Ga Tech preview and prediction

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Schroeder71
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I watched the Ga Tech at Miami game a couple of nights ago and realized that I had confused Va Tech & Ga Tech in my mind. The fast and athletic team with a deep bench was Ga Tech. This team is not a good matchup for Cal.
I had Ga Tech marked off as a loss all season and I think that I'll stick with that prognosis: GT over Cal 74-70. I realize that the Bears are 14-1 at home. Both teams have been slumping over recent weeks which gives the home team a chance. Both teams have dropped out of the top 25 and possess similar records. Cal is 22-7 to GT's 21-7 overall record. In the ACC, Cal is 10-6 to GT's 9-7. If the Bears cannot protect home court, they will fall behind the visitors with an eighth loss. These last two conference games are important, and the opener of the ACC Tournament is also. The sportswriter that covers women's basketball for the SF Chronicle wrote yesterday that Cal would likely make the NCAA Tournament unless they got swept at home and lost the1st game of the ACC Tournament. Bears would then have ten losses.

I predicted that Cal would beat Va Tech last Sunday because they had been slumping, but the Hokies shot 56.5% from the field and outscored us, 87-84. IMO, that was the worst defensive game of the season for the Bears.

The head coach of the Yellow Jackets is Nell Fortner. This is her sixth season in Atlanta. She previously was HC at Auburn (SEC) for 8 seasons and Purdue (Big Ten) for two. Evidently, she also coached the US National Team and the WNBA's Indiana Fever. Nell Fortner was an All-American player for the Texas Longhorns.

GTWBBStats2425.pdf

Fortner has recruited lots of talent and fields a deep team even though they only have 12 on their roster. The Yellow Jackets start two All-ACC 2nd teamers in their backcourt, PG Tonie Morgan & SG Kara Dunn. Kara Dunn (#25) is a 5-11 junior SG who leads her team in scoring (15.7 points) and is second in rebounding w/ 5.9 per game. She is 2nd in three-point baskets (45) & second in steals (35). Tonie Morgan (#5) is a 5-9 junior PG who is the quarterback of this team. She is an excellent ball-handler with 159 assists (5.7 per game). Morgan is the #3 offensive threat with 12.7 points and grabs 4.3 boards per contest. She is 3rd in steals (32) and has made 12 treys on the season. A dual role player is the grad transfer from Georgia, Zoesha Smith. She averaged 9.9 points for the Bulldogs last season. She is a 6-1 wing or SF that flies around the court. She adds 7.9 points and leads the team in rebounding with 6.4/ g. The PF is Kayla Blackshear, a 6-1 senior, who stands third with 5.3 boards and contributes 6.3 points to the offense. Their starting center is (#20) Ariadna Termis, a 6-6 sophomore from Spain. Her numbers are 4.5 points plus 4.0 rebounds. A typical European player, she has connected on 19 treys from the outside.

The 2024 recruit class has been a pleasant surprise for coach Fortner. Three freshmen have scored in double figures in individual games this season. Ga Tech's second leading scorer is 5-9 SG Dani Carnegie (#3), averaging 13.5 points while pulling down 4.6 boards per game. She is the sixth "man" and is dynamite w/ 58 three-point shots made. She has been named the ACC Freshman of the Week on five occasions in 2024-25.
Carnegie was rated #29 player in the nation (2024) by ESPN HoopGurlz. Another frosh star in the making is 5-4 PG, "Chit-Chat" Wright. She averages 7.1 ppg and is also dangerous from deep w/ 37 treys. The third freshman, Tianna Thompson, is another 5-10 SG. She was the star of their last game vs Florida State. Normally, she gets 9 minutes of PT. Last week, someone fouled out and she received 20 minutes and led GT in scoring w/ 19 points. Thompson hit 8-11 shots, and I have a feeling that she might get some time in Berkeley.

Two other reserves are 5-11 junior SG, Ines Noguero, from Spain. She is a defensive stopper and is tops in steals with 36. She tallies 4.7 points each appearance. Rusne Augustinaite, is a 6-0 soph wing from Lithuania. She is another dead-eye bomber who is 4th on the team w/ 27 threes.

Women's Basketball Roster Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Statistically, the Yellow Jackets can match most anything that the Bears excel in while being strong in the areas that the home team finds itself vulnerable. For example, Cal and Ga Tech are productive in three-point shooting with an average of 9 & 8, respectively. This team from the deep South is unselfish like Cal is. The Bears run up representative numbers of assists (15.4) each game, but the Yellow Jackets generate 18.6. Most of the games that GT wins they end up in the twenties. Ga Tech only turns the ball over 12x per game while Cal averages 18 TOs. The visitors force 16+ opposition turnovers per game. With their depth and speed, I'm quite concerned that the Bears will break the 20 barrier once, again. The one area that Cal could win would be rebounding but Michelle Onyiah needs to stay on the floor to accomplish that fete. I've noticed that when she faces a taller opponent she seems to get psyched out and doesn't score much. In reality, I believe that she is more athletic and faster than the 6-6 Spaniard.

When I review their season, I see that Ga Tech lost to Duke by 5 at home and beat UNC on the road, 82-76. The Yellow Jackets also lost to Notre Dame in Southbend by only 15. These scores indicate to me that this team plays under control and is definitely competitive. I hope that I'm wrong about the outcome. GO BEARS!



SFCALBear72
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What makes you feel like they have any momentum coming into our game?

They've lost 3 of their last 4 games (2 home losses - NC State and Florida State). Also lost on the road to Clemson. Only win was at home versus Wake Forest.
Finnish Oski
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Tech opened conference play by beating North Carolina on December 15. Since then they've beaten none of the teams in the top half of the conference.
Schroeder71
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SFCB72-I reviewed that and that is what gives Cal an opportunity to triumph. Florida State was missing their top two guards in that game and still GT lost at home. North Carolina State beat them at home by 15 points. I came to the conclusion that when Cal swept those two quality teams at home that they were playing well then prior to the Duke debacle on January 16th.

I'm concerned that the Bears can defend this fast and athletic team. GO BEARS!
SFCALBear72
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The Bears have the extra incentive to finish the season strong, solidify their NCAA Tournament bid and send the seniors off on a very positive note.

Let's go!! Rock the Haas!!
Woodacre
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A win tonight clinches 7th place, with 6th place the ceiling (Cal finishes tied with FSU for 6th at 12-6 if Cal wins out and FSU loses on the road to Notre Dame and at home to Duke). A loss means that Georgia Tech ties Cal at 10-7, meaning Cal is 8th, and can slip to 9th if Virginia Tech sweeps BC and Clemson, Cal loses to Miami, and Georgia Tech beats Stanford on Sunday. Go Cal! Go Stanford?
gljone
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Conversely, since Cal played such bad defense in their last game, I look to see the Bears come out with defense as an emphasis.

I have a feeling this one will be a stressful one, maybe a one possession game at the end.
Woodacre
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Yay! BC upset VT, we don't have to worry about 9th…
annarborbear
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Minor point of interest, but I noticed that 8 of GT's 12 roster members are majoring in Business. Since few will play professionally, it is nice that GT can make that valuable major accessible to so many,
HoopDreams
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GT's PG has a killer handle and size

Will be tough to keep her out of the paint but so far Kayla defending her well

If she gets past her it puts Michelle at risk of fouls
Schroeder71
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GT is outrebounding Cal with two 6-1 forwards vs Onyiah (6-3) & Suarez (6-3). They are not starting their 6-6 C but her Spanish teammate, Inez Noguero, instead. She is their best guard defender. Great start by winning the 1sr quarter 23-9. GO BEARS!
annarborbear
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A lot of going to the basket. We have scouted them well and are executing well.
ncbears
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fairly good first - 23-9! Go Bears!
HoopDreams
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They went small and sped us up and it was working

Yo with a timely 3

ncbears
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GT defense has been causing Bears to go deep into the clock.
HoopDreams
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Didn't see what happened
ncbears
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Bodies on the floor.
But, key is that Bears get two steals and convert.
They say Morgan got hit by a screen.
Lead 38-24.
ncbears
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Crazy sequence of turnovers by GT and Bears (Bears with 2!)
BearBint
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OMFG, a half without Michelle's fouling?!
"Don't get distracted, myself. Don't get distracted." Self-talk from a young relative
Woodacre
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GT has played 11 players so far
ncbears
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Half Cal 40 GT 26 - still a 14 point lead. Bears never really grew it much and had it cut to 8 at one point.
GT with a last second score to cut it to 14.
Bears, of course, just need to keep doing what they have been doing. It is what they do, after all!
But, a 14 point lead is not a safe lead in wbb.
Bears with "only" 9 turnovers for the half - and two were on one sequence and most were when Bears were deep into the play clock.

But those are picky points - it was a heck of a half!
gljone
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Bear's defense has shown up.

Of course Cal had to get 10 TOs...at least 4 were just careless. A couple against the press. But the Bears did break the press effectively enough to where it hasn't cost them.

If the Bears defend and rebound (GT depends on O boards) they should prevail.
gljone
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And the craziness continues. FSU beats ND on ND's home court.

A Cal win tonight and the Bears get 7th place.

I think...hahaha
Schroeder71
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Cal up by 14 at halftime (40-26). Nobody on the Bears has more than 1 foul and both our" bigs", Onyiah & Suarez, have no PFs. Unbelievable. My major worry is that pressure defense that the Yellow Jackets put on in the second quarter began to speed up Cal's turnovers to 9. Two backcourt violations plus Noble made two terrible passes for 2 TOs. Both Suarez and Onyiah have missed cripples inside and Onyiah has had two of her shots blocked by Blackshear, a 6-1 forward. Overall, things could not be going much better. Ga Tech has played 10 players like I thought that they would. GO BEARS!
HoopDreams
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We are so much better with Michelle on court
PenBear
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i think abigor came in earlier than normal to spell onyiah. and stayed on longer as well.
ncbears
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Cal by 15, One of GT's bigs - Blackshear with a foul - and maybe an upgrade - under review.
Cal seems to be mostly handling the GT pressure - but in the 4th, that pressure will be even more.
ncbears
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63-47 lead after three.
Some moments where it looked like Bears might go cold and turnover the ball repeatedly.
But, Bears right any missteps and stay in the lead.
Cal is up to 14 turnovers for the game - so on track for 20 for the game.

Cal with 32 points in the paint! 7-17 from deep.
And 10-12 from the line.
Also, 14 assists on 23 made baskets.
Rebounds: Cal 29 GT 19 - Offensive rebounds are 8 each - but Cal has 21 defensive rebounds to Tech's 11.
ncbears
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Palms of Victory!
This is what we do!
Go Bears!
CalFanatic
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One of the best games I've seen the Bears play. Let's finishing this thing strong against Miami!
CalFanatic
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Wow! Florida State stuns Notre Dame. We are now likely to play them as the #2/7 matchup. Unless I'm totally missing something here.
ncbears
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Smith addressing the crowd after the game to give for Big Give and to show up on Sunday!
ncbears
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ESPN says attendance was 1933 - so below the 2161 Cal was averaging.
Hoping there is a big crown on Sunday.
I will be on airplane.
Go Bears.
Finnish Oski
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A complete performance by the Bears and Michelle had one of the best games of her career, notably she was never in foul trouble. Only disappointing aspect of the night was the crowd. Would have hoped for more. Maybe folks will come out on Sunday. Thought Tech looked like what they are, not among the elites but better than the bottom feeders.
Final note. I stopped in the men's room after the game. Heard a Cal fan complain that it was amazing that we won given all our "stupid turnovers." So sad that in the immediate aftermath of a victory some people can't just enjoy the moment.
ncbears
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That loss to Clemson just keeps looking worse and worse for the resume.
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