concordtom said:
ducky23 said:
Everyone is assuming Kidd (who has somehow become some adjustment genius) is going to just make these massive adjustments. I dunno. Let's see what adjustments are even possible:
When Mavs were on offense, I was extremely surprised to see how much they helped on Luka. They sent a ton of help whenever Luka started to drive into the paint.
I thought this would be a bad strategy because Dallas has so many shooters and Luka is a great passer. However, Kerr made an amazing move (that may be the key to guarding the Mavs) and put draymond on Brunson.
Going into the series, I was concerned because I assumed draymond would guard Kleber. I thought this was a problem because draynonds strength is playing a free safety role and helping on defense. But he can't help as much because kleber is an absolute knock down shooter.
So instead the warriors put draymond on Brunson, which was genius because it accomplishes two very important things. Brunson is not close to as good as a shooter, which allows draymond to roam and help on Luka. It also puts draymond on Brunson which completely neutralises the Mavs second best scorer. Brunson gets a lot of his points in the low post. That's not gonna happen against dray. If Brunson struggles, it's very hard for the Mavs to win. Plus putting a smaller player on Kleber is fine because he can't punish the warriors in the paint.
So how do the mavs adjust? I don't know. Making some shots will absolutely help. But beyond a couple open looks early, the warriors rotations were completely on point and almost every three was contested. If I were Kidd, I'd be as stubborn as possible trying to iso Steph/Poole. They tried in game 1, but Steph/Poole would hard hedge and recover and not allow the switch. But I think the Mavs need to attack the hard hedge more or be more stubborn with trying to get the switch.
One other thing the Mavs could do is more off ball movement, and cuts. If the mavs just stay stationary while Luka has the ball, it's way too easy for the warriors to help/recover/rotate. But beyond those things, I don't know what big adjustments can really be made. This is a 5 out team with a heavy usage superstar. They are what they are. And the warriors make a living beating these types of teams in the playoffs.
On defence, the Mavs are simply getting cooked in the paint. It's no surprise. Powell played small and Kleber instantly got in foul trouble trying to protect the paint.
Only thing the Mavs can do is try to over help and clog the lane. And then take their chances with open threes. They have no choice. You have to take away points in the paint. It's like if the opposing team is getting 8 yards a time running up the middle. You have to take it away. And since the Mavs don't have any shot blockers, the only choice is to overhelp and leave open threes and dare the warriors to make open shots. It's not a great strategy, but it's their only strategy.
Also doubling Steph at this point in his career seems kinda dumb. Constantly creating 4 on 3 matchups with no rim protection is a recipe for disaster.
We will see what happens tonight. The Mavs could still win this thing, but they're going to need to rely a lot on just making more contested shots and hoping the warriors miss open looks. It's not ideal, but it's really their only way forward. There are no grand schemes for Kidd to turn to.
And yet, Brunson smoked it in game 2.
So what went wrong for Dallas and what is the setup in game 3?
Draymond often overhelped and played like crap the entire game. Which explains Brunson.
In first half, Dallas kept picking on Steph (who was guarding bullock). When Steph showed hard on the screen, Luka would pass to Steph's man (bullock) and bullock got hot from 3. This caused all sorts of problems.
Second half, warriors adjusted and put Steph on finney smith instead. He's not the shooter that bullock is. Mavs stopped attacking Steph and went at looney instead. We know how that turned out.
On offense, with draymond in foul trouble, they could just put the ball in Steph and Poole'a hands and let them attack either Kleber or doncic. We also know how that turned out. Warriors scored something absurd like 1.4 points/possession without draymond.
I'm curious to see what Mavs do to adjust to curry now guarding finney smith. They can't keep isolating looney.
Also curious to see how they defend, because the warriors have too many weapons who can attack paint and the Mavs almost always have at least two defensive liabilities on the court AND no rim protection.
With that said, I don't have high hopes for game 3. It'll be one of those classic warrior let down games where the Mavs come out with a must win focus and the warriors will do their famous "no urgency" energy.