Auburn (7-0)

2,736 Views | 39 Replies | Last: 4 mo ago by stu
Schroeder71
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AU Combined 25-26.pdf - Auburn Tigers - Official Athletics Website

I have been extremely busy, but I'll give everyone an overview of today's matchup. My forecast is that Auburn prevails 62-58 over Cal this evening. I remember last season's game when the athleticism and speed of the Tigers caused the Bears big problems. The SEC team came the closest to beating Cal in Berkeley by forcing 29 turnovers. I forsee a defensive struggle with both teams only able to score approximately ten points less than their respective season averages.

When I witnessed the Grand Canyon game on Monday, I flash-backed to the Auburn offensive debacle of 2024. I envisioned that losing Ioanna Krimili and Marta Suarez would make the Bears a much better ball-handling team this season. When I saw the 24 TOs against the Lopes, I changed my mind. Cal does not have a competent point guard that I can see at the moment. Auburn has been forcing 23.1 TOs per game (which includes 13.6 steals). The Bears can win if they can limit their turnovers to 18 or less. If the Tigers create more than that I feel that the tide will turn against us. If my prediction is accurate, it will be the initial time THIS SEASON that Cal will have been held under sixty points.

Auburn has allowed 51.3 ppg behind their undefeated (7-0) record. They have held three opponent's offenses to point totals in the forties. The Tigers have held three others to scores in the fifties. Only one team has tallied sixty or more points against them. Rutgers played Auburn tough but fell, 51-46.

The Tigers only return Kaitlyn Duhon from last year's lineup. The Bears have a similar situation with one starter back in Lulu Twidale. Cal's defense has been shaky lately. They allowed St Marys and GCU to shoot 52% & 48%, respectively. Lulu Twidale led Cal to a come from behind victory last season, but she cannot hit her three-point shots on a regular basis in 2025. She only hit 1-9 vs Grand Canyon with nearly all of 'em coming up short and hitting the front rim. She is only 10 for 47 (21.3%) on the season. Actually, she possesses the second lowest shooting percentage (34.7) on the team for players that receive 9 minutes of PT or more.

Women's Basketball 2025-26 - Auburn Tigers - Official Athletics Website

Auburn plays a six-player rotation using five guards and a single post. Four of them average between 11-12 points per game. They do have a 6-9 redshirt freshman center named Arek Angui from Sudan that they could try to match up with Cal's 6-5 Sakima Walker. However, she has only averaged 11.5 minutes of PT to date. Their star inside threat is 6-2 soph PF, Khady Leye, from Senegal. She leads in rebounding with 5.7 average but half of her total come on the offensive glass (20). Leye also is their top shot blocker w/ 10. Khady contributes 11.1 points per game to the Tiger's offense. Cal may want to try to contain Leye with 6-1 forward Naya Ojukwu.

Their top offensive player is Mya Petticord with a dozen points per contest. She also is the top three-point threat, hitting 40.7% with 11-27. Kaitlyn Duhon is Auburn's defensive stopper and leads the team with 22 steals.

Cal will have to play their best game of the early season to make this a three-game winning streak vs Auburn.
I would imagine that the Bears (6-1) are the toughest opponent for the Tigers this early in 2025-26, too.

GO BEARS!
annarborbear
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Not only new players at Auburn, but also a new coach, Larry Vickers, who won 64% of his games in ten seasons as head coach at Norfolk State.,
scottmcafee
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https://www.flocollege.com/events has the broadcast time as 6pm PST. All other sources have a 4:30 PST tip (Hoopfest says 6:30 but it's presumably CST). Hopefully flocollege will actually broadcast on time.
SFCALBear72
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They needed overtime to beat Charlotte on the road, 71-58 on November 3rd.

That's the same team we beat, 69-44, less than two weeks later at Haas.
annarborbear
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I am on Flo sports, and it now says the game will be on at 6:00 pm.
annarborbear
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I am now watching the end of the the game before ours - Grand Canyon vs UTSA. Four minutes left in the fourth quarter. So maybe 4:30 will happen. Or 6:00. Or who knows?
annarborbear
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I now see a couple of Auburn players jumping rope to warm up on the sidelines. 43 seconds to go in the previous game.
kc1121
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the auburn radio link is live, but it's a sports talk radio show

4:31pm switched over

4:45 appro tipoff
Schroeder71
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Flo College states that the game will start at 5:42 pm PST
BearBint
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Auburn's strength of schedule isn't nearly as tough as ours.
Schroeder71
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Has anyone got the live data stream of the game, yet?
scottmcafee
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No. Looks like it's not going to be live. Hopefully they'll have it from the beginning at 5:42PST. Else I'll wait when the archive is available.

***Correction: Just started for me ***********
Shocky1
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https://www.espn.com/womens-college-basketball/boxscore/_/gameId/401817552

9-6 auburn, lulu has drained 2 3 pointers
annarborbear
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It just came on my tv. 3:50 left in the first quarter. Tied at 13-13.
RedlessWardrobe
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FloSports is certainly bush league
BearBint
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Grrrrrrrrrrr. Thank goddess for Lulu.
Intuit
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at the half Cal trails by 4. 28 - 24
Harborview
blungld
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Listening on Auburn radio. Game sounds like it has no rhythm.
The Bear will not quilt, the Bear will not dye!
annarborbear
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blungld said:

Listening on Auburn radio. Game sounds like it has no rhythm.

We can't seem to get any ball movement against their defense.
Intuit
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LuluTwidale leads California scoring with 14 points in the first half.
Harborview
BearBint
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blungld said:

Listening on Auburn radio. Game sounds like it has no rhythm.

Precisely. Cal's taking it out of Auburn, and vice-versa.
BearBint
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Damn the damn turnovers.
blungld
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BearBint said:

Damn the damn turnovers.

The story of this team.
The Bear will not quilt, the Bear will not dye!
blungld
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Basically no baskets in the last three minutes and Auburn is +6 in points off turnovers. That was the difference in this game. When was the last time this team had 10 TOs or less?
The Bear will not quilt, the Bear will not dye!
BearBint
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BUGGER.
SFCALBear72
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A coach I know once said "the opponent did you a favor by showing you what needs to improve."

Turnovers. Turnovers. Turnovers.

The coaches need to work with Puff Morris, in particular. She was also 1-6 on 3-pointers. Keep working on those too, Puff.
annarborbear
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We outrebounded them 39-26. But they outshot us 46% to 34 %. They were also good defenders.
GATC
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BearBint said:

Damn the damn turnovers.

4 turnovers less than what Auburn normally forces. We only got 4 points from the post. But we out rebounded them by quite a bit thanks to Mjracle and Taylor. Gisella scored 5 out of the last 6 points.
HoopDreams
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S71's scouting report was pretty accurate. Cal had 19 turnovers and it was a defensive battle with both teams scoring below their season averages

Against high-D1 opponents we are going to struggle in the post. Naya is not going to be as effective and Claudia doesn't look 100%, although rebounding was surprisingly strong. Losing Mady was a huge blow.

Shooting was going to be a challenge coming into the season and it is.



SFCALBear72
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Naya would be more effective if she could stay out of foul trouble.

And playing these games in a virtually empty arena is ridiculous!
162 attendees tonight. It's also got to be very disconcerting for the players.
Shocky1
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https://instagr.am/p/DRitcuuDGIf
auburn tigers 58
california golden bears 50

despite lulu "let if fly" twidale scoring 18 points on high volume shooting & a +13 rebounding advantage the bears (6-2) loose handle (19 turnovers on 12 steals by the tigers) cost the bears a sec ncca tournament resume building victory at a neutral site

ball handling fundamentals needs to be a point of emphasis moving forward before the team's challenging next game roadie to missouri on december 4th
polarbear
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Why so few bench minutes and points?
SFCALBear72
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From story on Calbears.com:

"I thought we've been inconsistent for some time now and Auburn was able to make us pay in a way that other teams haven't recently, so it's unfortunate," Cal head coach Charmin Smith said. "We need to be playing better, and hopefully we'll grow from this and be ready for our trip to Missouri. I thought we had a lot of open looks that we are capable of making and didn't take advantage of them. In the second half I thought they changed some of their matchups and made it a little bit tougher, but we still had opportunities for people, and we weren't able to convert. Credit to them for playing with a level of intensity throughout the game and it's something that we need to do."

Cal Comeback Falls Short Against Auburn - California Golden Bears Athletics

Looks like we know now what Coach Smith will be working on with her team going forward.
Go Bears!!
Shocky1
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^ no mention of the 19 turnovers or 12 steals by the tigers which by now are just institutionalized & accepted
ClayK
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The season is about one-quarter over and Twidale is shooting 23.1% from three.

This is a major concern. If she doesn't start shooting better, she needs to start shooting less.

Puff looks like a freshman point guard trying to adjust to the next level up. Right now, she's ineffective, but we have to stick with her.

Turnovers are very difficult to control. You can avoid turnovers by making safe passes. But safe passes won't generate offense. What does generate offense is the ability to beat defenders off the dribble. When that happens, the defense must help, passing lanes open up and safe passes can be made to wide-open shooters.

I don't have time to watch much, so tell me: Have Cal perimeter players shown the ability to break down P4 defenders off the dribble?
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