Notre Dame forecast...

3,536 Views | 51 Replies | Last: 4 mo ago by BearBint
Schroeder71
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My only hope today is that Cal can play their best and be competitive against #6 Notre Dame. I guess that theoretically the Bears have a chance today, but if you review the boxscore (below), it's not very likely.

https://calbears.com/sports/womens-basketball/stats/2024-25/notre-dame/boxscore/36911

To win championships, a team normally has to emphasize defense. Three teams that Cal faced this season in the ACC put defense first: Duke, Notre Dame & UNC. All three stopped the Bears from running their offense and forced between 21-34 turnovers. The only two games that Cal was blown out this season were Duke (72-38) and Notre Dame (91-52) on the road. The Bears lost by 34 & 39 points, respectively. North Carolina had to come to Berkeley and captured a somewhat competitive game, 65-52. This was Cal's only home loss (16-1).

The Fighting Irish had three first team selections as all-ACC: G Hannah Hidalgo, G Olivia Miles & G Sonia Citron. Hidalgo was voted the conference POY as well as the Defensive Player of the Year. Citron was also selected on the all-ACC Defensive Team. Notre Dame also had a second team selection, PF Liatu King, and an all-Freshmen selection in 6-5 C Kate Koval.

The Fighting Irish have struggled recently and lost to Florida State and NC State. Cal defeated both of these nationally ranked teams at home. How can this be? Well-the Bears outscored Fla St (82-71) and beat NCS (79-71). Cal was able to run their offense and play their game against these two opponents. It is all about matchups. Notre Dame has only lost 4 games and wins by an average of 22 points in the ACC.

2024-WBB-ACC-Stats-9.pdf

If Cal can impress today, they may be able to move up to a #7 seed from #8 seed line of the NCAA Tournament. GO BEARS!

Finnish Oski
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Today seems like a case of a win helping us a lot and a loss not hurting us a bit. The Bears should be relaxed, the pressure is on Notre Dame which has more to lose.
annarborbear
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Would like to see us play well today just to make it an even better season.
RedlessWardrobe
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Finnish Oski said:

Today seems like a case of a win helping us a lot and a loss not hurting us a bit. The Bears should be relaxed, the pressure is on Notre Dame which has more to lose.
My guess is the only way a loss hurts us is if we have a performance similiar to the last Notre Dame and/or Duke game. Let's hope the best version of our team shows up.
Finnish Oski
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Quote:

My guess is the only way a loss hurts us is if we have a performance similiar to the last Notre Dame and/or Duke game. Let's hope the best version of our team shows up.
Yup.
blungld
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Here is my wish: only 10 turnovers and 40% on 3s...that would give us a shot.
The Bear will not quilt, the Bear will not dye!
Finnish Oski
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Quote:

Here is my wish: only 10 turnovers and 40% on 3s...that would give us a shot.
That and no foul trouble for Michelle.
MafDen
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Close game, neutral court. Let's go you BEARS!
SFCALBear72
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Bears are playing very relaxed. Letting the game come to them. Rebounding. Lulu's 3's are falling. Good sign.
blungld
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They are playing panicked and making a lot of really bad decisions.
The Bear will not quilt, the Bear will not dye!
gwashburn14
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Eight turnovers, mostly on poor entry passes or losing the ball off the dribble, two fouls on Oniyah and getting outshot 18-9 in the opening quarter and still only down 16-10. If Cal plays better and smarter here, it has a chance to stay close.
CalFanatic
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We are on track for 40 turnovers so uh, not great.
3Cats4CAL
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What's wrong with Krimili these past few games? At least make your free throws! Back to Turnover Bears. Onyiah back to foul trouble and no Noble available- Donez a poor substitute for her since she can't shoot.
HoopDreams
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ND guard explosive
HoopDreams
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Not good that Michelle and Marta have two fouls and no Noble

Maul will have to fill that role
PenBear
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lack of overall team quickness. should give zahra king a run
ClayK
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The lack of athleticism is causing many of Cal's problems. They're just getting sped up at every position. Krimili is just overmatched.
HoopDreams
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Well ND is athletic AND big/long and they have DPOY

My point is this is what an elite team looks like defensively
HoopDreams
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Considering our foul trouble, unavailable of Noble, and our turnovers this is a great halftime score
kc1121
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I'll take down 3 with Onyiah and Suarez missing so much time
gwashburn14
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19 turnovers, foul trouble and still only down 3? Just cut the turnovers in half and Cal has a chance here.
annarborbear
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These stats are out of the Twilight Zone - 19 TO's, Onyiah with 0 points and 2 rebounds, but only down 3 to the #6 team in the country.
blungld
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The effort is there. Just a few less dumb plays and we could have had the lead.

Boy, the travel call on Lulu was really bad.
The Bear will not quilt, the Bear will not dye!
RedlessWardrobe
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One take I have is that those who think Gabby doesn't have a future will be proven wrong.
blungld
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How do you make 19 turnovers in a half? Especially when you KNOW that is your weakness and point of emphasis. It's mind boggling.
The Bear will not quilt, the Bear will not dye!
RedlessWardrobe
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HoopDreams said:

Well ND is athletic AND big/long and they have DPOY

My point is this is what an elite team looks like defensively
Exactly. When posters ask "why aren't we playing well?" It mostly has to do with who the opponent is
PenBear
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The younger players only got spot minutes. Probably shoulda play them more during the season cause they nee them to more than be fillers in the tournament. They add more athleticism for games like this.
BearBint
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https://www.espn.com/womens-college-basketball/boxscore/_/gameId/401743781

Cal outscored ND in the second quarter. Outrebounded them a bit as well. Unleash the Kraken Bear!
"Don't get distracted, myself. Don't get distracted." Self-talk from a young relative
CalFanatic
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Cal up 41-39!! Go Bears!
CalFanatic
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That 47-41 lead and excitement was short lived. Turnovers, turnovers, turnovers. 12-0 Notre Dame run.
BearBint
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CalFanatic said:

That 47-41 lead and excitement was short lived. Turnovers, turnovers, turnovers. 12-0 Notre Dame run.
Weird game. Cal is still outrebounding and -assisting them, but those TOs...

And now Pray for Kayla?
"Don't get distracted, myself. Don't get distracted." Self-talk from a young relative
gwashburn14
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16 turnovers for Suarez in the two games against Notre Dame. Yikes.
HoopDreams
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RedlessWardrobe said:

One take I have is that those who think Gabby doesn't have a future will be proven wrong.


Who thinks that ??!
RedlessWardrobe
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HoopDreams said:

RedlessWardrobe said:

One take I have is that those who think Gabby doesn't have a future will be proven wrong.


Who thinks that ??!
If you've been on this site the last 3 months there have been several comments about it
blungld
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Good effort Bears. A little cleaner and you might have pulled off the upset. Everyone knew it was all about not having plus twenty turnovers and you couldn't do it.
The Bear will not quilt, the Bear will not dye!
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