So three P4 opponents, 3 losses.

3,390 Views | 46 Replies | Last: 12 days ago by TheFiatLux
TheFiatLux
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HKBear97! said:

DaveT said:

This looks like what you'd probably expect given the reliance on portal players. A bunch of guys all trying to get their shots off to earn playing time and pad stats in case they need to hit the portal again. It looks a lot like a pick-up game.

Hard to know how much is on MM and how much is just a function of the new portal world where scorers get paid. Probably some of both. MM is everything you could ask for in a coach, except for the coaching part. I hope he figures it out.
Cal currently ranks 328 out of 355 teams in assists per game. Compare that to Vanderbilt and USC who have more new players than Call and they are ranked 132 and 113, respectively. Definitely an area that needs improving.
How did all those assists work for USC against us?

I'm not saying it's not an area that needs to improve, but, to me, this thread is ridiculous.
BearlyCareAnymore
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RedlessWardrobe said:

HKBear97! said:

sandiegobears said:

HoopDreams said:

Missouri just beat no. 1 Kansas
Proof that Mizzou is not a pushover.

And further proof that right now, while teams figure out how to integrate new players, you can't be assured of really who is better...maybe Kansas should fire Self? I don't think so, but the temperature here is that Madsen doesn't know what he's doing and I'm skeptical of that. I don't think Madsen is any different than many other coaches right now, he was down 3 starters and is still trying to get them back into the fold and also figure out all of the pieces. SDSU cleaned out Creighton, only to lose to Oregon and Gonzaga. Gonzaga lost to West Virginia and Kentucky. Oregon is losing to UCLA right now. Creighton beat Kansas, but lost to Nebraska. Duke has two losses now. It's a time of uncertainty due to all of the transfers, I've heard more than one NCAA wag mention this

So, while I'd certainly like to see more assists and better integrated offense, and certainly a better defensive posture, I don't see how you can add nearly a full team of new players together and figure anything out without real playing time. If they don't start to gel and figure out things by mid-January, that's gonna be a bigger issue. It feels like this team, especially with a lack of height, is just gonna struggle against teams like Furd, and they are probably a .500 type of team, but maybe they'll surprise us. But it's possible that only Blaksher and Sissoko will be gone next year and then we'll really see what type of coach Madsen is, when he has guys for longer periods and can challenge them to improve. I'm sure a few may transfer, but I'd hope we can get some consistency and tenure, that's where things change. If it's a new team of bodies every year, it's gonna be a slog.


If this was Madsen's first year, I might agree with you
. Unfortunately last year the team took awhile to gel and then seemed to fall apart at the end with some reports of a bad locker room. That makes me question if Madsen is equipped to deal with this new old order.

And a key difference between us and the teams you mention is they all have some really good wins among those losses listed. Cal hasn't beaten anyone of the caliber those teams have. Not to mention getting destroyed by Vanderbilt who had more new players than Cal has!
I know its just not us, but again we have a completely new set of players. You could almost categorize this season as Madsen's "second first year." Also, things might have gone better in our last two games if we had a healthy DJ and BJ. Not trying to avoid realism, but I still think its too early to start ragging on MM.
I'm going to make 4 comments:

1. It is way too early to make many judgments about what type of coach Madsen will be.
2. There have been people making positive assessments with pretty much zero evidence since day less than zero as they have been making them since before Madsen's first game. From what I can tell based on him being young and giving a few of you the tingles when he talks.
3. There have been people making negative assessments with pretty much zero evidence. From what I can tell based on not understanding how critically bad our program was, and probably some responding to the people from #2 amping up expectations in an unrealistic fashion.
4. You cannot adopt the recruiting strategy that Madsen has and then say "we have a new team" every single year. Yeah. It's like his second first year. And next year will be his third first year. And the year after that his fourth. It's his second year. Period. End of story. If you want to build through the portal every year, you have to take the bad with the good.
RedlessWardrobe
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^Fair assessment, except next year it is reasonable to think that a decent amount of this year players will be back. Blacksher, Sissoko, and Tucker go, but you have to hope that at least 2/3 of the other guys will be back. So if that happens, next year would be a better time to make a judgment on the coach.
GoCal80
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Maybe Cal's loss wasn't so bad afterall

https://www.si.com/college/missouri/basketball/coaches-players-reactions-to-mizzou-basketball-s-upset-over-top-ranked-kansas-01jem3z7n0k6
bearsandgiants
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BearlyCareAnymore said:

RedlessWardrobe said:

HKBear97! said:

sandiegobears said:

HoopDreams said:

Missouri just beat no. 1 Kansas
Proof that Mizzou is not a pushover.

And further proof that right now, while teams figure out how to integrate new players, you can't be assured of really who is better...maybe Kansas should fire Self? I don't think so, but the temperature here is that Madsen doesn't know what he's doing and I'm skeptical of that. I don't think Madsen is any different than many other coaches right now, he was down 3 starters and is still trying to get them back into the fold and also figure out all of the pieces. SDSU cleaned out Creighton, only to lose to Oregon and Gonzaga. Gonzaga lost to West Virginia and Kentucky. Oregon is losing to UCLA right now. Creighton beat Kansas, but lost to Nebraska. Duke has two losses now. It's a time of uncertainty due to all of the transfers, I've heard more than one NCAA wag mention this

So, while I'd certainly like to see more assists and better integrated offense, and certainly a better defensive posture, I don't see how you can add nearly a full team of new players together and figure anything out without real playing time. If they don't start to gel and figure out things by mid-January, that's gonna be a bigger issue. It feels like this team, especially with a lack of height, is just gonna struggle against teams like Furd, and they are probably a .500 type of team, but maybe they'll surprise us. But it's possible that only Blaksher and Sissoko will be gone next year and then we'll really see what type of coach Madsen is, when he has guys for longer periods and can challenge them to improve. I'm sure a few may transfer, but I'd hope we can get some consistency and tenure, that's where things change. If it's a new team of bodies every year, it's gonna be a slog.


If this was Madsen's first year, I might agree with you
. Unfortunately last year the team took awhile to gel and then seemed to fall apart at the end with some reports of a bad locker room. That makes me question if Madsen is equipped to deal with this new old order.

And a key difference between us and the teams you mention is they all have some really good wins among those losses listed. Cal hasn't beaten anyone of the caliber those teams have. Not to mention getting destroyed by Vanderbilt who had more new players than Cal has!
I know its just not us, but again we have a completely new set of players. You could almost categorize this season as Madsen's "second first year." Also, things might have gone better in our last two games if we had a healthy DJ and BJ. Not trying to avoid realism, but I still think its too early to start ragging on MM.
I'm going to make 4 comments:

1. It is way too early to make many judgments about what type of coach Madsen will be.
2. There have been people making positive assessments with pretty much zero evidence since day less than zero as they have been making them since before Madsen's first game. From what I can tell based on him being young and giving a few of you the tingles when he talks.
3. There have been people making negative assessments with pretty much zero evidence. From what I can tell based on not understanding how critically bad our program was, and probably some responding to the people from #2 amping up expectations in an unrealistic fashion.
4. You cannot adopt the recruiting strategy that Madsen has and then say "we have a new team" every single year. Yeah. It's like his second first year. And next year will be his third first year. And the year after that his fourth. It's his second year. Period. End of story. If you want to build through the portal every year, you have to take the bad with the good.
I think people have been making assessments overall, which highlight the positives and the negatives after a year and 1/3 of evidence, and after each game. I don't see anything wrong with that. It's clear he's a great person, he's a great recruiter, and he's a great ambassador for Cal hoops. The second-half woes have been a theme for two years running. The lack of 3pt defense, and defense in general are problematic. I do feel like this team is more of a "team" so Madsen is starting to show some ability there, in terms of leadership. Xs and Os have been head-scratching at times, and continue to be. It's worrisome. We don't have 8 years for a guy to learn on the job like we tried to do with Wilcox, although Madsen is probably better equipped for that, if we do. We're also short, again. I feel like we're a lot taller that our previous teams, but we've always been short because tall guys are hard to get. But when we go up against MO and Furd, we look small by comparison, and we keep getting stuffed trying to go to the rim. It's frankly embarrassing. And we have to because we can't shoot. A lot of our woes are talent. We have a budding superstar and some pretty nice players, but no bona fide superstars right now. Other teams have 3 or more. Next year will indeed be the real test if we can hold onto our budding superstar(s) with eligibility and hold onto our potential superstar recruits. I have no doubt Madsen could lead a fab5 team to the final four. He does need even more talent on the roster to do that. It's coming. You have to cut Cal fans some slack for wanting "immediate" results in year 2 though. We're been waiting forever. You know what would make us all feel better right now? Firing Knowlton.
RedlessWardrobe
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^I appreciate the comments. As the poster who said it's a bit early to rush to judgment, my only quibble with your comments is that I don't believe anybody here is willing to wait eight years for MM to produce results. The tendency on this forum is compare our basketball coach with our football coach, which in reality has nothing to do with each other. (Although I admit the AD's criteria of coaches does come into play.)

Using Furd is a good measuring stick. Again, in that game we're misssing DJ and BJ. Maybe the next time we play those guys we get them. In my mind it's not a reach. But to your points, this team has to improve, and obviously a lot of that falls on Madsen. At the least, we have another 3 months to evaluate his ability.
Jeff82
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Close your eyes, relax, and repeat after me: "Football is a sprint, basketball is a marathon." We're 6-3, having played nine games of a (I assume) 27 or 28 game schedule. When we get to March, no one will remember what happened in December. Also, my expectations are reasonable, given the all new roster. Winning enough games to make the NIT would be an accomplishment, and having most of the pieces coming back from this team to start building something more ongoing. Given the mess Madsen was left by Fox, he had to rely on one-and-done players from the portal last year, just to try and win enough games to get the fan base off the ledge. If he can win 15+ this year and retain the pieces to build on, I'd be satisfied. Repairing the damage from Jones and Fox is going to take awhile.

More broadly, I have hope in basketball, versus hardly any in football. Basketball is a worldwide game, which means there are players that are good that you can find that others don't. There are also multiple ways to play the game successfully. I don't think that's really true in football, which isn't even being played in many public schools in the Bay Area.
socaltownie
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Jeff82 said:

Close your eyes, relax, and repeat after me: "Football is a sprint, basketball is a marathon." We're 6-3, having played nine games of a (I assume) 27 or 28 game schedule. When we get to March, no one will remember what happened in December. Also, my expectations are reasonable, given the all new roster. Winning enough games to make the NIT would be an accomplishment, and having most of the pieces coming back from this team to start building something more ongoing. Given the mess Madsen was left by Fox, he had to rely on one-and-done players from the portal last year, just to try and win enough games to get the fan base off the ledge. If he can win 15+ this year and retain the pieces to build on, I'd be satisfied. Repairing the damage from Jones and Fox is going to take awhile.

More broadly, I have hope in basketball, versus hardly any in football. Basketball is a worldwide game, which means there are players that are good that you can find that others don't. There are also multiple ways to play the game successfully. I don't think that's really true in football, which isn't even being played in many public schools in the Bay Area.
Great post.

I would also suggest that BB is a "natural" fit for the East Bay/Sacto corridor which has produced some NBA superstars/HOF'ers. Contrast with Football that remains, in this state, much more of a Socal thing. There is a strategy where Cal emphasizes hoop to produce the same sort of engagement that so many people on these board call for.
Take care of your Chicken
Jeff82
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People want to can Madsen after a season and a third. That's no way to build a program. From what I've seen, Madsen wants to teach these guys how to play, but it's a process. The other thing I forgot to point out in the other post is that the objective is different in basketball than in football. In basketball, the goal is to consistently make the tournament, because to some extent, anything can happen once you're there. In football as now constructed, once you've lost two games, your season is basically over, because you're out of the CFP, and your best players are all going to leave.

I now basically agree with your idea of dropping down. Being in FBS, the drama off the field is now overwhelming what happens on the field, and being a fan is no longer fun for me. If we drop down, the sports that can raise funds will survive, and those that can't won't. I'm OK with that.
southseasbear
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Jeff82 said:

People want to can Madsen after a season and a third. That's no way to build a program. From what I've seen, Madsen wants to teach these guys how to play, but it's a process. The other thing I forgot to point out in the other post is that the objective is different in basketball than in football. In basketball, the goal is to consistently make the tournament, because to some extent, anything can happen once you're there. In football as now constructed, once you've lost two games, your season is basically over, because you're out of the CFP, and your best players are all going to leave.

I now basically agree with your idea of dropping down. Being in FBS, the drama off the field is now overwhelming what happens on the field, and being a fan is no longer fun for me. If we drop down, the sports that can raise funds will survive, and those that can't won't. I'm OK with that.
Drop down? We had that opportunity; we could have stayed in the revamped Pac 12. We couldn't afford to do that than, and still can't. Remember, football fund women's sports which we are obligated to maintain due to Title IX.
BearlyCareAnymore
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southseasbear said:

Jeff82 said:

People want to can Madsen after a season and a third. That's no way to build a program. From what I've seen, Madsen wants to teach these guys how to play, but it's a process. The other thing I forgot to point out in the other post is that the objective is different in basketball than in football. In basketball, the goal is to consistently make the tournament, because to some extent, anything can happen once you're there. In football as now constructed, once you've lost two games, your season is basically over, because you're out of the CFP, and your best players are all going to leave.

I now basically agree with your idea of dropping down. Being in FBS, the drama off the field is now overwhelming what happens on the field, and being a fan is no longer fun for me. If we drop down, the sports that can raise funds will survive, and those that can't won't. I'm OK with that.
Drop down? We had that opportunity; we could have stayed in the revamped Pac 12. We couldn't afford to do that than, and still can't. Remember, football fund women's sports which we are obligated to maintain due to Title IX.
I'm not saying to drop down, but according to the last athletic department financial statement, football lost money, so football is not funding women's sports.
TheFiatLux
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Listen, the last couple of games have been disappointing. Not just on the court but in the stands. Early games are always a hard draw, but that's why you have a marketing department (I know, beating the drum again) to attract fans that may not have otherwise attended. 6K for Stanford is brutal and the thing is you could see it coming a mile away because of how early it was in the season - the students showed up great, but the general population just isn't in "college hoops mode / it's a rivalry game" in early December.

I'm high on Madsen. I think he is the right man for the program. He's young, and some of these losses are what you expect (but not hope for) from a young coach with only a few years of HC experience. We saw the team get stronger as the year went on last year before petering out due to lack of depth. Let's see what happens this year. I just wish Stanford wouldn't have been so early in the season.
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