Randle will be on the floor today, but unfortunately not at the FT line
drizzlybear said:SFCityBear said:I understood your original post. I wrote a lengthy post in reply, trying to say, with all due respect to you, that while an improvement in Brown's free throws would be huge, perhaps for him personally, and for his fans who care about his play, but it would not often be huge for the Cal team. He just does not get enough free throw attempts in a game to matter a lot, except in really close games decided by one or two points. And Cal usually loses by more than that. He averages less than two attempts per game. Nobody hardly ever fouls him. Brown is a terrific defender, and does not commit many personal fouls himself, but he commits more personal fouls than people foul him. Over the last two years, he has averaged 1.75 free throw attempts per game, while also fouling opponents at a rate of 2.6 personal fouls per game. He makes free throws at 0.85 per game.drizzlybear said:SFCityBear said:
With all due respect, I'm not sure why we are discussing this. Joel Brown is a player who takes less than one three point attempt (0.9) per game. He shoots them at a .325 clip (career), making a little below one out three, so on average, he makes one every 3 or 4 games. Over his career, his threes have been almost irrelevant. This year, he has been making them well below his usual percentage, so it would be wise for him to take even less attempts, as taking the same or more than usual would not be helping the team.
We had a point guard, Paris Austin, who also did not make threes very often, which we discussed, but not as much as we have discussed Brown's threes. Actually, Brown had a much better percentage than Austin, who shot them at .255 at Cal. And Austin also did not have many attempts, averaging 0.9 per game as well. Another point we had was Ty Wallace. Wallace shot threes at .292, better than Austin, but not as good as Brown's career average. The thing that bugged me about Wallace (and Cuonzo) was that Wallace took too many attempts (3.1 per game, or 4.0 per 40 min) for someone with a low percentage of success. Take that many and you are not helping your team.
Improving one's three point shooting is very iffy. It is a long shot, making it a low percentage shot, compared to most. But typically a player only shoots a couple of three point attempts in a game, so he hardly gets warmed up. The great ones, like Larry Bird or Steph Curry are shooting them all game long, so they are warmed up. They often hit 3 or 4 in a row, or more. Part time players like Jeff Powers or Nick Kerr are just good shots. They come off the bench and bingo, they hit their first (and sometimes only) shot. And they do that most of the time. They need hardly any warmup. So imagine a guy like Joel Brown, who might take a three after being in the game say, 5 minutes, or instead, maybe he's played 25 minutes of running, driving, passing rebounding, playing defense, and now he has an opening to take a three. Very different scenarios, and very hard to prepare for. The other thing is good shooters are born with an eye. You can tell by the 5th or 6th grade if a kid can shoot or not. I'm sure there are examples of players who can become better three point shooters beginning as a freshman in college who can't shoot threes, but I can't think of any at the moment.
Brown is a very poor free throw shooter for a guard at .468 career. That, IMO, is the shot he should be working on, because even if he never takes another three, he will get a couple of free throw attempts in games, and if he could improve that, it would help the team a little. Plus, it is easier for most shorter players at least to improve free throws than improve three point shooting. The distance is shorter, and no one is guarding you when you shoot them in a game. Nothing much to be concerned with other than your stroke and your mind, and of course, your confidence.
If you look at the original post, it is specifically about the possibility that Brown is already improving his free throws. He has made 67% of his last 12 free throws. As that post says, it's obviously a small sample size, so it could be misleading; but it also could be a sign that he is improving, and could potentially become an adequate (though still not ideal) FT shooter. And that would be huge. And that is the point of the original post.
For Brown to make a huge difference in the outcome of Cal games, he has to learn how to draw fouls. The usual way is to make more baskets, or make more assists, perhaps, or break down your defender on the dribble, get into the paint more. The big problem Brown has with this is that he is very fast, and very quick, and defenders can't catch up to him and foul him. They can't foul him much on the dribble, because his handle is too good, too quick. He blows by his man so fast, he leaves him in the dust. If he could finish better and finish more, score more points in the paint, he would start drawing fouls. If he could shoot mid-range shots and make them, he would draw more fouls. If he could make threes, and make more of them (he only shot one three point attempt per game over the last two seasons), then he would draw fouls. He is just too darn quick for most of his defenders, and not yet skilled enough to shoot and score a lot over the bigger defenders. He needs to get better at dishing in the lane, so that defenders will try extra hard to keep him out of the lane, and may have to foul him in the process, and give him free throws to shoot.
So, in my opinion, he has to work on drawing fouls, which is a skill, and work on his shooting from the field. He needs to learn to change speeds, slow down sometimes to sucker a defender into a foul. He has two speeds, fast and faster. You have to give the defender time to foul you. And practice your shooting more. Make a lot of baskets, and then defenders will give you free throws to shoot. Until that starts happening, it does not pay many dividends to practice shooting your free throws. Unless he can get more attempts, he is looking at adding maybe one more free throw made every other game,
on average.
The biggest problem with Brown's poor FT shooting isn't the points lost during a game when he misses a free throw, it's the inability to have the team's PG on the floor in crunch time. That's a huge problem. (When we had Jerome Randle it was an incredible asset.)