to your handle.


Quit misrepresenting what I said, dick. I watched today's game, and I have watched other games this year as well. Notice they wore different blue uniforms today? And you don't see the stupidity of believing that the refs are always against Cal? You nattering broads were saying the exact same things after the UCLA game, and after every other loss, for that matter. Blaming the refs is for wimps.


Despite your sweeping statements. The last minutes the refs made several errors that effected the outcome and they were plain to see. I don't think they are out to get Cal and I don't know if Cal would have won, but Cal should have had at least three more possessions, 2 or more free throws, and SC should have had two less buckets. That is not homer vision, that was pretty indisputable.
calbearinamaze
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Bear8995 said:

Grant has been off for a while.
During 7-game losing streak:

Overall: 20 for 69 29.0%

From 3: 4 for 23 17.4%


GO BEARS!!!!
If you believe in forever
Then life is just a one-night stand
If there's a rock and roll heaven
Well you know they've got a hell of a band
Civil Bear
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HuaHin (fka Uthai) said:

Well this team has gone south in a hurry. Not surprised but it's seems the initial hope for this season was false hope. As usual.

Fox is always going to suck.
I don't think anyone was expecting Cal to beat any of USC, UCLA, or AZ. A split on the Washington road trip would have been nice, so the Bears are maybe -1 at this point.

Of course, Kelly goes down now that the schedule is getting easier. Nevermind.
calumnus
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Civil Bear said:

HuaHin (fka Uthai) said:

Well this team has gone south in a hurry. Not surprised but it's seems the initial hope for this season was false hope. As usual.

Fox is always going to suck.
I don't think anyone was expecting Cal to beat any of USC, UCLA, or AZ. A split on the Washington road trip would have been nice, so the Bears are maybe -1 at this point.

Of course, Kelly goes down now that the schedule is getting easier. Nevermind.


The PAC-12 in Sagarin Recent:
1. UCLA #5
2. Arizona #10

3. Oregon #39
4. USC #45
5. Stanford #48
6. WSU #53

7. UW #80

8. Colorado #105

9. Cal #158
10. ASU # 172

11. OSU #198

12. Utah #243

This week is huge, 3 games in the Bay Area that could swing either way. Hopefully we have Kelly for them.
CalLifer
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Civil Bear said:

HuaHin (fka Uthai) said:

Well this team has gone south in a hurry. Not surprised but it's seems the initial hope for this season was false hope. As usual.

Fox is always going to suck.
I don't think anyone was expecting Cal to beat any of USC, UCLA, or AZ. A split on the Washington road trip would have been nice, so the Bears are maybe -1 at this point.

Of course, Kelly goes down now that the schedule is getting easier. Nevermind.
I guess to me, this is where some of the analysis of Fox misses the bigger picture. Yes, from the specifics of where things were at the beginning of this 7-game stretch, maybe we are a -1. But from the larger view, we are in the third year of a coaches' tenure, and the best expectation of the team in a 7 game stretch was that we would go 1-6. Even if 5 of those 7 games were against the top 3 teams in the conference, the fact that we were not particularly competitive across those 7 is a pretty strong indictment of the current regime. And before people say that we kept some of the games close, I went to ESPN and looked at the running Win Probability for each of the last 7 games. The only game in which the WP was greater than 50% Cal at any point in the game was the UW game, and that ended with 7 min to go in the game.

I guess that's what's disheartening to me. In Fox's 3rd year, we are basically not competitive with the best teams in the conference (yes, we had a chance to cut saturday's game to 3 in the final minute and missed a FT, but the general point is valid, I think). There are those who seem to say pretty definitively that Fox will for sure be back next season, a season where we will likely lose our 3 best players from this season, and the replacements for those 3 seem to be a clear step down in production from what those 3 currently provide. This year is likely the high-water mark for Fox in his first 4 seasons.
Civil Bear
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CalLifer said:

Civil Bear said:

HuaHin (fka Uthai) said:

Well this team has gone south in a hurry. Not surprised but it's seems the initial hope for this season was false hope. As usual.

Fox is always going to suck.
I don't think anyone was expecting Cal to beat any of USC, UCLA, or AZ. A split on the Washington road trip would have been nice, so the Bears are maybe -1 at this point.

Of course, Kelly goes down now that the schedule is getting easier. Nevermind.
I guess to me, this is where some of the analysis of Fox misses the bigger picture. Yes, from the specifics of where things were at the beginning of this 7-game stretch, maybe we are a -1. But from the larger view, we are in the third year of a coaches' tenure, and the best expectation of the team in a 7 game stretch was that we would go 1-6. Even if 5 of those 7 games were against the top 3 teams in the conference, the fact that we were not particularly competitive across those 7 is a pretty strong indictment of the current regime. And before people say that we kept some of the games close, I went to ESPN and looked at the running Win Probability for each of the last 7 games. The only game in which the WP was greater than 50% Cal at any point in the game was the UW game, and that ended with 7 min to go in the game.

I guess that's what's disheartening to me. In Fox's 3rd year, we are basically not competitive with the best teams in the conference (yes, we had a chance to cut saturday's game to 3 in the final minute and missed a FT, but the general point is valid, I think). There are those who seem to say pretty definitively that Fox will for sure be back next season, a season where we will likely lose our 3 best players from this season, and the replacements for those 3 seem to be a clear step down in production from what those 3 currently provide. This year is likely the high-water mark for Fox in his first 4 seasons.
Agreed, and I think what you say goes without saying. My comment was in response to the suggestion the Bears are suddenly worse than expected.
CalLifer
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Civil Bear said:

CalLifer said:

Civil Bear said:

HuaHin (fka Uthai) said:

Well this team has gone south in a hurry. Not surprised but it's seems the initial hope for this season was false hope. As usual.

Fox is always going to suck.
I don't think anyone was expecting Cal to beat any of USC, UCLA, or AZ. A split on the Washington road trip would have been nice, so the Bears are maybe -1 at this point.

Of course, Kelly goes down now that the schedule is getting easier. Nevermind.
I guess to me, this is where some of the analysis of Fox misses the bigger picture. Yes, from the specifics of where things were at the beginning of this 7-game stretch, maybe we are a -1. But from the larger view, we are in the third year of a coaches' tenure, and the best expectation of the team in a 7 game stretch was that we would go 1-6. Even if 5 of those 7 games were against the top 3 teams in the conference, the fact that we were not particularly competitive across those 7 is a pretty strong indictment of the current regime. And before people say that we kept some of the games close, I went to ESPN and looked at the running Win Probability for each of the last 7 games. The only game in which the WP was greater than 50% Cal at any point in the game was the UW game, and that ended with 7 min to go in the game.

I guess that's what's disheartening to me. In Fox's 3rd year, we are basically not competitive with the best teams in the conference (yes, we had a chance to cut saturday's game to 3 in the final minute and missed a FT, but the general point is valid, I think). There are those who seem to say pretty definitively that Fox will for sure be back next season, a season where we will likely lose our 3 best players from this season, and the replacements for those 3 seem to be a clear step down in production from what those 3 currently provide. This year is likely the high-water mark for Fox in his first 4 seasons.
Agreed, and I think what you say goes without saying. My comment was in response to the suggestion the Bears are suddenly worse than expected.
I do think that the runup to this 7 game stretch may have engendered more optimism than was warranted about the possibilities, but again, that 7-1 stretch included 2-1 against P5 level teams and 5-0 against mid-majors or lower. So our reality is somewhere closer to the 7-8 we are over the last 15.

That struggling to get to .500 overall is where we are in year 3 is a very depressing thought.
calumnus
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CalLifer said:

Civil Bear said:

CalLifer said:

Civil Bear said:

HuaHin (fka Uthai) said:

Well this team has gone south in a hurry. Not surprised but it's seems the initial hope for this season was false hope. As usual.

Fox is always going to suck.
I don't think anyone was expecting Cal to beat any of USC, UCLA, or AZ. A split on the Washington road trip would have been nice, so the Bears are maybe -1 at this point.

Of course, Kelly goes down now that the schedule is getting easier. Nevermind.
I guess to me, this is where some of the analysis of Fox misses the bigger picture. Yes, from the specifics of where things were at the beginning of this 7-game stretch, maybe we are a -1. But from the larger view, we are in the third year of a coaches' tenure, and the best expectation of the team in a 7 game stretch was that we would go 1-6. Even if 5 of those 7 games were against the top 3 teams in the conference, the fact that we were not particularly competitive across those 7 is a pretty strong indictment of the current regime. And before people say that we kept some of the games close, I went to ESPN and looked at the running Win Probability for each of the last 7 games. The only game in which the WP was greater than 50% Cal at any point in the game was the UW game, and that ended with 7 min to go in the game.

I guess that's what's disheartening to me. In Fox's 3rd year, we are basically not competitive with the best teams in the conference (yes, we had a chance to cut saturday's game to 3 in the final minute and missed a FT, but the general point is valid, I think). There are those who seem to say pretty definitively that Fox will for sure be back next season, a season where we will likely lose our 3 best players from this season, and the replacements for those 3 seem to be a clear step down in production from what those 3 currently provide. This year is likely the high-water mark for Fox in his first 4 seasons.
Agreed, and I think what you say goes without saying. My comment was in response to the suggestion the Bears are suddenly worse than expected.
I do think that the runup to this 7 game stretch may have engendered more optimism than was warranted about the possibilities, but again, that 7-1 stretch included 2-1 against P5 level teams and 5-0 against mid-majors or lower. So our reality is somewhere closer to the 7-8 we are over the last 15.

That struggling to get to .500 overall is where we are in year 3 is a very depressing thought.


Other than those who wanted to pretend Fox had never coached before and was a blank slate It was what most who looked at the facts expected. What is depressing to me is we will likely be in the same situation two years from now (at least) while we are told good young coaches who make a fraction of what Fox makes would never come here and the problem is Cal.
Big C
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CalLifer said:

Civil Bear said:

CalLifer said:

Civil Bear said:

HuaHin (fka Uthai) said:

Well this team has gone south in a hurry. Not surprised but it's seems the initial hope for this season was false hope. As usual.

Fox is always going to suck.
I don't think anyone was expecting Cal to beat any of USC, UCLA, or AZ. A split on the Washington road trip would have been nice, so the Bears are maybe -1 at this point.

Of course, Kelly goes down now that the schedule is getting easier. Nevermind.
I guess to me, this is where some of the analysis of Fox misses the bigger picture. Yes, from the specifics of where things were at the beginning of this 7-game stretch, maybe we are a -1. But from the larger view, we are in the third year of a coaches' tenure, and the best expectation of the team in a 7 game stretch was that we would go 1-6. Even if 5 of those 7 games were against the top 3 teams in the conference, the fact that we were not particularly competitive across those 7 is a pretty strong indictment of the current regime. And before people say that we kept some of the games close, I went to ESPN and looked at the running Win Probability for each of the last 7 games. The only game in which the WP was greater than 50% Cal at any point in the game was the UW game, and that ended with 7 min to go in the game.

I guess that's what's disheartening to me. In Fox's 3rd year, we are basically not competitive with the best teams in the conference (yes, we had a chance to cut saturday's game to 3 in the final minute and missed a FT, but the general point is valid, I think). There are those who seem to say pretty definitively that Fox will for sure be back next season, a season where we will likely lose our 3 best players from this season, and the replacements for those 3 seem to be a clear step down in production from what those 3 currently provide. This year is likely the high-water mark for Fox in his first 4 seasons.
Agreed, and I think what you say goes without saying. My comment was in response to the suggestion the Bears are suddenly worse than expected.
I do think that the runup to this 7 game stretch may have engendered more optimism than was warranted about the possibilities, but again, that 7-1 stretch included 2-1 against P5 level teams and 5-0 against mid-majors or lower. So our reality is somewhere closer to the 7-8 we are over the last 15.

That struggling to get to .500 overall is where we are in year 3 is a very depressing thought.

Agreed. However, at no time during Fox's tenure has there ever once been a reasonable narrative that was more positive.
calumnus
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Big C said:

CalLifer said:

Civil Bear said:

CalLifer said:

Civil Bear said:

HuaHin (fka Uthai) said:

Well this team has gone south in a hurry. Not surprised but it's seems the initial hope for this season was false hope. As usual.

Fox is always going to suck.
I don't think anyone was expecting Cal to beat any of USC, UCLA, or AZ. A split on the Washington road trip would have been nice, so the Bears are maybe -1 at this point.

Of course, Kelly goes down now that the schedule is getting easier. Nevermind.
I guess to me, this is where some of the analysis of Fox misses the bigger picture. Yes, from the specifics of where things were at the beginning of this 7-game stretch, maybe we are a -1. But from the larger view, we are in the third year of a coaches' tenure, and the best expectation of the team in a 7 game stretch was that we would go 1-6. Even if 5 of those 7 games were against the top 3 teams in the conference, the fact that we were not particularly competitive across those 7 is a pretty strong indictment of the current regime. And before people say that we kept some of the games close, I went to ESPN and looked at the running Win Probability for each of the last 7 games. The only game in which the WP was greater than 50% Cal at any point in the game was the UW game, and that ended with 7 min to go in the game.

I guess that's what's disheartening to me. In Fox's 3rd year, we are basically not competitive with the best teams in the conference (yes, we had a chance to cut saturday's game to 3 in the final minute and missed a FT, but the general point is valid, I think). There are those who seem to say pretty definitively that Fox will for sure be back next season, a season where we will likely lose our 3 best players from this season, and the replacements for those 3 seem to be a clear step down in production from what those 3 currently provide. This year is likely the high-water mark for Fox in his first 4 seasons.
Agreed, and I think what you say goes without saying. My comment was in response to the suggestion the Bears are suddenly worse than expected.
I do think that the runup to this 7 game stretch may have engendered more optimism than was warranted about the possibilities, but again, that 7-1 stretch included 2-1 against P5 level teams and 5-0 against mid-majors or lower. So our reality is somewhere closer to the 7-8 we are over the last 15.

That struggling to get to .500 overall is where we are in year 3 is a very depressing thought.

Agreed. However, at no time during Fox's tenure has there ever once been a reasonable narrative that was more positive.


Well there were definitely more positive narratives put out even if I agree with you they were unreasonable:
Big C
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calumnus said:

Big C said:

CalLifer said:

Civil Bear said:

CalLifer said:

Civil Bear said:

HuaHin (fka Uthai) said:

Well this team has gone south in a hurry. Not surprised but it's seems the initial hope for this season was false hope. As usual.

Fox is always going to suck.
I don't think anyone was expecting Cal to beat any of USC, UCLA, or AZ. A split on the Washington road trip would have been nice, so the Bears are maybe -1 at this point.

Of course, Kelly goes down now that the schedule is getting easier. Nevermind.
I guess to me, this is where some of the analysis of Fox misses the bigger picture. Yes, from the specifics of where things were at the beginning of this 7-game stretch, maybe we are a -1. But from the larger view, we are in the third year of a coaches' tenure, and the best expectation of the team in a 7 game stretch was that we would go 1-6. Even if 5 of those 7 games were against the top 3 teams in the conference, the fact that we were not particularly competitive across those 7 is a pretty strong indictment of the current regime. And before people say that we kept some of the games close, I went to ESPN and looked at the running Win Probability for each of the last 7 games. The only game in which the WP was greater than 50% Cal at any point in the game was the UW game, and that ended with 7 min to go in the game.

I guess that's what's disheartening to me. In Fox's 3rd year, we are basically not competitive with the best teams in the conference (yes, we had a chance to cut saturday's game to 3 in the final minute and missed a FT, but the general point is valid, I think). There are those who seem to say pretty definitively that Fox will for sure be back next season, a season where we will likely lose our 3 best players from this season, and the replacements for those 3 seem to be a clear step down in production from what those 3 currently provide. This year is likely the high-water mark for Fox in his first 4 seasons.
Agreed, and I think what you say goes without saying. My comment was in response to the suggestion the Bears are suddenly worse than expected.
I do think that the runup to this 7 game stretch may have engendered more optimism than was warranted about the possibilities, but again, that 7-1 stretch included 2-1 against P5 level teams and 5-0 against mid-majors or lower. So our reality is somewhere closer to the 7-8 we are over the last 15.

That struggling to get to .500 overall is where we are in year 3 is a very depressing thought.

Agreed. However, at no time during Fox's tenure has there ever once been a reasonable narrative that was more positive.


Well there were definitely more positive narratives put out even if I agree with you they were unreasonable:

I'm sure somebody somewhere had one (like from the AD's office?), but I never heard a plausible scenario that took us to above .500 in the conference, based on whatever the current roster was, plus the next signed recruiting class. Not even projecting two years into the future.
sluggo
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Big C said:

calumnus said:

Big C said:

CalLifer said:

Civil Bear said:

CalLifer said:

Civil Bear said:

HuaHin (fka Uthai) said:

Well this team has gone south in a hurry. Not surprised but it's seems the initial hope for this season was false hope. As usual.

Fox is always going to suck.
I don't think anyone was expecting Cal to beat any of USC, UCLA, or AZ. A split on the Washington road trip would have been nice, so the Bears are maybe -1 at this point.

Of course, Kelly goes down now that the schedule is getting easier. Nevermind.
I guess to me, this is where some of the analysis of Fox misses the bigger picture. Yes, from the specifics of where things were at the beginning of this 7-game stretch, maybe we are a -1. But from the larger view, we are in the third year of a coaches' tenure, and the best expectation of the team in a 7 game stretch was that we would go 1-6. Even if 5 of those 7 games were against the top 3 teams in the conference, the fact that we were not particularly competitive across those 7 is a pretty strong indictment of the current regime. And before people say that we kept some of the games close, I went to ESPN and looked at the running Win Probability for each of the last 7 games. The only game in which the WP was greater than 50% Cal at any point in the game was the UW game, and that ended with 7 min to go in the game.

I guess that's what's disheartening to me. In Fox's 3rd year, we are basically not competitive with the best teams in the conference (yes, we had a chance to cut saturday's game to 3 in the final minute and missed a FT, but the general point is valid, I think). There are those who seem to say pretty definitively that Fox will for sure be back next season, a season where we will likely lose our 3 best players from this season, and the replacements for those 3 seem to be a clear step down in production from what those 3 currently provide. This year is likely the high-water mark for Fox in his first 4 seasons.
Agreed, and I think what you say goes without saying. My comment was in response to the suggestion the Bears are suddenly worse than expected.
I do think that the runup to this 7 game stretch may have engendered more optimism than was warranted about the possibilities, but again, that 7-1 stretch included 2-1 against P5 level teams and 5-0 against mid-majors or lower. So our reality is somewhere closer to the 7-8 we are over the last 15.

That struggling to get to .500 overall is where we are in year 3 is a very depressing thought.

Agreed. However, at no time during Fox's tenure has there ever once been a reasonable narrative that was more positive.


Well there were definitely more positive narratives put out even if I agree with you they were unreasonable:

I'm sure somebody somewhere had one (like from the AD's office?), but I never heard a plausible scenario that took us to above .500 in the conference, based on whatever the current roster was, plus the next signed recruiting class. Not even projecting two years into the future.
There was a narrative put out by the coaching staff, repeated by Bill Walton and also by one of the mods here that the current recruiting class was the start of the turnaround of Cal basketball. The star, Alajiki, is averaging fewer than 4 points a game. The other two have scored a total of 10 points combined on the year. Call me skeptical.
bearister
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Well, the 5 previous seasons we lose that U$C game Saturday by 30+.




What happens in the Triple Crown this week?
Cancel my subscription to the Resurrection
Send my credentials to the House of Detention
I got some friends inside
sluggo
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Cal did play very well against USC and were hurt by Kelly's untimely injury and a terrible non-travel call on Mobley. I do think there has been progress not reflected in the recent record. But the ceiling is just too low and the team looks like it will be worse next year without a couple of strong transfers.
calumnus
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Big C said:

calumnus said:

Big C said:

CalLifer said:

Civil Bear said:

CalLifer said:

Civil Bear said:

HuaHin (fka Uthai) said:

Well this team has gone south in a hurry. Not surprised but it's seems the initial hope for this season was false hope. As usual.

Fox is always going to suck.
I don't think anyone was expecting Cal to beat any of USC, UCLA, or AZ. A split on the Washington road trip would have been nice, so the Bears are maybe -1 at this point.

Of course, Kelly goes down now that the schedule is getting easier. Nevermind.
I guess to me, this is where some of the analysis of Fox misses the bigger picture. Yes, from the specifics of where things were at the beginning of this 7-game stretch, maybe we are a -1. But from the larger view, we are in the third year of a coaches' tenure, and the best expectation of the team in a 7 game stretch was that we would go 1-6. Even if 5 of those 7 games were against the top 3 teams in the conference, the fact that we were not particularly competitive across those 7 is a pretty strong indictment of the current regime. And before people say that we kept some of the games close, I went to ESPN and looked at the running Win Probability for each of the last 7 games. The only game in which the WP was greater than 50% Cal at any point in the game was the UW game, and that ended with 7 min to go in the game.

I guess that's what's disheartening to me. In Fox's 3rd year, we are basically not competitive with the best teams in the conference (yes, we had a chance to cut saturday's game to 3 in the final minute and missed a FT, but the general point is valid, I think). There are those who seem to say pretty definitively that Fox will for sure be back next season, a season where we will likely lose our 3 best players from this season, and the replacements for those 3 seem to be a clear step down in production from what those 3 currently provide. This year is likely the high-water mark for Fox in his first 4 seasons.
Agreed, and I think what you say goes without saying. My comment was in response to the suggestion the Bears are suddenly worse than expected.
I do think that the runup to this 7 game stretch may have engendered more optimism than was warranted about the possibilities, but again, that 7-1 stretch included 2-1 against P5 level teams and 5-0 against mid-majors or lower. So our reality is somewhere closer to the 7-8 we are over the last 15.

That struggling to get to .500 overall is where we are in year 3 is a very depressing thought.

Agreed. However, at no time during Fox's tenure has there ever once been a reasonable narrative that was more positive.


Well there were definitely more positive narratives put out even if I agree with you they were unreasonable:

I'm sure somebody somewhere had one (like from the AD's office?), but I never heard a plausible scenario that took us to above .500 in the conference, based on whatever the current roster was, plus the next signed recruiting class. Not even projecting two years into the future.


There were some that pointed to initial year over year improvement in W/L and then extrapolated:"at this rate" . There were some that argued he would get us to .500 in conference making the job "more attractive" for attracting the next coach. There were some that argued no one wants to coach at Cal and we are lucky to get a highly overpaid retread. There were some that said "just give him a chance he has only been here 1, 2, 3 years." There was the COVID excuse.

It is similar to Wilcox but at least with Wilcox I am much happier with his coaching style, demeanor and personality and it is plausible to argue he is learning on the job, so his record should be ignored. However in both cases you have to ask "How does the current situation improve?"
BeachedBear
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calumnus said:

Big C said:

calumnus said:

Big C said:

CalLifer said:

Civil Bear said:

CalLifer said:

Civil Bear said:

HuaHin (fka Uthai) said:

Well this team has gone south in a hurry. Not surprised but it's seems the initial hope for this season was false hope. As usual.

Fox is always going to suck.
I don't think anyone was expecting Cal to beat any of USC, UCLA, or AZ. A split on the Washington road trip would have been nice, so the Bears are maybe -1 at this point.

Of course, Kelly goes down now that the schedule is getting easier. Nevermind.
I guess to me, this is where some of the analysis of Fox misses the bigger picture. Yes, from the specifics of where things were at the beginning of this 7-game stretch, maybe we are a -1. But from the larger view, we are in the third year of a coaches' tenure, and the best expectation of the team in a 7 game stretch was that we would go 1-6. Even if 5 of those 7 games were against the top 3 teams in the conference, the fact that we were not particularly competitive across those 7 is a pretty strong indictment of the current regime. And before people say that we kept some of the games close, I went to ESPN and looked at the running Win Probability for each of the last 7 games. The only game in which the WP was greater than 50% Cal at any point in the game was the UW game, and that ended with 7 min to go in the game.

I guess that's what's disheartening to me. In Fox's 3rd year, we are basically not competitive with the best teams in the conference (yes, we had a chance to cut saturday's game to 3 in the final minute and missed a FT, but the general point is valid, I think). There are those who seem to say pretty definitively that Fox will for sure be back next season, a season where we will likely lose our 3 best players from this season, and the replacements for those 3 seem to be a clear step down in production from what those 3 currently provide. This year is likely the high-water mark for Fox in his first 4 seasons.
Agreed, and I think what you say goes without saying. My comment was in response to the suggestion the Bears are suddenly worse than expected.
I do think that the runup to this 7 game stretch may have engendered more optimism than was warranted about the possibilities, but again, that 7-1 stretch included 2-1 against P5 level teams and 5-0 against mid-majors or lower. So our reality is somewhere closer to the 7-8 we are over the last 15.

That struggling to get to .500 overall is where we are in year 3 is a very depressing thought.

Agreed. However, at no time during Fox's tenure has there ever once been a reasonable narrative that was more positive.


Well there were definitely more positive narratives put out even if I agree with you they were unreasonable:

I'm sure somebody somewhere had one (like from the AD's office?), but I never heard a plausible scenario that took us to above .500 in the conference, based on whatever the current roster was, plus the next signed recruiting class. Not even projecting two years into the future.


There were some that pointed to initial year over year improvement in W/L and then extrapolated:"at this rate" . There were some that argued he would get us to .500 in conference making the job "more attractive" for attracting the next coach. There were some that argued no one wants to coach at Cal and we are lucky to get a highly overpaid retread. There were some that said "just give him a chance he has only been here 1, 2, 3 years." There was the COVID excuse.

It is similar to Wilcox but at least with Wilcox I am much happier with his coaching style, demeanor and personality and it is plausible to argue he is learning on the job, so his record should be ignored. However in both cases you have to ask "How does the current situation improve?"
Interesting that your take from three years is so different from mine (and apparently Big C's). I think the points about making the job more attractive had much more to do with structural changes within the Athletic Department, then with reaching .500. Personally, I think any potential coach cares much more about who they are working for and who signs their check and who they have to negotiate with than whether their predecessor won a certain number of games. But on all the other excuses you are spot on and they are exhausting

As for those structural changes - obviously the biggest one is WHO is the Athletic Director. When Knowlton hired Fox, he was new and taking over a mess. Now that he has been here for three years, he hasn't really demonstrated much support for Basketball - other than tolerating mediocrity. I don't think potential coaches see him as a dream boss, but it's also not the Williams/Dierks era. So at this point, I think any potential coach is possible. Whereas, when people wanted Musselman and Bennett - those two were still laughing about Williams/Dierks and unsure what Knowlton/Christ would be like. Christ has at least shown NOT to be sports contentious and projects a positive working relationship with Knowlton. That is significantly different thatn three years ago.

And for the record, .500 is not even close to being enough to retain FOX at this point IMHO.



HoopDreams
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my first look at stanford's 4 star PG, Silva

zero for 1, two TOs, and looking ugly doing it
HoopDreams
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bad call on Lars, clean block
Big C
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HoopDreams said:

my first look at stanford's 4 star PG, Silva

zero for 1, two TOs, and looking ugly doing it

I completely forgot about him and didn't even notice him tonight.

That said, Fox (or his successor) needs to recruit a point guard.
HoopDreams
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I can't even blame the refs for this loss

In fact they missed a cal goal tending call near the end of the game

Civil Bear
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HoopDreams said:

I can't even blame the refs for this loss

In fact they missed a cal goal tending call near the end of the game


Since you've mentioned it twice now, I feel obliged to say there is no such thing as offensive goaltending. It's basket interference.
HoopDreams
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Yeah, that's the rule book

Every player on the court says goaltending

I call it basket interference when someone grabs the net or rim when the ball is in play

I think the NBA uses the terms interchangeably


Civil Bear said:

HoopDreams said:

I can't even blame the refs for this loss

In fact they missed a cal goal tending call near the end of the game


Since you've mentioned it twice now, I feel obliged to say there is no such thing as offensive goaltending. It's basket interference.
oskidunker
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You an see those turnover, lazy passes coming.
Go Bears!
Civil Bear
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HoopDreams said:

Yeah, that's the rule book

Every player on the court says goaltending

I call it basket interference when someone grabs the net or rim when the ball is in play

I think the NBA uses the terms interchangeably


Civil Bear said:

HoopDreams said:

I can't even blame the refs for this loss

In fact they missed a cal goal tending call near the end of the game


Since you've mentioned it twice now, I feel obliged to say there is no such thing as offensive goaltending. It's basket interference.

I can assure you that isn't the case by those that understand what goaltending means.
HoopDreams
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Civil Bear said:

HoopDreams said:

Yeah, that's the rule book

Every player on the court says goaltending

I call it basket interference when someone grabs the net or rim when the ball is in play

I think the NBA uses the terms interchangeably


Civil Bear said:

HoopDreams said:

I can't even blame the refs for this loss

In fact they missed a cal goal tending call near the end of the game


Since you've mentioned it twice now, I feel obliged to say there is no such thing as offensive goaltending. It's basket interference.

I can assure you that isn't the case by those that understand what goaltending means.
https://official.nba.com/rule-no-11-basket-interference-goaltending/

Section 17 for NCAA rules:

http://ncaambb.arbitersports.com/groups/104883/library/files/br15.pdf
Civil Bear
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HoopDreams said:

Civil Bear said:

HoopDreams said:

Yeah, that's the rule book

Every player on the court says goaltending

I call it basket interference when someone grabs the net or rim when the ball is in play

I think the NBA uses the terms interchangeably


Civil Bear said:

HoopDreams said:

I can't even blame the refs for this loss

In fact they missed a cal goal tending call near the end of the game


Since you've mentioned it twice now, I feel obliged to say there is no such thing as offensive goaltending. It's basket interference.

I can assure you that isn't the case by those that understand what goaltending means.
https://official.nba.com/rule-no-11-basket-interference-goaltending/

Section 17 for NCAA rules:

http://ncaambb.arbitersports.com/groups/104883/library/files/br15.pdf

Yes, Section 17, Article 3.a of the NCAA rulebook specifically states goaltending occurs when a defensive player touches the ball during a field-goal try. The NBA rulebook may lump basket interference and goaltending together since the outcome is the same, but there is a reason both are mentioned. The NBA Video Rulebook provides examples of only defensive players being able to commit goaltending:

Goaltending | Rules | NBA Video Rulebook
HoopDreams
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Oh, I get what you're saying

I got lost on what play we were talking about

Yeah, I was talking about defensive goaltending

My bad


Civil Bear said:

HoopDreams said:

Civil Bear said:

HoopDreams said:

Yeah, that's the rule book

Every player on the court says goaltending

I call it basket interference when someone grabs the net or rim when the ball is in play

I think the NBA uses the terms interchangeably


Civil Bear said:

HoopDreams said:

I can't even blame the refs for this loss

In fact they missed a cal goal tending call near the end of the game


Since you've mentioned it twice now, I feel obliged to say there is no such thing as offensive goaltending. It's basket interference.

I can assure you that isn't the case by those that understand what goaltending means.
https://official.nba.com/rule-no-11-basket-interference-goaltending/

Section 17 for NCAA rules:

http://ncaambb.arbitersports.com/groups/104883/library/files/br15.pdf

Yes, Section 17, Article 3.a of the NCAA rulebook specifically states goaltending occurs when a defensive player touches the ball during a field-goal try. The NBA rulebook may lump basket interference and goaltending together since the outcome is the same, but the NBA Video Rulebook only provides examples of defensive players being able to commit goaltending:

Goaltending | Rules | NBA Video Rulebook
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